Sector Update | 12 December 2024
Cement
All-India average cement price down
12% YoY (flat MoM) in Nov’24
Demand set to rise, yet pricing remains competitive in 2H
Industry volume up 3-5% YoY in Oct-Nov’24
Average imported petcoke price down
27% YoY (up 3% MoM) at USD96/t in
Nov’24
Average imported coal price down 1%
YoY/MoM to USD111/t in Nov’24
As per our channel checks, industry volume is estimated to have grown 3-5% YoY
in Oct-Nov’24 (down 10-11% in Oct’24; up 20-22% YoY in Nov’24). Celebration of
Durga Puja and Diwali in Oct’24 vs. Diwali in Nov’23 led to a higher decline in
Oct’24, followed by strong growth in Nov’24. There are signs of recovery in
cement demand after the festive seasons, and we estimate industry volume
growth of ~8-9% YoY in 2HFY25, driven by pent-up demand, an expected rebound
in government spending and robust demand in the real estate and housing
sectors.
Average cement price largely remained flat MoM in Nov’24. Prices have moved
up ~1% in the North region and Madhya Pradesh, while they have declined ~1%
in the South region. Prices remained flat in East, West, and Uttar Pradesh. The
all-India average cement price in Oct-Nov’24 was up ~1% compared to 2QFY25
average. Cement dealers indicated that industry players increased billing prices
in the range of INR10-30/bag across regions in Dec’24. Nevertheless, the
sustainability needs to be watched out for given higher competitive intensity.
We have analyzed the realization trends for the last 12 years (FY13-24) and
observed that average realization (for our coverage companies) during 2H
declined ~1% as compared to 1H. Most of the years, realization fell in the range of
~1-6%, with a few exceptions when realization remained flat in 2H compared to
1H. However, only in FY22, the realization was higher in 2H compared to 1H,
mainly due to the pass-on of the spike in fuel prices during the Russia-Ukraine war.
Given the historical trend, if competitive pricing were to continue in 2HFY25, this
may pose a risk to our FY25 earnings estimates.
Imported petcoke prices increased ~3-5% MoM in Nov’24, whereas imported coal
prices (South African) remained range-bound. At the spot price, imported petcoke
consumption costs stood at INR1.20/Kcal, while imported coal (South African)
costs stood at INR1.65/kcal. Based on the prevailing fuel prices, we estimate
cement spread to improve (due to lower fuel price) up to INR25-30/t in 2HFY25
over 1HFY25.
Estimate volume growth of 8-9% YoY in 2H
After a sluggish industry volume growth of ~1-2% YoY in 1HFY25, cement demand
picked up to 3-5% YoY in Oct-Nov’24. Cement volume declined by 10-11% YoY in
Oct’24, impacted by a high base of last year, festivals and unseasonal rains in a few
parts of the country. A favorable base led to strong growth of 20-22% YoY in Nov’24.
After a 12.7% YoY contraction in government capex in 1HFY25 (central government
capex down 13.5% YoY and state government capex down 11.5% YoY). Govt capex is
expected to pick up in 2HFY25. This should lead to improvement in cement demand,
and we estimate volume growth of ~8-9% YoY in 2HFY25. We also expect FY26E to
start on a strong note in terms of cement demand as Mar-Jun’25 is the strongest
period for cement consumption.
Sanjeev Kumar Singh - Research analyst
(Sanjeev.Singh@MotilalOswal.com)
Mudit Agarwal - Research analyst
(Mudit.Agarwal@MotilalOswal.com)
MotilalOswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Cement
Prices to follow demand improvement, though 2H numbers could be at risk
Historically, in most of the years (over FY13-24), industry realization fell in the range
of ~1-6%, with a few exceptions when realization remained flat in 2H compared to
1H. Industry players attempted price hikes during Oct-Nov’24; however, due to
higher competitive intensity and modest cement demand growth, the large part of
the price hike was rolled back. Resultantly, the all-India average cement price was
up ~1% in Oct-Nov’24 vs. 2QFY25 average and was flat vs. 1HFY25 average. Given
the historical trend, if competitive pricing were to continue in 2HFY25, this may
pose a risk to FY25 earnings estimates.
Secondly, imported petcoke prices, after witnessing a sharp correction in Sep-Oct’24
(down ~15% sequentially), have increased from mid-Nov’24. The spot price of
imported petcoke is up ~7-9% MoM and domestic petcoke is up ~6%. Imported coal
(South African) price has largely remained range-bound. Based on the prevailing
fuel prices, we estimate cement spread to improve up to INR25-30/t in 2HFY25
over 1HFY25.
For our coverage universe, we estimate volume growth of ~8% YoY in 2HFY25. We
estimate realization to improve by ~1% sequentially (down ~5% YoY) in 2HFY25.
EBITDA/t is estimated to improve ~23% sequentially (down ~15% YoY) in 2HFY25,
led by improvement in realization, positive operating leverage, favorable fuel prices
and cost efficiency initiatives (increase in green power share, alternative fuel share,
logistics cost optimization and plant efficiency improvement).
We estimate clinker utilization will improve to 81%/98% in 3Q/4QFY25 from ~75% in
2QFY25. Historically, higher clinker utilization in 4Q-exit has supported pricing power
for the industry. An improvement in clinker utilization, coupled with sustained price
increases, could lead to positive earnings surprises for our FY26/FY27 estimates.
We are structurally positive on the industry. We prefer players with a balanced
geographic mix, higher capacity utilizations, and a strong track record of capacity
expansion and successfully integration.
Further, we are positive on the companies that have a strong presence in North,
Central and West regions. We believe these regions are less vulnerable to the
demand-supply mismatch and volatility in the cement price.
UTCEM is our top pick in the cement space. We are also positive on ACEM and
JKCE.
P/E (x)
FY26E
37.9
36.5
83.6
20.5
29.8
36.6
46.1
Loss
21.5
21.7
FY27E
30.2
28.4
65.9
15.7
23.2
27.1
32.2
69.4
16.2
22.4
EV/EBITDA (x)
FY25E
27.7
26.7
25.7
13.5
13.1
21.2
18.3
Loss
11.8
14.6
FY26E
20.2
18.5
21.3
9.9
11.1
15.9
14.8
33.5
8.6
11.2
FY27E
16.5
14.5
18.9
7.4
9.4
13.0
12.3
20.3
7.3
9.8
EV/t (USD)
FY25E
244
203
191
104
90
193
132
105
75
81
FY26E
217
158
166
94
89
154
125
103
68
79
FY27E
197
149
147
83
86
152
125
101
63
71
ROE (%)
FY25E
9.8
4.6
5.2
9.1
5.2
11.1
3.7
(11.5)
2.8
8.0
FY26E
12.9
6.0
5.5
11.2
7.0
15.7
6.4
(1.1)
6.7
13.2
FY27E
13.9
7.4
6.8
13.1
8.5
18.5
8.6
3.1
8.3
11.5
Net debt/
EBITDA (x)
FY25E FY26E FY27E
0.1 (0.0) (0.4)
(2.4) (1.6) (1.6)
(1.6) (1.1) (0.9)
(1.2) (1.4) (1.6)
0.6 0.4 0.1
2.6 2.0 1.5
3.2 2.7 2.2
Loss 6.5 3.5
3.0 2.2 1.8
2.4 1.8 2.5
Top picks are UTCEM, ACEM and JKCE
Exhibit 1:
Valuation
summary
M-cap CMP
(USD b) (INR)
UTCEM
ACEM
SRCM
ACC
DALBHARA
JKCE
TRCL
ICEM
BCORP
JKLC
40.7
13.5
11.7
5.0
4.3
4.3
2.8
1.3
1.2
1.2
FY25E
11,871 Buy 56.0
572
Buy
55.0
27,222 Neutral 90.7
2,231
Buy
27.5
1,938
Buy
42.2
4,647
Buy
54.9
998 Neutral 86.0
342
Sell
Loss
1,296
Buy
52.4
868
Buy
39.1
Rating
Source: MOFSL, Company; Note: ACEM estimates and valuation on a consolidated basis
12 December 2024
2
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Cement
Exhibit 2:
Realization
/t trend in last 10 years 2H vs 1H
Realization/t (INR)
0.4
(0.2)
(3.8)
(2.8) (2.3)
(5.9)
Exhibit 3:
Realization/t in most of the years declined in 2H vs. 1H
Realization/t growth in 2H over 1H
1.9
(0.4)
(1.2)
(0.4) (0.8)
1.2
(0.8)
Source: MOFSL, company, Note: MOFSL cement coverage universe
Source: MOFSL, company, Note: MOFSL cement coverage universe
Exhibit 4:
EBITDA
/t trend in last 10 years 2H vs. 1H
EBITDA/t (INR)
Exhibit 5:
EBITDA/t
in
most of the years declined in 2H over 1H
EBITDA/t growth in 2H over 1H
19.0
(1.8)
0.8
6.5
1.8
6.8
(7.3)
23.2
(21.8)
(18.6)
(16.3)
(12.5)
(24.9)
Source: MOFSL, company, Note: MOFSL cement coverage universe
Source: MOFSL, company, Note: MOFSL cement coverage universe
Exhibit 6:
Estimate clinker utilization to improve in 2HFY25
Clinker Utilization (%)
Exhibit 7:
Anticipate cement prices bottomed out in 2QFY25
All-India average cement price (INR/50 kg bag)
380
355
330
305
280
Source: MOFSL, company, Note: utilization trend of top listed
cement companies
Source: MOFSL, Industry
12 December 2024
3
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Cement
Exhibit 8:
Estimate volume growth of ~8% YoY in 2HFY25
45
20
Aggregate Vol (mt)
YoY change (%)
19
4
Exhibit 9:
Estimate EBITDA/t to declined ~15% YoY in 2HFY25
Average EBITDA (INR/t)
58 49
(15) (10) (5)
(10)(24)(22)
(29)
(51)
Growth (%)
17
15 9 10 10 16 13
7 11 4
4
2
(3)
2
7
9
(8)
(29)(28)
(4)
72 61 59 64 74 69 64 70 82 80 73 75 91 83 74 80 99
Source: Company, MOFSL
Source: Company, MOFSL,
Exhibit 10:
Estimate ~29% EBITDA CAGR over FY25-27 led by ~12% volume CAGR and profitability improvement
EBITDA (INR b)
FY25E
FY26E
121.8
169.1
54.8
79.6
35.3
43.0
26.9
35.3
27.3
33.3
18.6
24.8
14.6
18.5
(2.6)
3.8
10.7
14.3
6.2
8.7
286.7
395.1
(11.5)
37.8
FY27E
203.2
99.8
49.2
44.3
38.2
29.9
22.3
6.2
16.5
10.1
475.4
20.3
FY25-27E
CAGR (%)
29.2
34.9
18.1
28.4
18.3
26.8
23.6
NA
24.3
27.7
28.8
Volume (mt)
FY25E
FY26E
FY27E
128.8
150.5
166.0
63.3
76.8
85.9
35.5
39.1
43.0
40.9
44.2
48.2
31.0
33.6
35.9
20.0
22.3
25.0
19.0
20.7
22.5
9.0
9.6
10.4
17.6
18.7
19.8
9.3
10.0
10.9
333.5
381.2
419.3
5.3
14.3
10.0
FY25-27E
CAGR (%)
13.5
16.5
10.0
8.5
7.7
11.7
9.0
7.5
6.0
8.0
12.1
EBITDA/t (INR)
FY25E
FY26E
FY27E
945
1,123
1,224
866
1,036
1,162
994
1,099
1,145
656
798
919
882
990
1,062
930
1,115
1,199
771
897
991
(289)
400
598
607
518
559
662
842
902
860
1,037
1,134
(15.9)
20.6
9.4
UTCEM
ACEM *
SRCM
ACC^
DALBHARA
JKCE
TRCL
ICEM
BCORP
JKLC
Sum/average
YoY growth (%)
Source: MOFSL, Company; Note: *ACEM estimates on a consolidated basis; ^in Sum/average ACC is excluded as this has been included in
ACEM’s consolidated estimates
Top picks are UTCEM, ACEM and JKCE
UTCEM
UTCEM is maintaining its leadership position in the Indian cement industry with
its long-term capacity expansion strategy across regions. Over the year, the
company balanced out its pan-India presence with all-round capacity
expansions. Earlier (FY19), UTCEM had higher concentration in the West, Central
and North regions. However, the company’s consistent organic capacity
expansions (under Phase I, II and III) and recent strategic acquisitions are
balancing its overall market presence.
In 1HFY25 the company commissioned 10mtpa grinding capacity and is expected
to commission another 6.3mtpa in 2HFY25. Also, the company has enough
organic expansion opportunities to achieve 200mtpa of grey cement capacity in
the medium term. Despite significant capacity expansions, UTCEM’s capacity
utilization is estimated to be at the optimum level (over 80%) over FY25-27.
The company is targeting cost savings of INR300/t over the next three years. Key
cost-saving elements are – i) INR80/t through an increase in the green power
share; ii) INR30/t via higher alternative fuel share; iii) INR60/t via a reduction in
clinker factor and higher blended cement share; iv) INR75/t via savings in
4
12 December 2024
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Cement
logistics costs by utilizing larger scale of operation and logistic optimization; and
v) INR40/t from other operational efficiency, including positive operating
leverage with higher volume. We estimate a CAGR of ~12% in consol. volume
over FY24-27. Further, we estimate its EBITDA/t at INR1,120/INR1,220 in
FY26/FY27 vs. INR950 in FY25E.
UTCEM aims to increase its WHRS capacity to 450MW by FY27E vs. 308MW as of
now. Moreover, it is participating in a hybrid solar-wind project, which will help
to increase other RE capacity to 1.8GW by FY27E (from 681MW currently). After
the completion of these projects, green energy will fulfill ~64% of its total power
requirements (~24% from WHRS and 40% from other RE) on expanded capacity.
It has a long-term target (by FY30E) of increasing its share of green power up to
~85%. It is also focusing on increasing the thermal substitution rate to ~15% by
FY27-end from ~5% currently, by substituting fossil fuel with alternative fuels,
R&D for low-carbon products, and technological advancements.
UTCEM’s consolidated net debt increased to INR217b after a slew of acquisitions
in FY19-20. However, with the successful integrations and a rapid scale-up in
capacity utilization in acquired assets, UTCEM not only deleveraged its balance
sheet (net debt-to-EBITDA ratio at less than 1.0x), but also expanded its
domestic grey cement capacity to over 150mtpa now from 109mtpa in FY19
while maintaining its leadership position in the industry. We believe the low-cost
expansion (all Phase-I, II and III expansions entail capex of ~USD70/t) and faster
execution will improve return ratios. We estimate the company’s ROE to
increase to ~14% by FY27E vs. ~12%/10% in FY24/FY25E.
We continue to believe that the company’s valuation premium is supported by
its growth plan, cost-saving strategies and strong brand equity. The stock
currently trades at 20x/17x FY26E/FY27E EV/EBITDA. We value the stock at 20x
Dec’26E EV/EBITDA to arrive at a TP of INR13,700.
Reiterate BUY.
Exhibit 12:
Estimate cement capacity utilization to remain +80%
Cement capacity (mt)
Capacity Utilization (%) (RHS)
77
84
84
82
85
85
Exhibit 11:
UTCEM’s regional mix by FY26E
South
22%
North
20%
76
73
71
76
69
71
West
20%
East
20%
Central
18%
65
67
85 109 111 111 115 127 141 157 180 194
Source: Company, MOFSL; Note: including Kesoram’s cement
capacity of 10.75mtpa, but excluding ICEM’s capacity of 14.45mtpa
awaiting regulatory approvals
Source: Company, MOFSL
12 December 2024
5
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Cement
ACEM
ACEM, the second-largest player in the Indian cement industry, has the potential
to deliver strong earnings growth, led by capacity expansions and cost-saving
initiatives. The company is committed to increasing its capacity to 140mtpa by
FY28E through organic and inorganic expansions. Further, it is working on
improving cost efficiencies and targeting cost savings of INR530/t by FY28E.
Capacity expansion roadmap:
Over the last 18 months, the company completed
the acquisition of 19.1mtpa grinding capacity, while another acquisition of
8.5mtpa of Orient Cement is pending for regulatory approvals. Besides, ACEM’s
organic brownfield expansions of 4.0mtpa/6.4mtpa clinker/grinding capacity in
the east region are expected to be completed by FY25-end. Hence, ACEM’s
consolidated grinding capacity is estimated to increase to 103.5mtpa by FY25-
end vs. 67.6mtpa operational at the time of acquisition (Sep’22). In its next
phase of expansions, it plans to commission 14.6mtpa grinding capacity during
FY26, for which work is under progress at multiple locations. The company has
also identified 14 additional grinding unit projects, for which land acquisition and
statutory approvals are in progress. It targets to increase its total grinding
capacity to 118.1mtpa by FY26-end and 140mtpa by FY28-end. Further, the
cement companies it acquired have potential to expand capacities given the
availability of resources (such as land, limestone reserve etc.), which will ensure
long-term growth opportunities for the company.
Cost efficiency and profitability improvement initiatives:
It remains focused on
improving operations efficiencies and reducing costs. Key cost-reduction drivers
would be: 1) long-term tie-ups for sourcing major raw materials; 2) increasing
WHRS and other renewable power share; 3) increasing AFR’s share in the fuel
mix; 4) raising captive coal supplies and reducing the purchase of imported
petcoke; 5) optimizing rail-road mix and reducing lead distance, optimizing
warehouses and increasing direct dispatches; and 6) controlling fixed overheads.
With these initiatives, the company targets total cost savings of INR530/t by
FY28 (achieved INR150/t so far).
Strong balance sheet backed by fund infusion by promoters:
The promoter with
a clear intent of capacity expansion and growth in the cement business infused
funds of INR200b. The fund infusion has helped the company grow inorganically
in the initial phase, and reach closer to its capacity expansion target in a short
time. ACEM has a net cash balance of INR101.4b as of Sep’24. Considering cash
outflows of INR59b for the acquisition of Orient Cement (including proposed
open offer), ACEM is estimated to remain a net cash positive company by FY27E.
We estimate the company to generate sufficient operating cash flows to fund its
future organic expansions.
We estimate ACEM to deliver a CAGR of 12%/16% in consol. revenue/EBITDA
over FY24-27. We estimate a 13% CAGR in consol. volume, aided by capacity
expansions. Further, we estimate EBITDA/t to increase to INR1,040/INR1,160 by
FY26/FY27 from INR870 in FY25E. We believe ACEM, with a pan-India presence,
should benefit from a recovery in cement demand, prices and cost-saving
initiatives. The stock is currently trading at 18x/14x FY26E/FY27E EV/EBITDA and
USD160/USD150 EV/t. We value ACEM at 20.0x Dec’26E EV/EBITDA to arrive at a
TP of INR750.
Reiterate BUY.
12 December 2024
6
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Cement
Exhibit 13:
ACEM’s regional mix by FY26E
South
22%
Exhibit 14:
Estimate cement capacity utilization to remain +75%
Capacity (mt)
Capacity Utilisation (%)
83
81
82
78
79
North
23%
Central
10%
East
24%
78
83
84
75
76
West
21%
Source: Company, MOFSL; Note: excluding Orient Cement capacity
of 8.5mtpa awaiting regulatory approvals
Source: Company, MOFSL
JKCE
JKCE has been strategically expanding its capacity using a balanced approach of
improving the regional mix, lowering capex, and ensuring an adequate spread of
integrated and grinding units. JKCE has significantly expanded its grey cement
capacity in Central India, becoming the second-largest player (in terms of
installed capacity) in the region. In Central India, JKCE has one integrated cement
plant in Panna, Madhya Pradesh, and four split locations grinding units (GU)
spread across Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh. Further, the company has
been successful in ramping up capacity utilization of its new plants. It achieved
~83% capacity utilization for its central India expansion in the first full year of
operations. The capacity expansion of 6mtpa is on track and expected to be
commissioned in 2HFY26. Capacity utilization is estimated to moderate in
FY26/FY27 as the large part of capacity addition is expected between Dec’25 and
Apr’26 and new capacity is estimated to take time to stabilize.
JKCE targets to increase its grey cement capacity to 50mtpa by FY30 vs. 24mtpa
currently. The company’s next leg of expansion will be fairly spread across
regions, including greenfield expansion of 6mtpa in Jaisalmer (North) and
brownfield expansion of 6mtpa in Panna Line-III (Central), 5mtpa in Muddapur
(South), and 3mtpa in Odisha (East). The company’s capacity/volume CAGR
stood at ~12% (each) over FY14-24, surpassing the industry’s capacity/volume
CAGR of ~5%/6%. Considering the company’s disciplined expansion strategy,
strong execution capabilities and availability of resources, we believe it will
achieve its capacity target of ~50mtpa by FY30.
The company’s cost structure has improved with continuous capacity expansion
and upgrade works, which have helped to reduce energy consumption, optimize
logistics costs and drive positive operating leverage. Further, the company has
initiated various cost-saving initiatives, including an increase in green power
share and thermal substitution rate (TSR) by 10% (each) and a reduction in lead
distance by 15km. The company has invested significantly in WHRS and other
renewable energy (RE). Its WHRS/RE capacity now stands at 82.3MW/90.8MW.
The company’s green energy share increased to ~50% from ~23% in FY20. It is
adding another 190MW of RE capacity across its various plants. It targets to
increase green power share up to ~75% and thermal substation rate to 35% by
FY30. JKCE targets cost savings of INR150-200/t in the next two years.
12 December 2024
7
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Cement
We estimate JKCE to deliver a CAGR of 9%/13% in consol. revenue/EBITDA over
FY24-27, driven by a 9% CAGR in sales volume and improvement in EBITDA/t.
We estimate JKCE to post EBITDA/t of INR1,120/INR1,200 in FY26/FY27 vs.
INR930 in FY25E. The stock currently trades at 16x/13x FY26E/FY27E EV/EBITDA.
Considering JKCE’s increasing scale of operation, better execution strategy and
cost reduction initiatives, we value it at 15x Dec’26E EV/EBITDA to arrive at our
TP of INR5,300.
Exhibit 16:
JKCE capacity and utilization trends
Grey Cement Capacity
79 82
Central
41%
66
65
60
83
Capacity Utilization (%)
80
79
76
73
74
Exhibit 15:
JKCE’s regional mix by FY26E
East
10%
West
2%
South
12%
70
North
35%
Source: Company, MOFSL; Note: excluding Orient Cement capacity
of 8.5mtpa awaiting regulatory approvals
Source: Company, MOFSL
12 December 2024
8
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Cement
Story in charts
Exhibit 17:
All-India average cement price down 12% YoY in
Nov’24
Average price INR/ 50 kg bag
Change YoY (%)
Exhibit 18:
Average cement price down 10% YoY in North in
Nov’24
North retail price INR/ 50 kg bag
Change YoY (%)
Source: MOFSL, Cement dealers
Source: MOFSL, Cement dealers
Exhibit 19:
Average cement price down 8% YoY in Central in
Nov’24
Central retail price INR/ 50 kg bag
Change YoY (%)
Exhibit 20:
Average cement price down ~16% YoY in East in
Nov’24
East retail price INR/ 50 kg bag
Change YoY (%)
Source: MOFSL, Cement dealers
Source: MOFSL, Cement dealers
Exhibit 21:
Average cement price down 14% YoY in South in
Nov’24
South retail price INR/ 50 kg bag
Change YoY (%)
Exhibit 22:
Average cement price down 12% YoY in West in
Nov’24
West retail price INR/ 50 kg bag
Change YoY (%)
Source: MOFSL, Cement dealers
Source: MOFSL, Cement dealers
12 December 2024
9
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Cement
Exhibit 23:
Average US petcoke price down 27% YoY in Nov’24
Imported petcoke price (USD/t)
YoY growth (%)
Exhibit 24:
Domestic petcoke price down ~9% YoY in Dec’24
Domestic petcoke price(INR/t)
YoY growth (%)
Source: MOFSL, Bloomberg, Industry
Source: MOFSL, Industry
Exhibit 25:
Average South African coal price down 1% YoY in
Nov’24
South African coal (USD/t)
YoY growth (%)
Exhibit 26:
Diesel price lower by ~5% YoY (flat QoQ) in Nov’24
Diesel price (INR/ltr)
YoY growth (%)
Source: MOFSL, Industry
Source: MOFSL, Industry, Bloomberg,
Exhibit 27:
Crude oil price trend
Brent Crude (USD/ton)
116
100 97
62
78
71 76
Exhibit 28:
Baltic Dry Index
Baltic Dry Index (USD)
3,100
89 83
76
89
81 83 85 76
73 73 73
2,400
1,700
1,000
300
43 46
Source: Bloomberg, MOFSL
Source: Bloomberg, MOFSL; Note: Baltic dry index as on month-end
Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing
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 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
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Explanation of Investment Rating
Investment Rating
BUY
SELL
NEUTRAL
UNDER REVIEW
NOT RATED
Expected return (over 12-month)
>=15%
< - 10%
< - 10 % to 15%
Rating may undergo a change
We have forward looking estimates for the stock but we refrain from assigning recommendation
*In case the recommendation given by the Research Analyst is inconsistent with the investment rating legend for a continuous period of 30 days, the Research Analyst shall be within following 30 days take
appropriate measures to make the recommendation consistent with the investment rating legend.
Disclosures
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations).
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (MOFSL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000412. MOFSL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the Regulations, is engaged in
the business of providing Stock broking services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial products. MOFSL is a listed public company, the details in respect of which are available on
www.motilaloswal.com.
MOFSL (erstwhile Motilal Oswal Securities Limited - MOSL) is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and is a registered Trading Member with National
Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (BSE), Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) and National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) for
its stock broking activities & is Depository participant with Central Depository Services Limited (CDSL) National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL),NERL, COMRIS and CCRL and is member of
Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and Insurance Regulatory & Development Authority of India (IRDA) as Corporate Agent for insurance products.
Details of
associate entities of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited are available on the website at
http://onlinereports.motilaloswal.com/Dormant/documents/List%20of%20Associate%20companies.pdf
MOFSL and its associate company(ies), their directors and Research Analyst and their relatives may; (a) from time to time, have a long or short position in, act as principal in, and buy or sell the securities or
derivatives thereof of companies mentioned herein. (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial
instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and
other related information and opinions.; however the same shall have no bearing whatsoever on the specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are
completely independent of the views of the associates of MOFSL even though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest in some of the stocks mentioned in the research report.
MOFSL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients of this report should be aware that MOFSL
may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage
service
transactions.
Details
of
pending
Enquiry
Proceedings
of
Motilal
Oswal
Financial
Services
Limited
are
available
on
the
website
at
https://galaxy.motilaloswal.com/ResearchAnalyst/PublishViewLitigation.aspx
A graph of daily closing prices of securities is available at
www.nseindia.com, www.bseindia.com.
Research Analyst views on Subject Company may vary based on Fundamental research and Technical
Research. Proprietary trading desk of MOFSL or its associates maintains arm’s length distance with Research Team as all the activities are segregated from MOFSL research activity and therefore it can
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For Hong Kong:
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No. INH000000412) has an agreement with Motilal Oswal capital Markets (Hong Kong) Private Limited for distribution of research report in Hong Kong. This report is intended for distribution only to
“Professional Investors” as defined in Part I of Schedule 1 to SFO. Any investment or investment activity to which this document relates is only available to professional investor and will be engaged only with
professional investors.” Nothing here is an offer or solicitation of these securities, products and services in any jurisdiction where their offer or sale is not qualified or exempt from registration. The Indian
Analyst(s) who compile this report is/are not located in Hong Kong & are not conducting Research Analysis in Hong Kong.
For U.S.
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) is not a registered broker - dealer under the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the"1934 act") and under applicable state laws in the
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under applicable state laws in the United States. Accordingly, in the absence of specific exemption under the Acts, any brokerage and investment services provided by MOFSL, including the products and
services described herein are not available to or intended for U.S. persons. This report is intended for distribution only to "Major Institutional Investors" as defined by Rule 15a-6(b)(4) of the Exchange Act
and interpretations thereof by SEC (henceforth referred to as "major institutional investors"). This document must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not major institutional investors. Any
investment or investment activity to which this document relates is only available to major institutional investors and will be engaged in only with major institutional investors. In reliance on the exemption from
registration provided by Rule 15a-6 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act") and interpretations thereof by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") in
order to conduct business with Institutional Investors based in the U.S., MOFSL has entered into a chaperoning agreement with a U.S. registered broker-dealer, Motilal Oswal Securities International Private
Limited. ("MOSIPL"). Any business interaction pursuant to this report will have to be executed within the provisions of this chaperoning agreement.
The Research Analysts contributing to the report may not be registered /qualified as research analyst with FINRA. Such research analyst may not be associated persons of the U.S. registered broker-dealer,
MOSIPL, and therefore, may not be subject to NASD rule 2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communication with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research
analyst account.
For Singapore
In Singapore, this report is being distributed by Motilal Oswal Capital Markets (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. (“MOCMSPL”) (UEN 201129401Z), which is a holder of a capital markets services license and an exempt
financial adviser in Singapore.This report is distributed solely to persons who (a) qualify as “institutional investors” as defined in section 4A(1)(c) of the Securities and Futures Act of Singapore (“SFA”) or (b)
are considered "accredited investors" as defined in section 2(1) of the Financial Advisers Regulations of Singapore read with section 4A(1)(a) of the SFA. Accordingly, if a recipient is neither an “institutional
investor” nor an “accredited investor”, they must immediately discontinue any use of this Report and inform MOCMSPL .
In respect of any matter arising from or in connection with the research you could contact the following representatives of MOCMSPL. In case of grievances for any of the services rendered by MOCMSPL
write to
grievances@motilaloswal.com.
Nainesh Rajani
Email:
nainesh.rajani@motilaloswal.com
Contact: (+65) 8328 0276
.
Specific Disclosures
1 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives does not have financial interest in the subject company, as they do not have equity holdings in the subject company.
2 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in the subject company
3 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives have not received compensation/other benefits from the subject company in the past 12 months
4 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives do not have material conflict of interest in the subject company at the time of publication of research report
5 Research Analyst has not served as director/officer/employee in the subject company
6 MOFSL has not acted as a manager or co-manager of public offering of securities of the subject company in past 12 months
7 MOFSL has not received compensation for investment banking/ merchant banking/brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months
8 MOFSL has not received compensation for other than investment banking/merchant banking/brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months
9 MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
10 MOFSL has not engaged in market making activity for the subject company
********************************************************************************************************************************
The associates of MOFSL may have:
-
financial interest in the subject company
-
actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research Report or date of the public
appearance.
-
received compensation/other benefits from the subject company in the past 12 months
-
any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions.; however the same shall have no bearing whatsoever on the specific
recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the associates of MOFSL even though there might exist an
inherent conflict of interest in some of the stocks mentioned in the research report.
-
acted as a manager or co-manager of public offering of securities of the subject company in past 12 months
12 December 2024
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 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Cement
be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or
act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies)
-
received compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months for investment banking / merchant banking / brokerage services or from other than said services.
-
Served subject company as its clients during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report.
The associates of MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
Above disclosures include beneficial holdings lying in demat account of MOFSL which are opened for proprietary investments only. While calculating beneficial holdings, It does not consider demat accounts
which are opened in name of MOFSL for other purposes (i.e holding client securities, collaterals, error trades etc.). MOFSL also earns DP income from clients which are not considered in above disclosures.
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issues, and no part of the compensation of the research analyst(s) was, is, or
will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations and views expressed by research analyst(s) in this report.
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This report has been prepared by MOFSL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and may not be altered in any
way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of MOFSL. The report is based on the facts, figures
and information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not recommendatory in nature. The information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources
believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation of warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All
such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. The report is prepared solely for informational purpose and does not constitute an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or
subscribe for securities or other financial instruments for the clients. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. MOFSL will not
treat recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report.
Disclaimer:
The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to
any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent. This report and information herein is solely for informational purpose and may not be used or considered as an offer
document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that
any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their
own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any
recipient. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this
document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. The investment discussed or views expressed may not be
suitable for all investors. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options, another derivative products as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable
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Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. This information is subject to
change without any prior notice. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement as may be required from time to time without any prior approval. MOFSL, its
associates, their directors and the employees may from time to time, effect or have effected an own account transaction in, or deal as principal or agent in or for the securities mentioned in this document.
They may perform or seek to perform investment banking or other services for, or solicit investment banking or other business from, any company referred to in this report. Each of these entities functions as
a separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting the document. This report has been prepared on the basis of information that is already
available in publicly accessible media or developed through analysis of MOFSL. The views expressed are those of the analyst, and the Company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, copied, in whole or in part,
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This report is meant for the clients of Motilal Oswal only.
Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.
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Registered Office Address: Motilal Oswal Tower, Rahimtullah Sayani Road, Opposite Parel ST Depot, Prabhadevi, Mumbai-400025; Tel No.: 022 - 71934200 / 71934263; www.motilaloswal.com.
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Registration details of group entities.: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (MOFSL): INZ000158836 (BSE/NSE/MCX/NCDEX); CDSL and NSDL: IN-DP-16-2015; Research Analyst: INH000000412 . AMFI:
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