Initiating Coverage | 28 September 2017
Sector: Financials
PNB Housing Finance
In the Big League
Piran Engineer - Research analyst
(Piran.Engineer@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3980 4393
Alpesh Mehta - Research analyst
(Alpesh.Mehta@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5415
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.

PNB Housing Finance
Contents: PNB Housing Finance | In the Big League
Summary ............................................................................................................. 3
Consistently gaining market share from peers ....................................................... 5
Diverse product offering across retail and corporate ............................................. 9
Factor in stable margins...................................................................................... 12
Operating leverage benefits to play out gradually ............................................... 14
Pristine asset quality, Returns ratios to improve.................................................. 16
SWOT analysis .................................................................................................... 20
Bull & Bear case
................................................................................................. 21
Valuation and view............................................................................................. 22
Company Background ......................................................................................... 25
Financials and valuations .................................................................................... 26
28 September 2017
2

PNB Housing Finance
BSE Sensex
31,160
S&P CNX
9,736
PNB Housing Finance
Initiating Coverage | Sector: Financials
CMP: INR1,412
In the Big League
TP: INR1,675 (+19%)
Buy
A perfect blend of growth with quality
Stock Info
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
M.Cap. (INR b)
M.Cap. (USD b)
12M Avg. Val (INR M)
Free float (%)
PNBHF IN
165.6
1715 / 789
-7/19/-
233.9
3.7
690
61.1
Financial Snapshot (INR b)
Y/E Mar
2018E 2019E 2020E
NII
14.8
19.9
26.4
PPP
14.4
19.3
25.9
PAT
8.0
10.8
14.4
EPS (INR)
48.1
65.1
87.2
BV/Sh. (INR)
367.6 419.1 488.1
RoAA (%)
1.5
1.5
1.5
RoE (%)
13.8
16.6
19.2
Payout (%)
20.9
20.9
20.9
P/E (x)
29.3
21.7
16.2
P/BV (x)
3.8
3.4
2.9
Shareholding pattern (%)
As On
Jun-17 Mar-17 Dec-16
Promoter
38.9
39.1
39.1
DII
4.5
4.1
4.0
FII
14.5
15.4
15.9
Others
42.1
41.5
41.0
FII Includes depository receipts
PNB Housing Finance (PNBHF) is a classic turnaround story. While the company
was incorporated in 1988 as a wholly-owned subsidiary of Punjab National Bank,
the turnaround started two decades later in FY10. This was effected by a change in
shareholding (Destimoney Enterprises, a subsidiary of the Carlyle Group,
purchased 26% stake in PNBHF) as well as a change in management.
Over FY10-15, the company invested in technology, re-jigged its operations and
processes, diversified its loan book, and expanded in new geographies.
Consequently, over FY12-17, PNBHF’s loan book grew from INR40b to INR400b+,
and PAT increased from INR0.8b to INR5.2b.
PNBHF has effectively leveraged on a unique hub-and-spoke model, where
customer acquisition happens at the branch level while underwriting takes place
at a hub. The company has incurred significant technology and branch
infrastructure costs over the past few years and we expect operating leverage
benefits to accrue with strong growth, resulting in a 600bp reduction in the C/I
ratio to 22% over FY17-20.
PNBHF’s asset quality has been one of the best among peers, with a GNPL ratio (2-
year lag basis) of 0.5% as of FY17. However, as the loan book gets more seasoned
and on account of increasing corporate exposure, we expect a modest increase in
GNPA and credit costs. Yet, we expect RoA to remain largely stable at ~1.5%. With
increasing leverage over time, RoE should cross 19% by FY20. We initiate coverage
on PNBHF with a Buy rating and a target price of INR1,675 (22x Sep 2019E EPS),
implying 3.7x Sep2019E BVPS.
Growth potential unlocked with unique business model
Commencing a turnaround in 2011, PNBHF registered strong loan growth across
segments with a loan book CAGR of 60% over FY12-17, driven by increased
market penetration and expansion into new territories. Consequently, its market
share increased from ~0.5% to 2%+, making it the fifth largest HFC in India. With
a hub-and-spoke model and a central processing center (CPC), the company has
ensured that branches focus only on loan sourcing, hubs focus solely on
underwriting and the CPC focuses only on file processing. Unlike other HFCs
which are now focusing more on the affordable housing segment, PNBHF caters
largely to the middle and upper-middle class segment. Its average ticket size of
INR3.2m in home loans is ~30% higher than that of HDFC and IHFL. The company
now has 66 branches in 40 cities, and aspires to achieve at least 8-10% market
share (among HFCs) in every city where it operates. We believe the company has
built the foundation to drive 37% AUM CAGR over FY17-20.
PNB Housing Finance
In the Big League
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Loan mix reached targeted level of 60:40 (Retail and Non retail)
PNBHF has built capabilities in appraising LAP, builder loans and other non-core
loans. With a strong & well-qualified team (60-65% of its underwriters are
Chartered Accountants), the company has developed capabilities to underwrite
3
28 September 2017

PNB Housing Finance
Stock Performance (1-year)
skillfully based on cash-flow analysis. The non-housing loan book now accounts for
41% of the total loan book, as compared to 25% in FY13. Shift in the loan mix has
helped the company to a) be competitive in the retail segment without impact on
overall company margins b) absorb high opex without denting profitability. Loan mix
has reached targeted level and upside to ROA will be realized by operating leverage
rather than margins.
Asset quality pristine; Factor in high credit cost conservatively
GNPL/NNPL ratio stood at 0.22%/0.15% as of end-FY17, the lowest among peers.
Even on a two-year lag basis, the GNPL ratio stands at ~0.5%. In the construction
finance loan book, the NPA is nil. In fact, 88% of projects funded have witnessed
sales velocity in excess of the company’s assumptions. While the company has
stringent underwriting processes in place, we believe that the loan book is still
largely unseasoned, and thus, the GNPL ratio could increase. PNBHF has a large
corporate loan book (~16% of total loans) and LAP book (~16%). Additionally, nearly
40% of the loan book is from north India, where the real estate market has been
subdued for the past 2-3 years. While the company maintains adequate collateral
cover on its loans (LAP LTV capped at 70% at origination; construction finance loan
cover of 2x), we believe GNPLs should rise to 40-50bp over the next 2-3 years.
Consequently, credit costs (including standard asset provisions) are expected to rise
from 30bp in FY17 to 40-45bp over the medium term. However, the company has
already built a contingency provision buffer of INR395m.
Growth, asset quality & improving RoE justify valuation premium
We believe PNBHF is at an inflection point. Increasing geographical spread and new
branch openings (110 branches in FY20E v/s 66 in FY17) are expected to result in the
loan book growing to ~INR1t by FY20 (37% CAGR). With the pace of investments
slowing down, coupled with operating leverage benefits kicking in, the expense ratio
is set to decline meaningfully. Credit costs, however, are expected to inch up
marginally on account of portfolio seasoning. All these factors put together are
expected to drive 40% PAT CAGR over FY17-20E, in our view. While RoA is likely to
remain largely stable at ~1.5%, RoE should improve from 14% in FY17 to 19% in FY20
on account of higher leverage. While we expect the company to raise capital in FY19
or FY20, we have not built in any capital raise assumptions in our numbers. We use
RI model with Rf of 7%, CoE of 13.5% and terminal growth rate of 5% to arrive at a
target price of INR1,675 (22x Sep 2019E EPS), implying 3.7x Sep2019E BVPS. We
initiate coverage with a
Buy
rating.
Exhibit 1: Valuation comparison
HDFC
LICHF
IHFL
DHFL
PNBHF
Can Fin
GRUH
REPCO
AUM
(INR b)
3,550
1,471
945
882
468
138
137
90
Price
(INR)
1,719
607
1,223
526
1,412
2,597
520
601
Market Cap
(INR b)
2,750
307
521
167
234
69
191
37
AUM CAGR
(FY17-20E) %
16
14
29
21
37
NA
22
19
PAT CAGR
(FY17-20E) %
14
14
25
24
40
NA
23
17
RoA (%)
RoE (%)
P/B
P/E
FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E
1.9
1.9
19.3 18.4
4.3
3.1
23.8 18.7
1.4
1.5
18.2 18.5
2.5
2.1
14.6 12.4
3.3
3.2
28.2 31.3
3.8
3.3
14.2 11.3
1.2
1.3
14.1 15.6
1.9
1.6
13.9 11.2
1.5
1.5
13.8 16.6
3.8
3.4
29.3 21.7
2.0
2.0
23.2 22.6
4.6
3.7
23.1 18.1
2.4
2.4
33.0 32.8 15.7 12.9 52.3 43.1
2.2
2.2
17.5 17.0
2.8
2.4
17.4 15.3
Source: Company, MOSL; Note: Can Fin Homes numbers are BBG estimates
28 September 2017
4

PNB Housing Finance
Consistently gaining market share from peers
Turnaround led by change in ownership and management
With a change in management in 2011, PNBHF witnessed an impressive turnaround,
with a robust loan CAGR of 60% over FY12-17. This was driven by a higher branch
count, coupled with increasing branch productivity.
The company has created a niche for itself by targeting the self-employed segment in
the urban areas. With low cost of funds driven by a superior liability profile, it is able
to price its loans at par with the best players in the industry.
Branch count grew from 32 in FY14 to 63 in FY17. Management plans to open 23 new
branches in FY18, and we estimate another 25 branches over FY18-20. New branch
openings, coupled with improving productivity, should drive 37% AUM CAGR over
FY17-20, in our view.
Change in ownership and management key to turnaround
Unlike most state-owned
enterprises, management
does not have a fixed
tenure
PNBHF was incorporated in 1988 as a wholly owned subsidiary of Punjab National
Bank. Subsequently, the company registered as a housing finance company (HFC)
with the National Housing Bank (NHB) in 2001. In 2009, PNB sold 26% stake in the
company to Destimoney Enterprises (DEPL). Further, in 2012, DEPL’s stake increased
to 49% upon conversion of the CCDs issued to it in 2009. DEPL is now owned by
Carlyle Group’s Quality Investments Holdings. Post the stake sale to DEPL, new
management was inducted into the company.
Mr Sanjaya Gupta - Managing Director
Joined the company in 2010 as Managing Director.
Previously served as the Country Head and CEO of the Prospective Mortgage
Guaranty Business in India at AIG United Guarantee
Worked with HDFC Ltd. for 16 years, with his last assignment as Head of
Business Development & Distribution. Was also responsible for establishing the
international housing finance branch operations for HDFC Ltd.
Mr Jayesh Jain - Chief Financial Officer
Joined PNBHF in August 2014.
Previously served as the CFO of GRUH Finance Limited and has over 15 years of
experience in the housing finance industry.
He holds a BCom and is a CA. He is a Fellow Member of the ICAI, and a Certified
Information Systems Auditor and a Certified Information Security Manager from
the Information Systems Audit and Control Association, USA.
Mr Shaji Varghese – Executive Director, Business Development
Joined PNBHF in February 2012.
Previously served as Senior VP at IndusInd Bank. He has more than 17 years of
experience in retail assets, liabilities and wealth management.
He holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Law from the Bharati Vidyapeeth New Law
College, University of Pune. He also holds a Diploma in Business Management.
from the Bharati Institute of Management, University of Pune. He holds a
Master’s Degree in Management Science from the University of Pune.
28 September 2017
5

PNB Housing Finance
Management initiated a thorough business restructuring program in FY11, which
concluded in FY16. This included:
PNBHF undertook an
exhaustive restructuring
exercise over FY11-16,
resulting in significantly
improved performance
Improvement, centralization and standardization of business processes,
payments and credit policies; changes in origination/sourcing strategy and in
product composition/target customer segments.
Changes to the organizational structure, which involved significant changes in
credit underwriting and monitoring functions, and the hiring of in-house sales
teams, fraud prevention specialists, collection experts and in-house legal,
technical and property valuation experts.
Creation and implementation of a new hub-and-spoke model, wherein the
branches were positioned to act as the primary points of sale and collections,
while the processing hubs were positioned to provide loan processing, credit
appraisal and monitoring functions.
Development of a new IT platform, which improved the efficiency of operations.
PNBHF also undertook a marketing program to reposition the ‘PNB Housing’
brand and create a new logo and tagline.
This exercise was instrumental in driving a CAGR of 60% in the loan book (3x of
industry growth) and ~50% in PAT over FY12-17. The company is now the fifth
largest HFC in India. It also has the second largest public deposit base after HDFC
among HFCs. However, the company has higher share of bulk deposit base, with the
top 20 depositors accounting for 35% of all deposits. More than half of the deposits
come from non-retail sources.
Exhibit 2: 60% AUM CAGR over FY12-17
AUM (INRb)
68
60
59
Growth (%)
62
42
20
39
FY12
66
FY13
106
FY14
168
FY15
272
FY16
385
FY17
774
FY12
928
FY13
1,297
FY14
1,941
FY15
3,273
FY16
5,237
FY17
50
40
Exhibit 3: 48% PAT CAGR over FY12-17
Net Profit (INRm)
Growth (%)
69
60
Source: MOSL, Company
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 4: Key milestones
Year
1988
2003
2009
2010
2012
2015
Details
Incorporation of the Company
Company notified under the SARFAESI Act
PNB sold 26% of its stake in the total issued, subscribed and paid-up share capital
of the Company to DEPL
Launched the business process re-engineering project, “Kshitij”
DEPL increased its shareholding to 49% in the Company, pursuant to the
conversion of CCDs issued to DEPL in 2009
Implemented end-to-end Enterprise System Solution
Source: MOSL, Company
28 September 2017
6

PNB Housing Finance
Loan sourcing done by an
in-house sales team, off-roll
DST team and DSAs
Well-diversified loan book with hub-and-spoke underwriting
PNBHF caters to both the salaried and self-employed customer segments, but with a
greater focus on the urban self-employed segment. It offers retail home loans, and
non-housing loans in the form of construction finance, loans against property (LAP),
lease rental discounting loans (LRD), non-residential property (NRP) and corporate
term loans (CTL). PNBHF conducts its operations via 66 branches, 18 processing hubs
and a central processing center (CPC) in NCR. The biggest advantage of this model is
that the branch focuses exclusively on loan sourcing, the hub focuses solely on loan
underwriting and the CPC focuses solely on file processing and other back-end
operations. Apart from an in-house sales team, the company has a team of DSTs
(off-roll employees who source loans exclusively for PNBHF) and also relies on DSAs
for loan sourcing.
Exhibit 5: Interesting facts about their hub-and-spoke model
What?
Number of branches associated to a hub
Number of underwriters in a hub
Number of sales managers per branch
Number of DST managers per branch
Home loan approval rate
LAP approval rate
Collection mechanism
Description
4-5
9-10
3-6
20-25
75-80%
60-65%
Completely in-sourced; 2-3 collection guys per branch
Source: MOSL, Company
Fastest AUM CAGR over the
past 5 years compared to
peers
Gaining market share from peers
On account of a low base, coupled with the impact of business re-engineering,
PNBHF registered loan growth significantly better than peers over FY12-17. While
the home loan industry grew at an 18% CAGR over the same time frame, PNBHF
registered 60% growth. As a result, its home loan market share improved from 0.5%
in FY12 to 2%+ in FY17. The company has a target to achieve 8-10% market share
(among HFCs) in every market that it operates in.
Exhibit 7: FY17-20E loan book CAGR (%) – best among peers
37
29
19
22
21
16
14
Exhibit 6: FY12-17 loan book CAGR (%) – best among peers
60
38
18
23
26
27
27
17
HDFC
LICHF
DHFL REPCO GRUH
IHFL
Can Fin PNBHF
PNBHF
IHFL
Repco
GRUH
DHFL
HDFC
LICHF
Source: MOSL, Company; Note: DHFL loan book CAGR over FY13-17
Source: MOSL, Company
28 September 2017
7

PNB Housing Finance
With falling interest rates, largely stable real estate prices and boost from
government schemes, the housing finance sector remains in a sweet spot over the
foreseeable future. We expect PNBHF to continue with its robust growth trajectory
with expansion into newer geographies, and build in 37% AUM CAGR over FY17-20E.
The company has doubled
its branch count over FY14-
17, leading to strong loan
growth
Exhibit 8: Trend in branch network
100
86
63
32
38
47
110
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 9: Trend in AUM
AUM (INRb)
68
60
63
59
Growth (%)
51
42
35
33
39
FY12
66
FY13
106
FY14
173
FY15
276
FY16
415
FY17
591
FY18E
800
FY19E
1,061
FY20E
Source: MOSL, Company
28 September 2017
8

PNB Housing Finance
Diverse product offering across retail and corporate
Mix reached to targeted level
PNBHF is one of the most diversified HFCs, with a mix of retail home loans, LAP,
construction finance, LRD, non-residential property and corporate term loans.
Over the past four years, the company has gradually increased the share of non-
housing loans (including construction finance) from 25% to 41%. The share of the non-
retail home loan book is highest among its large peers after IHFL. However, in both
LAP and CF, the company caters to the lower-risk end of the spectrum.
We expect PNBHF to continue increasing its share of non-housing loans, albeit at a
slower pace than in the past few years.
Greater focus on the self-
employed segment, with
higher ticket size than peers
like HDFC & IHFL in home
loans
Increasing share in non-retail loans
PNBHF caters to both the salaried and self-employed customer segments, but with a
greater focus on the urban self-employed segment. It offers retail home loans, and
non-housing loans in the form of construction finance, loans against property (LAP),
lease rental discounting loans (LRD) and corporate term loans. Construction finance
is done to real estate developers for residential projects only. In addition, bulk of the
LRD book is retail.
Since PNBHF operates largely in tier I/II cities, its average ticket size in home loans of
INR3.2m is almost 30% higher than that of its peers like HDFC and Indiabulls. Also,
unlike some of its peers, the company is not focusing a lot on affordable housing
finance. However, in LAP, the company chooses to cater to the lower end of the
spectrum in terms of ticket size, with average ticket size of INR5m. In construction
finance, PNBHF has average ticket size of INR500m, while retail LRD bears average
ticket size of INR30-40m. The company follows stringent underwriting standards,
with retail housing loans originating at an LTV of 66% and retail non-housing loans
(LAP) at an LTV of 46%.
PNBHF has increased the
share of its non-retail book
over the past four years;
however, its CF
Over FY13-17, PNBHF increased the share of its non-housing loans from 25% to 41%.
Majority of this increase was on account of construction finance. The share of
construction finance now stands at 11% v/s 2% in FY13. This was accompanied by a
decline in the share of retail home loans from 75% to 59% over the same time
period. As of June 2017, the share of individual home loans/construction
finance/other non-housing loans stood at 59%/11%/30% of its total loan portfolio.
Within the construction finance segment, PNBHF caters to the lower-risk end of the
spectrum in terms of quality of the developer and the project. This is evident from
the incremental yields of <12%, which is lower than what other HFCs make on their
construction finance portfolio.
28 September 2017
9

PNB Housing Finance
Exhibit 10: Loan mix trend over FY13-17 (%)
Individual loans
3
33
21
6
65
2
3
CF
4
LAP
NRP
3
44
LRD
4
17
11
59
CF , 11%
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
Source: MOSL, Company
Source: MOSL, Company
CTL
Exhibit 11: Loan mix with break-up of non-housing loans
Corp term
loan, 5%
LRD, 6%
NRPL, 4%
20
10
62
18
9
61
54
LAP, 16%
Home loan,
59%
Around 66% of incremental
loans are sourced in-house
PNBHF has a network of 66 branches across the northern, western and southern
regions, through which it sources loans. In addition to its in-house teams, it has a
large network of DSAs for loan sourcing (largely for LAP). It also has 18 processing
offices and one central support office (CSO). The branches act as the primary point
of sale, assisting with the origination of loans, collection processes, sourcing
deposits and enhancing customer service, while the processing hubs and zonal
offices provide support functions such as loan processing, credit appraisal and
monitoring. The CSO supervises operations nationally.
Within its peer group, PNBHF has a relatively low share of retail home loans (59% as
of FY17). It also has a high proportion of loans to self-employed customers, similar
to peers like Repco Home Finance, GRUH Finance and DHFL.
Exhibit 12: Share of retail home loans in total loan book (FY17, %)
80
55
59
66
69
81
84
88
The company has a lower
share of retail home loans
compared to peers
IHFL
PNBHF
DHFL
HDFC
REPCO
GRUH
LICHF
Can Fin
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 13: Customer segment mix (%)
Loans to
corporates
20
Salaried
41
Self Employed
39
Source: MOSL, Company
28 September 2017
10

PNB Housing Finance
Ticket size at INR3.2m for
retail home loans is higher
than competitors
PNBHF has the highest average ticket size of INR3.2m in retail home loans in its peer
group.
Exhibit 14: Average ticket size (INR m, FY17)
3.2
2.5
1.4
1.7
2.1
2.5
0.8
1.2
GRUH
Repco
DHFL
Can Fin
LICHF
HDFC
IHFL
PNBHF
Source: MOSL, Company
28 September 2017
11

PNB Housing Finance
Factor in stable margins
Diversified liability profile – an added advantage
Among all the companies under our coverage, PNBHF has the one of the most
diversified liability profiles. We attribute this to its strong parentage and credit rating.
The company has a healthy mix of retail and wholesale borrowings. Over FY14-17,
PNBHF reduced the share of bank borrowings from 30%+ to 7%. At the same time, it
started accessing the CP market, which now accounts for 12% of total borrowings.
PNBHF is the second largest HFC in terms of public deposits, which account for 28% of
total borrowings. However, more than half of its deposits come from non-retail
sources.
Over the past four years,
the company significantly
diversified its liability mix,
maintaining stable margins
despite yield pressure
Strong liability franchise makes PNBHF a ‘low-cost producer’
One of PNBHF’s biggest strengths is its well-diversified liability franchise, which
makes its cost of funds competitive versus the largest players in the industry. The
company significantly reduced the share of bank borrowings from 34% in FY14 to 7%
in FY17. It is a deposit-accepting HFC, with deposits comprising ~30% of its total
borrowings. However, ~35% of its deposits come from the top 20 accounts. With the
reduction in the share of bank borrowings and the corresponding increase in the
share of market borrowings, the company has managed to reduce its cost of funds
significantly.
Exhibit 15: Significant reduction in share of bank borrowings (%)
NCDs
11
40
9
40
FY12
CPs
13
40
15
31
FY13
Deposits
10
40
16
34
FY14
ECB & Others
11
21
28
10
27
FY15
36
FY16
41
FY17
Banks
8
7
27
19
NHB
8
7
28
12
Source: Company, MOSL
PNBHF has the lowest share
of bank borrowings versus
peers, which gives it an
edge on cost of funds
Exhibit 16: Share of bank borrowings versus peers (FY17, %)
63
42
37
33
19
13
9
7
PNBHF
REPCO
DHFL
IHFL
GRUH
Can Fin
HDFC
LICHF
Source: Company, MOSL
28 September 2017
12

PNB Housing Finance
Exhibit 17: Both yields and CoF trending lower
Yield (%)
Cost of borrowings (%)
Exhibit 18: NIM has ranged close to 3%
Net Interest Margin (%)
11.6
9.3
FY14
11.7
9.4
FY15
3.10
11.3
9.1
FY16
10.8
8.6
FY17
2.93
FY14
FY15
FY16
2.98
2.97
FY17
Source: MOSL, Company
Source: MOSL, Company
PNBHF lies in the middle of the range in terms of spreads vis-à-vis competitors.
Exhibit 19: Spread v/s peers – FY17 (%)
3.61
3.05
3.00
2.52
2.30
2.21
1.67
Exhibit 20: Margins v/s peers – FY17 (%)
4.41
4.33
4.27
3.37
3.02
2.97
2.61
GRUH
IHFL
REPCO
HDFC
DHFL
PNBHF
LICHF
REPCO
IHFL
GRUH
HDFC
DHFL
PNBHF
LICHF
Source: MOSL, Company
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 21: Trend in margins (%)
2.95
FY13
2.74
FY14
2.74
FY15
2.91
FY16
2.82
FY17
2.91
FY18E
2.79
FY19E
2.76
FY20E
Source: MOSL, Company
28 September 2017
13

PNB Housing Finance
Operating leverage benefits to play out gradually
Over 20bp benefit in expense ratio expected over FY17-20
Over the tenure of the business restructuring program, operating expenses remained
elevated as PNBHF incurred several set-up costs, especially on the technology front.
The benefits of the hub-and-spoke model have started to accrue, as is being driven
largely by addition of spokes, with growth in the number of hubs slowing down.
While the expense ratio declined from 120bp in FY15 to 98bp in FY17, we expect it to
fall further to 75bp by FY20, largely driven by operating leverage benefits.
Loan acquisition cost is the
key component of opex,
amounting to 25% of total
opex in FY17
High opex driven by loan acquisition costs
Over FY12-16, PNBHF incurred an opex CAGR of 65%, largely in line with the loan
book CAGR. The company had invested significantly in setting up the front-end and
back-end infrastructure. It also deployed 55 people and incurred INR550m in IT costs
over the past few years. The company still has a long way to go in terms of efficiency
improvement. The cost-to-income ratio (calculated) is elevated at 28%, higher than
most peers. The key component of opex has been loan acquisition cost, which
accounted for 25% of the company’s total opex in FY17.
However, the company has been focusing on curbing other operating expenses and
improving branch productivity. This is evident from the fact that growth in opex,
excluding advertising and loan acquisition, has slowed down meaningfully over the
past two years. In addition, branch productivity has improved, with AUM/branch
doubling from INR3.3b in FY14 to INR6.6b in FY17. Due to this, there has been some
improvement in the expense and C/I ratios over the past few years. We expect
PNBHF to continue improving its cost structure as the benefits of operating leverage
kick in with strong growth.
Exhibit 22: Advertising and loan acquisition cost trend
Growth (%)
Advertising costs (INR m)
903
Exhibit 23: Trend in other opex
Other Opex (INR m)
71
58
65
Growth (%)
497
308
190
9
23
22
71
55
FY14
118
29
219
231
315
FY16
FY17
FY12
539
FY13
849
FY14
1404
FY15
1805
FY16
35
2439
FY17
FY12
FY13
FY15
Source: MOSL, Company
Source: MOSL, Company; Other opex includes total opex less
advertising and loan acquisition expenses
28 September 2017
14

PNB Housing Finance
Cost structure elevated
compared to most peers
Exhibit 24: Cost-to-income ratio (calculated, FY17) is elevated compared to peers
26.5
28.3
10.5
13.3
15.9
16.5
16.9
HDFC
IHFL
LICHF
GRUH
Repco
DHFL
PNBHF
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 25: Cost-to-income ratio (calculated) to continue to decline
1.1
1.0
Cost to income (%)
1.2
1.0
Cost to assets (%)
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.8
23.7
FY12
30.9
FY13
34.3
FY14
35.5
FY15
30.0
FY16
28.3
FY17
24.7
FY18E
23.3
FY19E
22.0
FY20E
Source: MOSL, Company
28 September 2017
15

PNB Housing Finance
Pristine asset quality, Returns ratios to improve
RoE to reach 19% by FY20
Despite strong growth witnessed in the past five years, PNBHF has not been faced
with any asset quality issues.
The strength of its underwriting practices is evident from the fact that its GNPL in the
corporate segment is nil. The company prefers to sacrifice yield (its incremental yield
in the project finance segments is ~12%), but does not compromise on asset quality.
While we expect the GNPL ratio to inch up marginally as the loan book seasons, we
believe it will not have any material impact on the financials.
We expect strong loan growth, stable margins/asset quality and operating leverage
benefits to drive an improvement in the return ratios. We forecast 40% PAT CAGR over
FY17-20, with RoA/RoE of 1.5%/19% in FY20.
With GNPA of 0.4% on a
two-year lag basis, PNBHF’s
asset quality is best-in-class
Asset quality pristine; credit costs low
With the implementation of the business restructuring program, PNBHF has
delivered superior loan growth relative to peers. Yet, it has not compromised on the
underwriting standards. As a result, with a stable GNPA of 0.2% (FY17), its asset
quality is best-in-class and comparable with private sector peers. However, since the
portfolio has grown at a robust pace over the past few years, there could be a
modest rise in delinquencies as the loan book seasons.
Exhibit 26: Pristine asset quality
GNPL (%)
0.56
GNPL - 2-year lag (%)
0.51
0.32
0.20
0.22
0.22
0.57
0.51
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 27: GNPA as of FY17 (%) – Best-in-class asset quality
2.60
0.79
0.22
PNBHF
0.31
GRUH
0.43
0.85
0.94
LICHF
HDFC
IHFL
DHFL
Repco
Source: MOSL, Company
28 September 2017
16

PNB Housing Finance
Exhibit 28: FY17 credit costs – comparison v/s peers
0.95
0.62
0.31
0.21
0.22
0.26
0.28
LICHF
HDFC
GRUH
DHFL
PNBHF
Repco
IHFL
Source: MOSL, Company
Reduction in expense ratio
to drive improvement in
return ratios
Triggers in place for improving return ratios
Over FY13-16, PNBHF generated consistent RoA of 1.3-1.5% and RoE of 16-18%. In
FY17, however, RoE declined to 14% due to large capital infusion. With the benefits
of operating leverage kicking in, coupled with higher financial leverage, we expect
RoE to return to pre-IPO levels in the next 2-3 years. We forecast RoA/RoE of
1.5%/19% by FY20. Given the strong growth outlook, we believe the company would
look to raise capital in FY19 or FY20. However, our estimates do not include the
impact of any capital raise.
Exhibit 29: AUM growth to continue remaining strong over the medium term
AUM (INRb)
68
60
59
62
42
47
38
34
Growth (%)
39
FY12
66
FY13
106
FY14
168
FY15
272
FY16
385
FY17
567
FY18E
781
FY19E
1,046
FY20E
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 30: Margins to remain stable (%)
2.95
2.74
2.74
2.91
2.82
2.91
2.79
2.76
Exhibit 31: Opex benefits to accrue
Cost to income (%)
1.1
1.0
1.2
1.0
1.0
Cost to assets (%)
0.9
0.8
0.7
30.9
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18E FY19E FY20E
Source: MOSL, Company
FY13
34.3
FY14
35.5
FY15
30.0
FY16
28.3
FY17
24.7
23.3
22.0
FY18E FY19E FY20E
Source: MOSL, Company
28 September 2017
17

PNB Housing Finance
Exhibit 32: Return ratios poised to pick up
RoA (%)
18.2
16.7
15.4
17.6
13.8
13.8
40
20
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.5
0.9
1.3
1.9
3.3
5.2
8.0
10.8
14.4
RoE (%)
16.6
50
19.2
Exhibit 33: 40% PAT CAGR over FY17-20E
Net Profit (INR b)
69
60
Growth (%)
52
35
34
Source: MOSL, Company
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 34: DuPont Analysis
Interest Income
Interest Expended
Net Interest Income
Other Income
Net Income
Operating Expenses
Operating Profit
Provisions/write offs
PBT
Tax
Reported PAT
Leverage
RoE
2013
10.50
7.64
2.86
0.52
3.38
1.04
2.34
0.21
2.13
0.59
1.54
11.88
18.24
2014
11.00
8.35
2.65
0.67
3.32
1.14
2.18
0.32
1.86
0.51
1.35
12.37
16.71
2015
10.93
8.28
2.66
0.72
3.37
1.20
2.18
0.25
1.93
0.66
1.27
12.16
15.45
2016
10.46
7.64
2.82
0.63
3.45
1.04
2.41
0.34
2.07
0.73
1.35
13.07
17.58
2017
10.03
7.29
2.75
0.74
3.48
0.98
2.50
0.28
2.22
0.77
1.44
9.54
13.78
2018E
9.41
6.57
2.83
0.81
3.64
0.90
2.74
0.40
2.34
0.82
1.52
9.08
13.81
2019E
9.41
6.69
2.72
0.73
3.44
0.80
2.64
0.37
2.27
0.79
1.48
11.22
16.56
2020E
9.49
6.80
2.69
0.70
3.38
0.75
2.64
0.37
2.27
0.79
1.47
13.06
19.22
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 35: DuPont Analysis (FY16) – Higher cost structure a drag on profitability
Interest Income
Interest Expended
Net Interest Income
Non interest Income
Net Income
Operating Expenses
Cost to income (%)
Operating Profits
Provisions/write offs
PBT
Tax
Tax rate
PAT
Leverage
RoE
PNBHF
10.03
7.29
2.75
0.74
3.48
0.98
28.26
2.50
0.28
2.22
0.77
34.86
1.44
9.54
13.78
IHFL
12.28
7.57
4.71
1.54
6.25
0.90
14.35
5.35
0.90
4.45
1.02
22.88
3.44
7.42
25.50
GRUH
11.91
7.61
4.31
0.39
4.69
0.77
16.48
3.92
0.27
3.65
1.20
32.91
2.45
13.24
32.46
LICHFC
10.79
7.96
2.84
0.16
2.99
0.48
15.89
2.52
0.22
2.30
0.80
34.67
1.50
12.95
19.45
Repco
12.07
7.69
4.38
0.38
4.76
0.80
16.91
3.95
0.62
3.33
1.17
34.95
2.17
8.03
17.42
DHFL
HDFC
10.51
9.87
8.57
6.69
1.94
3.18
0.90
0.61
2.84
3.79
0.75
0.43
26.47
11.30
2.09
3.36
0.28
0.14
1.81
3.23
0.61
1.05
14.10
32.56
1.19
2.18
12.03
8.82
14.37
21.00
Source: MOSL, Company
28 September 2017
18

PNB Housing Finance
Asset-liability management
The company is conservative in maintaining its ALM, with assets exceeding liabilities
comfortably in its 0-3 year bucket. This would help the company maintain
operations smoothly in times of liquidity tightening.
Conservative ALM
Exhibit 36: Maturity pattern of assets and liabilities (INR b)
Assets
137
114
129
92
63
90
90
46
Liabilities
< 1 year
1-3 years
3-5 years
> 5 years
Source: MOSL, Company
28 September 2017
19

PNB Housing Finance
SWOT analysis
Presence in high-growth business segments, with
lower asset quality risk
Highly scalable hub-and-spoke business model.
Strong technology platform
Best-in-class liability franchise with minimal
dependence on bank borrowings
Strength
Dependence of DSAs, although reducing, is still high
Cost structure higher than peers
Weaknesses
Operates in underpenetrated business segments
with huge growth potential
With implementation of GST and RERA, there could
be a shift to more formal sources of financing
Opportunities
High share of corporate loan exposure
Intense competition in the retail home loan segment
causing severe yield pressure
Threats
28 September 2017
20

PNB Housing Finance
Bull & Bear case
Bull Case
In our bull case, we assume strong AUM CAGR of 41% (v/s base case of 37%).
We believe the CF and LAP segments could surprise on the upside.
We expect margins to increase modestly to 3%.
We expect significant cost control, with cost-to-income ratio declining to 19% by
FY20 (v/s 22% in base case).
Asset quality would be slightly better with GNPA of 0.4% by FY20 (v/s 0.5% in
base case).
This results in PAT CAGR of 50% (vs. 40% in base case) over FY17-20, with
RoA/RoE in FY20 equal to 1.7%/23%.
Based on the above assumptions, our bull case target multiple is 5x FY19 BV,
implying an upside of 52%.
Bear Case
In our bear case, we assume AUM CAGR of 27% (vs. base case of 37%).
Slowdown in the non-core segments could lead to such a scenario.
We expect margins to remain stable at 2.8%.
We expect no cost control, with cost-to-income ratio remaining largely stable at
~27-28% over FY17-20 (v/s 22% by FY20 in base case).
Asset quality would worsen, with GNPA of 1.2% by FY20 (v/s 0.5% in base case).
This results in PAT CAGR of 27% (vs. 40% in base case) over FY17-20, with
RoA/RoE in FY20 equal to 1.3%/15%.
Based on the above assumptions, our bear case target multiple is 3x FY19E BV,
implying a downside of 14%.
Exhibit 37: Scenario Analysis – Bull Case
Bull Case
NII
Opex
Provisions
PBT
PAT
NIM (%)
Cost to assets (%)
RoA (%)
RoE (%)
EPS
BV
Target multiple
Target price (INR)
Upside
FY18E
15,281
4,715
1,934
12,987
8,441
3.0
0.9
1.6
14.6
51
370
5
2,152
52%
Source: Company, MOSL
FY19E
22,074
5,737
2,476
19,519
12,687
3.0
0.8
1.7
19.1
77
430
FY20E
30,261
6,982
3,473
27,233
17,702
2.9
0.7
1.7
22.6
107
515
Exhibit 38: Scenario Analysis – Bear Case
Bear Case
NII
Opex
Provisions
PBT
PAT
NIM (%)
Cost to assets (%)
RoA (%)
RoE (%)
EPS
BV
Target multiple
Target price (INR)
Upside
FY17E
14,140
4,715
2,271
11,007
7,155
2.9
0.9
1.4
12.5
43
364
3
1,215
-14%
Source: Company, MOSL
FY18E
17,652
6,033
2,987
13,284
8,635
2.8
0.9
1.3
13.6
52
405
FY19E
22,097
7,725
3,781
16,339
10,620
2.8
0.9
1.3
14.9
64
456
28 September 2017
21

PNB Housing Finance
Valuation and view
Superior execution + Strong growth + Healthy return ratio = Premium
Valuations
Over the past six years, PNBHF has scripted an enviable turnaround, positioning itself
to become the fifth largest player in the HFC segment. Strong underwriting and
execution skills have ensured that growth has not come at the cost of asset quality.
The company has been able to offset the pressure on yields and high opex with
superior liability management and asset mix.
Strong loan growth, stable margins and moderating expense ratio should drive 40%
PAT CAGR over FY17-20. RoE is expected to improve from 13.6% in FY17 to 19% in
FY20.
Stock trades at 3.4x FY19E P/B and 21.7x FY19E P/E. With strong macro factors
supporting and geographical diversification, we expect strong AUM CAGR of 40% over
FY17-20. Strong operating leverage will negate the expected rise in credit cost. Overall
we expect stable ROAs and improving RoEs will rising financial leverage. Superior
execution, strong EPS growth and healthy return ratios/asset quality will ensure
premium valuations to sustain. We thus initiate coverage on the company with a Buy
rating and a target price of INR1,675 (22x Sep 2019E EPS), implying 3.7x Sep2019E
BVPS.
Over the past six years, PNBHF has scripted an enviable turnaround. The company
has registered strong loan growth across segments. Loan book CAGR over FY12-17
was 60%, driven by increased market penetration and expansion into new
territories. Consequently, its market share increased from ~0.5% to 2%+ over the
same time period, making it the fifth largest HFC in India.
Strong growth, diversified
liability franchise and best-
in-class asset quality are
some of the key strengths
of the company
With a diversified liability franchise and minimal dependence on bank borrowings,
the company has been able to offset intense yield pressure and maintain spreads.
Over the past few years, the company has invested significantly in upgrading its
technology. In addition, the company uses a unique hub-and-spoke model, with
which it will be able to deliver strong loan growth with lower opex growth. As a
result, we expect operating leverage benefits to accrue over the medium term. We
expect opex/average assets to decline from 98bp in FY17 to 75bp in FY20.
PNBHF has best-in-class asset quality with GNPL ratio of 0.2% in FY17 (0.5% on a 2-
year lag basis). It has the distinction of being the only HFC with nil NPL in the
construction finance book. Additionally, 88% of projects funded by the company
have witnessed sales velocity in excess of the company’s assumptions.
Strong loan growth, stable margins and moderating expense ratio should drive 40%
PAT CAGR over FY17-20, in our view. RoE is expected to improve from 13.6% in FY17
to 19% in FY20. While the stock trades at a premium valuation of 3.4x FY19E P/B and
21.7x FY19E P/E, we believe this is justified, given its strong earnings growth over
the foreseeable future. We use RI model to value to company, with Rf of 7%, CoE of
13.5% and terminal growth rate of 5%. We initiate coverage with a Buy rating,
valuing the stock at INR1,675 (22x Sep 2019E EPS), implying 3.7x Sep2019E BVPS.
28 September 2017
22

PNB Housing Finance
Exhibit 39: PNBHF P/B chart
P/B (x)
Min (x)
4.4
3.8
3.2
2.6
2.0
Avg (x)
+1SD
4.2
4.1
3.4
2.7
2.3
Max (x)
-1SD
Exhibit 40: HDFC P/B chart
P/B (x)
8.0
6.5
Min (x)
Avg (x)
+1SD
Max (x)
-1SD
6.4
3.7
5.0
3.5
2.0
4.0
5.5
4.8
5.8
2.4
Source: MOSL, Company
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 41: IHFL P/B chart
P/B (x)
Min (x)
4.5
3.5
2.5
1.5
0.5
3.0
2.3
1.6
1.0
Avg (x)
+1SD
3.7
Max (x)
-1SD
Exhibit 42: DHFL P/B chart
P/B (x)
Min (x)
3.0
2.3
1.5
0.8
0.0
1.5
1.1
0.7
Avg (x)
+1SD
Max (x)
-1SD
2.8
3.7
2.0
0.3
Source: MOSL, Company
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 43: GRUH P/B chart
P/B (x)
Min (x)
16.0
12.0
8.0
4.0
0.0
6.3
2.6
1.1
9.9
Avg (x)
+1SD
Max (x)
-1SD
14.8
Exhibit 44: Repco P/B chart
P/B (x)
Min (x)
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
1.4
3.3
2.4
Avg (x)
+1SD
4.6
4.1
Max (x)
-1SD
14.8
2.8
Source: MOSL, Company
Source: MOSL, Company
28 September 2017
23

PNB Housing Finance
Key risks
Increasing share of commercial real estate exposure
As per disclosures in the FY17 Annual Report, the exposure to commercial real
estate increased multi-fold from INR46b in FY16 to INR114b in FY17. However, as
per management, this is due to reclassification of construction finance from
residential exposure in FY16 to commercial exposure in FY17. Yet, we believe that
this could pose asset quality issues in the future, especially if the commercial real
estate environment remains subdued.
Operating leverage may not play out with network expansion
Currently, PNBHF operates in the larger towns and cities. However, as it migrates
more into semi-urban areas, the average ticket size is expected to decline. As a
result, to maintain growth, volumes will have to be stronger and in order to support
volumes, there would have to be more investments. Hence, it is possible that
operating leverage does not play out.
Strong AUM growth – Portfolio seasoning a key risk
The company enjoys a superior GNPL ratio of 0.4%. However, one of the reasons for
this is that the portfolio is not fully seasoned. Also, some project loans could be in
the moratorium period. With further seasoning of the loan book, there is a
possibility that the GNPL ratio increases.
Higher share of bulk deposits in Public deposits
The top 20 depositors constitute 35% of the company’s total deposits, implying a
large share of chunky deposits. In addition, deposits are a significant source of
borrowings for the company, constituting 25% of total borrowings. Any contraction
in liquidity in the system could hamper PNBHF’s ability to raise money from
deposits, and thus, impact growth.
28 September 2017
24

PNB Housing Finance
Company Background
PNBHF is the fifth largest housing finance company (HFC) in India in terms of loan
book size (INR468b as of June 2017). It has a diverse product suite offering retail
home loans, loans against property (LAP), corporate term loans, non-residential
property loans, construction finance, and lease rental discounting (LRD). It conducts
operations from a network of 66 branches and 18 processing units. PNBHF was
incorporated in 1988 as a subsidiary of Punjab National Bank (PNB). In 2009, PNB
sold 26% stake to Destimoney Enterprises (now a Carlyle Group entity). In 2012,
Destimoney Enterprises increased its stake to 49%.
Management details
Mr Sunil Mehta – Non-Executive Chairman
Mr Sunil Mehta is the MD & CEO of Punjab National Bank. He is a seasoned banker
with over 35 years of rich experience in various administrative and functional
capacities at branches, zonal offices and also at the head office level. Prior to
assuming the position of MD & CEO of Punjab National Bank, he was Executive
Director of Corporation Bank. He is a Post Graduate in Agriculture, MBA in Finance
and a Certified Associate of Indian Institute of Bankers (CAIIB).
Mr Sanjaya Gupta - Managing Director
Mr Gupta joined the company in 2010 as Managing Director. Previously, he served
as the Country Head and CEO of the Prospective Mortgage Guaranty Business in
India at AIG United Guaranty; as the National Product Head, Mortgages - Consumer
Banking at ABN Amro Bank NV; and as the VP Mortgages at ABN AMRO Central
Enterprise Services Private Limited. Mr Gupta worked for 16 years with HDFC Ltd. He
holds a BCom and an MBA from Lucknow University.
Mr Jayesh Jain - Chief Financial Officer
Mr Jain has been with PNBHF since August 2014. He holds a BCom and is a CA. He is
a Fellow Member of the ICAI, and a Certified Information Systems Auditor and a
Certified Information Security Manager from the Information Systems Audit and
Control Association, USA. Previously, he served as the CFO of GRUH Finance Limited
and has over 15 years of experience in the housing finance industry.
Mr Shaji Varghese – Executive Director, Business Development
Mr Varghese has been with PNBHF since February 2012. He has more than 17 years
of experience in retail assets, liabilities and wealth management. Prior to joining
PNBHF, he was Senior VP at IndusInd Bank. He holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Law
from the Bharati Vidyapeeth New Law College, University of Pune. He also holds a
Diploma in Business Management from the Bharati Institute of Management,
University of Pune. He holds a Master’s Degree in Management Science from the
University of Pune.
28 September 2017
25

PNB Housing Finance
Financials and valuations
Income statement
Y/E March
Interest Income
Interest Expended
Net Interest Income
Change (%)
Other Operating Income
Net Income
Change (%)
Operating Expenses
Operating Income
Change (%)
Provisions/write offs
PBT
Tax
Tax Rate (%)
Reported PAT
Change (%)
Proposed Dividend
2013
6,346
4,620
1,727
33.7
317
2,044
39.4
631
1,412
26.2
125
1,287
359
28
928
19.9
120
2014
10,559
8,016
2,543
47.3
644
3,187
56.0
1,093
2,094
48.3
304
1,790
493
28
1,297
39.7
176
2015
16,708
12,648
4,060
59.6
1,095
5,155
61.8
1,830
3,326
58.8
381
2,945
1,004
34
1,941
49.6
290
2016
25,461
18,603
6,858
68.9
1,534
8,393
62.8
2,521
5,872
76.6
832
5,040
1,766
35
3,273
68.7
486
2017
36,401
26,437
9,964
45.3
2,678
12,642
50.6
3,573
9,069
54.5
1,029
8,040
2,803
35
5,237
60.0
1,196
2018E
49,305
34,456
14,848
49.0
4,225
19,073
50.9
4,715
14,358
58.3
2,096
12,263
4,292
35
7,971
52.2
1,664
(INR Million)
2019E
2020E
68,804
93,066
48,942
66,703
19,863
26,363
33.8
32.7
5,302
6,827
25,165
33,190
31.9
31.9
5,872
7,316
19,292
25,874
34.4
34.1
2,697
3,654
16,595
22,220
5,808
7,777
35
35
10,787
14,443
35.3
33.9
2,252
3,016
(INR Million)
2019E
2020E
1,656
1,656
67,762
79,189
69,418
80,845
739,281
993,274
739,281
993,274
39.0
34.4
34,360
44,669
843,059 1,118,788
781,481 1,045,552
37.8
33.8
39,683
43,651
10.0
10.0
635
651
21,261
28,934
843,059 1,118,788
Balance sheet
Y/E March
Capital
Reserves & Surplus
Net Worth
Borrowings
Borrowings
Change (%)
Other liabilities
Total Liabilities
Loans
Change (%)
Investments
Change (%)
Net Fixed Assets
Other assets
Total Assets
E: MOSL Estimates
2013
500
5,680
6,180
45,954
66,954
73.5
3,417
76,551
66,008
67.2
7,769
105.4
177
2,596
76,551
2014
657
8,684
9,341
66,577
101,077
51.0
4,978
115,396
105,660
60.1
6,455
-16.9
288
2,993
115,396
2015
1,038
14,749
15,787
104,158
164,808
63.1
9,695
190,290
168,006
59.0
15,860
145.7
577
5,847
190,290
2016
1,269
20,190
21,459
116,087
260,137
57.8
14,809
296,405
271,813
61.8
16,223
2.3
622
7,747
296,405
2017
1,656
52,921
54,577
165,561
354,971
36.5
19,579
429,127
385,452
41.8
32,796
102.2
604
10,275
429,127
2018E
1,656
59,227
60,883
531,929
531,929
49.9
26,431
619,243
567,088
47.1
36,075
10.0
619
15,460
619,243
28 September 2017
26

PNB Housing Finance
Financials and valuations
Ratios
Y/E March
Spreads Analysis (%)
Avg yield on loans
Avg. cost of funds
Interest Spread
Net Interest Margin
Profitability Ratios (%)
RoE
RoA
Int. Expended/Int.Earned
Other Inc./Net Income
Efficiency Ratios (%)
Op. Exps./Net Income
Empl. Cost/Op. Exps.
Asset Quality (%)
Gross NPAs
Gross NPAs to Adv.
Net NPAs
Net NPAs to Adv.
VALUATION
Book Value (INR)
Price-BV (x)
EPS (INR)
EPS Growth YoY
Price-Earnings (x)
Dividend per share (INR)
Dividend yield (%)
E: MOSL Estimates
2013
11.5
8.8
2.1
3.0
2014
11.7
9.5
1.8
2.7
2015
11.7
9.5
1.8
2.7
2016
11.2
8.8
2.0
2.9
2017
10.6
8.6
1.7
2.8
2018E
9.9
7.8
1.9
2.9
2019E
9.8
7.7
2.0
2.8
2020E
9.8
7.7
2.0
2.8
18.2
1.54
72.8
15.5
16.7
1.35
75.9
20.2
15.4
1.27
75.7
21.2
17.6
1.35
73.1
18.3
13.8
1.44
72.6
21.2
13.8
1.52
69.9
22.2
16.6
1.48
71.1
21.1
19.2
1.47
71.7
20.6
30.9
40.3
34.3
37.0
35.5
36.6
30.0
29.9
28.3
28.3
24.7
27.5
23.3
27.6
22.0
27.7
371
0.6
0
0.0
337
0.3
164
0.2
341
0.2
114
0.1
598
0.2
381
0.1
858
0.2
590
0.2
1,821
0.3
1,184
0.2
3,239
0.4
2,105
0.3
5,193
0.5
3,375
0.3
123.6
18.6
-28.1
2.5
142.2
19.7
6.4
3.0
152.0
18.7
-5.3
3.0
169.1
25.8
38.0
3.4
329.5
4.3
31.6
22.6
44.7
6.0
0.4
367.6
3.8
48.1
52.2
29.3
8.7
0.6
419.1
3.4
65.1
35.3
21.7
11.7
0.8
488.1
2.9
87.2
33.9
16.2
15.7
1.1
28 September 2017
27

REPORT GALLERY
RECENT INITIATING COVERAGE REPORTS
Rs

PNB Housing Finance
NOTES
28 September 2017
29

Disclosures:
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PNB Housing Finance
NOTES
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Analyst ownership of the stock
PNB Housing Finance
No
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28 September 2017
30