6 February 2024
Quess Corp
3QFY24 Results Update | Sector: Staffing
Quess Corp
Neutral
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
12M Avg Val (INR M)
CMP: INR503
TP: INR560 (+11%)
Good margin performance on muted revenue growth
Maintain Neutral rating as we await recovery in WFM
QUESS IN
148
74.7 / 0.9
539 / 337
-1/7/15
193
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
Y/E Mar
2024E 2025E 2026E
Sales
192.3 222.7 262.8
EBITA Margin (%)
3.6
4.4
4.7
Adj. PAT
3.1
5.0
6.9
Adj. EPS (INR)
20.6
33.6
46.4
EPS Gr. (%)
79.4
63.5
38.0
BV/Sh. (INR)
234.1 260.3 302.3
Ratios
RoE (%)
11.8
17.9
21.7
RoCE (%)
13.3
18.5
21.9
Payout (%)
77.8
47.6
34.5
Dividend Yield (%)
3.2
3.2
3.2
Valuations
P/E (x)
24.5
15.0
10.8
P/BV (x)
2.1
1.9
1.7
EV/EBITDA (x)
11.0
7.7
5.8
EV/Sales (x)
0.4
0.3
0.3
Shareholding pattern (%)
As On
Promoter
DII
FII
Others
51.9
8.1
21.8
18.3
Dec-23 Sep-23 Dec-22
56.7
56.7
10.7
10.2
16.3
16.9
16.4
18.9
FII Includes depository receipts
QUESS delivered revenue growth of 8.4% YoY in 3QFY24, below our estimate
of 12.7% YoY. The headcount addition was strong at ~10k net, but lower
than ~22k net additions in 2Q. EBITDA margin at 3.7% (+40bp YoY) was
above our estimate, aided by a strong margin expansion in the GTM (+180bp
YoY) and PLB (+1040bp) businesses.
Revenue growth in 3Q was modest, due to weaker end demand and account
rationalization. Moreover, while its general staffing business continued to
add headcount (+13k QoQ), the tough 3QFY23 base resulted in slow YoY
growth in low teens. We expect growth to improve from FY25 onward as
GTS and OAM growth start normalizing after bottoming out in FY24E. We
estimate a revenue CAGR of 17.0% over FY24-26.
More importantly, QUESS delivered good EBITDA margin improvement, up
40bp YoY, aided by strong margin improvement in GTM and PLB. The
company delivered strong margin improvement despite persistent pressure
on the WFM vertical, which is facing margin headwind across the industry.
For the PLB and American operations, the management has reiterated its
guidance of achieving the EBITDA breakeven by 4QFY24.
We expect these investments to aid margins in FY25; hence, we raise our
margin estimates to account for better profitability. Accordingly, we expect a
PAT CAGR of 50% over FY24-26, on a low FY24 base (driven by 100bp PAT
margin improvement from 1.6% in FY24).
Though QUESS should benefit from medium-term tailwinds of formalization
and labor reforms, the growth has already been factored into the valuations.
We reiterate our Neutral
rating due to full valuations, taxation concerns,
and weak macro. Our TP of INR560 implies P/E of 12x FY26E EPS.
Revenue grew 8.4% YoY, below our expectation of 12.7% YoY growth.
Workforce management grew 11.8% YoY. Operating asset management
grew 0.8% YoY and GTS grew by 4.9% YoY. The product-led business was
weak, down 12.7% YoY.
EBITDA margin was up 40bp YoY at 3.7%, 10bp above our estimate of 3.6%.
GTS EBITTDA margin expanded 220bp YoY, while WFM margin was down
20bp YoY.
Adj. PAT increased by 142.7% YoY to INR838m vs. our estimate of INR863m,
largely due to lower other income (net).
Reported PAT at INR639m was down 27.4% YoY due to a one-off expense of
INR199m, attributed to impairment related to goodwill and other assets.
QUESS overall added strong 10k in headcount and added 14k workforce to
its workforce management business.
The board has approved an interim dividend of INR4 per share.
Miss on revenues, strong execution on margins
Mukul Garg – Research analyst
(Mukul.Garg@MotilalOswal.com)
Pritesh Thakkar – Research analyst
(Pritesh.Thakkar@MotilalOswal.com)
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.