Idea Cellular
BSE SENSEX
29,519
S&P CNX
9,127
20 March 2017
Update
| Sector:
Telecom
CMP: INR98
TP: INR120 (+22%)
Upgrade to buy
Vodafone, Idea get prepared to fight battle of capacity
Dominant position, synergy gains post-merger to drive healthy EBITDA growth
Stock Info
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
M.Cap. (INR b)
M.Cap. (USD b)
12M Avg Val (INR M)
Free float (%)
IDEA IN
3,600.5
128 / 66
-12/13/-23
351.4
5.4
1193
57.6
Financials Snapshot (INR b)
FY17E FY18E
Y/E MARCH
Net Sales
354.6 346.9
EBITDA
98.9
91.4
NP
-11.1 -47.7
EPS (INR)
-3.1 -13.2
EPS Gr. (%)
-134.7 -254.8
BV/Sh. (INR)
68.5
55.2
RoE (%)
-4.4 -21.4
RoCE (%)
2.5
-0.2
P/E (x)
-31.7
-7.4
P/BV (x)
1.4
1.8
Shareholding pattern (%)
As On
Promoter
DII
FII
Others
FY19E
373.5
101.0
-50.2
-14.0
353.3
42.8
-28.5
0.3
-7.0
2.3
The telecom battleground is all set to intensify with Idea and Vodafone announcing to
merge their businesses in a deal that will create a telecom giant. The merged entity is
valued at 8.3x on FY19E with an EV of INR1,779b – Idea will issue shares at a swap ratio of
1:1 to Vodafone India shareholders. The deal will allow the merged company to
command a leadership position in spectrum (with a 24% share) and broadband sites. This
could lead us to revise up our revenue market share estimates (we have factored decline
of 250-300bp for both the companies). The current sub-30% EBITDA margin could scale up
to 36-39% over next 4-5 years, led by synergies and scale benefits. Furthermore, reducing
capex requirement and tower sale could lower leverage to around 4x by FY19E. We
upgrade Idea to Buy with a target price of INR120, implying 9x EV/EBITDA on FY19E for
the combined entity. In our view, the rich valuation is justified, as the expected recovery
from FY19 could drive EBITDA CAGR of 18% over FY18-22.
Deal contours in line with expectations
In line with our expectations, Vodafone will have 50% shareholding in the merged
entity, implying a share swap ratio of 1:1. Pro forma net debt as of end-December
2016 is INR1,079b (Vodafone: INR552b, and Idea: INR527b), with an EV of
INR1,779b at current price. The deal includes: 1) Idea’s consolidated entity,
including wireless and tower businesses and 11.15% Indus stake and 2) Vodafone’s
mobility business and standalone towers (but not its 42% stake in Indus). Idea’s
promoters will buy 5% from Vodafone at a price of INR110/share, with effective
shareholding of 26% and 45%, respectively. Additionally, Idea has the right to
acquire additional 9.5% stake from Vodafone at a price of INR130/share over next
four years to create equal shareholding of 35.5% for each promoter group.
Dec-16 Sep-16 Dec-15
42.5
6.9
24.3
26.3
42.2
6.6
25.1
26.1
42.2
5.4
24.1
28.3
Vodafone, Idea getting prepared to fight the battle of capacity
Vodafone and Idea will have combined spectrum market share of 24%, above
Bharti’s 21% and RJio’s 19%. This implies a sizeable spectrum/circle of ~51.
Additionally, it will have ~273,000 sites, of which ~170,000 will be broadband sites,
higher than estimated RJio’s broadband sites and in line with Bharti’s. This should
allow the combined company to accommodate over 15x more data volumes than
currently, and thus match RJio’s data offerings. We continue believing that the
industry is moving away from price/volume to subscriber/ARPU metrics on the
back of ARPU-accretive and bundled (voice and data) offerings. Thus, pricing-led
elasticity gains should support revenue growth with limited incremental costs.
FII Includes depository receipts
Stock Performance (1-year)
Idea Cellular
Sensex - Rebased
130
110
90
70
50
Revenue market share may be revised up from FY19
Our current estimates for both Vodafone and Idea factor in ~250-300bp market
share dilution over FY16-21E, given their weak competitive footing on individual
basis. We, however, believe this could be revised up FY19 onward if the deal is
completed over next 12 months, as the combined entity will have the wherewithal
to compete effectively.
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Aliasgar Shakir
(Aliasgar.Shakir@motilaloswal.com); +91 022 3982 5423
Jay Gandhi
(Jay.Gandhi@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1546

Idea Cellular
Synergies to come in FY20E; earnings recovery 3-4 quarters away
We believe the merger benefits will be reflected only from FY19-20E once the
impact of subscriber down-trading toward RJio’s INR303 price plans is completed.
Our pro forma workings for the combined entity indicate an EBITDA decline of 9% in
FY18E after a steep fall of 18% in FY17E. However, we believe the expected industry
recovery in FY19 and the synergy gains from the merger from FY20 could drive 18%
EBITDA CAGR over FY18-22E. As the back-ended network, IT and SG&A related cost
synergies accrue from FY20E, the combined entity could record EBITDA margin of
36%-39% in FY21-22E (in line with Bharti’s 39-40% margin). This does not factor in
revision in revenue market share dilution beyond FY19E.
Lower capex requirement could improve FCF, reducing net debt
Total capex spend of both Vodafone and Idea on individual basis stands at
~INR150b, which could come down to INR100-120b post-merger due to the benefit
from complementary network and redeployment of 20-25% of overlapping network.
With improving EBITDA from FY19E and reducing capex, potential FCF improvement
could be ~INR80-100b, allowing the merged entity to reduce FY19E net debt to
EBITDA to 5x. Furthermore, the sale of the overall tower business could generate
over INR150-200b, reducing net debt to EBITDA to 4x in FY19E.
Not a valuation call; expect earnings recovery to provide valuation support
Based on our pro forma workings for the combined entity, the stock is valued at 8.3x
on FY19E EBITDA, which appears on the higher side. However, there are limited
negatives, and the stock could offer strong upside over next three years. Our
optimism on the stock comes from: 1) Idea’s favorable swap ratio of 1:1 for
Vodafone, despite being a smaller revenue market share company (18% v/s
Vodafone’s 23%); 2) industry recovery and potential ARPU accretion over 3-4
quarters as the recent entrant RJio starts charging from 1 April 2017and indicates its
ARPU accretion strategy. 3) Strong competitive position of the merged entity, which
could lead us to revise upward our market share assumption; and 4) steep synergy
gains, which could start showing in 6-8 quarters. We upgrade Idea to Buy (from
under review) with a target price of INR120, implying 9x EV/EBITDA on merged
company FY19E earnings.
20 March 2017
2

Idea Cellular
Vodafone-Idea deal concall highlights
Deal contours
1.) All Vodafone India assets, excluding its 42% Indus stake, will be merged with
Idea.
2.) A share swap ratio of 1:1 has been proposed. Idea’s share price is fixed at
INR72.5 merely to understand valuation at the time of deal initiation.
3.) Equal partnership is the basic principal of the transaction in terms of assets,
earnings and shareholding rights. The merger will broadly include: (i) Idea’s
consolidated business – mobility, NLD/ILD, payment banks, towers and Indus
holding and (ii) Vodafone’s mobility and standalone 10,000 towers. Vodafone
will hold a 45.1% stake after transferring 4.9% to Idea, with the latter having the
right to acquire of 9.5% in four years for INR946b (i.e. 130/share) to reach equal
partnership. From the fifth year, if equalization is not achieved, Vodafone will
sell 9.5% in the merged entity over five years.
4.) The deal will be completed after approvals from the Competition Commission of
India, the Department of Telecom, tribunal, shareholders and debt holders.
5.)
The 4.9% stake to be acquired by the Aditya Birla Group will not be from any
of the listed companies. It will be acquired from one of the promoter group’s
unlisted entities.
6.) The number of shares will be largely double of Idea’s current shareholding of
3,600m, with some adjustment of ESOPs.
Combined entity’s business
1.) The merged entity will have ~40.7% revenue market share (based on 400m
subscribers) and ~35% subscriber market share.
2.) The entity will be rank 1 or 2 in 21 out of the 22 circles.
3.) It will have over 1,800mhz spectrum, including 1,645mhz acquired through
auction. Of this, 1,200mhz will be broadband spectrum across the 900, 1,800,
2,100, 2500mhz bands, including 283mhz in the 900mhz band.
4.) The combination of two large entities will help offer voice and broadband
services on a pan-India basis.
5.) Vodafone’s strong presence in metros and Idea’s in urban/rural markets are
expected to drive growth and synergy. The merged company will get support
from both the Aditya Birla Group and the Vodafone Group to invest and expand
in broadband and wireless services.
6.) The board will have 12 directors, including six independent directors. The rest
will be from Idea and Vodafone (three each). Mr Kumar Mangalam Birla will be
the Chairman; the CFO will be chosen by Vodafone. The CEO and rest of the
management will be mutually agreed upon by both the companies.
7.) Spectrum and revenue caps need to be adhered after one year.
8.) Revenue and EBITDA of the merged entity stand at INR816b and INR244b,
respectively. Capex of the merged entity over the past year has been INR153b,
but it will fall going forward.
9.) Until the merger, both companies will operate independently and also
participate in spectrum auction, if any.
20 March 2017
3

Idea Cellular
Synergies
1.) The merged entity will have INR670b NPV of synergy, of which 60% will be
through operating cost reduction.
2.) The key reduction will come in the form of network cost, with 20%-25%
collocated sites in the network. Additionally, subscriber acquisition, back office,
IT cost (due to infrastructure sharing) and brand investments are expected to
decline. Capex synergy will come through a reduction in duplicate capex, IT
platforms and investments in single RAN technology.
3.) Spectrum consolidation of the two entities should increase capacity, despite a
20-25% reduction in sites.
4.) The NPV also builds in integration cost in the first year and spectrum
liberalization cost. There are 13 circles where spectrum needs to liberalize –
900mhz needs to be liberalized in three circles and 1,800mhz in 10 circles.
Introduction of spectrum harmonization can further benefit.
5.) Vodafone and Idea’s total spectrum is around 1,850mhz, of which 300mhz is
used for voice by each Vodafone and Idea. However, the combined entity will
only use 400mhz of spectrum for voice. The need for capex will therefore go
down and similarly opex requirement will reduce. The merged entity will invest
to increase capacity, not coverage. The combined sites at ~190,000 will have 20-
25% duplication, which will be rejigged to improve capacity. The least impact
will come for Indus as it will redeploy sites.
6.) The merged entity is in a position to deploy 1,800mhz and 2,500mhz spectrum
for broadband. Once the entire spectrum is deployed, the carrier additions will
raise capacity manifold.
7.) There are three large vendors in the market, which are equally spread among
circles – Ericson, Nokia and Huawei.
8.) Despite capex reduction, capacity will go up by 25-50x for the merged entity.
9.) The gains from higher spectrum on the same sites will increase capacity
significantly. This is not built into capex requirements.
10.) The estimated opex synergies are building conservatism and are not very
aggressive.
11.) There are nine circles where one of the two players is dominant, while the other
player is smaller. In such markets, operating synergy can be very high.
12.) In synergy calculation, employee cost is not included, which will be continued to
manage new avenues in the digital space. The overlapped employees will be
largely utilized toward new roles.
Business and outlook
1.) The telecom industry should see addition of 300-400m subscribers over next
few years, which are likely to be tapped by the merged entity.
2.) The metro, urban and semi urban markets will see ~500m broadband users, and
the merged company will leverage its high spectrum/sites and target these
consumers.
3.) Apart from wireless services, the combined company will provide fixed line,
VoLTE and other services.
4.) 700mhz spectrum is not required presently. Currently, the merged entity is
overflowing with spectrum. It will thus first deploy the current spectrum and
900mhz.
20 March 2017
4

Idea Cellular
5.) Net debt to EBITDA will reach at 3x if all cost and capex synergies are accrued.
Hence, there would not be a need for any equity infusion.
6.) 4QFY17 will see a decline in revenues; however, some recovery has been
witnessed since the new entrant has announced to begin commercial operations
from 1 April 2017.
7.) Until the merger is completed, both the companies will operate independently.
Thus, synergies may not be accrued before the merger.
8.) Revenue and spectrum caps may be required to be adhered to in FY19. This is
based on the regulatory approval for the merger in FY18 and the need to comply
with the caps post one year. RJio revenue accounting over next two years will
further adjust the revenue market share downward. In some of the circles
where revenue caps may be breached, the merged company will rejig its pricing
to be compliant.
9.) The merged entity will adopt a dual-brand strategy, instead of a single-brand
strategy.
Exhibit 1: Pro forma v/s Synergies (INR m)
IDEA + VODAFONE
Announced Approval
stage
FY16
FY17
FY18
763,267
747,025
-2%
259,534
34%
211,529
28%
732,755
-2%
192,960
26%
Year 1
FY19
791,628
8%
214,104
27%
-
259,534
34%
945,485
699,996
6.3
3.6
211,529
28%
1,079,000
699,996
8.4
5.1
192,960
26%
214,104
27%
Year 2
FY20
845,797
7%
245,281
29%
21,000
266,281
31%
Year 3
FY21
899,586
6%
269,876
30%
50,400
320,276
36%
Year 4
FY22
Comments
INR B
Topline
Topline Growth
Current EBITDA
margin
Synergy EBITDA
EBITDA (post synergy)
EBITDA margin (post
synergy)
Debt
Market cap
EV
EV/EBITDA (x)
Net Debt to EBITDA (x)
954,891 Factoring 250-300bp market share
dilution for Vodafone and Idea
over FY16-21E
6%
305,565 Building recovery from FY19E
32%
67,200
Opex synergy is 60% of INR 140b
372,765
39%
total. Building 0% synergy in FY19
and 80% synergy in 4th year - FY22
1,079,000 1,079,000 1,079,000 1,079,000 1,079,000 Not factoring reduction in debt
due to potential tower sale in
FY19, and FCF generation
699,996 699,996 699,996 699,996 699,996
1,778,996 1,778,996 1,778,996 1,778,996 1,778,996
9.2
5.6
8.3
5
6.7
4.1
5.6
3.4
4.8
2.9
Source: Company, MOSL
1,645,481 1,778,996
Exhibit 2: Vodafone to get 45.1%; Idea to get 26% in Merged Co.
Pre Merger
Particulars
Share
holding
42%
20%
38%
100%
Post Merger
Step 1: Share swap (1:1)
Step 2: Each promoter gets equal shareholding
Shares Shareholders Share
Shares
Share issued/
Shares
Share issued/
Share
O/S
holding
O/S
(reduced) (m)
O/S
(reduced) (m)
holding
1,529
Vodafone
50.0%
3,601
(354)
3,247
(38,740)
45.1%
712
1,360
3,601
Idea
promoters
Axiata
Public
21.2%
9.9%
18.9%
1,529
712
1,360
354
-
-
1,882
712
1,360
38,740
26.1%
9.9%
18.9%
Source: Company, MOSL
Promoter
holding
Axiata
Public
Total
20 March 2017
5

Idea Cellular
Exhibit 3: Operator-wise revenue market share
Sistema
BSNL/MTNLShyam,Aircel, 5.7%
, 5.0%
4.0%
Tata Tele,
6.5%
Reliance,
4.2%
Bharti,
32.7%
Idea+Vodaf
one, 41.9%
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 4: Operator-wise subscriber market share
Sistema
Shyam,
BSNL/MTNL 7.5%
, 9.3%
Tata Tele,
5.4%
Reliance,
8.3%
Idea+Vodaf
one, 36.2%
Source: Company, MOSL
Aircel, 8.6%
Bharti,
24.8%
Exhibit 5: Operator-wise 2G and broadband sites (nos)
2G Sites
broadband sites
170,844
85412
160,199
Bharti
130633
Idea
161,312
115000
75,900
140,000
Vodafone
270,633
Vodafone + Idea
115000
RJio
62000
RCOM
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 6: Circle-wise Idea/Vodafone ARPU profile vs avg. Industry ARPUs
500
400
300
200
100
0
135
169 154 160 176
332
284
Idea
208
105 117 119
161
Vodafone
231
128
104
Circle Average ARPUs
201
155
98
135
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
-
159
106
101
Metro
A' Circle
B' Circle
C' Circle
Source: Company, MOSL
20 March 2017
6

Idea Cellular
Exhibit 7: Circle-wise Vodafone and Idea revenue market share (%)
75%
60%
45%
30%
15%
0%
Idea
Vodafone
Metro
A' Circle
B' Circle
C' Circle
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 8: Exhibit 9: Circle-wise Vodafone and Idea subscriber market share (%)
60%
45%
30%
15%
0%
Idea
Vodafone
Metro
A' Circle
B' Circle
C' Circle
Source: Company, MOSL
20 March 2017
7

Idea Cellular
Exhibit 9: Vodafone+ Idea combined spectrum holdings across bands and potential cap breaches
Circles
Delhi
Mumbai
Kolkata
MH
Gujarat
AP
Karnataka
Tamil Nadu
Kerala
Punjab
Haryana
UP W
UP E
Rajasthan
MP
WB
HP
Bihar
Orissa
Assam
NE
J&K
Total
Vodafone + Idea Combined spectrum holdings (mhz)
800 900 1800
2100
2300
2500
Total
-
10
19
5
-
20
54
-
11
15
10
-
20
56
-
7
15
10
-
20
52
-
14
12
15
10
30
81
-
11
21
10
-
30
72
-
5
13
5
-
10
33
-
5
19
5
-
-
29
-
6
12
15
-
-
34
-
12
20
10
10
20
72
-
6
21
10
-
10
47
-
12
16
15
-
20
63
-
11
14.4
10
-
20
56
-
6
15
20
-
20
60
-
6
16
15
-
20
58
-
7
19
5
10
20
61
-
7
23
5
-
20
55
-
-
16
5
-
10
31
-
-
18
5
-
10
33
-
5
17
5
-
20
47
-
-
25
5
-
20
50
-
-
26
5
-
20
51
-
-
17
5
-
10
32
-
142
388
195
30
370
1,124
Idea + Vodafone holdings (As % of current + available spectrum)
800
900
1800
2100
2300
2500
Total
0%
45%
33%
13%
0%
50%
19%
0%
50%
24%
25%
0%
50%
20%
0%
35%
28%
25%
0%
50%
19%
0%
69%
23%
38%
10%
75%
30%
0%
64%
33%
25%
0%
75%
27%
0%
25%
24%
13%
0%
25%
12%
0%
25%
35%
13%
0%
0%
12%
0%
22%
28%
38%
0%
0%
12%
0%
67%
37%
25%
11%
50%
27%
0%
26%
39%
25%
0%
25%
19%
0%
66%
24%
38%
0%
50%
25%
0%
64%
25%
25%
0%
50%
25%
0%
31%
27%
50%
0%
50%
28%
0%
34%
29%
38%
0%
50%
27%
0%
40%
29%
13%
13%
50%
24%
0%
34%
44%
13%
0%
50%
20%
0%
0%
29%
11%
0%
25%
13%
0%
0%
31%
11%
0%
25%
12%
0%
27%
32%
11%
0%
50%
17%
0%
0%
54%
13%
0%
50%
19%
0%
0%
48%
13%
0%
50%
19%
0%
0%
32%
13%
0%
25%
13%
0%
33%
32%
22%
2%
42%
20%
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 10: Excess spectrum
Circles
Maharashtra
Gujarat
Kerala
Haryana
UP W
Assam
Total
900 Mhz Value (INRm)
3.9
27,132
2.4
14,537
3.1
10,306
3
4,082
2.5
13,848
0
14.9
69,906
1800 Mhz
Value (INRm) 2500mhz Value (INRm)
10
5,510
10
3,705
0
0
0
-603
-603
9,215
Source: Company, MOSL
-1.675
Exhibit 11: Operator/band-wise spectrum portfolio (In Mhz)
Bharti
Vodafone
Idea
Reliance Jio
Others
Total
800 Mhz
0
0
0
171
256
428
900 Mhz
116
83
59
-
169
427
1800 Mhz
274
182
206
146
362
1,170
2100 Mhz
125
115
80
-
300
620
2300 Mhz
470
0
30
600
600
1,700
2500 Mhz
-
200
170
-
-
370
Total Spectrum (Mhz)
986
579
545
918
1,687
4,715
Spectrum Share
20%
12%
12%
19%
36%
Source: Company, MOSL
20 March 2017
8

Idea Cellular
Financials and Valuations
Consolidated - Income Statement
Y/E March
Total Income from Operations
Change (%)
Total Expenditure
% of Sales
EBITDA
Margin (%)
Depreciation
EBIT
Int. and Finance Charges
PBT bef. EO Exp.
Share of profits of associates
PBT after EO Exp.
Total Tax
Tax Rate (%)
Reported PAT
Adjusted PAT
Change (%)
Margin (%)
FY13
224,577
14.9
164,531
73.3
60,045
26.7
34,778
25,268
9,495
15,773
0
15,773
5,664
35.9
10,109
10,109
39.8
4.5
FY14
265,189
18.1
181,852
68.6
83,337
31.4
45,194
38,143
7,700
30,443
0
30,443
10,765
35.4
19,678
19,678
94.7
7.4
FY15
315,709
19.1
207,592
65.8
108,117
34.2
53,036
55,081
5,755
49,325
0
49,325
17,396
35.3
31,929
31,929
62.3
10.1
FY16
359,809
14.0
229,510
63.8
130,300
36.2
66,508
63,792
16,545
47,247
0
47,247
16,447
34.8
30,799
30,799
-3.5
8.6
FY17E
354,634
-1.4
255,771
72.1
98,864
27.9
78,457
20,407
36,737
-16,330
4,402
-11,928
-843
7.1
-11,085
-11,085
-136.0
-3.1
FY18E
346,913
-2.2
255,559
73.7
91,354
26.3
92,606
-1,252
51,341
-52,593
4,903
-47,689
0
0.0
-47,689
-47,689
330.2
-13.7
(INR Million)
FY19E
373,509
7.7
272,489
73.0
101,019
27.0
98,575
2,445
52,692
-50,247
0
-50,247
0
0.0
-50,247
-50,247
5.4
-13.5
Consolidated - Balance Sheet
Y/E March
Equity Share Capital
Total Reserves
Net Worth
Total Loans
Deferred Tax Liabilities
Capital Employed
Gross Block
Less: Accum. Deprn.
Net Fixed Assets
Goodwill on Consolidation
Capital WIP
Total Investments
Curr. Assets, Loans&Adv.
Inventory
Account Receivables
Cash and Bank Balance
Loans and Advances
Curr. Liability & Prov.
Account Payables
Provisions
Net Current Assets
Appl. of Funds
FY13
33,143
111,073
144,217
140,438
11,180
295,834
467,357
175,818
291,539
61
8,811
10,280
53,092
726
9,601
1,429
41,336
67,949
64,719
3,230
-14,857
295,834
FY14
33,196
132,073
165,269
206,350
18,133
389,752
516,970
221,012
295,958
61
114,194
2,155
53,206
683
8,006
1,881
42,636
75,823
68,960
6,863
-22,616
389,752
FY15
35,978
194,314
230,292
268,591
19,015
517,898
618,207
262,871
355,336
61
51,405
115,267
82,598
710
9,789
15,537
56,562
86,769
78,013
8,756
-4,171
517,898
FY16
36,005
221,670
257,675
415,031
30,714
703,420
986,766
303,848
682,918
61
60,986
13,728
68,807
1,065
11,776
7,818
48,148
123,081
112,331
10,750
-54,273
703,420
FY17E
36,005
210,585
246,590
573,284
30,714
850,588
1,194,745
382,304
812,441
61
60,986
13,728
63,375
876
9,580
7,217
45,702
100,004
91,521
8,483
-36,628
850,588
FY18E
36,005
162,896
198,901
603,380
30,714
832,995
1,269,745
474,910
794,835
61
60,986
13,728
72,107
928
11,311
9,822
50,047
108,724
98,393
10,331
-36,615
832,995
(INR Million)
FY19E
36,005
117,956
153,961
604,486
30,714
789,161
1,344,745
573,485
771,260
61
60,986
13,728
59,145
1,015
11,183
-6,200
53,147
116,021
106,094
9,926
-56,875
789,161
20 March 2017
9

Idea Cellular
Financials and Valuations
Ratios
Y/E March
Basic (INR)
EPS
Cash EPS
BV/Share
DPS
Payout (%)
Valuation (x)
P/E
Cash P/E
P/BV
EV/Sales
EV/EBITDA
Dividend Yield (%)
Return Ratios (%)
RoE
RoCE
RoIC
Working Capital Ratios
Fixed Asset Turnover (x)
Asset Turnover (x)
Inventory (Days)
Debtor (Days)
Leverage Ratio (x)
Current Ratio
Interest Cover Ratio
Net Debt/Equity
FY13
2.8
12.5
40.1
0.3
11.5
FY14
5.5
18.0
45.9
0.4
7.9
FY15
8.9
23.6
64.0
0.6
8.1
11.0
4.1
1.5
1.9
5.6
0.6
16.1
8.2
11.7
0.5
0.6
1
11
1.0
9.6
0.6
FY16
8.6
27.0
71.6
0.6
8.4
11.4
3.6
1.4
2.1
5.8
0.6
12.6
7.1
8.7
0.4
0.5
1
12
0.6
3.9
1.5
FY17E
-3.1
18.7
68.5
0.0
0.0
-31.7
5.2
1.4
2.6
9.3
0.0
-4.4
2.5
2.7
0.3
0.4
1
10
0.6
0.6
2.2
FY18E
-13.2
12.5
55.2
0.0
0.0
-7.4
7.8
1.8
2.7
10.3
0.0
-21.4
-0.2
-0.2
0.3
0.4
1
12
0.7
0.0
2.9
FY19E
-14.0
13.4
42.8
0.0
0.0
-7.0
7.3
2.3
2.6
9.5
0.0
-28.5
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.5
1
11
0.5
0.0
3.9
0.3
7.4
5.9
6.0
0.5
0.8
1
16
0.8
2.7
0.9
0.4
12.7
7.5
9.0
0.5
0.7
1
11
0.7
5.0
1.2
Consolidated - Cash Flow Statement
Y/E March
OP/(Loss) before Tax
Depreciation
Interest & Finance Charges
Direct Taxes Paid
(Inc)/Dec in WC
CF from Operations
Others
CF from Operating incl EO
(Inc)/Dec in FA
Free Cash Flow
(Pur)/Sale of Investments
Others
CF from Investments
Issue of Shares
Inc/(Dec) in Debt
Interest Paid
Dividend Paid
Others
CF from Fin. Activity
Inc/Dec of Cash
Opening Balance
Closing Balance
FY13
10,109
34,778
9,963
-4,110
6,096
56,836
6,135
62,971
-34,766
28,205
0
657
-34,109
248
-10,368
-9,283
-250
0
-19,653
9,209
1,521
1,429
FY14
19,678
45,194
8,564
-6,384
5,354
72,406
9,786
82,192
-36,448
45,744
0
-29,194
-65,642
263
-15,936
-7,682
-1,306
0
-24,661
-8,111
10,729
1,881
FY15
31,929
53,036
9,337
-11,043
5,540
88,800
15,379
104,179
-41,576
62,603
0
-15,680
-57,256
37,374
52,355
-6,656
-2,792
0
80,280
127,202
3,543
15,537
FY16
30,799
66,508
18,498
-10,789
-3,429
101,587
18,512
120,100
-75,157
44,943
0
-54,772
-129,928
175
-86,558
-8,505
-2,598
0
-97,486
-107,315
130,745
23,430
FY17E
-11,085
78,457
36,737
0
-18,246
85,862
0
85,862
-207,980
-122,117
0
0
-207,980
0
158,253
-36,737
0
0
121,516
-601
7,818
7,217
(INR Million)
FY18E
-47,689
92,606
51,341
0
2,592
98,850
0
98,850
-75,000
23,850
0
0
-75,000
0
30,096
-51,341
0
0
-21,245
2,605
7,217
9,822
FY19E
-44,940
98,575
52,692
0
4,238
110,565
0
110,565
-75,000
35,565
0
0
-75,000
0
1,106
-52,692
0
0
-51,586
-16,021
9,822
-6,200
20 March 2017
10

Idea Cellular
NOTES
20 March 2017
11

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Idea Cellular
Disclosure of Interest Statement
Analyst ownership of the stock
Served as an officer, director or employee -
IDEA CELLULAR
No
No
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20 March 2017
12