Financials | Sector Update
Sector Update | 27 November 2014
Financials
New business structures in a growing pie
Positive for MFIs and Telecom companies | Large NBFCs unlikely to participate
Please refer to our note on draft
guidelines
RBI released final guidelines on the Small Finance Banks (SFB) and Payment Banks
(PB). Key positive changes from the draft guideline are (a) SFB: No restriction on area
of operation v/s confined to small geographies earlier and (b) PB: Increasing
maximum leverage to 33.3x vs 20x earlier.
Some of the conditions, like (a) Non co-existence of NBFC and Banking business
under group (akin to universal banking license guideline) (b) mention of large PSU
entities, business and industrial houses, including NBFCs promoted by them being
not entertained (c) No relaxation on regulatory requirement like CRR, SLR, PSL
(including sub targets) and (d) higher overall PSL of 75%, would reduce enthusiasm
from large NBFCs like SHTF, MMFS etc.
MFIs, which will get SFB license, are likely to be the biggest beneficiaries as (a) it
reduces the overhang of state level regulations/ordinances in the area of operation
and (b) get access to stable source of funding. Large part of the book is eligible for
PSL thus meeting regulatory requirement would not be an issue. Over a medium
term higher cost of CRR and SLR will be negated by lower cost of funds (access to
CASA and interbank market). Shareholding can be a biggest hurdle in a few cases.
Interested entities will need to apply by January 16, 2015 and their names will be
published on the RBI website.
MFIs likely to be big beneficiaries of SFB guidelines:
In our view, large MFIs are likely to apply for SFB as a)
operating in banking structure (RBI sole regulator) eliminates overhang of state regulations/ordinances on business
model and b) get access to the stable funding source and RBI interbank market (will come handy during liquidity
tightness). Transition to banking business model would not be a big challenge for MFIs as against other asset
financing NBFC considering lower duration of loan book (6-9months vs 30-48months for others). Large portion of
loans (>75% as required by RBI) qualify for PSL which is an added advantage. Minimum promoter holding of 26% and
reduction of the other investor holding to maximum 10% (in three years) can be a hurdle in the listed and non listed
space. For e.g SKSMFI has promoter holding of ~10% as of 1HFY15. Improving visibility on growth, reduction on
overhang on business model will reduce the cost of equity and drive re-rating for MFI if it gets SFB license.
PBs high volume/low margin business model:
Ability to generate better profitability and higher ROE will depend
upon the cost of operation and deposits. Based on regulations, on the assets side funds will only be allowed to be
deployed in the low yielding G-Sec (75% of NDTL) and deposits (less than one year) with banks. Thus, ability to earn
spreads will depend upon the aggression of the PBs on paying for savings deposits. Cost of operation is likely to be
lower than universal bank considering lower brick and mortar presence and best use of technology. Higher customer
acquisition is likely to be a key to extract operating leverage and generate fees (marginal in remittances although
cross sell opportunity remains). Pre-paid payment instrument players (FINO, Oxigen etc) and telecom companies
would apply for the same.
Can these structures be a big threat to existing banking structure?
SFB and PBs are to be set up with the objective
of promoting financial inclusion, supply of credit to small business entities, MSME, micro enterprises and serving the
needs of underserved population for transactions and savings accounts. Significant emphasis is likely to be put on
the use of technology while giving the licenses. Experience of such niche players will also help incumbents in
achieving financial inclusion objectives. Further existing banks are allowed to take stake in the PBs thus; they can
operate as business correspondents for the large banks.
Alpesh Mehta
(Alpesh.Mehta@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5415
Vallabh Kulkarni
(Vallabh.Kulkarni@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5430
27 November 2014
Investors are advised to refer through disclosures made at the end of the Research Report.
1