13 November 2020
2QFY21 Results Update | Sector: Media
Sun TV Network
Estimate changes
TP change
Rating change
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
12M Avg Val (INR M)
SUNTV IN
394
174.6 / 2.3
520 / 260
-8/-30/-24
1124
CMP: INR443
TP: INR530(+20% )
Buy
EBITDA supported by lower opex; Subscription
revenues trend higher
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
FY20 FY21E FY22E
Y/E March
Sales
34.0 32.0 37.7
EBITDA
22.4 21.4 25.5
Adj. PAT
13.7 14.0 16.2
EBITDA Margin (%)
65.7 66.9 67.7
Adj. EPS (INR)
34.8 35.5 41.1
EPS Gr. (%)
-1.7
2.0 15.8
BV/Sh. (INR)
142.7 149.3 161.6
Ratios
Net D:E
-0.6
-0.7
-0.8
RoE (%)
24.8 24.3 26.4
RoCE (%)
24.9 24.4 26.5
Payout (%)
82.9 81.3 70.2
Valuations
P/E (x)
12.7 12.5 10.8
P/B (x)
3.1
3.0
2.7
EV/EBITDA (x)
6.6
6.5
6.4
Div. Yield (%)
5.6
5.6
5.6
Shareholding pattern (%)
As On
Sep-20
Jun-20
Promoter 75.0
75.0
DII
5.3
5.6
FII
10.9
10.3
Others
8.9
9.1
FII Includes depository receipts
Sun TV’s 2QFY21 revenue recovered with 2% YoY decline (in-line) v/s 45%
decline in 1QFY21. This was attributed to stronger ad revenues and resilient
subscription revenues. EBITDA grew 7% (5% above est.) with cost
rationalization.
We have revised up our FY21E EBITDA by 7% on lower-than-estimated cost
in 2QFY21. Our FY22E revenue/EBITDA estimates are largely maintained; we
factor in 11%/14% growth over FY20. Revival in earnings and a low
valuation make it attractive. Maintain Buy.
SUN TV’s 2QFY21 revenues declined 2.3% YoY to INR7.6b (in-line), v/s 45%
decline in 1QFY21. Advertisement revenue recovered – down 29% v/s 67%
in 1QFY21; subscription revenue grew 14%.
Production costs / Employee expenses were down 35%/3% YoY, while SG&A
was up 8% YoY. This led to an overall 17% drop in opex v/s est. opex decline
of 13%.
Thus, EBITDA grew 7% YoY to INR5b (5% beat), supported by a reduction in
operating costs and marginally better-than-expected revenue; EBITDA
margins stood at 66.4% (up 580bps YoY).
Other income came in at INR516m (down 29% YoY). Subsequently, net
profit fell 6% YoY to INR3.5b (20% beat).
Sun TV generated strong INR8b cash from operations in 1HFY21.
Furthermore, its liquidity position remains strong as the company has net
cash of INR35.9b.
Revenue:
Advertisement revenue has picked up to 80% of pre-COVID levels
in Oct’20. However, de-growth is expected in FY21 given weak recovery
from regional customers. Subscription revenue should grow in the double
digits even excluding contribution from OTT subscriptions.
IPL:
Profit from the event should be significantly lower YoY due to a change
in the title sponsor (INR125m loss), lost ticket revenue (INR250–300m), and
higher operational expense as the tournament took place in the UAE.
Content focus:
The current focus remains on the pipeline of eight
blockbusters (INR3–4b cost), scheduled to be released over the next 12
months, along with the revamping of TV content. After this, the
management would focus on Sun Next original content.
OTT:
Original content production has been delayed due to movie line-ups.
However, the target is to annually invest INR2b in OTT from FY22. The
platform is expected to clock higher revenues given strong subscriber
traction and demand on telco/other OTT platforms.
Revenue down 2.3% YoY (in-line); EBITDA up 7% YoY (5% beat)
Sep-19
75.0
8.1
8.5
8.4
Highlights from management commentary
Research Analyst: Aliasgar Shakir
(Aliasgar.Shakir@motilaloswal.com)
Suhel Shaikh
(Suhel.Ahmad@MotilalOswal.com) |
Anshul Aggarwal
(Anshul.Aggarwal@motilaloswal.com)
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sun TV Network
Valuation and view
Subscription growth has remained steady in the last few quarters despite the
lockdown, while ad revenues are recovering gradually. We expect subscription
revenue to grow in the double digits in FY22E, while ad revenues should revive
as the market recovers.
Sun TV has a strong liquidity position, with INR35.9b net cash. This should help
the company maintain a stronger position in the current lockdown crisis and aid
strong investments in the Sun NXT platform.
The valuation has shrunk significantly from >25x two years back v/s prevailing
P/E of 11x. This is due to weak earnings on the back of dilution in viewership and
limited focus on the digital platform Sun NXT. However, recent strong
commentary on a TV content revamp and a strong funnel of movie content
could aid earnings revival.
We expect FY22 revenue/EBITDA to grow 11%/14% over FY20 on the back of an
improving macro environment, coupled with a revamp in content addition.
Sun TV trades at FY21E/FY22E P/E of 12.5x/10.8x. We value Sun TV at FY22E P/E
of 13x to arrive at TP of INR530. Maintain Buy.
(INR m)
Est Var
(%)
2
-4
5
516
-35
-20
6
20
Standalone – Quarterly Earnings Model
Y/E March
1Q
Revenue
10,804
YoY Change (%)
-3.6
Total Expenditure
3,975
EBITDA
6,829
YoY Change (%)
-7.1
Depreciation
1,585
Interest
21
Other Income
567
PBT
5,791
Tax
1,972
Rate (%)
34.1
Reported PAT
3,819
YoY Change (%)
-6.7
E: MOFSL Estimates
Key Performance Indicators
Y/E March
FY20
2Q
7,739
3.3
3,052
4,687
-15.4
1,444
20
721
3,945
280
7.1
3,665
4.3
3Q
8,150
-9.9
2,346
5,804
-13.0
1,436
19
636
4,985
1,250
25.1
3,735
6.3
4Q
7,352
-17.3
2,317
5,035
-17.2
2,328
19
570
3,259
759
23.3
2,500
-11.7
1Q
6,061
-43.9
1,896
4,165
-39.0
1,455
18
1,086
3,779
951
25.2
2,828
-25.9
FY21
2Q
7,562
-2.3
2,541
5,020
7.1
913
16
516
4,607
1,148
24.9
3,459
-5.6
3QE
9,717
19.2
3,620
6,097
5.0
1,207
19
317
5,187
1,305
25.2
3,882
4.0
4QE
8,670
17.9
2,528
6,141
22.0
1,313
25
301
5,104
1,284
25.2
3,820
52.8
FY20
34,044
-7.1
11,684
22,361
-12.8
6,793
78
2,489
17,979
4,261
23.7
13,718
-1.7
FY21E
32,009
-6.0
10,586
21,423
-4.2
4,888
78
2,220
18,678
4,688
25.1
13,989
2.0
FY21E
2Q
7,425
-4.1
2,646
4,778
1.9
1,394
19
488
3,852
969
25.2
2,883
-21.3
20
FY20
1Q
2Q
3,370
80
3,450
410
3,973
1,680
2,290
4,383
-94
7,739
20
60.6
51.2
47.4
3Q
3,410
50
3,460
410
4,119
2,050
2,070
4,529
161
8,150
14
71.2
61.4
45.8
4Q
2,910
40
2,950
410
3,988
1,930
2,050
4,398
8
7,356
13
68.5
44.6
34.0
1Q
1,210
50
1,260
378
4,423
2,260
2,160
4,801
1
6,061
11
68.7
62.6
46.7
2Q
FY21
3QE
3,069
53
3,122
373
4,472
2,050
2,422
4,845
1,750
9,717
11
62.7
53.6
40.0
4QE
3,348
50
3,397
371
4,673
2,193
2,483
5,044
228
8,670
12
70.8
59.2
44.1
FY20
FY21E
Revenue Breakup
Advertising
Broadcasting
Total Advertising & Broadcasting
International subscription
Domestic Subscription
- Domestic Cable
- DTH
Total Subscription revenue
Films, IPL and Others
Total
Production Costs (%)
EBITDA Margin (%)
EBIT Margins (%)
PAT Margins (%)
E: MOFSL Estimates
3,682
100
3,782
410
3,969
1,690
2,280
4,379
2,643
10,804
13
63.2
53.8
35.3
2,400
50
2,450
370
4,270
1,950
2,320
4,640
471
7,562
13
66.4
61.1
45.7
13,369
270
13,639
1,640
15,622
7,350
8,690
17,262
2,719
33,620
16
65.7
53.0
40.3
10,027
203
10,229
1,492
17,838
8,453
9,385
19,330
2,450
32,009
12
66.9
58.6
43.7
13 November 2020
2
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sun TV Network
Exhibit 1: Valuation based on FY22 EPS
Particulars
EPS (INR)
PE multiple (x)
Target Price (INR)
CMP (INR)
Upside (%)
FY22
41
13
530
443
20%
Source: Company, MOFSL
Exhibit 2: SUNTV: 1-year forward P/E band
P/E (x)
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
Avg (x)
Max (x)
Min (x)
+1SD
-1SD
32.5
24.0
19.2
14.3
9.0
11.2
Source: Company, MOFSL
2QFY21 earnings call highlights
OTT and content
Current focus on blockbuster pipeline:
The current focus remains on the
pipeline of eight blockbusters, scheduled to be released over the next 12
months. Furthermore, there are two upcoming releases on Diwali, of which one
is a low-budget project. After the scheduled releases have happened, the
management would focus on Sun Next original content.
TV shows pipeline:
It is revamping three shows to drive viewership in the Tamil
market, which should bring back viewership to 45–50%. Furthermore, it has a
strong pipeline of shows in all of its markets, so non-performing shows could be
replaced. Only 20% of Tamil content is a private production, while the rest was
produced in-house.
Content rights:
Management sells content rights to cover production cost and
gain slight margins, while it retains digital and broadcasting rights to attain
healthy RoCE on investment.
Capex:
It is looking at the current run-rate of OTT revenue; management is
confident of investing INR2b in OTT annually, without seeing any impact on
profitability. However, this cost should go up when the company completely
transitions to digital. Furthermore, management should spend INR3–4b on eight
blockbuster movies over the next 12 months.
OTT revenue outlook:
OTT is one of the fastest revenue drivers. Management is
looking to move from a flat fee structure to per subscriber with telcos.
Original content:
Sun TV is looking to make 40–50 movies for OTT, post which it
would focus on web series. Management expects to launch the first original web
series by 1Q/2QFY22.
13 November 2020
3
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sun TV Network
OTT subscription:
Currently, Sun Next has 18m active users; the majority of
these are from tie-ups with other players. Hence, organic users account for a
fraction of the total. Subscription charges are INR50/month in India and much
higher in Singapore/Malaysia. In the long run, the management is looking to
make OTT a pure-play subscription model.
Subscription business
Revenue:
DTH revenue declined QoQ due to the monetization of the digital
rights of movies in the last quarter. Cable revenue is not expected to grow, but
DTH should show double-digit growth within the next one year. Overall,
subscription revenue should grow in the double digits, excluding OTT
subscription revenue.
NTO 2.0 impact:
Sun TV would see marginal impact if NTO 2.0 is implemented.
Advertisement
Revenue outlook:
Advertisement revenue has seen sharp recovery, with 80% of
pre-COVID levels achieved in Oct’20. However, the management expects de-
growth in FY21.
Segmental breakup:
Of the total advertisement revenue, national/regional
advertisers contributed 95%/5% in 2QFY21 (historically, regional advertisers
have contributed 33%); FMCG forms 65% of the national advertisers.
IPL
Profit from the event should be significantly lower YoY due to a change in the
title sponsor (INR125m loss), lost ticket revenue (INR250–300m), and higher
operating expenses as the tournament took place in the UAE.
Others
Amortization guidance:
This should be INR3b for FY21; however, it could
increase if a blockbuster releases around Pongal.
Receivables:
To maintain its conservative approach, Sun TV has recognized
provision of INR90m for receivables. However, there is no issue with the quality
of receivables (there were issues with some DTH players, but the company
received the entire dues).
Revenue split:
Advertisement and Broadcasting / International / DTH / Cable /
IPL / Film revenue for 2QFY21 stood at
INR2,450m/INR370m/INR2,320m/INR1,950m/INR450m/INR20m.
13 November 2020
4
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sun TV Network
Exhibit 3: Quarterly Performance (INR m)
INR m
Revenue
Operating expenditure
EBITDA
EBITDA margin (%)
Depreciation & amortization
EBIT
Interest
Other income
PBT
Tax
Effective tax rate (%)
PAT
Adjusted PAT
Revenue Breakup
Advertising
Broadcasting
Total Advertising & Broadcasting
International subscription
Domestic Subscription
- Domestic Cable
- DTH
Total Subscription revenue
Films, IPL and Others
Total
2QFY20
7,739
3,052
4,687
60.6
1,444
3,243
20
721
3,945
280
7.1
3,665
3,665
2QFY20
3,370
80
3,450
410
3,973
1,680
2,290
4,383
-94
7,739
1QFY21
6,061
1,896
4,165
68.7
1,455
2,710
18
1,086
3,779
951
25.2
2,828
2,828
1QFY21
1,210
50
1,260
378
4,423
2,260
2,160
4,801
1
6,061
2QFY21
7,562
2,541
5,020
66.4
913
4,108
16
516
4,607
1,148
24.9
3,459
3,459
2QFY21
2,400
50
2,450
370
4,270
1,950
2,320
4,640
471
7,562
YoY%
-2.3
-16.7
7.1
583bps
-36.8
26.6
-21.2
-28.5
16.8
310.4
1783bps
-5.6
-5.6
YoY%
-28.8
-37.5
-29.0
-9.8
7.5
16.1
1.3
5.9
-602.3
-2.3
QoQ%
24.8
34.0
20.5
-232bps
-37.2
51.6
-11.9
-52.5
21.9
20.8
-24bps
22.3
22.3
QoQ%
98.3
0.0
94.4
-2.1
-3.4
-13.7
7.4
-3.3
94,140.0
24.8
2QFY21E
7,425
2,646
4,778
64.4
1,394
3,384
19
488
3,852
969
25.2
2,883
2,883
v/s est (%)
1.8
-4.0
5.1
203bps
-34.5
21.4
-19.8
5.7
19.6
18.5
-24bps
20.0
20.0
2QFY21E
v/s est (%)
2,528
-5.0
84
-40.5
2,612
-6.2
390
-5.0
4,424
-3.5
2,134
-8.6
2,290
1.3
4,813
-3.6
0
NM
7,425
1.8
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 4: Operating expense breakup (INR m)
Operating Cost
Production cost
Employee cost
Other exp
Total Operating expenses
2QFY20
1551
748
753
3,052
1QFY21
671
731
495
1,896
2QFY21
1,002
724
815
2,541
YoY%
-35.4
-3.3
8.3
-16.7
QoQ%
49.5
-1.0
64.8
34.0
2QFY21E
v/s est (%)
1,318
-24.0
726
-0.3
602
35.3
2,646
-4.0
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 5: Estimate change summary
FY21E
Revenue (INR b)
Old
Actual/New
Change (%)
EBITDA (INR b)
Old
Actual/New
Change (%)
EBITDA margin (%)
Old
Actual/New
Change (bp)
PAT (INR b)
Old
Actual/New
Change (%)
Adj. EPS (INR)
Old
Actual/New
Change (%)
32.0
32.0
0.2
20.1
21.4
6.8
62.7
66.9
418.2
12.5
14.0
11.5
31.8
35.5
11.5
FY22E
38.6
37.7
-2.3
26.0
25.5
-1.9
67.5
67.7
24.0
16.5
16.2
-1.5
41.7
41.1
-1.5
Source: MOFSL, Company
13 November 2020
5
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sun TV Network
Exhibit 6: Sun TV viewership falling in Tamil genre (weekly)
Sun TV
STAR Vijay
60%
40%
20%
KTV
Zee Tamil
Exhibit 7: Gemini TV stands fourth in Telugu genre (weekly)
Gemini TV
Zee Telugu
33%
30%
27%
24%
21%
18%
15%
ETV Telugu
STAR Maa
0%
2018
2019
2020
2018
2019
2020
Source: BARC, MOFSL
Source: BARC, MOFSL
Exhibit 8: Surya TV slips to fourth in Malayalam genre
(weekly)
Asianet
Surya TV
60%
45%
30%
15%
0%
2018
2019
2020
Exhibit 9: Udaya TV slips to fourth in Kannada genre
(weekly)
Colors Kannada
Udaya TV
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2018
2019
2020
Flowers TV
Mazhavil Manorama
Star Suvarna
Zee Kannada
Source: BARC, MOFSL
Source: BARC, MOFSL
Story in charts
Exhibit 10: Standalone revenue down 2.3% YoY
Revenue (INR b)
EBITDA margin (%)
Source: MOFSL, Company
13 November 2020
6
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sun TV Network
Exhibit 11: Trend in revenue mix (%)
12.0
9.0
6.0
3.0
0.0
Ad & Broadcast
International sub
Domestic Cable
DTH
Films and others
-3.0
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 12: Ad revenue trend
Advertising revenue (INR b)
16 16
2 -6 -3
3
-7
-7 -4
7
22 26 20
3
13
YoY growth (%)
Exhibit 13: Broadcasting revenue trend
Broadcast revenue (INR b)
7
0 2 -1
-11-14
-8
-7
-7 -14
-29
6
-15
-8
0
YoY growth (%)
-10
-13
-21-20-23
-27
-32
-67
-38
-50-53
-50
-72-69
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 14: Cable revenue trend
Cable revenues (INR b)
YoY growth (%)
69
37
13 17
0 5
18
29
30
17
39
49
27
4
28 24
21
40
Exhibit 15: DTH revenue trend
DTH revenues (INR b)
13 16 14 15 11
15 12
20
21
19
24
8
-5
4
-11
6
-5
1
YoY growth (%)
74
53
34
16
9 8
10 10
Source: MOFSL, Company
Source: MOFSL, Company
13 November 2020
7
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sun TV Network
Exhibit 16: SUNTV: Snapshot (INR b)
Particulars
- Ad revenue (INR b)
YoY growth (%)
- Broadcast revenue (INR b)
YoY growth (%)
Ad and broadcast revenue (INR b)
YoY growth (%)
- DTH revenue (INR b)
YoY growth (%)
- Cable revenue (INR b)
YoY growth (%)
- International revenue (INR b)
YoY growth (%)
Total Subscription revenue (INR b)
YoY growth (%)
Films, IPL and other revenue (INR b)
YoY growth (%)
Total Revenue (INR b)
YoY growth (%)
EBITDA
YoY growth (%)
EBITDA margin (%)
Revenue mix (%)
Ad and broadcast revenue
Subscription revenue
- DTH
- Analog
- International
Films, IPL and other revenue
Domestic revenue
International revenue
FY16
12.1
7
1.1
-3
13.2
6
5.9
11
2.3
8
1.4
2
9.6
9
1.2
0
24.0
7
17.0
5
70.8
55
40
24
10
6
5
85
15
FY17
11.7
-3
1.0
-8
12.7
-4
6.6
12
2.9
25
1.7
23
11.2
17
1.7
45
25.6
7
17.4
2
67.9
50
44
26
11
7
7
85
15
FY18
13.1
12
0.9
-16
14.0
10
7.5
14
3.9
36
1.7
-3
13.1
17
1.6
-7
28.6
12
19.6
13
68.5
49
46
26
14
6
6
87
13
FY19
14.3
9
0.7
-13
15.0
8
8.6
14
4.6
19
1.8
7
15.0
15
6.6
318
36.6
28
25.6
31
70.0
41
41
23
13
5
18
88
12
FY20
13.4
-6
0.3
-64
13.6
-9
8.7
1
7.4
58
1.6
-8
17.3
15
2.7
-59
34.0
-7
22.4
-13
65.7
40
51
26
22
5
8
93
7
FY21E
10.0
-25
0.2
-25
10.2
-25
9.4
8
8.5
15
1.5
-9
19.3
12
2.5
-10
32.0
-6
21.4
-4
66.9
FY22E
12.5
25
0.2
5
12.7
25
10.3
10
9.3
10
1.5
0
21.1
9
3.8
56
37.7
18
25.5
19
67.7
32
34
60
56
29
27
26
25
5
4
8
10
92
93
8
7
Source: MOFSL, Company
13 November 2020
8
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sun TV Network
Financials and valuations
Standalone - Income Statement
Y/E March
Total Income from Operations
Change (%)
Production Costs
Employees Cost
Other Expenses
Total Expenditure
% of Sales
EBITDA
Margin (%)
Depreciation
EBIT
Int. and Finance Charges
Other Income
PBT bef. EO Exp.
EO Items
PBT after EO Exp.
Total Tax
Tax Rate (%)
Reported PAT
Adjusted PAT
Change (%)
Margin (%)
Standalone - Balance Sheet
Y/E March
Equity Share Capital
Total Reserves
Net Worth
Total Loans
Deferred Tax Liabilities
Capital Employed
Gross Block
Less: Accum. Deprn.
Net Fixed Assets
Capital WIP
Total Investments
Curr. Assets, Loans & Adv.
Account Receivables
Cash and Bank Balance
Loans and Advances
Curr. Liability & Prov.
Account Payables
Other Current Liabilities
Provisions
Net Current Assets
Appl. of Funds
E: MOFSL Estimates
FY15
22,431
7.0
1,692
2,037
2,558
6,288
28.0
16,143
72.0
5,878
10,265
30
879
11,114
0
11,114
3,746
33.7
7,369
7,369
2.8
32.9
FY16
23,952
6.8
1,815
2,359
2,818
6,992
29.2
16,961
70.8
4,850
12,110
22
1,075
13,164
180
13,344
4,646
34.8
8,698
8,581
16.4
35.8
FY17
25,583
6.8
2,165
2,563
3,485
8,213
32.1
17,370
67.9
3,911
13,458
10
1,456
14,903
0
14,903
5,109
34.3
9,794
9,794
14.1
38.3
FY18
28,625
11.9
2,862
2,941
3,227
9,030
31.5
19,595
68.5
4,397
15,198
11
1,397
16,584
0
16,584
5,654
34.1
10,930
10,930
11.6
38.2
FY19
36,633
28.0
4,202
3,006
3,781
10,990
30.0
25,643
70.0
6,467
19,176
17
2,200
21,359
0
21,359
7,411
34.7
13,949
13,949
27.6
38.1
FY20
34,044
-7.1
5,456
2,924
3,304
11,684
34.3
22,361
65.7
6,793
15,567
78
2,489
17,979
0
17,979
4,261
23.7
13,718
13,718
-1.7
40.3
FY21E
32,009
-6.0
3,839
2,924
3,823
10,586
33.1
21,423
66.9
4,888
16,536
78
2,220
18,678
0
18,678
4,689
25.1
13,989
13,989
2.0
43.7
(INR m)
FY22E
37,678
17.7
4,991
3,216
3,965
12,172
32.3
25,506
67.7
6,483
19,023
78
2,700
21,645
0
21,645
5,446
25.2
16,199
16,199
15.8
43.0
(INR m)
FY22E
1,970
61,700
63,670
0
851
64,522
41,372
37,210
4,162
663
37,783
26,403
10,736
10,919
4,733
4,489
1,342
2,901
246
21,914
64,522
FY15
1,970
31,827
33,797
0
221
34,018
38,306
27,563
10,743
5
6,936
18,224
6,835
6,904
4,480
1,890
375
1,448
68
16,334
34,018
FY16
1,970
33,206
35,176
0
219
35,396
15,418
7,089
8,330
6
8,508
20,980
7,329
7,877
5,763
2,428
383
1,906
139
18,552
35,396
FY17
1,970
38,247
40,218
0
556
40,773
19,203
8,183
11,021
15
14,540
17,924
7,238
7,385
3,292
2,726
497
2,034
195
15,198
40,773
FY18
1,970
44,430
46,401
0
770
47,170
22,972
12,579
10,393
442
24,121
16,949
10,084
3,071
3,791
4,734
577
4,000
157
12,215
47,170
FY19
1,970
52,435
54,405
0
1,056
55,461
28,402
19,046
9,356
133
30,505
20,700
10,790
4,709
5,199
5,233
1,986
3,073
174
15,468
55,461
FY20
1,970
54,271
56,241
0
851
57,092
33,372
23,909
9,463
663
29,490
23,552
13,100
5,288
5,164
6,074
2,771
3,094
209
17,477
57,092
FY21E
1,970
56,880
58,850
0
851
59,702
37,372
30,727
6,645
663
37,783
18,425
9,120
5,271
4,021
3,814
1,140
2,465
209
14,611
59,702
13 November 2020
9
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sun TV Network
Financials and valuations
Ratios
Y/E March
Basic (INR)
EPS
Cash EPS
BV/Share
DPS
Payout (%)
Valuation (x)
P/E
Cash P/E
P/BV
EV/Sales
EV/EBITDA
Dividend Yield (%)
FCF per share
Return Ratios (%)
RoE
RoCE
RoIC
Working Capital Ratios
Fixed Asset Turnover (x)
Asset Turnover (x)
Inventory (Days)
Debtor (Days)
Creditor (Days)
Leverage Ratio (x)
Current Ratio
Net Debt/Equity
Standalone - Cash Flow Statement
Y/E March
OP/(Loss) before Tax
Depreciation
Interest & Finance Charges
Direct Taxes Paid
(Inc)/Dec in WC
CF from Operations
Others
CF from Operating incl EO
(Inc)/Dec in FA
Free Cash Flow
(Pur)/Sale of Investments
Others
CF from Investments
Issue of Shares
Inc/(Dec) in Debt
Interest Paid
Dividend Paid
Others
CF from Fin. Activity
Inc/Dec of Cash
Opening Balance (excl other bank bal)
Other bank balance
Closing Balance (incl other bank bal)
FY15
18.7
33.6
85.8
11.3
69.5
23.7
13.2
5.2
7.2
10.0
2.5
17.8
22.5
22.6
34.2
0.6
0.7
0
111
6
9.6
-0.4
FY16
21.8
34.1
89.3
15.5
84.3
20.3
13.0
5.0
6.9
9.7
3.5
22.4
24.9
24.9
40.3
1.6
0.7
0
112
6
8.6
-0.5
FY17
24.9
34.8
102.1
10.0
48.4
17.8
12.7
4.3
6.2
9.2
2.3
23.5
26.0
26.0
46.7
1.3
0.6
0
103
7
6.6
-0.5
FY18
27.7
38.9
117.7
10.0
43.4
16.0
11.4
3.8
5.4
7.9
2.3
21.5
25.2
25.3
52.2
1.2
0.6
0
129
7
3.6
-0.6
FY19
35.4
51.8
138.1
12.5
40.8
12.5
8.6
3.2
4.0
5.7
2.8
31.2
27.7
27.7
63.2
1.3
0.7
0
108
20
4.0
-0.6
FY20
34.8
52.0
142.7
25.0
82.9
12.7
8.5
3.1
4.3
6.6
5.6
24.2
24.8
24.9
56.9
1.0
0.6
0
140
30
3.9
-0.6
FY21E
35.5
47.9
149.3
25.0
81.3
12.5
9.2
3.0
4.3
6.5
5.6
44.4
24.3
24.4
65.8
0.9
0.5
0
104
13
4.8
-0.7
FY22E
41.1
57.6
161.6
25.0
70.2
10.8
7.7
2.7
4.3
6.4
5.6
36.6
26.4
26.5
91.4
0.9
0.6
0
104
13
5.9
-0.8
(INR m)
FY22E
21,645
6,483
78
-5,446
-1,654
21,106
-2,700
18,406
-4,000
14,406
0
2,700
-1,300
0
0
-78
-11,379
0
-11,457
5,649
4,007
1,263
10,919
FY15
11,120
5,878
18
-3,761
-1,174
12,080
-673
11,407
-4,375
7,033
-169
-440
-4,983
0
0
-18
-6,331
0
-6,348
74
338
6,492
6,904
FY16
13,163
4,850
22
-4,550
-260
13,225
-665
12,560
-3,713
8,847
213
-93
-3,592
0
0
-20
-7,352
0
-7,372
1,597
3,932
2,346
7,875
FY17
14,904
3,911
10
-4,877
-14
13,934
-1,027
12,907
-3,658
9,249
-4,774
1,301
-7,132
0
0
-10
-4,743
0
-4,753
1,022
5,529
833
7,385
FY18
16,584
4,397
11
-5,409
-1,086
14,497
-1,059
13,438
-4,977
8,460
-9,083
1,403
-12,658
0
0
-11
-4,743
0
-4,754
-3,969
6,551
488
3,071
FY19
21,359
6,467
17
-7,226
-848
19,769
-1,997
17,772
-5,479
12,293
-5,654
482
-10,651
0
0
-17
-5,939
0
-5,955
1,164
2,583
962
4,708
FY20
17,989
6,793
78
-4,254
-2,618
17,988
-1,885
16,103
-6,579
9,524
1,091
1,814
-3,675
0
0
-291
-11,877
17
-12,151
278
3,747
1,263
5,288
FY21E
18,678
4,888
78
-4,689
2,848
21,802
-2,220
19,582
-2,070
17,513
-8,293
2,220
-8,143
0
0
-78
-11,379
0
-11,457
-17
4,025
1,263
5,271
13 November 2020
10
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sun TV Network
Explanation of Investment Rating
Investment Rating
Expected return (over 12-month)
BUY
>=15%
SELL
< - 10%
NEUTRAL
< - 10 % to 15%
UNDER REVIEW
Rating may undergo a change
NOT RATED
We have forward looking estimates for the stock but we refrain from assigning recommendation
*In case the recommendation given by the Research Analyst is inconsistent with the investment rating legend for a continuous period of 30 days, the Research Analyst shall within
following 30 days take appropriate measures to make the recommendation consistent with the investment rating legend.
Disclosures
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations).
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (MOFSL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000412. MOFSL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the
Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Investment Advisory Services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial
products. MOFSL is a subsidiary company of Passionate Investment Management Pvt. Ltd.. (PIMPL). MOFSL is a listed public company, the details in respect of which are
available on www.motilaloswal.com. MOFSL (erstwhile Motilal Oswal Securities Limited - MOSL) is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and is a
registered Trading Member with National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (BSE), Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) and
National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) for its stock broking activities & is Depository participant with Central Depository Services Limited (CDSL) National
Securities Depository Limited (NSDL),NERL, COMRIS and CCRL and is member of Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and Insurance
Regulatory & Development Authority of India (IRDA) as Corporate Agent for insurance products.
Details of associate entities of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited are
available on the website at
http://onlinereports.motilaloswal.com/Dormant/documents/List%20of%20Associate%20companies.pdf
MOFSL and its associate company(ies), their directors and Research Analyst and their relatives may; (a) from time to time, have a long or short position in, act as principal in, and
buy or sell the securities or derivatives thereof of companies mentioned herein. (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other
compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have
any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions.; however the same shall have no bearing whatsoever on the
specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the associates of MOFSL even
though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest in some of the stocks mentioned in the research report
MOFSL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients of this report
should be aware that MOFSL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific
merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. Details of pending Enquiry Proceedings of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited are available on the
website at
https://galaxy.motilaloswal.com/ResearchAnalyst/PublishViewLitigation.aspx
A graph of daily closing prices of securities is available at
www.nseindia.com, www.bseindia.com.
Research Analyst views on Subject Company may vary based on Fundamental
research and Technical Research. Proprietary trading desk of MOFSL or its associates maintains arm’s length distance with Research Team as all the activities are segregated
from MOFSL research activity and therefore it can have an independent view with regards to Subject Company for which Research Team have expressed their views.
Regional Disclosures (outside India)
This report is not directed or intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity resident in a state, country or any jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability
or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject MOFSL & its group companies to registration or licensing requirements within such jurisdictions.
For Hong Kong:
This report is distributed in Hong Kong by Motilal Oswal capital Markets (Hong Kong) Private Limited, a licensed corporation (CE AYY-301) licensed and regulated by the Hong
Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) pursuant to the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong) “SFO”. As per SEBI (Research Analyst
Regulations) 2014 Motilal Oswal Securities (SEBI Reg No. INH000000412) has an agreement with Motilal Oswal capital Markets (Hong Kong) Private Limited for distribution of
research report in Hong Kong. This report is intended for distribution only to “Professional Investors” as defined in Part I of Schedule 1 to SFO. Any investment or investment activity
to which this document relates is only available to professional investor and will be engaged only with professional investors.” Nothing here is an offer or solicitation of these
securities, products and services in any jurisdiction where their offer or sale is not qualified or exempt from registration. The Indian Analyst(s) who compile this report is/are not
located in Hong Kong & are not conducting Research Analysis in Hong Kong.
For U.S.
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) is not a registered broker - dealer under the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the"1934 act") and under
applicable state laws in the United States. In addition MOFSL is not a registered investment adviser under the U.S. Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended (the "Advisers
Act" and together with the 1934 Act, the "Acts), and under applicable state laws in the United States. Accordingly, in the absence of specific exemption under the Acts, any
brokerage and investment services provided by MOFSL , including the products and services described herein are not available to or intended for U.S. persons. This report is
intended for distribution only to "Major Institutional Investors" as defined by Rule 15a-6(b)(4) of the Exchange Act and interpretations thereof by SEC (henceforth referred to as
"major institutional investors"). This document must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not major institutional investors. Any investment or investment activity to which
this document relates is only available to major institutional investors and will be engaged in only with major institutional investors. In reliance on the exemption from registration
provided by Rule 15a-6 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act") and interpretations thereof by the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission ("SEC") in order to conduct business with Institutional Investors based in the U.S., MOFSL has entered into a chaperoning agreement with a U.S. registered broker-
dealer, Motilal Oswal Securities International Private Limited. ("MOSIPL"). Any business interaction pursuant to this report will have to be executed within the provisions of this
chaperoning agreement.
The Research Analysts contributing to the report may not be registered /qualified as research analyst with FINRA. Such research analyst may not be associated persons of the U.S.
registered broker-dealer, MOSIPL, and therefore, may not be subject to NASD rule 2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communication with a subject company, public
appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
For Singapore
In Singapore, this report is being distributed by Motilal Oswal Capital Markets Singapore Pte Ltd (“MOCMSPL”) (Co.Reg. NO. 201129401Z) which is a holder of a capital markets
services license and an exempt financial adviser in Singapore.As per the approved agreement under Paragraph 9 of Third Schedule of Securities and Futures Act (CAP 289) and
Paragraph 11 of First Schedule of Financial Advisors Act (CAP 110) provided to MOCMSPL by Monetary Authority of Singapore. Persons in Singapore should contact MOCMSPL
in respect of any matter arising from, or in connection with this report/publication/communication. This report is distributed solely to persons who qualify as “Institutional Investors”,
of which some of whom may consist of "accredited" institutional investors as defined in section 4A(1) of the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore (“the
SFA”). Accordingly, if a Singapore person is not or ceases to be such an institutional investor, such Singapore Person must immediately discontinue any use of this Report and
inform MOCMSPL.
Specific Disclosures
1 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives does not have financial interest in the subject company, as they do not have equity holdings in the subject company.
2 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in the subject company
3 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives have not received compensation/other benefits from the subject company in the past 12 months
4 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives do not have material conflict of interest in the subject company at the time of publication of research report
5 Research Analyst has not served as director/officer/employee in the subject company
6 MOFSL has not acted as a manager or co-manager of public offering of securities of the subject company in past 12 months
7 MOFSL has not received compensation for investment banking/ merchant banking/brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months
8 MOFSL has not received compensation for other than investment banking/merchant banking/brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months
9 MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
10 MOFSL has not engaged in market making activity for the subject company
13 November 2020
11
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sun TV Network
********************************************************************************************************************************
The associates of MOFSL may have:
- financial interest in the subject company
- actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in the subject company
- received compensation/other benefits from the subject company in the past 12 months
- other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions.; however the same shall have no bearing whatsoever on the
specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the associates of MOFSL even
though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest in some of the stocks mentioned in the research report.
- acted as a manager or co-manager of public offering of securities of the subject company in past 12 months
- be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the
company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies)
- received compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months for investment banking / merchant banking / brokerage services or from other than said services.
The associates of MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
Above disclosures include beneficial holdings lying in demat account of MOFSL which are opened for proprietary investments only. While calculating beneficial holdings, It does not
consider demat accounts which are opened in name of MOFSL for other purposes (i.e holding client securities, collaterals, error trades etc.). MOFSL also earns DP income from
clients which are not considered in above disclosures.
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issues, and no part of the compensation of the
research analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations and views expressed by research analyst(s) in this report.
Terms & Conditions:
This report has been prepared by MOFSL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and
may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent
of MOFSL. The report is based on the facts, figures and information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not recommendatory in
nature. The information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty,
representation of warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. The
report is prepared solely for informational purpose and does not constitute an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial
instruments for the clients. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. MOFSL will not treat recipients as
customers by virtue of their receiving this report.
Disclaimer:
The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or
distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent. This report and information herein is solely for
informational purpose and may not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Nothing
in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific circumstances.
The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment
objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this
document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this
document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. The investment discussed or views
expressed may not be suitable for all investors. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options, another derivative products as well as non-investment grade
securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of
the information and opinions contained in this document. The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and
should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. This information is subject to change without any prior notice. The Company reserves the right to make
modifications and alternations to this statement as may be required from time to time without any prior approval. MOFSL, its associates, their directors and the employees may from
time to time, effect or have effected an own account transaction in, or deal as principal or agent in or for the securities mentioned in this document. They may perform or seek to
perform investment banking or other services for, or solicit investment banking or other business from, any company referred to in this report. Each of these entities functions as a
separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting the document. This report has been prepared on the basis of
information that is already available in publicly accessible media or developed through analysis of MOFSL. The views expressed are those of the analyst, and the Company may or
may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on,
directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, copied, in whole or in part, for any purpose. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or
entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law,
regulation or which would subject MOFSL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in
all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction.
Neither the Firm, not its directors, employees, agents or representatives shall be liable for any damages whether direct or indirect, incidental, special or consequential including lost
revenue or lost profits that may arise from or in connection with the use of the information.
The person accessing this information specifically agrees to exempt MOFSL or any of its
affiliates or employees from, any and all responsibility/liability arising from such misuse and agrees not to hold MOFSL or any of its affiliates or employees responsible for any such
misuse and further agrees to hold MOFSL or any of its affiliates or employees free and harmless from all losses, costs, damages,
expenses that may be suffered by the person
accessing this information due to any errors and delays.
Registered Office Address: Motilal Oswal Tower, Rahimtullah Sayani Road, Opposite Parel ST Depot, Prabhadevi, Mumbai-400025; Tel No.: 022 71934200/ 022-71934263;
Website
www.motilaloswal.com.CIN
no.: L67190MH2005PLC153397.Correspondence Office Address: Palm Spring Centre, 2nd Floor, Palm Court Complex, New Link Road,
Malad(West), Mumbai- 400 064. Tel No: 022 7188 1000.
Registration Nos.: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL)*: INZ000158836(BSE/NSE/MCX/NCDEX); CDSL and NSDL: IN-DP-16-2015; Research Analyst:
INH000000412. AMFI: ARN - 146822; Investment Adviser: INA000007100; Insurance Corporate Agent: CA0579;PMS:INP000006712. Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company
Ltd. (MOAMC): PMS (Registration No.: INP000000670); PMS and Mutual Funds are offered through MOAMC which is group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Wealth
Management Ltd. (MOWML): PMS (Registration No.: INP000004409) is offered through MOWML, which is a group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is
a distributor of Mutual Funds, PMS, Fixed Deposit, Bond, NCDs,Insurance Products and IPOs.Real Estate is offered through Motilal Oswal Real Estate Investment Advisors II Pvt.
Ltd. which is a group company of MOFSL. Private Equity is offered through Motilal Oswal Private Equity Investment Advisors Pvt. Ltd which is a group company of MOFSL.
Research & Advisory services is backed by proper research. Please read the Risk Disclosure Document prescribed by the Stock Exchanges carefully before investing. There is no
assurance or guarantee of the returns. Investment in securities market is subject to market risk, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Details of Compliance
Officer: Name: Neeraj Agarwal, Email ID: na@motilaloswal.com, Contact No.:022-71881085.
* MOSL has been amalgamated with Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) w.e.f August 21, 2018 pursuant to order dated July 30, 2018 issued by Hon'ble National
Company Law Tribunal, Mumbai Bench.
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