13 Dec 2012
Financials
Draft guidelines for NBFCs – an attempt to bridge regulatory
arbitrage; Phased transition to be non‐disruptive; Top picks
SHTF, MMFS, and LICHF
RBI has come out with the draft guidelines for NBFC, which have seen some dilution
of the recommendations made by Usha Thorat Committee. As against the fear of
immediate implementation of higher Tier I capital (12%) requirement and shifting of
NPA classification norms to 90dpd, RBI has recommended three year transition
period for the same. Further, it has recommended lower Tier I capital of 10% (except
in few cases) v/s 12% recommended by committee. Major recommendations of
draft guideline
‐
Increase in the minimum Tier I capital requirement to 10% v/s 7.5% currently,
lower than committee recommendation of 12% (except in few cases)
‐
Shifting of NPA classification norms from 180/360dpd to 120dpd in a phased
manner by FY15 and 90dpd thereafter, in‐line with recommendation though
time period was not recommended earlier. Further RBI has given one time
dispensation to change repayment schedule, which shall not be considered as
restructuring.
‐
Standard assets provisioning to be increased to 40bp by end of FY14 (as
recommended earlier) from 25bp currently
‐
Any gap in cumulative inflows and cumulative outflows in less than one month
bucket, should be filled by cash and cash equivalent assets
‐
Other Government companies that qualify as NBFCs (like RECL and POWF) will
have to qualify regulatory criteria of NBFCs earliest
Our view:
‐
As we have been maintaining, higher capitalization is unlikely to be a problem
for NBFCs as they work with optimal leverage at 7‐8x (Implied Tier I of 12 %+) to
keep credit rating intact. Further, all major NBFCs are currently adequately
capitalised with Tier I capital of 12%+
‐
Shifting to 90dpd is on the expected lines although transition period of 3 years is
a major relief for NBFCs. Further, 90dpd is an accounting entry and loss given
defaults are unlikely to change
‐
Government companies like RECL and POWF are likely to be impacted the most
as RBI has been repeatedly recommending compliance with NBFC regulations at
the earliest. However, impact on yearly financials will depend on the final
roadmap agreed by RBI to comply with NBFC guidelines.
‐
While there have been rumours that NHB will also prescribe higher Tier I
requirements for HFCs, in line with NBFC’s, our interaction with major HFCs and
interviews of NHB chairman suggest that it is not thinking on the same lines
currently
‐
Improved disclosures and efforts to improve balance sheet quality is a long term
positive, in our view. Overall recommendations are unlikely to be disruptive and
it removes overhang for NBFCs, especially the Auto Finance NBFCs. Within NBFC
space we maintain SHTF, MMFS, and LICHF as our Top Picks.
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