Eicher Motors’ (Eicher) FY16 annual report is for a period of 15
months and hence, not comparable with CY14 numbers. In FY16,
the company’s consolidated revenue grew by 43.6% (annualized)
to INR156.9b (15 months), while EBITDA margin expanded by
300bp to 16%. Earnings to cash flow conversion remained
strong, with the company generating its highest ever free cash
flow (FCF) of INR12.1b despite high capex of INR10.6b. RE’s
strong performance continued to drive FCF, while the
improvement in VECV’s FCF was driven mainly by acceptances
(~INR3.7b increase in FY16) which we consider as quasi debt.
RoCE continued to expand to 34% (CY14: 27%) on the back of
superior capital allocation, primarily to fund growth.
EICHER MOTORS
The
ART
of annual report analysis
Hi
ghest ever FCF reported at
INR12.1b despite high capex of
INR 10.6b driven by RE.
Subsidiaries (primarily VECV)
FCF at INR 2.5b is primarily led
by increase in acceptances by
INR3.7b.
ROCE rises to 34% on continued superior
capital allocation to fund growth
.
A
NNUAL
R
EPORT
T
HREADBARE
6 June 2016
Operating metrics continue to improve
Highest ever FCF driven by RE
During FY16, Eicher reported an annualized increase of 43.6%
in revenue to INR156.9b (15 months), as against INR87.4b in
CY14. Standalone annualized revenue increased by 63.3% to
INR61.9b (15 months), while VECV reported an annualized
increase of 31.5% in revenue to INR96.2b (15 months)
EBITDA margin increased from 13% in CY14 to 16% in FY16,
primarily on account of gross margin expansion of RE (400bp)
and operating leverage of VECV.
Stock Info
Bloomberg
CMP (INR)
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1,6,12 Rel. Perf.(%)
M.Cap. (INR b) / (USD b)
EIM IN
18,955
27.2
21,618/14,818
-12/10/9
515.6/7.7
Financial summary (INR b)
Y/E March
2016A*
2017E
2018E
Net Income
156.9
170.6
208.5
EBITDA
24.5
29.0
37.5
Net Profit
12.8
16.2
22.4
Adj. EPS (INR)
470.5
595.2
823.7
EPS Gr. (%)
65.8
58.1
38.4
BV/Sh. (INR)
1,276
1,724
2,373
RoE (%)
34.2
39.7
40.2
RoCE (%)
26.1
31.7
34.0
Payout (%)
0.5
0.7
0.8
Valuations
P/E (x)
40.3
31.8
23.0
P/BV (x)
14.9
11.0
8.0
EV/EBITDA (x)
23.9
19.7
14.9
Div. Yield (%)
0.5
0.7
0.8
E: MOSL Estimates (Analyst estimates); * 15 months
RoCE improves on account of superior capital allocation
Eicher generated its highest ever FCF of INR12.1b (CY14:
INR0.7b), despite a high capex of INR10.6b in FY16. The FCF
generation was driven primarily by improvement in RE’s
operations, while the improvement in VECV’s cash flow was
led mainly by higher acceptances which we consider as a
quasi-debt. After adjusting for the same, the FCF for FY16
stood at INR8b (CY14: -INR0.1b).
Over CY11-FY16, Eicher has generated 83% of funds from
operating activities. This has been utilized primarily for
enhancing its production capacities with 66% of the funds
been allocated for capex.
The superior capital allocation has led to an increase in RoCE
from 21% in CY11 to 34% in FY16 (annualized).
Continued investments for expanding business capabilities
Management has provided FY17 capex guidance of INR10b,
out of which INR6b is for RE and INR4b for VECV.
R&D investments have increased from INR0.3b in CY14 (1.1%
of revenue) to INR0.9b in FY16 (1.5% of revenue).
In FY16, managerial bandwidth in RE increased significantly,
with executives drawing annual salary of more than INR6m
increasing from 15 in CY14 to 46 in FY16, and addition of over
600 permanent employees(+47%).
As on
Promoter
DII
FII
Others
Shareholding pattern (%)
Mar-16
54.9
3.2
28.9
13.1
Note: FII Includes depository receipts
Dec-15
54.9
4.9
26.6
13.6
Mar-15
55.0
6.1
22.1
16.9
Auditor’s name
Deloitte Haskins & Sells
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Sandeep Gupta
(S.Gupta@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5544
Somil Shah
(Somil.Shah@MotilalOswal.com); +9122 3312 4975/
Mehul Parikh
(Mehul.Parikh@MotilalOswal.com); +9122 3010 2492
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