21 July 2016
1QFY17 Results Update | Sector: Textiles
Kitex Garments
Buy
BSE SENSEX
27,711
S&P CNX
8,510
CMP: INR488
TP: INR770 (+58%)
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Confident about meeting growth guidance given new client additions and
capacity expansion
Results in line with expectations:
Kitex Garments’ (KTG) 1QFY17 revenues grew
9.4% YoY to INR1.2b (v/s est. of INR1.1b), led by higher garments (+6.6% YoY)
and net fabric (+23.1% YoY) revenues. EBITDA margin expanded 80bp YoY to
28.4% (v/s est. of 29.5%), while PAT grew 31% to INR209m on account of lower
interest outgo. Management continues to maintain its guidance of 20% annual
growth over the next three years due to new client additions and
commensurate capacity addition. After increasing capacity to 320,000 pcs/day
from 270,000 pcs/day, the company aims to sustain this momentum, which
should aid targeted top line growth of 20% for FY17.
Addition of clients to drive revenues:
KTG recently added a new client, Sam’s
Club, which is a subsidiary of Wal-Mart. Sam’s is a wholesale format business
with lower margins of 15-18% (v/s retailer margins of 50-60%), but we note that
it sells products in large quantities to its members. We view this as a huge
opportunity in terms of business for KTG. The company expects USD5-6m
business in FY17 and USD15m in FY18. Additionally, Kitex has shipped its first
consignment of Lamaze on a test basis (order size of USD50,000), and for the full
year, it intends to clock USD7m of revenues.
New textile policy to be favorable:
Based on available prima facie information,
KTG expects the new textile policy to be highly favorable for the garment
industry. It expects annual benefit of INR18.7m from the Provident Fund
scheme, INR250-300m from increased rate of duty drawback by 5%, and higher
capital subsidy benefit (15-25%) on capex planned. Also, in terms of Income Tax,
it will qualify under section 80JJAA, which should help it save INR100m.
Valuation and view:
We expect 20% revenue CAGR, along with 35% PAT CAGR
over FY16-18 after considering the impact of IT benefit u/s 80JJAA. We expect
EBITDA margins to expand by 390bp over FY16-18E given operating leverage
benefits. Given huge scalability, strong return ratios and free cash generation,
we maintain
Buy
with a TP of INR770—valuing it at 18x FY18E EPS.
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, (INR m)
Free float (%)
KTG IN
47.5
23.2 / 0.3
934/340
1/-23/-43
95
45.8
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
Y/E Mar
2016 2017E 2018E
Sales
5.5
6.6
7.9
EBITDA
1.9
2.4
3.0
NP
1.1
1.6
2.0
EPS (INR)
23.6
32.8
42.7
EPS Gr. (%)
13.8
39.0
30.2
BV/Sh. (INR)
77.3 103.1 137.6
RoE (%)
35.5
36.3
35.5
RoCE (%)
27.4
32.2
33.6
P/E (x)
20.7
14.9
11.4
P/BV (x)
6.3
4.7
3.5
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
Niket Shah
(Niket.Shah@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1535
Chintan Modi
(Chintan.Modi@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1554
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.