28 July 2015
1QFY16 Results Update | Sector:
Consumer
Pidilite Industries
BSE SENSEX
27,459
Bloomberg
In-line PAT; All time high operating margins
Equity Shares (m)
512.6
PIDI’s 1QFY16 results
were in line with estimates despite miss on topline growth.
M.Cap. (INR b) / (USD b) 277.7/4.4
Standalone sales were up 7.6% to INR13.1b (est. INR13.5b), with ~5% volume
52-Week Range (INR)
growth in Consumer Bazaar segment. EBITDA was up 41% YoY to INR 3.3b (8%
638 / 352
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
ahead of INR3b estimate), with highest-ever EBITDA margins of 25.1% (est.
-2/1/43
22.5%)—aided by a sharp 540bp expansion of gross margin to 49.3% (highest in
Avg Val (INR m)/Vol ‘000 208/398
five years) and low base. Adj. PAT was up 29.8% YoY to INR 2.2b (est. INR 2.2b), in
Free float (%)
30.3
line with estimates due to lower other income and higher tax rates.
Financials & Valuation (INR Million)
Gross margin expanded a sharp 540bp YoY
to 49.3% (est. 47.9%), led by benign
input cost and carryover of earlier price hikes. Lower other expense (down 80bp
Y/E MAR 2015 2016E 2017E
YoY) propelled EBITDA margin to 25.1% (up 590bp)—the highest-ever quarterly
Net Sales
43.7
49.5
57.8
level. In earlier calls, the management guided that it is not contemplating any
EBITDA
7.6
10.4
12.0
price cuts. Thus, we expect the profitability outlook to remain healthy. However,
Adj PAT
5.2
6.9
8.1
we believe demand recovery looks delayed.
Adj.EPS
10.2
13.5
15.7
Segmental performance highlights:
Consumer Bazaar division posted 7.4%
(INR)
Growth
9.9
32.3
16.6
revenue and 35.5% EBIT growth, with underlying EBIT margin expanding 620bp to
(%)
BV/Share
48.4
57.2
67.4
29.9%. Industrial segment delivered flat revenues but EBIT more than doubled,
( )
RoE (%)
23.1
25.5
25.2
with underling EBIT margin expanding 790bp to 15.3%.
RoCE (%)
28.2
33.1
32.7
Consolidated
sales, EBITDA and adj. PAT posted 9.3%, 43% and 31% growth,
P/E (x)
53.2
40.2
34.5
respectively. Gross and EBITDA margins expanded 510bp and 550bp, respectively.
P/BV (X)
11.2
9.5
8.0
Imputed subsidiary posted 25% revenue growth; EBITDA doubled to INR158m.
Valuation and view:
We cut our estimates marginally to bake in lower-than-
estimated revenue growth. We model 24% EPS CAGR over FY15-17E, driven by
Estimate change
expected urban demand recovery, benign RM environment and lower base
TP change
(during previous episode of RM deflation, PIDI delivered a 50% EPS CAGR over
FY09-11). We are building in 300bp gross margin expansion over FY15-17E.
Rating change
However, we believe valuations at 40.2x FY16E and 34.5x FY17E EPS are rich.
Maintain NEUTRAL with a revised target price of INR550 (33x June FY17E EPS—a
10% premium to 3-year avg. P/E, given the expected strong EPS CAGR). Spike in
input costs/currency depreciation is a key risk.
S&P CNX
8,337
PIDI IN
CMP: INR542
TP: INR550 (+1%)
Neutral
Gautam Duggad
(Gautam.Duggad@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5404
Manish Poddar
(Manish.Poddar@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3027 8029 /
Vishal Punmiya
(Vishal.Punmiya@motilaloswal.com)
Investors are advised to refer through disclosures made at the end of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on
www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities,
Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.