6 May 2021
Annual Report Update | Sector: Oil & Gas
Castrol (India)
Buy
BSE SENSEX
48,950
S&P CNX
14,725
CMP: INR125
TP: INR170 (+36%)
Demand to revive as economy opens up
Castrol India (CSTRL)’s CY20 performance remained largely unhindered by declining IIP
levels and muted customer off-take, with the company delivering a resilient performance
for the year. Here are the key insights from CSTRL’s CY20 Annual Report:
CSTRL’s gross profit declined 19% in CY20 (v/s CY19) due to lower volumes, weighed
by disruptions caused by the pandemic and economic slowdown.
Operating and other expenses fell by INR600m in CY20, driven by the company’s
judicious cost management and efficiency programs – which led to robust working
capital management.
In CY20, CSTRL reported PAT decline of ~30% YoY amid the pandemic (against PAT
CAGR of ~8% over CY10-19). Building on its positive long-term outlook, the company
continues to drive growth in the personal mobility segment on the back of its wide
distribution reach and strong brand building. We reiterate buy and value the stock at
20x CY22E EPS to arrive at a TP of INR170/share.
Stock Info
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
12M Avg Val (INR M)
Free float (%)
o
CSTRL IN
989
124 / 1.7
140 / 104
2/-5/-49
194
49.0
Continued efforts to expand product portfolio in CY20
Financials Snapshot (INR b)
Y/E Dec
2020 2021E 2021E
Sales
30.0
38.1
39.6
EBITDA
8.1
11.6
11.7
PAT
5.8
8.4
8.4
EPS (INR)
5.9
8.5
8.5
EPS Gr. (%)
-29.6
44.8
-0.2
BV/Sh.(INR)
14.3
16.0
17.7
Ratios
Net D:E
-0.9
-0.9
-0.9
RoE (%)
41.9
56.3
50.5
RoCE (%)
42.1
56.4
50.6
Payout (%)
93.3
80.0
80.0
Valuations
P/E (x)
21.4
14.8
14.8
P/BV (x)
8.8
7.9
7.1
EV/EBITDA (x)
13.7
9.5
9.3
Div. Yield (%)
4.4
5.4
5.4
FCF Yield (%)
6.8
6.4
6.4
Shareholding pattern (%)
As On
Mar-21 Dec-20 Mar-20
Promoter
51.0
51.0
51.0
DII
16.7
17.3
18.3
FII
11.6
12.0
11.8
Others
20.7
19.7
18.8
FII Includes depository receipts
The company continued to introduce BS VI ready products across categories in
CY20. It also launched BS VI compliant products for new next-generation cars
in the OEM space.
The focus was on manufacturing Castrol GTX SUV and the POWER1 Ultimate
range, among other products, that find use in various applications across India.
It also introduced new products such as Ilocut 1945, Iloform BWN 320,
Techniclean HP, and Rustilo DW 310 in the Industrial and HD spaces.
The company pursued growth opportunities and launched new products in
Cruiser Bikes (Castrol Activ Cruise) in CY20 as well as introduced a fully
synthetic performance oil range (Castrol POWER1 Ultimate) in the Premium
segment in 2Ws to expand its product portfolio.
Strong opportunity in Lubricants/Non-Lubricants
In CY20, the company focused on the CI4+ segment within Trucks (improved
portfolio and sustained brand-building efforts) as this is the fastest growing
segment in the Commercial Vehicles category.
CSTRL became the first company to have BS VI compliant products across
categories of automotive lubricants – as it looks to take advantage of further
enhanced technologies within this space.
In the newly launched Jio-BP retail network, the company’s lubricants were
available across over 1,350 Jio-BP sites within just six months of the alliance
(and at ~1,400 Jio-BP sites at the end of 1QCY21). The products saw good
uptake, which has ensured a much wider reach.
The company entered into a strategic collaboration with 3M Ltd in CY20 for a
range of quality vehicle-care products for the automotive aftermarket – it
seeks to diversify into categories outside of Lubricants for further growth
opportunities.
Swarnendu Bhushan- Research Analyst
(Swarnendu.Bhushan@MotilalOswal.com)
Sarfraz Bhimani - Research Analyst
(Sarfraz.Bhimani@MotilalOswal.com)
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.