4 February 2014
3QFY14 Results Update | Sector:
Healthcare
Divi's Laboratories
BSE SENSEX
20,209
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel.Per (%)
S&P CNX
6,002
DIVI IN
132.7
1,345/905
8/33/21
Financials & Valuation (INR Million)
Y/E MAR
Net Sales
EBITDA
Adj PAT
EPS (INR)
Gr. (%)
BV/Sh(INR)
RoE (%)
RoCE (%)
P/E (x)
P/BV (X)
2014E 2015E 2016E
25,487 31,382 37,898
10,413 12,502 15,326
8,210
61.9
36
226
29.9
38.2
21.4
5.9
9,386 11,577
70.7
14
268
28.7
36.5
18.7
4.9
87.2
23
320
29.7
37.8
15.1
4.1
CMP: INR1,313
TP: INR1,570
Buy
M.Cap. (INR b) / (USD b) 174.3/2.8
Results better than expected:
Divi’s Labs (DIVI) posted better than expected
results for 3QFY14. Revenue grew 29% YoY to INR6.9b (our est: INR6.3b), while
EBITDA grew 58% YoY to INR2.8b (our est: INR2.4b). PAT grew 52% YoY to INR2.2b
(our est: INR1.8b), primarily boosted by stronger-than-expected operational
performance. There was a forex loss of INR53m (included in other expenses).
Capacity utilization at DSN SEZ increases…:
Revenue growth was led by healthy
performance in both CRAMS and API. Capacity utilization at DSN SEZ has increased
and the unit has booked INR1.3b of sales in 3QFY14 (INR3.5b in 9MFY14).
…driving EBITDA margin expansion:
EBITDA margin expanded 760bp YoY to 41.6%
(our est: 38%). The surprise was mainly driven by 320bp YoY reduction in other
expenses. The management attributed this to benefits of operating leverage given
the increased capacity utilization at DSN SEZ. Power cost in 3QFY14 also declined.
FY14/15 guidance:
Based on the strong 9MFY14 performance, DIVI expects FY14
revenue to grow 20% (15-20% guided earlier), with FY15 revenue growing 20-25%
(earlier guidance maintained). Capacity utilization at DSN SEZ would continue to
ramp up, aided by FDA approval of the remaining three blocks (inspection
expected in 4QFY14). DIVI has indicated that the current high EBITDA margins are
not sustainable and has guided 40% for FY15. The power shortage issue has been
resolved and will aid margin expansion over the next couple of quarters. The capex
guidance stands at INR700m-750m (apart from INR800m addition from CWIP) and
tax rate guidance is marginally lowered to 22-23%.
Revising estimates; maintain Buy:
Based on 3QFY14 results, we have raised our
FY14/FY15/FY16 EPS estimates by 5%/6%/2% to reflect higher margins on account
of operating leverage benefit and lower tax rate. We estimate 21% revenue CAGR,
and 24% EBITDA and EPS CAGR over FY13-16, with EBITDA margin at 39-41%. The
stock trades at 18.7x FY15E and 15.1x FY16E earnings. We re-iterate
Buy
with a
revised target price of INR1,570 (18x FY16E EPS). DIVI remains one of our top picks
in the midcap pharma space.
Alok Dalal(Alok.Dalal@MotilalOswal.com);+91
22 3982 5584
Hardick Bora(Hardick.Bora@MotilalOswal.com);+91
22 3982 5423
Investors are advised to refer through disclosures made at the end of the Research Report.