L&T Finance Holdings
BSE SENSEX
33,157
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
Y/E March
2018E 2019E
NII
35.7
41.2
PPP
35.9
43.8
PAT
12.6
18.9
EPS (INR)
6.9
10.4
BV/Sh. (INR)
50.6
59.5
RoAA (%)
1.6
2.1
RoE (%)
14.9
18.9
Payout (%)
15.2
14.8
Valuation
P/E (x)
28.8
19.2
P/BV (x)
4.0
3.4
Div. Yield (%)
0.5
0.7
S&P CNX
10,323
LTFH IN
1,817
363.4 / 5.7
214/81
-4/45/69
826.0
35.8
2020E
47.2
51.3
23.4
12.9
70.5
2.2
19.8
14.6
15.6
2.8
0.8
27 October 2017
2QFY18 Results Update | Sector: Financials
CMP: INR199
TP: INR240 (+21%)
Buy
Strong performance continues
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
LTFH: Quarterly performance
Y/E March
Interes t Income
Interes t Expens es
Net Interest Income
YoY Growth (%)
Other i ncome
Total Income
YoY Growth (%)
Opera ti ng Expens es
YoY Growth (%)
Operating Profits
YoY Growth (%)
Provi s i ons
Profit before Tax
Ta x Provi s i ons
Profi t/Los s of As s oci a te Compa ny
Profit after tax
YoY Growth (%)
Loa n growth (%)
Cos t to Income Ra ti o (%)
Ta x Ra te (%)
E: MOSL Es ti ma tes
L&T Finance Holding’s (LTFH) 2QFY18 PAT grew 45% YoY to INR3.6b (12% above
estimates). Robust core disbursement growth of 81% YoY (excluding IPO
financing, which is more opportunistic), a pick-up in fee income across lending
segments and a low tax rate were the key highlights of the quarter.
Rural business:
There was a clear uptick in disbursements in all segments,
including microfinance, leading to 88% YoY growth in disbursements (highest-
ever quarterly disbursements in each segment). Asset quality improved on a
sequential basis (GNPL ratio down 45bp QoQ). PCR is improving, but remains
inadequate at 39%, in our view. Management guides to improving asset quality
in 2HFY18. An interesting thing to note is the sharp pick-up in fee income (+69%
QoQ, 3x YoY).
Housing business:
Disbursement growth in the retail home loan/LAP segment
remains sluggish, but was compensated by 54% disbursement growth in the
builder loans segment. The share of builder loans in the housing finance
segment now stands at 48%. Management has guided that the current INR15-
18b quarterly run-rate of disbursements will continue.
Wholesale business:
In line with the trend of the prior quarters, growth in the
infrastructure finance segment was robust at 182% YoY – the key driver being
the DCM desk. Note that management’s strategy is to generate and sell-down
loans in order to drive strong fee income. This is evident from the 3x YoY jump
in fee income. LTFH continues to be opportunistic with IPO funding.
Valuation view:
LTFH has scripted an impressive turnaround over the past six
quarters, with a renewed focus on profitable segments. It has delivered strong
growth and consistent improvement in profitability. We are also encouraged by the
strong fee income traction– we believe this will play a key role in achieving 18%+
RoE by FY19/20. We marginally upgrade FY18-20 EPS estimates by 1-3% and our
target price to INR240 (3.7x Sep-2019E BVPS, 21x Sep-2019E EPS).
Buy.
FY17
2Q
3Q
20,940
20,876
11,602
11,532
9,338
9,343
17.4
16.0
540
679
9,883
10,018
17.7
17.9
3,327
3,154
-1.9
-1.4
6,557
6,864
31.0
29.7
3,202
3,282
3,354
3,582
888
811
15
(63)
2,481
2,709
16.3
28.7
18.5
10.4
33.7
31.5
26.5
34.5
4Q
21,626
11,580
10,046
20.9
755
10,801
22.3
3,063
-10.7
7,738
43.2
6,885
853
-2,286
19
3,158
34.3
14.4
28.4
-267.9
1Q
22,587
12,326
10,261
22.0
1,071
11,332
29.5
3,277
1.7
8,055
45.7
4,587
3,468
378
2
3,092
49.1
17.2
28.9
10.9
FY18
2Q
23,838
12,967
10,871
16.4
1,109
11,980
21.2
3,419
2.8
8,561
30.6
4,707
3,855
230
(22)
3,602
45.2
18.8
28.5
6.0
3Q
24,673
13,356
11,316
21.2
1,200
12,516
24.9
3,521
11.7
8,995
31.0
4,800
4,195
629
15
3,581
32.2
20.3
28.1
15.0
4Q
26,674
13,969
12,705
26.5
1,273
13,978
29.4
3,733
21.9
10,245
32.4
5,722
4,523
980
15
3,558
12.7
18.6
26.7
21.7
(INR Million)
FY17
FY18
1Q
19,965
11,557
8,408
14.7
342
8,751
13.1
3,222
3.6
5,529
19.4
2,530
2,999
951
26
2,074
8.2
18.2
36.8
31.7
83,406
46,270
37,136
17.3
2,317
39,453
17.9
12,765
-2.8
26,688
31.2
15,899
10,789
364
-3
10,427
87
10.4
32.4
3.4
97,772
52,618
45,153
21.6
4,653
49,806
26.2
13,950
9.3
35,857
34.4
19,815
16,042
2,218
9
13,814
32.5
19.6
28.0
13.8
Research Analyst: Piran Engineer
(Piran.Engineer@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3980 4393 |
Alpesh Mehta
(Alpesh.Mehta@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5415
Nitin Aggarwal
(Nitin.Aggarwal@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5540
| Anirvan Sarkar
(Anirvan.Sarkar@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5505
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.