5 August 2020
Annual Report Update | Sector: Capital Goods
Blue Star
BSE SENSEX
37,688
S&P CNX
11,102
CMP: INR481
TP: INR460 (-5%)
Neutral
Focus on working capital management remains key
Blue Star’s (BLSTR) FY20 Annual Report highlights the company’s focus on
improving working capital, enhancing manufacturing facilities, deepening its
reach, consolidating global presence in key markets like the Middle East, and
increasing R&D/ad-spends. Key insights highlighted below:
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Stock Info
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
12M Avg Val (INR M)
Financials Snapshot (INR b)
Y/E Mar
2020 2021E
Sales
53.6
45.0
EBITDA
2.8
1.9
PAT
1.5
0.6
EBITDA (%)
5.3
4.3
EPS (INR)
15.3
6.7
EPS Gr. (%)
-21.4
-56.2
BV/Sh. (INR)
81.2
83.9
Ratios
Net D/E
0.2
0.1
RoE (%)
18.8
8.0
RoCE (%)
13.6
6.9
Payout (%)
156.2
60.0
Valuations
P/E (x)
31.8
72.6
P/BV (x)
6.0
5.8
EV/EBITDA (x)
17.1
24.8
Div Yield (%)
4.1
0.8
FCF Yield (%)
8.0
2.5
BLSTR IN
96
46.6 / 0.6
887 / 425
-8/-32/-29
56
2022E
57.5
3.4
1.8
6.0
18.7
179.7
91.4
0.1
20.5
14.7
60.0
25.9
5.3
13.8
2.3
2.2
Focus on working capital reduction leads to healthy FCF:
BLSTR was
successful in reducing its working capital (WC) cycle in FY20. As % of sales,
WC stood at 6.2% in F20 (v/s 10.6% in FY19) due to debtor days declining to
57 days in FY20 (v/s 78 days in FY19). Free cash flow (FCF) generated stood
at INR3.7b in FY20, implying FCF/EBITDA of 131% and FCF/Adj. PAT of 252%.
Over FY14-20, FCF generation stood strong at INR8.9b, implying 100%
FCF/Adj. PAT.
Consolidating global presence:
BLSTR’s products are exported to 18
countries across the Middle East, Africa, SAARC and ASEAN regions.
Revenues from abroad doubled to INR5.2b in FY20 (v/s INR2.6b in FY15).
Also, share of revenue from abroad now constitutes ~10% of the company’s
total revenue (v/s 8.4% in FY14). Due to temperatures in the Middle East
going up to 60°C, BLSTR with its range of cooling solutions has a plethora of
opportunities in the region. Hence, the company has expanded its
operations by starting a new office and inaugurating its first state-of-the-art
flagship showroom in Dubai.
Enhancing manufacturing capabilities:
To reduce dependence on imports
from China, BLSTR has invested to expand its range of plastic-molding tools
and hard-formed tools. This would enable backward integration for the
company. Also, BLSTR has made significant upgrades to its Wada facility (it
has added heater-less vaporizer machine and a
Fanuc
robot), which has led
to cost savings and improvement in productivity.
Focus on Research and Development (R&D):
In FY20, BLSTR continued to
enhance its R&D activities with 35% YoY increase in spends to INR685m.
R&D spends now form 1.3% of sales, up from 1% in FY19. BLSTR has already
developed a 3-star inverter split AC complying to the 2021 BEE energy-
efficiency norms, with an ISEER of 3.90.
Increasing ad-spends:
Despite the muted 2.4% YoY revenue growth in FY20,
advertisement expenses increased by 52% YoY as BLSTR signed on cricketer
Mr. Virat Kohli as a brand ambassador for its range of Air conditioners (ACs).
Ad-spends, sales incentives and promotions together formed 2.8% of FY20
sales, up from 2.3% in FY19.
Rising distribution reach:
BLSTR has added ~720 channel partners in FY20,
one of its highest additions since FY15. Total channel partners stood at
~3,880 at end-FY20 (v/s ~2,000 in FY14). This indicates the company’s
deeper presence across various markets. BLSTR has expanded its retail
distribution reach for room air conditioners (RAC) and added ~508 retailers
and distributors across India, thereby increasing its presence in Tier 2/3
markets by 10% YoY.
Nilesh Bhaiya – Research Analyst
(Nilesh.Bhaiya@MotilalOswal.com)
Pratik Singh – Research Analyst
(Pratik.Singh@MotilalOswal.com)
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Shareholding pattern (%)
As On
Jun-20 Mar-20 Jun-19
Promoter
38.8
38.8
38.8
DII
23.0
22.8
19.5
FII
8.8
8.8
10.9
Others
29.5
29.6
30.8
FII Includes depository receipts
Stock Performance (1-year)
FY20 performance highlights:
FY20 revenue grew 2.4% YoY while Adj. PAT
declined 21.4% YoY. The company reported 18.4% decline at EBITDA level. The
company is maintaining high liquidity due to the disruption in operations during
Mar’20. While gross debt has increased by INR1b to INR4.5b, Net debt has
reduced to INR1.6b in FY20 (v/s INR2.4b YoY).
Key segment highlights (FY20):
(a) EMP & CAS segment – Revenue stood at
INR28.3b, up ~3% YoY. EBIT margin stood at 4.3% (down 120bp YoY). (b) Unitary
Product segment – Revenue stood at INR23b (+1.4% YoY), while EBIT margins
declined 110bp YoY to 7.1%.
Valuation and view:
Over FY20-22E, we expect revenue/EBITDA/PAT to grow
3.6%/10.3%/10.7%. FY21E is expected to be a washout year. However, we note
that margin volatility in the case of BLSTR poses a challenge to our earnings
forecast, thereby leading to sharp earnings downgrade. Our SOTP-based TP
stands at INR460/share and we maintain
Neutral.
We prefer
Voltas
over
BLSTR
to play the underpenetrated AC market in India.
5 August 2020
2
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Story in charts
Exhibit 1: FY20 revenue break-up
PE & IS
4%
Exhibit 2: FY20-22E CAGR estimates by category
6.3%
3.6%
Unitary
products
43%
3.6%
EMP & CAS
53%
1.3%
EMP & CAS
Unitary
products
PE & IS
Total
Exhibit 3: Expect Unitary Products’ revenue CAGR of 6.3%
over FY20-22E
Unitary products revenue (INR b)
YoY (%)
52.9
Exhibit 4: Unitary Products’ margin to scale up by 40bp over
FY20-22E
Unitary products EBIT (INR b)
11.0
8.8
10.3
8.4
8.0
8.2
7.1
5.0
7.5
EBIT margin (%)
23.7
11.6
18.6
26.4
4.6
8.6
1.4
(26.1)
10.8
FY14
13.3
FY15
15.8
FY16
20.0
FY17
20.9
FY18
22.7
FY19
23.0
17.0
26.0
0.9
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.7
1.9
1.6
0.9
2.0
FY20 FY21E FY22E
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
Exhibit 5: EMP & CAS revenue CAGR of 1.3% over FY20-22E
EMP & CAS revenue (INR b)
19.1
10.1
5.7
(2.4)
(1.7)
2.9
(8.0)
16.4
11.5
YoY (%)
Exhibit 6: EMP & CAS margins to bounce back in FY22E
EMP & CAS EBIT (INR b)
5.2
3.8
4.2
3.4
1.5
4.1
5.5
4.3
3.0
4.0
EBIT margin (%)
17.3
17.0
18.8
22.3
23.6
27.5
28.3
26.0
29.0
0.7
0.6
0.8
0.9
1.2
1.2
1.2
0.8
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
5 August 2020
3
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Exhibit 7: Expect revenue CAGR of 3.6% over FY20-22E
Revenue (INR b)
19.4
8.4
0.4
15.5
5.8
12.8
2.4
YoY (%)
27.8
Exhibit 8: EBITDA margin to expand 70bp over FY20-22E
EBITDA (INR b)
5.3
5.7
5.7
5.1
EBITDA margin (%)
6.6
5.3
4.3
3.5
3.4
1.9
6.0
5.1
(16.0)
1.5
29
FY14
32
FY15
38
FY16
44
FY17
46
FY18
52
FY19
54
45 58
FY20 FY21E FY22E
1.7
2.1
2.2
2.7
2.8
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 9: Adj. PAT CAGR expected at 10.7% over FY20-22E,
partly due to reduction in tax rates
Adj. PAT (INR b)
98.8
23.1
22.0
5.5
12.7
35.1
(21.4)
(56.2)
YoY (%)
179.7
Exhibit 10: Return ratios to remain healthy over FY20-22E
after a blip in FY21E
RoE
21.0
RoCE
21.5
18.5
17.4
13.4
16.3
15.6
17.5
18.7
15.3
13.8
13.6
8.0
6.9
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
Source: MOFSL, Company
14.7
18.8
20.5
16.2
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.2
1.4
1.9
1.5
0.6
1.8
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
Source: MOFSL, Company
5 August 2020
4
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Management discussion and analysis – Key takeaways
#1: Consolidating global presence
BLSTR has continued its steady growth in global markets. Its products are
exported to 18 countries spread across the Middle East, Africa, SAARC and
ASEAN regions. BLSTR’s 100% subsidiary, Blue Star International FZCO,
headquartered at Dubai Airport (Free Zone), manages its international business
as well as joint ventures (JVs), which focus on HVAC&R, in addition to MEP
projects for residential, commercial and industrial segments.
Blue Star International FZCO handles export of air conditioning and commercial
refrigeration products. It also manages the Original Equipment Manufacturing
(OEM) / Original Design Manufacturing (ODM) businesses for globally
recognized brands such as Danfoss and Rheem.
To expand its operations in the Middle East, BLSTR started a new office and
inaugurated its first state-of-the-art flagship showroom in Dubai. The Middle
East has always been a promising market for BLSTR. Due to temperatures in the
region soaring upto 60°C, it augurs well for BLSTR’s range of cooling products.
BLSTR’s overhead unique tank chillers used in commercial/residential space
are in high demand across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) market due to
the high prevailing temperatures in the region.
The company’s eco-friendly
inverter split ACs with zero-ozone depletion R32 refrigerant are also well
accepted in the Maldives and Sri Lankan markets.
In FY20, BLSTR’s some projects under execution include the Qatar University and
other multi-storeyed buildings (Qatar), and the Cyberjaya Hospital, Bukit Jalil
Mall and BB Tower (Malaysia).
Though still a small proportion to overall sales (9.7% in FY20), BLSTR’s revenue
outside India has doubled over FY15-20.
Exhibit 12: Share of revenue (%) outside India has ranged
between ~8-10% over FY14-20
India
Outside India
Exhibit 11: Revenue outside India has doubled over FY15-20,
though growth in FY20 was muted at ~3% YoY
Revenue outside India (INR b)
62.5
YoY (%)
8.4
15.2
3.7
2.5
FY14
2.6
FY15
4.2
FY16
(6.0)
8.1
10.9
8.9
9.7
9.6
9.7
11.4
2.8
91.6
91.9
89.1
91.1
90.3
90.4
90.3
3.9
FY17
4.5
FY18
5.0
FY19
5.2
FY20
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
5 August 2020
5
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Exhibit 13: Construction of the district cooling plant, civil
and MEP works of Qatar University project
Exhibit 14: BLSTR service vehicle/showroom in the UAE
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
#2: Enhancing manufacturing capabilities
BLSTR’s manufacturing footprint spans five state-of-the-art facilities across
Wada, Dadra, Himachal Pradesh and Ahmedabad, which are dedicated to
various product lines.
BLSTR has now embarked on a manufacturing transformation project titled
‘Qualis 2.0’ with a focus on supplier excellence, end-to-end logistics, Industry 4.0
practices and building new-age competencies in people.
As part of its strategic initiatives, the company has invested in expanding its
range of plastic-molding and hard-formed tools. This would enable backward
integration for the company.
BLSTR is in the process of setting up an additional facility to expand its
manufactured commercial refrigeration range of products. To achieve this end,
it is
using some of the latest techniques such as virtual factory simulation, 3D
modeling,
etc., at its existing manufacturing plant in Wada. The same should be
operational by FY22E.
Robotic interventions are being successfully used for automation of sheet
loading and unloading on Amada machine to optimize manpower.
Its Dadra Plant, which boasts of state-of-the-art testing facility, enjoys the
reputation of being one of the top manufacturing facilities in India for high-
quality air conditioning products. The facility manufactures packaged/ducted
split ACs and VRF systems.
BLSTR’s two plants in Himachal Pradesh continue to cater efficiently to the fast
growing markets of RACs and refrigeration products, and had an impressive
performance during FY20. BLSTR continued to unlock enhanced value through
vertical integration with in-house design and manufacture of key components
such as drives, headers and strainers. A new 5mm copper coil line with a new
auto brazing machine was added at the plant to keep pace with emerging trends
in technology and quality upgrades.
5 August 2020
6
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Exhibit 15: Auto panel bender installed in FY19 led to
productivity gains in FY20
Exhibit 16: 5mm fin pressing machine installed at the AC
manufacturing set-up
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
The Wada Plant, which is the company’s largest manufacturing facility in terms
of built-up area, produces a wide range of products such as scroll chillers, screw
chillers, cold room panels, condensers/evaporators for the cold room business
and condensing units for an overseas OEM.
The heater-less vaporiser machine installed at the Wada Plant, which has
replaced the 36kW electrical heater-base vaporiser, has
achieved energy
savings of INR5.1lac per annum with a payback of 14 months.
Exhibit 18 shows a
Fanuc
robot installed at the Wada Plant on the Amada Turret
punching machine for sheet metal ‘Pick and Place’ process. It has a 165kg
payload capacity.
The robot has eliminated human fatigue and increased
machine utilization by 15%.
Exhibit 18:
Fanuc
robot at Wada plant
Exhibit 17: Heater-less vaporizer machine at Wada plant
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
#3: Focus on Research and Development
BLSTR R&D team has over 135 employees, best-in-class infrastructure including
performance test labs, reliability testing facilities, electronics lab, design studio,
high-end workstations for CAD and analysis, amongst others. With many patents
to its credit, including the four won during FY20, the company prides itself on
having one of the best R&D centres in the Indian HVAC industry.
During FY20, Air-Conditioning, Heating and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI)-
certified a configured series of air-cooled VFD screw chillers and inverter series
of scroll chillers were introduced, which have significantly enhanced the
company’s market share in the chiller segment. This comprehensive range of
7
5 August 2020
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
products meets the 3, 4 and 5-star energy efficiency levels as per the voluntary
labeling program launched by BEE.
A complete range of 3/5-star RACs with specific focus on the cost-competitive
Inverter model series was launched in FY20.
The side discharge range of VRF series up to 16 HP was indigenized to ensure
cost competitiveness. This would help BLSTR enhance its market share in the
VRF segment.
Water purifiers with state-of-the-art filtration system and process delivering
alkaline water with added minerals were well accepted in the market, creating a
niche for BLSTR.
Exhibit 20: Ongoing water Ingress Protection (IP) test
Exhibit 19: RACs undergoing endurance testing
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
R&D expenses have been largely range-bound between ~1-1.3% as a % of sales.
In
FY20, R&D expenses increased 35% YoY to INR685m. However, it rose to
just 1.3% of sales (v/s 1% in FY19).
FY20 also saw share of capex led R&D spends inch higher as a proportion of total
spends, with BLSTR investing in new machines and facilities in FY20.
Exhibit 22: FY20 saw increase in share of capex spend (%)
towards R&D
Capex
Opex
Exhibit 21: R&D expenditure increased 35% YoY in FY20
R&D expense (INR m)
1.3
1.1
1.3
1.2
1.2
1.0
% of sales
1.3
77
69
79
77
79
81
67
322
FY14
407
FY15
498
FY16
537
FY17
554
FY18
508
FY19
685
FY20
23
31
21
23
21
19
33
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
5 August 2020
8
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
#4: Increasing supply chain effort and reach
In FY20, the supply chain function worked on areas like lead time reduction,
working capital management and expanding supplier base in FTA countries.
The supply chain function also focused on the risk framework and worked on
mitigation of risks, such as heavy dependence on one sourcing partner. It also
initiated steps to de-risk its dependence on China.
The localization of indoor units, inverter ACs and drives was a great step forward
toward mitigation of risks.
The ‘Supplier Excellence’ program, which was launched in FY19 progressed well
during FY20. Currently, 50 suppliers are deploying BLSTR’s best practices in
order to upgrade the overall quality of products/components.
The Channel Management Centre, which is the overall custodian of BLSTR’s
channel partners and a single point of contact for all channel administration,
development and conflict resolution initiatives,
added ~720 channel partners
and service associates during FY20.
Under the framework of its ‘Service Excellence’ program, its service reach has
improved significantly to 3,946 talukas/tehsils with a new assured service
response time of 3 hours and a turnaround time of 18 hours.
BLSTR has expanded its retail distribution reach for RACs and added ~508
retailers and distributors across the country, thereby
increasing its presence in
Tier 2/3 markets by 10% YoY.
Currently, BLSTR has 3,880 channel partners
with over 6,000 stores for RACs,
packaged ACs, chillers, cold rooms, and refrigeration products and systems, as
well as 1,060 service associates reaching out to customers in over 900 towns.
Exhibit 24: VRF commissioning van
Exhibit 23: Refrigerated service van
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 25: Total channel partners have steadily risen…
Total channel partners
3,160
2,700
2,000
2,225
2,250
3,880
Exhibit 26: …with FY20 witnessing highest addition
Channel partner addition (YoY)
460
720
450
225
25
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY19
FY20
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY19
FY20
Note: FY18 data not available, Source: MOFSL, Company
Note: FY18 data not available, Source: MOFSL, Company
5 August 2020
9
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
#5: Segmental performance
(A) Electro-Mechanical Projects (EMP) and Commercial Air Conditioning
Systems (CAS)
EMP and CAS segment saw modest growth of 3% YoY in FY20 at INR28.3b.
Electro-Mechanical Projects:
In this sub segment, revenue was mainly driven by
buildings and factories, infrastructure, and industrial segments. BLSTR has
bagged a significant order from Mumbai Metro. L&T has also awarded the
company with prestigious orders for major airports at Delhi, Bengaluru and
Chennai.
For FY20, more than 40% were multi-service orders as BLSTR is a significant
player in the industry in this category.
Order inflows in 2HFY20 were impacted due to challenges in the flow of credit
to the Construction and Infrastructure sectors and slowdown in new projects
due to business disruption caused by the spread of COVID-19.
Commercial Air Conditioning:
This sub segment grew faster than the market
and improved its market share across product categories, aided by new product
launches and increased operational reach in tier 3/5 cities. Newly launched
products such as the next-generation inverter ducted, water-cooled VRF, air-
cooled VFD screw chiller and configured oil-free chiller gained good traction and
market acceptance.
The market share of VRF systems stood at 18% and that of screw chillers at 15%.
With 45% market share in the duct-system category and 40% market share in
the scroll-chillers’ category, BLSTR has maintained its market leadership
position.
International business:
During FY20, BLSTR’s JV in Qatar executed the
prestigious Chilled-Water Supply Unit project at Qatar University. Profitability of
its JV in Malaysia was moderately impacted due to the challenging economic
conditions.
Owing to lower operating leverage in Mar’20, EBIT margin declined by 120bp to
4.3% in FY20. Additionally, taking into consideration the outlook for commercial
real estate and infrastructure sectors, BLSTR made additional provisions for
potential doubtful receivables on a prudent basis.
Exhibit 28: Profitability declined in FY20 after rising over
FY14-19
EBIT (INR m)
16.4
3.8
5.7
2.9
3.4
EBIT margin (%)
5.5
5.2
Exhibit 27: EMP & CAS delivered revenue CAGR of 8.5% over
FY14-20
EMP & CAS (INR b)
19.1
10.1
YoY (%)
4.2
4.1
4.3
(2.4)
17.3
FY14
(1.7)
17.0
FY15
18.8
FY16
22.3
FY17
23.6
FY18
27.5
FY19
28.3
FY20
661
FY14
580
FY15
781
FY16
907
FY17
1,220
FY18
1,509
FY19
1,203
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
5 August 2020
10
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
(B) Unitary Products
Revenues in this segment grew modestly at 1.4% YoY to INR23b in FY20.
RAC business grew well during 1HFY20 led by a strong summer; however,
Mar’20 (a key month for peak season sales) saw lower off-take due to COVID-led
disruption.
The affordable premium range of products introduced during FY20 did well and
contributed to the significant growth in split AC sales. There was increased
demand from tier 3/4/5 cities. BLSTR improved its split AC market share
marginally to 12.5% (by value) in FY20 (v/s 9.5% in FY15).
In the Commercial Refrigeration Products’ business, BLSTR maintained its
leadership position and grew well in the deep-freezer and water-cooler
businesses. It also gained market share in bottled water dispensers. Adjacencies
such as supermarket refrigeration and medical refrigeration also gained traction.
The company also gained reasonable foothold in its newly launched water
purifier business with 2% market share in FY20.
Profitability was lower in FY20 owing to loss of AC sales in the peak month of
Mar’20, coupled with higher spending on advertising and in-store presence in
the modern trade to support growth in 2019.
Exhibit 30: Profitability in FY20 was affected owing to COVID
-19 led disruption in Mar’20 and higher ad-spends
EBIT (INR m)
11.0
8.8
10.3
8.4
8.0
8.2
7.1
EBIT margin (%)
Exhibit 29: Unitary product revenue has grown at a CAGR of
13.5% over FY14-FY20
Unitary Products (INR b)
23.7
18.6
11.6
4.6
26.4
YoY (%)
8.6
1.4
10.8
FY14
13.3
FY15
15.8
FY16
20.0
FY17
20.9
FY18
22.7
FY19
23.0
FY20
948
FY14
1,468
FY15
1,621
FY16
1,679
FY17
1,681
FY18
1,859
FY19
1,623
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 31: Market share in the RAC business
11.1%
11.5%
12.3%
12.5%
9.5%
10.5%
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
5 August 2020
11
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
(C) Professional Electronics and Industrial Systems (PE&IS)
The PE&IS segment is operated by Blue Star Engineering & Electronics Limited, a
wholly-owned subsidiary of BLSTR.
PE&IS recorded 7% YoY revenue growth at INR2.3b in FY20.
Growth was aided by regulatory requirements of data localisation and increased
thrust on digital payment solutions, creating good opportunities for the Data
Security Solutions business.
The Government’s programs for affordable healthcare created good
opportunities for the Healthcare business.
The Communication Systems’ business that deals with radio frequency,
microwave as well as avionics test and measuring equipment, secured few
orders from the Defense, Space and Aerospace sectors.
Research centers and agricultural universities continued to place orders for a
wide range of inspection equipment including universal testing machines and
customized plant growth chambers enabling the Testing Machines’ business to
clock good performance through the year.
The Non-Destructive Testing Systems and Industrial Automation business
augmented its automation offerings and booked substantial orders from Steel
and Automotive segments. The Non-Destructive Testing Products’ business has
a highly diversified portfolio, which includes technologies such as Ultrasound,
Eddy-Current, RVI, X-ray, Industrial CT, Radioscopy, Portable Radiography and
Metrology. It has secured orders from the Automotive, Aerospace and
Inspection sectors.
Despite the slowdown, the Industrial Products business, which mainly deals in
industrial valves and filters, was able to sustain itself by securing orders from
the Oil & Gas industry.
EBIT margin expanded by 320bp to 23.3% in FY20, as BLSTR slowly realigned its
business model from being an exclusive distributor to a value-added re-seller,
thus moving up in the value chain.
Exhibit 33: Profitability improved significantly after a slump
in FY17
EBIT (INR m)
21.3
7.0
17.5
18.0
17.0
12.1
EBIT margin (%)
20.1
23.3
Exhibit 32: PE & IS revenue CAGR at 11.1% over FY14-20
PE & IS (INR b)
18.2
15.2
13.3
3.6
YoY (%)
9.8
(32.0)
1.2
FY14
1.5
FY15
1.7
FY16
1.9
FY17
2.0
FY18
2.2
FY19
2.3
FY20
218
FY14
312
FY15
304
FY16
325
FY17
240
FY18
438
FY19
543
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
5 August 2020
12
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
#6: Other key takeaways:
Forex earnings and outgo:
Forex outgo has considerably increased from INR7.4b in FY14 to INR11.6b in
FY20. Forex earnings have largely remained flat at INR1.8b over FY14-FY20.
Hence, Net forex outgo increased from INR5.6b in FY14 to INR9.8b in FY20.
However, rising indegenization has led to a decline in the forex outgo as a % of
raw material cost.
Exhibit 34: Forex earnings and outgo trend
(INR m)
Forex outgo
Forex earned
Net forex outgo
FY14
7,373
1,814
5,558
FY15
8,611
1,972
6,640
FY16
9,255
3,491
5,764
FY17
10,379
2,566
7,812
FY18
12,521
2,637
9,885
FY19
12,721
2,270
10,450
FY20
11,606
1,813
9,793
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 35: Forex outgo as % of sales and raw material has declined over FY14-FY20,
indicating lower risk
Forex outgo as a % of RM
36.1
33.0
27.1
25.1
24.4
23.7
33.4
31.2
27.0
24.3
21.7
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Forex outgo as a % of Sales
36.2
32.4
28.9
Source: MOFSL, Company
E-Commerce:
BLSTR has not only partnered with reputed online distributors but has also
become a preferred seller for Flipkart and Amazon. In addition, the company has
also deployed direct seller and dropship models.
While the current contribution of BLSTR’s unitary product from e-commerce to
overall sales is less than 5%, it is likely to grow to over 20% by FY24E.
Online sales of RACs/water purifiers in FY20 grew 63%/42%
over the previous
year. Also, strong sales traction has started for air purifiers and deep freezers.
Investments in e-commerce marketing with sponsored listings and
advertisements across platforms created immense brand visibility and resulted
in high conversions.
During the year, a new Digital Asset Management system was deployed for all
the cooling and purification products, which is now a strong product information
and digital asset repository, widely used by various internal stakeholders.
Employees
Number of employees at end-FY20 stood at 2,885, up 2.6% YoY.
Per employee cost increased 12% YoY in FY20.
5 August 2020
13
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Exhibit 36: Steady growth in number of employees over
FY15-20
No of employees
5.6
2.4
(1.3)
(5.9)
2,540
FY14
2,508
FY15
2,567
FY16
2,711
FY17
2,819
FY18
2,812
FY19
2,885
FY20
(0.2)
YoY (%)
4.0
2.6
Exhibit 37: Per employee cost has steadily increased over
FY17-20
Employee cost (INR m)
1.6
0.97
1.07
1.3
Cost per employee (INR m)
1.7
1.4
1.5
2,476
FY14
2,675
FY15
3,986
FY16
3,390
FY17
3,977
FY18
4,215
FY19
4,845
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Remuneration
Adj.Net profits were down 21% in FY20. Senior management remuneration
declined 41% YoY for the Vice Chairman and Managing Director and 3% YoY for
the Managing Director.
Exhibit 38: Management compensation
Name
Vir S Advani
B Thiagarajan
Designation
Vice Chairman & MD
Managing Director
FY19 (INR m)
85
54
FY20 (INR m)
50
52
YoY (%)
(41)
(3)
Source: Company, MOFSL
5 August 2020
14
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Financial analysis
Revenue analysis
Revenue CAGR of 11% over FY14-20:
BLSTR’s revenue growth was marginal at
2.4% in FY20, with all three segments growing in single digits. EMP and CAS grew
~3% YoY, with growth slowing down in 4QFY20 owing to subdued economic
conditions and the COVID led shutdown. Unitary products’ revenues were a
strong 9% YoY until 9MFY20, but loss of peak season sales in Mar’20 led to FY20
growth of 1.4% YoY. PE&IS segment revenue grew 7% YoY led by healthy
demand from the Professional Electronics segment.
Exhibit 40: Unitary products’ revenue trend
YoY (%)
16.4
5.7
11.6
4.6
Unitary Products (INR b)
23.7
18.6
2.9
8.6
1.4
26.4
YoY (%)
Exhibit 39: EMP & CAS revenue trend
EMP & CAS (INR b)
19.1
10.1
(1.7)
(2.4)
17.3
FY14
17.0
FY15
18.8
FY16
22.3
FY17
23.6
FY18
27.5
FY19
28.3
FY20
10.8
FY14
13.3
FY15
15.8
FY16
20.0
FY17
20.9
FY18
22.7
FY19
23.0
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 41: PE & IS revenue trend
PE & IS (INR b)
18.2
15.2
13.3
3.6
YoY (%)
9.8
7.0
Exhibit 42: Overall revenue trend
Revenue (INR b)
YoY (%)
15.5
19.4
8.4
0.4
12.8
5.8
2.4
(32.0)
1.2
1.5
1.7
1.9
2.0
2.2
2.3
29
FY14
32
FY15
38
FY16
44
FY17
46
FY18
52
FY19
54
FY20
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Decline in share of EMP & CAS revenue; revenue from product sales – the
mainstay:
Share of EMP and CAS revenue has declined from 59% in FY14 to 53%
in FY20, while unitary products revenue has increased from 37% in FY14 to 43%
in FY20. In terms of revenue break-up, revenue from products has been the
mainstay for BLSTR with 64% share in FY20’s total revenue. Share from
construction contracts has largely remained constant at 26% over FY14-20.
Share of revenue from services has also remained constant at ~10% over FY14-
20.
5 August 2020
15
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Exhibit 43: Segment-wise share of revenue
EMP & CAS
4
37
5
42
5
44
Unitary Products
4
45
4
45
PE & IS
4
43
4
43
Exhibit 44: Revenue break-up
Products
Construction contracts
1
1
2
19
22
26
14
10
10
67
Services
Other operating revenue
1
1
22
24
26
9
9
10
1
22
9
59
54
52
51
51
52
53
62
65
69
68
66
64
FY14
Source: MOFSL, Company
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Gross margin analysis
Gross margin has remained stable at ~25% over FY19-20, expanding by 120bp
over FY14-20.
Purchase of traded goods as a percentage of total RM cost increased over FY16-
18, but rising backward integration has led to a decline over FY19-20.
Exhibit 46: Purchase of traded goods has steadily declined in
FY19-20 and now forms ~23% of total RM cost
Purchase of traded goods (as % of RM)
34.5
Exhibit 45: Stable Gross margin at ~25% over FY18-20
Gross margin (%)
27.0
25.0
23.8
24.3
25.5
24.9
25.0
25.5
17.2
18.0
28.3
24.4
22.8
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Employee cost analysis
The number of employees has marginally increased at 2.6% YoY. Staff cost has
risen 15% YoY in FY20.
Implied per employee cost has been increasing steadily since FY17 with 12% YoY
increase seen in FY20. Employee costs have moderated after sale of IT business
in 2016.
5 August 2020
16
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Exhibit 47: Increase in number of employees has been
steady over FY15-20
No of employees
5.6
2.4
(1.3)
4.0
(0.2)
YoY (%)
Exhibit 48: Per employee cost showed an upward trend over
FY17–20
Employee cost (INR m)
1.6
Cost per employee (INR m)
1.4
2.6
1.5
1.7
0.97
1.07
1.3
(5.9)
2,540
FY14
2,508
FY15
2,567
FY16
2,711
FY17
2,819
FY18
2,812
FY19
2,885
FY20
2,476
FY14
2,675
FY15
3,986
FY16
3,390
FY17
3,977
FY18
4,215
FY19
4,845
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Analysis of other expenses
Ad spends:
BLSTR has been prudent with its ad spends. Its ad spends-to-sales
ranged between 1–1.5% of sales over FY14-20 (FY17 was an exceptional year).
Despite almost flat sales in FY20, advertisement expenses increased 52% YoY
during the year as BLSTR signed on cricketer Mr. Virat Kohli as a brand
ambassador for its range of ACs. Ad-spends as % of sales stood at 1.5% in FY20,
up from 1% in FY19.
Ad-spends as % of unitary products sales have ranged between ~3-4% (except in
FY17). FY20 showed steep rise at 3.5% of sales (v/s 2.3% in FY19).
Overall, ad-spends, sales incentives and promotion activities ranged between
~2-3% of overall sales, with FY17 being an exception.
Exhibit 50: Ad-spends as % of total/unitary products sales
YoY (%)
52
Ad-spend as % of total sales
Ad-spend as % of Unitary products sales
5.5
3.9
(45)
4.0
2.5
1.2
1.6
1.7
1.3
2.9
2.3
1.0
1.5
3.2
3.5
Exhibit 49: Trend of advertising expenses
Advertising expenses (INR m)
75
52
14
22
(13)
343
FY14
519
FY15
631
FY16
1,107
FY17
613
FY18
533
FY19
812
FY20
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
5 August 2020
17
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Exhibit 51: Ad-spends, sales incentives and promotion trend
Ad-spend, sales incentives and promotion (INR m)
4.2
2.7
2.1
3.0
3.1
2.3
2.8
% of sales
619
FY14
873
FY15
1,132
FY16
1,840
FY17
1,459
FY18
1,204
FY19
1,507
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Depreciation
Depreciation rate stood at ~12% over FY18-20, with no appreciable increase in
FY20 despite the company adopting Ind-AS 116 (where lease rent on right to use
assets has to be classified as depreciation).
Increase in depreciation over the last two years was largely due to various
capacity enhancement projects.
Rise in rate of depreciation from FY16 was owing to adoption of Ind-AS
accounting norms.
Exhibit 52: Depreciation rate broadly at ~12% over FY18-20
Depreciation (INR m)
14.9
Deprecaition rate (% of gross block)
13.4
11.9
12.1
12.0
7.1
7.6
378
431
571
606
638
749
880
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Capex trend
Under the ‘Manufacturing Footprint Redesign’ program introduced in FY17,
BLSTR’s target was to enhance production capacity. The company has enabled
various capacity additions over FY17-20.
BLSTR is in the process of setting up an additional facility to expand its
manufactured commercial refrigeration range of products. For this, it would use
some of the latest techniques such as virtual factory simulation and 3D
modelling at its existing manufacturing plant in Wada. The same is expected to
get operational by FY22E.
Capex in FY20 stood at INR860m, lower than INR1b in FY19. Capex has been in
the range of ~INR900m-INR1b over FY17-FY20.
5 August 2020
18
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Exhibit 53: Capex has increased from FY17 onwards due to ongoing capacity additions
Capex (INR m)
1,075
1,028
860
602
399
529
983
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Migration to new tax rate in FY21
Write-back of deferred tax assets in FY20 led to higher effective tax rate at 31%
(v/s ~17% in FY19).
The tax write-back was mainly on account of its subsidiary Blue Star Engineering
& Electronics Limited. The company is expected to migrate to the new tax rate
from FY21E.
Lower operating leverage and higher tax rate led to PAT decline of 21.4% YoY in
FY20.
Against overall revenue growth of 10.6% over FY14-20, the company delivered
Adj. PAT of 11.3% CAGR over the same period.
Exhibit 55: Over FY14-20, BLSTR delivered Adj. PAT at 11.3%
CAGR
Adj.PAT (INR m)
31.1
YoY (%)
99
Exhibit 54: Effective tax rate higher in FY20 on account of
write-back of DTA
Tax rate (%)
23.1
26.0
16.9
19.2
23
2.9
777
956
FY15
22
35
5
13
(21.4)
(9.4)
1,167
FY16
1,231
FY17
1,387
FY18
1,874
FY19
1,473
FY20
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY14
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Working Capital analysis
BLSTR’s WC cycle improved significantly in FY20 owing to reduction in debtor
days.
Net WC as % of sales also improved over FY16-20 (FY18 was an exception when
inventory days had shot up across the industry owing to bad summer season for
ACs).
From 20.4% of sales in FY14, Net WC has significantly improved to 6.2% in FY20.
5 August 2020
19
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Exhibit 56: Working capital analysis
FY14
Net working capital days
Net working capital (as a % of sales)
Receivable days
Payable days
Inventory days
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
74
20.4
104
58
103
55
15.0
91
55
102
23
6.4
80
51
104
28
7.6
81
50
98
42
11.6
75
80
121
39
10.6
78
61
107
22
6.2
57
59
108
Source: Company, MOFSL
Contingent liability
In FY20, contingent liability declined 12% YoY, but formed ~49% of Net worth.
Contingent liability as % of Net worth stood at ~40-50% over FY15-20.
Rise in contingent liability over FY15-20 can be mainly attributed to rise in
disputes related to sales tax, service tax and income tax.
Exhibit 57: Contingent liability trend
(INR m)
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Claims against the company not acknowledged as debts
Sales tax matters
Excise duty matters
Service tax matters
Income tax matters
GST matters
Corporate Guarantee given on behalf of JVs
Total
7
693
11
106
251
-
286
1,352
7
1,205
13
181
474
-
389
2,269
7
907
34
1,521
512
-
2,981
3
443
65
1,514
617
-
2,641
3
1,042
90
1,631
588
-
3,353
2
1,579
119
1,737
906
1
4,343
2
1,079
60
1,590
1,089
1
3,821
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 58: Contingency liability remained at ~50% of net worth over FY19-20
Contingent liability (INR m)
50
28
47
35
as a % of networth
50
42
49
1,352
FY14
2,269
FY15
2,981
FY16
2,641
FY17
3,353
FY18
4,343
FY19
3,821
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Cash flow analysis
Barring FY18, the company has generated FCF over FY14-20. Improvement in
WC position led to higher FCF in FY20 at INR3.7b.
Over FY14-20, FCF/EBITDA and FCF/PAT have been positive, barring an
aberration in FY18. FCF/PAT has been at 100% over FY14-20.
In FY20, FCF/EBITDA stood at 131% with FCF/PAT conversion at 252% – the
highest in the last six years.
5 August 2020
20
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Exhibit 59: Cash flow statement
Y/E March (INR m)
PBT before EO Items
Add : Depreciation
Interest
Less : Direct Taxes Paid
(Inc)/Dec in WC
CF from Operations
(Inc)/Dec in FA
Free Cash Flow
(Pur)/Sale of Investments & Others
CF from Investments
(Inc)/Dec in Debt
(Inc)/Dec in Equity
Less : Interest Paid
Dividend Paid
Others
CF from Fin. Activity
Inc/Dec of Cash
Add: Beginning Balance
Closing Balance
2014
762
378
571
(188)
(857)
666
57
723
55
112
592
-
(536)
(315)
0
(259)
519
165
684
2015
427
431
1,005
(257)
543
2,149
(352)
1,797
(135)
(487)
(967)
-
(497)
(440)
(0)
(1,904)
(241)
684
443
2016
1,563
571
(212)
(319)
964
2,567
(486)
2,081
(166)
(652)
(232)
4
(429)
(1,293)
44
(1,905)
11
443
454
2017
1,586
606
(46)
24
(586)
1,585
(1,060)
525
1,755
694
(1,698)
67
(381)
(18)
263
(1,768)
512
454
966
2018
1,956
638
(41)
(451)
(1,913)
189
(924)
(735)
40
(883)
1,534
129
(285)
(864)
23
537
(158)
966
808
2019
2,511
749
157
(352)
(432)
2,633
(837)
1,797
138
(698)
(274)
98
(479)
(1,154)
74
(1,734)
201
808
1,010
2020
2,060
880
417
(854)
2,072
4,574
(814)
3,760
(68)
(882)
943
-
(311)
(2,301)
(93)
(1,762)
1,930
1,010
2,940
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 60: FCF/EBITDA stood at 131% in FY20…
FCF/EBITDA (%)
93
95
46
18
23
131
Exhibit 61: …with FCF/PAT at 252% owing to higher FCF
FCF/Adj.PAT (%)
162
175
86
34
42
252
(30)
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
(57)
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Dividend payout trend
With strong cash generation over FY14-20, dividend payout stood over 50%
during the same period.
Barring FY19, the dividend paid has steadily increased over 70% of Adj.PAT
during FY17-20, and stood at 79% of Adj.PAT in FY20.
5 August 2020
21
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Exhibit 62: Dividend payout was over 50% since FY14, with payout rising considerably over
FY16-20
Dividend outgo (incl. tax) (INR m)
64
70
Dividend payout (%)
83
62
79
54
57
421
FY14
541
FY15
746
FY16
865
FY17
1,155
FY18
1,159
FY19
1,161
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Debt analysis
BLSTR had INR4.5b worth of debt at end-FY20. Of this, INR0.5b is non-current
debt and INR4b is current debt.
With strong cash generation in FY20, Net D/E further improved to 0.2x. Even
over FY14-20, Net D/E has declined from 0.9x in FY14 to 0.2x in FY20.
Exhibit 63: Stable debt with improving Net D/E ratio
0.9
0.8
0.5
0.4
0.2
4.9
FY14
4.0
FY15
3.6
FY16
2.2
FY17
3.7
FY18
3.4
FY19
0.3
Debt (INR b)
Net D/E (x)
0.2
4.5
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 64: % of secured and unsecured debt as part of total debt
Secured
46
Unsecured
63
57
80
60
51
81
37
FY14
43
20
FY15
FY16
54
40
FY18
49
19
FY17
FY19
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
5 August 2020
22
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Return ratios
BLSTR’s RoE has been healthy. RoE expanded from 16.2% in FY14 to 21.5% in
FY19. Lower profitability in FY20 led to decline in RoE to 18.8%.
Over FY14-19, RoIC also expanded from 12.6% to 22.7%, declining to 15.8% in
FY20.
Exhibit 65: Trend of return ratios
RoE (%)
RoCE (%)
RoIC (%)
26.0
22.0
18.0
14.0
10.0
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
5 August 2020
23
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Financials and valuation
Income Statement
Y/E March
Total Revenues
Change (%)
EBITDA
% of Total Revenues
Other Income
Depreciation
Interest
Exceptional items
PBT
Tax
Rate (%)
Reported PAT
Change (%)
Adj. PAT
Change (%)
Balance Sheet
Y/E March
Share Capital
Reserves
Net Worth
Minority Interest
Loans
Deferred Tax Liability
Capital Employed
Gross Fixed Assets
Less: Depreciation
Net Fixed Assets
Capital WIP
Investments
Curr. Assets
Inventory
Debtors
Cash & Bank Balance
Loans & Other current assets
Current Liab. & Prov.
Creditors
Other liabilities
Net Current Assets
Application of Funds
2018
46,390
5.8
2,659
5.7
170
638
287
53
1,956
494
25.3
1,440
18.0
1,387
12.7
2019
52,348
12.8
3,465
6.6
247
749
479
27
2,511
420
16.7
1,900
32.0
1,874
35.1
2020
53,602
2.4
2,828
5.3
447
880
295
-40
2,060
653
31.7
1,433
-24.6
1,473
-21.4
2021E
45,000
-16.0
1,922
4.3
225
1,020
300
0
827
208
25.2
645
-55.0
645
-56.2
(INR M)
2022E
57,500
27.8
3,438
6.0
288
1,150
200
0
2,376
598
25.2
1,804
179.7
1,804
179.7
(INR M)
2022E
193
8,611
8,803
32
4,489
-818
12,507
9,344
5,076
4,269
674
229
30,996
9,452
8,986
3,676
8,883
23,660
16,974
6,686
7,336
12,507
2018
192
7,735
7,927
15
3,699
-1,136
10,506
5,363
1,443
3,920
254
132
26,921
10,171
9,504
809
6,437
20,721
15,327
5,394
6,200
10,506
2019
193
8,538
8,731
18
3,445
-1,076
11,119
6,194
2,192
4,002
412
146
27,874
8,693
11,121
1,009
7,051
21,315
15,346
5,969
6,558
11,119
2020
193
7,631
7,824
23
4,489
-818
11,519
7,344
2,907
4,438
674
169
28,295
8,698
8,377
2,939
8,281
22,056
15,824
6,233
6,239
11,519
2021E
193
7,889
8,082
28
4,489
-818
11,781
8,344
3,926
4,418
674
199
25,007
7,397
7,032
3,626
6,952
18,517
13,284
5,233
6,490
11,781
5 August 2020
24
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Financials and valuation
Ratios
Y/E March
Basic (INR)
Adj EPS
Cash EPS
Book Value
DPS
Payout (incl. Div. Tax.)
Valuation (x)
P/E
Cash P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/Sales
Price/Book Value
Dividend Yield (%)
Profitability Ratios (%)
RoE
RoCE
RoIC
Turnover Ratios
Debtors (Days)
Inventory (Days)
Creditors. (Days)
Asset Turnover (x)
Leverage Ratio
Debt/Equity (x)
Cash Flow Statement
Y/E March
PBT before EO Items
Depreciation
Interest & other income
Direct Taxes Paid
(Inc)/Dec in WC
CF from Operations
(Inc)/Dec in FA
Free Cash Flow
Investment in liquid assets
CF from Investments
(Inc)/Dec in Debt
(Inc)/Dec in Equity
Interest Paid
Dividend Paid
Others
CF from Fin. Activity
Inc/Dec of Cash
Add: Beginning Balance
Closing Balance
2018
15.0
14.4
21.1
82.6
7.5
62.3
33.6
23.0
18.6
1.1
5.9
1.5
17.5
13.8
15.8
75
80
121
4.4
0.4
2019
19.7
19.5
27.2
90.7
10.0
61.6
25.0
17.8
14.2
0.9
5.4
2.1
21.5
18.7
22.7
78
61
107
4.7
0.3
2020
14.9
15.3
24.4
81.2
19.9
156.2
31.8
19.9
17.1
0.9
6.0
4.1
18.8
13.6
15.8
57
59
108
4.7
0.2
2021E
6.7
6.7
17.3
83.9
4.0
60.0
72.6
28.1
24.8
1.1
5.8
0.8
8.0
6.9
8.5
57
60
108
3.8
0.1
2022E
18.7
18.7
30.7
91.4
11.2
60.0
25.9
15.8
13.8
0.8
5.3
2.3
20.5
14.7
19.9
57
60
108
4.6
0.1
(INR M)
2022E
2,376
1,150
(88)
(598)
(796)
2,045
(1,000)
1,045
288
(713)
-
-
(200)
(1,082)
-
(1,282)
50
3,626
3,676
2018
1,956
638
(41)
(451)
(1,913)
189
(924)
(735)
40
(883)
1,534
129
(285)
(864)
23
537
(158)
966
808
2019
2,511
749
157
(352)
(432)
2,633
(837)
1,797
138
(698)
(274)
98
(479)
(1,154)
74
(1,734)
201
808
1,010
2020
2,060
880
417
(854)
2,072
4,574
(814)
3,760
(68)
(882)
943
-
(311)
(2,301)
(93)
(1,762)
1,930
1,010
2,940
2021E
827
1,020
75
(208)
435
2,148
(1,000)
1,148
225
(775)
-
-
(300)
(387)
-
(687)
686
2,940
3,626
5 August 2020
25
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
NOTES
5 August 2020
26
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
Explanation of Investment Rating
Investment Rating
BUY
SELL
NEUTRAL
UNDER REVIEW
NOT RATED
Expected return (over 12-month)
>=15%
< - 10%
< - 10 % to 15%
Rating may undergo a change
We have forward looking estimates for the stock but we refrain from assigning recommendation
*In case the recommendation given by the Research Analyst is inconsistent with the investment rating legend for a continuous period of 30 days, the Research Analyst shall within following 30
days take appropriate measures to make the recommendation consistent with the investment rating legend.
Disclosures
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations).
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (MOFSL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000412. MOFSL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the Regulations,
is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Investment Advisory Services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial products. MOFSL is a subsidiary
company of Passionate Investment Management Pvt. Ltd.. (PIMPL). MOFSL is a listed public company, the details in respect of which are available on www.motilaloswal.com. MOFSL
(erstwhile Motilal Oswal Securities Limited - MOSL) is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and is a registered Trading Member with National Stock Exchange of
India Ltd. (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (BSE), Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) and National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) for its
stock broking activities & is Depository participant with Central Depository Services Limited (CDSL) National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL),NERL, COMRIS and CCRL and is member
of Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and Insurance Regulatory & Development Authority of India (IRDA) as Corporate Agent for insurance
products.
Details of associate entities of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited are available on the website at
http://onlinereports.motilaloswal.com/Dormant/documents/List%20of%20Associate%20companies.pdf
MOFSL and its associate company(ies), their directors and Research Analyst and their relatives may; (a) from time to time, have a long or short position in, act as principal in, and buy or sell
the securities or derivatives thereof of companies mentioned herein. (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a
market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of
interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions.; however the same shall have no bearing whatsoever on the specific recommendations made by the
analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the associates of MOFSL even though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest in
some of the stocks mentioned in the research report
MOFSL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients of this report should be aware
that MOFSL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment
banking or brokerage service transactions. Details of pending Enquiry Proceedings of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited are available on the website at
https://galaxy.motilaloswal.com/ResearchAnalyst/PublishViewLitigation.aspx
A graph of daily closing prices of securities is available at
www.nseindia.com, www.bseindia.com.
Research Analyst views on Subject Company may vary based on Fundamental research and
Technical Research. Proprietary trading desk of MOFSL or its associates maintains arm’s length distance with Research Team as all the activities are segregated from MOFSL research activity
and therefore it can have an independent view with regards to Subject Company for which Research Team have expressed their views.
Regional Disclosures (outside India)
This report is not directed or intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity resident in a state, country or any jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use
would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject MOFSL & its group companies to registration or licensing requirements within such jurisdictions.
For Hong Kong:
This report is distributed in Hong Kong by Motilal Oswal capital Markets (Hong Kong) Private Limited, a licensed corporation (CE AYY-301) licensed and regulated by the Hong Kong Securities
and Futures Commission (SFC) pursuant to the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong) “SFO”. As per SEBI (Research Analyst Regulations) 2014 Motilal
Oswal Securities (SEBI Reg No. INH000000412) has an agreement with Motilal Oswal capital Markets (Hong Kong) Private Limited for distribution of research report in Hong Kong. This report
is intended for distribution only to “Professional Investors” as defined in Part I of Schedule 1 to SFO. Any investment or investment activity to which this document relates is only available to
professional investor and will be engaged only with professional investors.” Nothing here is an offer or solicitation of these securities, products and services in any jurisdiction where their offer
or sale is not qualified or exempt from registration. The Indian Analyst(s) who compile this report is/are not located in Hong Kong & are not conducting Research Analysis in Hong Kong.
For U.S.
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) is not a registered broker - dealer under the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the"1934 act") and under applicable state
laws in the United States. In addition MOFSL is not a registered investment adviser under the U.S. Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended (the "Advisers Act" and together with the 1934
Act, the "Acts), and under applicable state laws in the United States. Accordingly, in the absence of specific exemption under the Acts, any brokerage and investment services provided by
MOFSL , including the products and services described herein are not available to or intended for U.S. persons. This report is intended for distribution only to "Major Institutional Investors" as
defined by Rule 15a-6(b)(4) of the Exchange Act and interpretations thereof by SEC (henceforth referred to as "major institutional investors"). This document must not be acted on or relied on
by persons who are not major institutional investors. Any investment or investment activity to which this document relates is only available to major institutional investors and will be engaged in
only with major institutional investors. In reliance on the exemption from registration provided by Rule 15a-6 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act") and
interpretations thereof by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") in order to conduct business with Institutional Investors based in the U.S., MOFSL has entered into a
chaperoning agreement with a U.S. registered broker-dealer, Motilal Oswal Securities International Private Limited. ("MOSIPL"). Any business interaction pursuant to this report will have to be
executed within the provisions of this chaperoning agreement.
The Research Analysts contributing to the report may not be registered /qualified as research analyst with FINRA. Such research analyst may not be associated persons of the U.S. registered
broker-dealer, MOSIPL, and therefore, may not be subject to NASD rule 2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communication with a subject company, public appearances and trading
securities held by a research analyst account.
For Singapore
In Singapore, this report is being distributed by Motilal Oswal Capital Markets Singapore Pte Ltd (“MOCMSPL”) (Co.Reg. NO. 201129401Z) which is a holder of a capital markets services
license and an exempt financial adviser in Singapore.As per the approved agreement under Paragraph 9 of Third Schedule of Securities and Futures Act (CAP 289) and Paragraph 11 of First
Schedule of Financial Advisors Act (CAP 110) provided to MOCMSPL by Monetary Authority of Singapore. Persons in Singapore should contact MOCMSPL in respect of any matter arising
from, or in connection with this report/publication/communication. This report is distributed solely to persons who qualify as “Institutional Investors”, of which some of whom may consist of
"accredited" institutional investors as defined in section 4A(1) of the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore (“the SFA”). Accordingly, if a Singapore person is not or ceases to be
such an institutional investor, such Singapore Person must immediately discontinue any use of this Report and inform MOCMSPL.
Specific Disclosures
1 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives does not have financial interest in the subject company, as they do not have equity holdings in the subject company.
2 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in the subject company
3 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives have not received compensation/other benefits from the subject company in the past 12 months
4 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives do not have material conflict of interest in the subject company at the time of publication of research report
5 Research Analyst has not served as director/officer/employee in the subject company
6 MOFSL has not acted as a manager or co-manager of public offering of securities of the subject company in past 12 months
7 MOFSL has not received compensation for investment banking/ merchant banking/brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months
8 MOFSL has not received compensation for other than investment banking/merchant banking/brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months
9 MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
10 MOFSL has not engaged in market making activity for the subject company
********************************************************************************************************************************
The associates of MOFSL may have:
-
financial interest in the subject company
-
actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in the subject company
-
received compensation/other benefits from the subject company in the past 12 months
5 August 2020
27
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Blue Star
-
-
-
-
other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions.; however the same shall have no bearing whatsoever on the specific
recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the associates of MOFSL even though there
might exist an inherent conflict of interest in some of the stocks mentioned in the research report.
acted as a manager or co-manager of public offering of securities of the subject company in past 12 months
be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies)
discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies)
received compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months for investment banking / merchant banking / brokerage services or from other than said services.
The associates of MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
Above disclosures include beneficial holdings lying in demat account of MOFSL which are opened for proprietary investments only. While calculating beneficial holdings, It does not consider
demat accounts which are opened in name of MOFSL for other purposes (i.e holding client securities, collaterals, error trades etc.). MOFSL also earns DP income from clients which are not
considered in above disclosures.
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issues, and no part of the compensation of the research
analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations and views expressed by research analyst(s) in this report.
Terms & Conditions:
This report has been prepared by MOFSL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and may not be
altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of MOFSL. The report is
based on the facts, figures and information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not recommendatory in nature. The information is obtained from
publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation of warranty, express or implied, is made
as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. The report is prepared solely for informational purpose and does not
constitute an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments for the clients. Though disseminated to all the customers
simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. MOFSL will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report.
Disclaimer:
The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or
in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent. This report and information herein is solely for informational purpose and may not be
used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal,
accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this
report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This
may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at
an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to
determine the merits and risks of such an investment. The investment discussed or views expressed may not be suitable for all investors. Certain transactions -including those involving futures,
options, another derivative products as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. No representation or warranty, express or implied,
is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information and opinions contained in this document. The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is
provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. This information is subject to change without any prior notice. The
Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement as may be required from time to time without any prior approval. MOFSL, its associates, their directors and
the employees may from time to time, effect or have effected an own account transaction in, or deal as principal or agent in or for the securities mentioned in this document. They may perform
or seek to perform investment banking or other services for, or solicit investment banking or other business from, any company referred to in this report. Each of these entities functions as a
separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting the document. This report has been prepared on the basis of information that is
already available in publicly accessible media or developed through analysis of MOFSL. The views expressed are those of the analyst, and the Company may or may not subscribe to all the
views expressed therein. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person or
published, copied, in whole or in part, for any purpose. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any
locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject MOFSL to any registration or
licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose
possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction. Neither the Firm, not its directors, employees, agents or representatives shall be
liable for any damages whether direct or indirect, incidental, special or consequential including lost revenue or lost profits that may arise from or in connection with the use of the information.
The person accessing this information specifically agrees to exempt MOFSL or any of its affiliates or employees from, any and all responsibility/liability arising from such misuse and agrees not
to hold MOFSL or any of its affiliates or employees responsible for any such misuse and further agrees to hold MOFSL or any of its affiliates or employees free and harmless from all losses,
costs, damages,
expenses that may be suffered by the person accessing this information due to any errors and delays.
Registered Office Address: Motilal Oswal Tower, Rahimtullah Sayani Road, Opposite Parel ST Depot, Prabhadevi, Mumbai-400025; Tel No.: 022 71934200/ 022-71934263; Website
www.motilaloswal.com.CIN no.: L67190MH2005PLC153397.Correspondence Office Address: Palm Spring Centre, 2nd Floor, Palm Court Complex, New Link Road, Malad(West), Mumbai-
400 064. Tel No: 022 7188 1000.
Registration Nos.: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL)*: INZ000158836(BSE/NSE/MCX/NCDEX); CDSL and NSDL: IN-DP-16-2015; Research Analyst: INH000000412. AMFI:
ARN - 146822; Investment Adviser: INA000007100; Insurance Corporate Agent: CA0579;PMS:INP000006712. Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Ltd. (MOAMC): PMS (Registration
No.: INP000000670); PMS and Mutual Funds are offered through MOAMC which is group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Wealth Management Ltd. (MOWML): PMS (Registration No.:
INP000004409) is offered through MOWML, which is a group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is a distributor of Mutual Funds, PMS, Fixed Deposit, Bond,
NCDs,Insurance Products and IPOs.Real Estate is offered through Motilal Oswal Real Estate Investment Advisors II Pvt. Ltd. which is a group company of MOFSL. Private Equity is offered
through Motilal Oswal Private Equity Investment Advisors Pvt. Ltd which is a group company of MOFSL. Research & Advisory services is backed by proper research. Please read the Risk
Disclosure Document prescribed by the Stock Exchanges carefully before investing. There is no assurance or guarantee of the returns. Investment in securities market is subject to market risk,
read all the related documents carefully before investing. Details of Compliance Officer: Name: Neeraj Agarwal, Email ID: na@motilaloswal.com, Contact No.:022-71881085.
* MOSL has been amalgamated with Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) w.e.f August 21, 2018 pursuant to order dated July 30, 2018 issued by Hon'ble National Company Law
Tribunal, Mumbai Bench.
5 August 2020
28