MOSt Rollover Report
Date:
Friday, June 28, 2013
Below average June Rollovers for Nifty at 44%, Stock futures at 75%.
Nifty Rollovers
Exchange
NSE
SGX
Nifty OI Vs Index
NSE OI
SGX OI
Nifty
Rollovers(%)
44%
83%
3M Avg.
54%
77%
Roll Spread (3MA)
9bps (34bps)
8bps (38bps)
Open Interest
12.8mn
27.3mn
OI Ch.
-31%
-16%
Nifty futures saw additions on the short side post midmonth breach of 5900 with
reasonable proportions.
60
40
20
0
6500
6000
5500
5000
4500
However record low rollovers leads to one of the lowest opening participation for
Nifty on NSE.
In the last week of expiry we did see some shifts from NSE to SGX and we had higher
rollovers but proved inadequate for additons EoE.
At this juncture Nifty futures open interest turns phenomenally low after a fall, which
the evidences suggest is an indication for a possible reversal. With heavily built 5600
& 5500 Puts, The outlook turns bullish till 5500 holds.
Stock Rollovers
Sector Rollovers Vs. 3M Avg.
Notble Sectors EoE
Telecom:
Long additions in Idea and Rcom, while Bharti saw long unwinding.
Oil & Gas:
Refiners added longs, while rest of the sector saw unwinding.
IT:
Longs TechM & HCLTech, while the rest of the sector remains light after Short
Covering last expiry.
PSU Financials:
Short Rollovers continue in the sector but excessive price damage
has refrained fresh additions in some smaller banks.
Metals & Realty:
Short rollovers with fresh Shorts in June Expiry, keeps outlook
negative, but significant price damage may lead to short covering rally.
15.0
5.0
-5.0
-15.0
-25.0
EoE Price(%)
EoE OI (%)