Birla Corporation
BSE SENSEX
31,028
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
S&P CNX
9,595
BCORP IN
Acquired subsidiary Reliance Cement reports strong profitability
77
Steady standalone performance for 4QFY17:
Standalone volumes fell 2% YoY to
57.4 / 0.8
2.15mt (est. of 2.25mt). However, BCORP reported a strong recovery sequentially
807 / 391
(revenues up 23%) post demonetization. Gross cement realizations rose 2.5% QoQ
-3/-2/73
67
to INR4,514/t (est. of INR4,446) due to price hikes in focus markets. Net sales stood
37.1
at INR9.3b (+6% YoY; +26% QoQ; est. of INR9.2b).
27 May 2017
4QFY17 Results Update | Sector: Cement
CMP: INR773
TP: INR998(+29%)
Buy
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
2017 2018E
Y/E Mar
Net Sales
43.5
64.6
EBITDA
6.2
10.8
PAT
2.3
3.2
EPS (INR)
29.4
40.9
Gr. (%)
13.7
39.5
BV/Sh (INR)
429.2 458.5
RoE (%)
7.5
9.2
RoCE (%)
7.9
8.3
P/E (x)
26.3
18.9
P/BV (x)
1.8
1.7
2019E
70.8
12.6
4.5
58.9
43.9
505.8
12.2
9.6
13.1
1.5
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
Cost push offset by realization increase:
Total cost/t for standalone operations
increased 10% YoY (flat QoQ) to INR3,893 in 4QFY17 due to an increase in freight
costs (on higher diesel prices) and RM costs. Standalone EBITDA/t at INR477 (-17%
YoY,+16% QoQ) was impacted by cost push. Interest expense fell 29% QoQ to
INR358m and other income rose 129% QoQ to INR399m.
Strong performance by acquired subsidiary Reliance Cement:
BCORP reported
consol.
financials
for FY17, implying Reliance Cement for the period under
consideration operated at 80% utilization, clocking volumes of 2.2mt. Our
calculation suggests that EBITDA/t for Reliance Cement is at INR1,135 for the
period under consideration v/s BCORP’s standalone EBITDA/t at INR477 for
4QFY17. Higher profitability for Reliance Cement is due to sales tax benefits and
cost efficiencies.
Valuation view:
BCORP’s consol. operations with capacity of 15.5mt are among the
largest in the Satna cluster, with ~22% market share. Also, it could expand into
other geographies as Reliance Cement has mineral concessions in multiple states.
Blended EBITDA/t profile for consol. operations improved substantially due to
significantly higher profitability of Reliance Cement. BCORP, given its size and
profitability, is trading at a significant discount to peers (both on EV/tonne and EV/
EBITDA) and has strong potential for multiple re-rating, given its exposure to the
lucrative markets of central India. However, the key risk would be lower
profitability from its Chanderia operations on a sustained basis.
The stock trades at 6.6x/7.5x FY18/19E EV/EBITDA and EV/tonne of USD79 on
FY19E capacity. We conservatively value BCORP at INR998 at 8.5x FY19E
EV/EBITDA, a discount of 15%-20% to peers (implies FY19 EV/tonne of USD98).
Maintain
Buy.
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Abhishek Ghosh
(Abhishek.Ghosh@motilaloswal.com); +91 22 3982 5436
Pradnya Ganar
(Pradnya.Ganar@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3980 4322