29 October 2015
2QFY16 Results Update | Sector:
Consumer
Pidilite Industries
BSE SENSEX
26,838
Bloomberg
Multi-year low sales growth; sharp EBITDA margin expansion
Equity Shares (m)
512.6
Mixed bag:
PIDI’s 2QFY16 results were a mixed bag, with revenue below
expectation and PAT above expectation. Overall volumes grew by 1%. Standalone
M.Cap. (INR b) / (USD b) 290.4/4.7
sales grew 2.6% (lowest in 30 quarters) to INR11.7b (est. INR12.5b), with 3-4%
52-Week Range (INR)
638 / 396
volume growth in Consumer Bazaar segment. EBITDA grew 38.5% to INR2.8b (est.
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
-2/1/39
INR2.6b) and adjusted PAT was up 33.9% at INR1.83b (est. INR1.75b).
12M Avg Val (INR M)
235
Free float (%)
30.3
Sharp margin expansion:
Gross margin expanded 790bp YoY to 51.5% (est. 48%;
highest in 30 quarters), led by benign input cost (VAM prices down 26% YoY) and
carryover of earlier price hikes. Higher other expenses (up 120bp) and staff costs
Financials & Valuation (INR Million)
(up 40bp) curtailed EBITDA margin expansion at 620bp YoY to 24.1% (est. 20.8%).
Y/E MAR 2015 2016E 2017E
In earlier conference calls, the management has alluded that it will not initiate
Net Sales
44.1
47.1
53.1
price cuts. Demand recovery, however, appears delayed, in our view.
EBITDA
7.7
10.2
11.6
Segmental highlights:
Consumer Bazaar division posted 5.2% revenue growth,
Adj PAT
5.2
6.4
7.4
with underlying EBIT margin expansion of 680bp YoY to 28.7%. Industrial segment
Adj.EPS
10.1
12.5
14.4
revenues declined by 9% while EBIT margin expanded 600bp YoY to 17.5%.
(INR)
Gr. (%)
9.3
23.8
14.9
Consol. performance highlights:
Sales grew 5.2%, EBITDA grew 46%, and adjusted
BV/Sh.(INR) 45.8
60.3
69.2
PAT grew 41%. Gross margin and EBITDA margin expanded 780bp and 640bp resp.
RoE (%)
23.7
23.6
22.3
Imputed subsidiary posted 30% revenue growth, with adjusted PAT of INR110m.
RoCE (%)
29.3
32.3
30.1
1HFY16 results:
Sales, EBITDA and PAT grew 5.2%, 39.7% and 31.7%.
P/E (x)
56.2
45.4
39.5
Conference call highlights:
(a)
International:
Organic constant currency growth of
P/BV (X)
12.4
9.4
8.2
13% in 1HFY16; South and South East Asia have done better; Middle East and
South America have not done well, (b)
Margins:
To remain strong for 1-2 quarters,
Estimate change
(c)
VAM prices:
USD900-925/ton; corrected even QoQ; now below USD900/ton,
(d)
Tax rate:
30% for FY16; should go up further in FY17.
TP change
Valuation and view:
We cut our earnings estimates by 1-2% to bake in lower sales
Rating change
growth, better than expected margins and higher tax rate guidance. 2QFY16
performance highlights PIDI’s inherent strong pricing power. However valuations
at 45.4x FY16E and 39.5x FY17E EPS remain rich, in our view. Maintain NEUTRAL,
with an unchanged target price of INR550 (35x Sept’FY17E EPS, average 3-year
P/E). Spike in input costs is a key downside risk.
S&P CNX
8,112
PIDI IN
CMP: INR569
TP: INR550 (-3%)
Neutral
Gautam Duggad
(Gautam.Duggad@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5404
Manish Poddar
(Manish.Poddar@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3027 8029
/
Vishal Punmiya
(Vishal.Punmiya@MotilalOswal.com)
Investors are advised to refer through disclosures made at the end of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on
www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities,
Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.