27 JUNE 2016
SECTOR: OTHER
The Byke Hospitality
BSE SENSEX
26403
S&P CNX
8095
(INR CRORES)
CMP: INR157 TP: INR215 (+37%)
Buy
Y/E MARCH
Revenue
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
NP (Adj.)
EPS (Adj.)
EPS Growth
BV/share
Core ROE (%)
Core ROCE (%)
P/E (x)
P/BV (x)
FY16
232
53
22.7%
26
6.5
29%
30
23
33
24.2
5.2
FY17E
280
64
23.0%
34
8.4
30%
37
25
35
18.7
4.3
FY18E
346
80
23.2%
43
10.7
28%
45
26
37
14.6
3.5
We recommend to BUY The Byke Hospitality for a target of
INR 215 - 20x on FY18E EPS (+28% Upside).
Unique and asset-light model business model:
The company
operates 9 of the company's 11 properties are on long-term leases (it
leases out promising 2-3 star properties in popular tourist destinations).
In absence of track records, non-branded (single hotel players) hotels
face issues in running their businesses. Byke leases hotels and address
these challenges on back of their management experience, strong track
record, marketing and distribution network, which further leads to higher
occupancy, thereby maximizing the company's profitability. Byke also
focuses on the MICE category (meetings, incentives, conferencing,
and exhibitions), earning sizeable revenues from F&B and banqueting
at its hotels, thereby boosting room revenues.
Strong growth in chartering business to drive overall revenue:
Byke is also a sizeable aggregator of rooms in the mid?market/economy
segment hotels on a pan-India basis. The company purchases peak
season room inventory (three months in advance by paying 85% of
the money upfront) at a significant discount from hotel owners largely
in northern and western India, and leverages the pan India network of
326 agents (covering about 66 cities) to successfully sell them. In
FY16, the company achieved an average occupancy level of 94% in
the chartering business. The chartering model helps the company helps
in gaining insight on tourist trends - key for selection of hotel properties.
The chartering business has grown at 46% CAGR over FY12-16 and
formed 51% of total revenues of FY16.
Expansion holds promise:
In the leased business, room portfolio
(currently 677 rooms across 9 properties) has grown at 30% CAGR
over FY11-16. The company has envisaged the addition of 450-500
rooms over FY17-18 through the addition of properties in eight tourist
destinations across the country. The management is also looking to
expand its room-aggregation business, which enjoys steady profitability
and healthy cash churn with low capital risk.
Valuations & View:
Byke trades at an FY18 PE of 14.6x and EV/
EBIDTA of 8.1x. An asset-light business model, adequately capitalized
balance sheet, robust cash flows, exciting growth prospects, & a
capable management inspire confidence in its prospects over the next
two years. We initiate coverage with a Buy recommendation and price
target of INR 215 based on 20x our FY18 EPS estimate of INR 10.7.
We believe the premium valuation (compared with peers ) is justified
because of Byke's superior return ratios and track record.
KEY FINANCIALS
Diluted Shares (cr)
Market Cap. (INRcr)
Market Cap. (US$ m)
Past 3 yrs Sales Growth (%)
Past 3 yrs NP Growth (%)
4.0
630
94
34%
61%
STOCK DATA
52-W High/Low Range (INR)
Major Shareholders (as of May 25, 2016)
Promoter
Institutions
Public & Others
Average Daily Turnover(6 months)
Volume
Value (INRcr)
1/6/12 Month Rel. Performance (%)
1/6/12 Month Abs. Performance (%)
182/148
44.5
14.3
41.3
126946
2.0
-11/1/-4
-7/3/-9
Maximum Buy Price :INR 180
Dharmesh Kant
(Dharmesh.Kant@motilaloswal.com); Tel: +91 22 30102470 (Earlier
Covered by: Ravi Shenoy)
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.