Bharat Electronics
BSE SENSEX
26,654
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INR b)/(USD b)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
12M Avg Val (INR m)
Free float (%)
S&P CNX
8,157
BHE IN
240.0
283.9 / 4.2
1,417 / 984
-3/-9/11
475
25.0
28 May 2016
4QFY16 Results Update | Sector: Capital Goods
CMP: INR1,183 TP: INR1,450 (+23%)
Buy
Financials & Valuation (INR b)
Y/E Mar
2016 2017E
Net Sales
73.0
81.9
EBITDA
14.6
14.9
PAT
13.6
14.8
EPS (INR)
56.9
61.8
Gr. (%)
17.0
8.6
BV/Sh (INR)
364.2 426.7
RoE (%)
15.6
14.5
RoCE (%)
16.5
15.6
P/E (x)
20.8
19.1
P/BV (x)
3.2
2.8
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
Operational performance in line; Working capital cycle improvement impressive
4QFY16 operational performance broadly in line with estimates:
BHE
reported revenue of INR32.1b (up 9.8% YoY) v/s estimate of INR34.3b and
operating profit of INR9.9b (up 26% YoY) v/s estimated profit of INR9.1b. Gross
margin expansion of 481bp YoY improved margins 167bp YoY to 31%.
4QFY16 revenue at INR32.1b (up 5.8% YoY) was below our estimate of
INR34.1b. Execution deferments on account of delay from vendors in supply of
input equipment like Tatra truck from BEML in 3QFY16 has led to miss in the
2018E
topline for the company. For FY16, BHE’s revenue was supported by
94.1
contribution from segments like Akash missile system, 3D tactical control
17.2
system, Fire control systems, Low level light weight radar, integrated Sonar
16.6
69.0
suit, L Band surveillance radar for export and passive night vision devices.
11.6
Gross margin expansion drives operating profit growth of 26%:
Despite
479.5
revenue growth of mere 9.8% YoY, 4QFY16 operating profit increased 26% YoY
14.4
to INR9.9b—led by strong gross margin expansion of 481bp YoY to 53.4%.
15.2
Gross margin expansion was primarily on account better product mix and forex
17.1
2.5
variation reimbursement of INR1.5b. Raw material cost declined 481bp YoY to
47%, and other expense increased 38.5% YoY to INR3.6b led by increase in
provision done by the company. Reported net profit at INR8.0b was in line
with our estimate (INR7.9b), Tax rate was higher during the quarter (26.1% vs
18.5% in 4QFY15) primarily on account of low in-house R&D as company has
resorted to collaborative R&D.
Maintain Buy:
We maintain
Buy
with a price target of INR1,450/share—21x
FY18E (near its peak historical valuation of 22x), to factor the improved pace of
decision making in defense.
Ankur Sharma
(Ankur.VSharma@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5449
Amit Shah
(Amit.Shah@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3029 5126
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.