MOSt Market Roundup
Date: Monday October 17, 2011
Daily Technical Analysis
Equity Market
Cash Volumes (Rs in Crores)
Exchange
BSE (Cash)
NSE (Cash)
Derivatives (NSE)
Advance / Decline
Group
Advance
Decline
Unchanged
Top Index Gainers
Scrip
TATAMOTORS
CAIRN
MARUTI
AMBUJACEM
DLF
Top Index Losers
Scrip
RELIANCE
BPCL
NTPC
BHEL
SIEMENS
LTP
832.85
630.80
167.50
325.25
824.50
% Change
-3.93
-3.76
-3.12
-2.42
-2.40
LTP
187.55
299.40
1056.00
152.90
236.00
% Change
4.17
3.96
2.80
2.51
1.90
Sensex
17
13
00
BSE 200
83
112
00
Today
2444
9143
107899
Pev. Day
2698
9930
112440
Sensex
Dealer's Diary
17,025.09
57.60
Nifty
5,118.25
14.05
The Sensex declined by 58 points to close at 17025. There was profit booking in the
market after rally worth 800 points during the last week. Reliance was the biggest loser
in the Sensex to pull down the market. The scrip declined by 4% due to lower than
expected Q2 GRM. There was stock specific buying amid thin volumes. Small cap
index ended with marginal gains and traders witnessed some focus in mid-cap and
small counters.
Global markets witnessed smart rally with Asian markets surging over 1% and European
markets advanced over 1% on expectation of some stability in the European nations
after G20 finance chiefs endorsed parts of a plan to contain Europe's debt crisis. Oil &
Gas, Capital Goods and Power stocks witnessed profit booking while Auto, Consumer
Durable and Bank stocks gained modestly.
Oil & Gas stocks witnessed (Index down 2.3%) biggest loser today due to Reliance
declined by 4%. Oil marketing companies like HPCL, BPCL and IOC slipped by 4%
while oil producing company Cairn India surged by 4% due to uptrend Brent Crude
which is hovering at $112/bbl, up by 2%.
Capital Goods stocks (Index down 1.5%) witnessed sharp declined due to poor order
inflow. L&T slipped by 2% to close at 1380. Others like BHEL and BGR Energy declined
by 2% each.
Auto stocks (Index up 1.6%) witnessed fresh buying. Maruti recovered by 4% from
the intra-day low of 1010 after the report of Gurgaon plant has stared operation. Tata
Motors surged over 4% to close at Rs188 due to impressive 42% YoY JLR sales
growth during the month of September.
Select Banking stocks witnessed fresh buying (Index up 0.6%). Private Banks major
Axis Bank and ICICI Bank gained by 1-2%. HDFC reported Q2 net profit of Rs9.71bn,
up 20% YoY. The scrip gained by 1% to close at Rs673.
Nifty Futures Oct (LTP)
Dealer's Diary
5,122.00
21.35
Premium
3.75
Derivative Market
Daily Technical Analysis
Derivative Volumes (Rs in Crores)
Exchange
Index Futures
Stock Futures
Index Options
Stock Options
F&O Total
Total
No. of
Contracts
456792
496093
3157466
145813
4256164
8512328
Turn
Over
10891
12478
80786
3762
107916
215831
Put Call
Ratio
-
-
1.12
0.56
1.09
Nifty ended down 14 points at 5118 as Reliance results failed to cheer markets with
stock ending down 3.8%, highest loser in Nifty in today's trade Cairn India moved up
3.5% on higher crude prices in the last week. Nifty 5100 and 5200 CE OI increased by
30% and 16% indicating upisdes capped at 5250-5300 levels in the current expiry. If
Nifty fails to cross 5170-5200 levels in next few days than we can head again for 4900
levels in the downward move.
Most Active Stock Future
Stock
Futures
RIL OCT FUT
ICICI OCT FUT
SBI OCT FUT
Price
435.6
895.0
1887.0
No. of Contracts
Vol
OI
26407
18463
32752
26455
53554
48416
47508
42944
Most Active Nifty Calls
Index
Option
OCT 5100 CE
OCT 5200 CE
OCT 5400 CE
Most Active Nifty Puts
Index
Option
OCT 5100 PE
OCT 5000 PE
OCT 4900 PE
OCT 4800 PE
Price No. of Contracts
Vol
OI
79.70
34.70
3.70
431388 109432
405012 147921
247012 124638
105891
83443
Price
60.55
31.10
15.85
8.45
No. of Contracts
Vol
OI
498336
308490
178535
178083
86534
130738
122071
176456
OCT 5300 CE 11.65
TATA MOTOR OCT FUT186.6

MOSt Market Roundup
Date: Monday October 17, 2011
Equity Market
News
Corporate
Daily Technical Analysis
Global Indices*
Indices
DOW FUT
NASDAQ FUT
FTSE
HANG SENG
LME Rates*
Indices
Copper
Aluminum
Zinc
Commodity*
Indices
Brent Crude
Gold
Silver
Currency*
V/S INR
Dollar
Euro
Pound
Yen
Closing Price
48.95
67.49
77.05
0.633
Change(%)
0.15
0.42
0.30
0.01
Closing Price
111.59
1682
32.18
Change(%)
-0.59
0.20
0.22
Closing Price
7585
2235
1919
Change(%)
0.53
0.33
-0.66
Closing Price
11555
2365
5489
18874
Change(%)
-0.17
-0.10
0.52
2.01
Sensex
16341.7
200.03
Sensex
16341.7
200.03
HDFC Q2 net profit Rs9.71bn (up 20%), loan growth 25%, NIM 4.3%, spread
2.8%, gain on sale of investment Rs868.80mn (up 47%) and Total Revenue
Rs40.80bn (up 40%)..
Zee Entertainment consolidated Q2 net profit Rs1.60bn (up 27%) and income
Rs7.18bn (up 1%)..
Jyothy Labs bought 12.1% of Henkal India via open offer..
Final decision on STT rationalization on November 4,
Persistent Systems Q2 consolidated net profit Rs324.1mn (down 9% YoY) and
sales Rs2.38bn (up 27%)..
Reliance Power redeems $229 of bonds due October 17 ..
Areva T&D wins a 420KV GIS substation contract from BHEL..
JSW Energy achieves full commercial operation at Ratnagiri plant..
Maruti says Manesar plant in limited production and Gurgaon plant has begun
operation..
South India Bank Q2 net profit Rs949.50bn (up 24.4%) and NII Rs2.59bn
(up 31%)..
Wholesale and ex-factory sugar prices have moved up by 3-5% after three to
four months due to good demand during the festival seasons…
NIIT has sold its US based subsidiary, Element K. to SkillSoft for $110mn in an
all-cash deal. NIIT had acquired the company for $35mn in 2006…
LME
Copper rose to the highest price in almost three weeks in London on optimism
Europe's sovereign-debt crisis will be contained, supporting demand for raw
materials. Copper and Aluminum gained marginally while Zinc declined by 1%
against the previous day's close.
Global markets
Asian stocks biggest weekly gain since March on the region's benchmark index,
after Group of 20 finance chiefs meeting in Paris endorsed parts of a plan to
contain Europe's debt crisis. Hang Sang, Nikkei and China gained by 1.5%, 2%
and 0.4% respectively against the previous day's close.
U.K. stocks rose for a second day, extending the FTSE 100 Index's longest
stretch of weekly gains since April, after Group of 20 finance chiefs endorsed
parts of a plan to contain Europe's debt crisis. FTSE, DAX and CAC gained
marginally after intar-day surged over 1% each against the previous days' close.
Note - *Data as of today, 5P.M.
Data Announcement
US
Bloomberg Survey
0.2%
77.5%
Prior
0.2%
77.4%
Industrial Production
Capacity utilization
Expected Q2FY12 Results (Tomorrow)
MOSL Estimates
Chg %
Name of the Company
Chennai Petro
HCL Tech
Patni Computer
Petronet
Hero M otocorp
Jindal Steel
IndusInd Bank
Period
Q2FY12
Q1FY12
Q3CY11
Q2FY12
Q2FY12
Q2FY12
Q2Y12
y-o-y/
q-o-q
YoY
QoQ
QoQ
YoY
YoY
YoY
YoY
Net Sales/
Revenues
Rs in mn
115237.0
46410.0
8547.0
51851.0
56640.0
28128.0
4030.0
41.9
7.9
4.0
69.6
25.6
20.0
22.2
Chg %
EBDITA
Rs in mn
3738.0
7032.0
1124.0
4380.0
7966.0
10485.0
3281.0
EBDITA
Margin
%
3.2
15.2
13.2
8.4
14.1
37.3
PAT
Rs in mn
1576.0
4300.0
749.0
2401.0
5372.0
5559.0
1835.0
Chg %
61.2
-12.5
-15.7
83.1
6.2
16.3
37.8
Full Year
(E) EPS
37.6
29.4
27.6
12.6
113.3
42.8
16.1
Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd., Palm Spring Centre, 2nd floor, Palm Court Complex, New Link Road, Malad (W), Mumbai - 64.

MOSt Market Roundup
Date: Monday October 17, 2011
Technical Commentary
Daily Technical Analysis
The Nifty once again failed to cross the 2 month high resistance of 5150 to 5170, which remains the level to cross for further upsides. The
immediate support is the 3 day low at 5060 and further at around the 5000 levels from the 50dma. The 14 day RSI is at 57, while the 14 week
RSI is at 46. The Daily Parabolic SAR is indicating an uptrend with reversal at 4832, while the 12 day ROC is positive at 3%.
Daily Technical
Recommendations
Follow up - Open
Analysis
Date
BTST/STBT#
17-Oct
17-Oct
Positional Call#
13-Oct
13-Oct
17-Oct
17-Oct
17-Oct
Option Strategy#
28-Sep
3-Oct
3-Oct
3-Oct
10-Oct
11-Oct
11-Oct
11-Oct
17-Oct
17-Oct
JPASSOCIAT 70 PE
NIFTY 4800 PE
NIFTY 4500 PE
NIFTY 4500 PE
JPASSOCIAT 65 PE
DLF 220 PE
DLF 200 PE
DLF 200 PE
TCS 1100 PE
TCS 1050 PE
BUY
BUY
SELL
SELL
SELL
BUY
SELL
SELL
BUY
SELL
4.75
143.35
60
60.4
1.25
7.2
2.9
2.9
19.4
7.5
4000
50
50
50
4000
1000
1000
1000
250
250
1.55
8.3
1.9
1.9
0.6
3
0.9
0.9
17
6.8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
(13219)
(6752)
2904
2924
2595
(4207)
1997
1997
(605)
173
SAIL
HDIL
DLF
RELIANCE
HINDALCO
SELL
BUY
SELL
SELL
BUY
108.39
100.88
231.89
844.98
130.07
2000
2000
1000
250
1000
105.3
98.6
233.9
837
130.3
100
107
215
800
144
108.25
96.5
243
874
123
6180
(4560)
(2010)
1995
230
CAIRN
BHEL
BUY
SELL
297.6
325.65
1000
625
298
325.7
305
316
293.5
331
403
(16)
Scrip
Reco
Price
Lot
Close
Target
Stop Loss
MTM +/-
# Please Watch for Followup Alerts provided on the Trading Screen / Call your MOSL Advisor
Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd., Palm Spring Centre, 2nd floor, Palm Court Complex, New Link Road, Malad (W), Mumbai - 64.

MOSt Market Roundup
Date: Monday October 17, 2011
Pivot
Technical Analysis
Daily
Table
Co. Name
Nifty
Sensex
ACC
AMBUJACEM
AXISBANK
BAJAJ-AUTO
BHARTIARTL
BHEL
BPCL
CAIRN
CIPLA
COALINDIA
DLF
DRREDDY
GAIL
GRASIM
HCLTECH
HDFC
HDFCBANK
HEROMOTOCO
HINDALCO
HINDUNILVR
ICICIBANK
IDFC
INFY
ITC
JINDALSTEL
JPASSOCIAT
KOTAKBANK
LT
M&M
MARUTI
NTPC
ONGC
PNB
POWERGRID
RANBAXY
RCOM
RELIANCE
RELINFRA
RPOWER
SAIL
SBIN
SESAGOA
SIEMENS
STER
SUNPHARMA
TATAMOTORS
TATAPOWER
TATASTEEL
TCS
WIPRO
Close
5,118
17,025
1,110
153
1,115
1,656
381
325
636
299
290
323
237
1,511
410
2,336
440
673
479
1,993
130
335
897
124
2,746
206
522
72
472
1,377
813
1,052
168
270
971
98
498
77
833
418
87
105
1,886
220
825
121
473
188
100
440
1,125
357
Low
5,085
16,928
1,102
148
1,108
1,626
377
325
629
289
284
318
232
1,501
408
2,330
432
665
472
1,975
128
330
887
121
2,720
204
515
72
468
1,375
808
1,010
167
267
965
97
493
76
831
415
85
105
1,883
217
824
119
466
183
100
433
1,111
355
S2
5,045
16,787
1,091
146
1,094
1,612
372
317
613
285
282
315
229
1,485
402
2,293
426
659
469
1,946
127
328
880
119
2,699
203
508
70
460
1,347
802
987
164
265
955
96
487
74
807
408
84
102
1,851
214
809
118
458
179
98
429
1,087
348
S1
5,082
16,906
1,101
149
1,105
1,634
376
321
624
292
286
319
233
1,498
406
2,314
433
666
474
1,970
129
332
888
121
2,723
204
515
71
466
1,362
808
1,019
166
268
963
97
493
75
820
413
85
103
1,868
217
817
120
466
184
99
435
1,106
352
PP
5,121
17,047
1,111
152
1,119
1,648
382
329
641
296
288
322
236
1,514
412
2,352
439
672
477
1,999
130
333
896
124
2,744
205
522
73
473
1,391
814
1,043
170
270
973
98
498
77
844
420
87
106
1,901
220
832
121
473
187
100
439
1,130
359
R1
5,157
17,166
1,120
155
1,129
1,670
386
333
653
303
293
325
239
1,527
416
2,373
446
679
482
2,022
132
337
904
126
2,767
207
529
74
479
1,406
819
1,075
172
272
982
99
504
78
858
425
88
108
1,918
222
840
123
480
192
101
445
1,149
364
R2
5,197
17,308
1,131
157
1,143
1,685
391
341
670
307
295
328
242
1,543
422
2,411
452
685
485
2,051
133
338
912
128
2,788
208
536
75
486
1,434
825
1,098
175
274
992
100
510
80
882
432
90
110
1,950
225
856
124
488
196
102
449
1,173
371
High
5,160
17,189
1,121
154
1,133
1,663
387
337
658
300
291
325
239
1,530
418
2,389
445
678
481
2,028
131
335
903
126
2,765
206
529
74
480
1,419
819
1,066
173
272
984
99
504
79
869
427
88
109
1,933
223
848
122
480
191
101
443
1,154
366
Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd., Palm Spring Centre, 2nd floor, Palm Court Complex, New Link Road, Malad (W), Mumbai - 64.

MOSt Market Roundup
Date: Monday October 17, 2011
Disclaimer
Daily Technical Analysis
Pivot Point: Intra-Day Trading tool.
PP :
Pivot Point : This is trigger point for Intra Day buy/sell based on the price range of the previous day.
R1 :
Resistance one : 1st Resistance over PP.
R2 :
Resistance two : 2nd Resistance over R1.
S1 :
Support one
: 1st support after PP.
S2 :
Support Two
: 2nd support after S1.
As per the tool, the trader should take BUY position just above PP and keep the stop loss of PP and the first target would be R1.
If R1 is crossed then R2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at R1.
Similarly if price goes below PP the trader should SELL and keep the PP as Stop loss and the first target would be S1.
If S1 is crossed then S2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at S1.
This is a intra-day tool. The key to use of this tool is the use of STOP LOSS.
Intra-Day Trading :
In general people on the street want to make big bucks overnight and resort to day trading. Day trading is like fighting a battle and to
win a battle you need to be equipped with the winning tools. Here we present some of the rules one must adhere to win or to survive.
• Determine the amount one can afford losing in a day. • Do not bet entire amount on a single trade. Divide the amount you can lose in few equal numbers
of trades. • Stop trading for the day if you have lost the entire amount you allocated for the day. • Keep reasonable profit to loss ratio. Profit expected from
the trade must be higher than the amount you are ready to lose on the trade. The ratio of 1.5 to 2 is advisable. Do not enter the trade if this condition is not
satisfied. • Always trade with the trend. Never enter into a trade which is against the larger trend. Avoid trading for the minor pullback or correction. • Keep
reasonable stop loss levels and follow them very strictly. • Never let a profit turn into losses, means keep trailing stop loss. • Do not get emotional with the
fundamentals in day trading.
Disclaimer
: This report is for personal information of the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. This research report does
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