BSE SENSEX
31,955
S&P CNX
9,900
Mahindra & Mahindra
CMP: INR1,383
TP: INR1,625 (+17%)
Getting future ready
UV segment needs push; tractor segment healthy
Mahindra & Mahindra’s (MM) FY17 annual report highlights the company’s focus on
technologically advanced new products in the farm segment, continuous improvement in
the UV segment to comply with the new emission/regulatory norms, and market share
increase in the CV segment.
20 July 2017
Annual Report Update | Sector: Automobiles
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Farm segment : Focus on technological prowess
Right products drive growth and market share
Strong tractor segment growth of ~23% in FY17 was supported by the good
performance of YUVO, which has helped the company gain market share in the
30-50 HP segment (covers 70-80% of industry). YUVO, an all-new tractor
platform launched in April 2016, was highly successful in strengthening the
technology leadership of Mahindra tractors in FY17.
MM, in April 2017, also launched its third new tractor platform, JIVO, a new-
age small tractor platform in the sub-25 HP category (covers only 5% of
industry), which is an ideal choice for the growing segments of horticulture and
row crop farming.
Strategy: Farming 3.0 (a holistic view by MM)
Farming 3.0 is a comprehensive ecosystem, with offerings across the value
chain for the farmer. It provides access to smart machinery, precision farming
practices, digital platforms and ecosystem connect with an aim to help farmers
improve their crop yields and double their farm income.
With increasing labor cost and its scarcity, greater adoption of various forms of
mechanization is the way forward, in our view. Against this backdrop, MM
believes that the market for tractors and other farm equipment should grow
over the long term.
MM’s objective is to strengthen its global footprint and bring modern
technologies in farm mechanization into India. It also plans to leverage its
partnerships with MAM (Japan) and Sampo Rosenlew (Finland).
Outlook
According to MM, tractor industry growth in FY18 is expected to be driven by
positive rural sentiment, driven by normal monsoon and good agri income.
Stock Info
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
M.Cap. (INR b)
M.Cap. (USD b)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
MM IN
592.6
1,509/1,142
-3/-3/-20
819.9
12.7
1555.0
74.8
Financials Snapshot (INR b)
2018E 2019E 2020E
Y/E Mar
Sales
490.5 561.0 631.4
EBITDA
55.0
64.1
73.3
NP*
40.4
47.2
53.0
EPS (INR)*
67.4
78.9
88.6
EPS Gr. (%)
7.8
17.0
12.3
Cons.EPS (INR)
66.7
79.9
87.3
BV/Sh. (INR)
476.3 529.4 592.2
RoE (%)
14.1
14.6
14.8
RoCE (%)
13.1
13.6
13.9
Sales
490.5 561.0 631.4
P/E (x)
20.5
17.5
15.6
Cons. P/E (x)
20.7
17.3
15.9
P/BV (x)
2.9
2.6
2.3
* incl. MVML
Shareholding pattern (%)
Mar-17 Dec-16 Mar-16
As On
Promoter
25.3
25.3
25.4
DII
20.1
19.1
18.1
FII
39.8
41.0
42.9
Others
14.8
14.6
13.5
FII Includes depository receipts
Auto segment: Challenges remain, but confident of sailing through
Losing market share in UVs; CV segment remains healthy
In the UV segment, MM lost market share from 37.9% to 29.2% in FY17, led by
intensifying competition and rural slowdown due to the impact of
demonetization. However, its bread and butter segment (Bolero, Scorpio, etc)
is gradually recovering, and should do well, led by likely good monsoon and
higher agri income.
Jinesh Gandhi
(Jinesh@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1524
Jigar Shah
(Jigar.Shah@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1534 /
Deep Shah
(Deep.S@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1533
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.