20 June 2014
WABCO India
spotlight
The Idea Junction
Stock Info
Bloomberg
CMP (INR)
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
M.Cap. (INR b)
M.Cap. (USD b)
WIL IN
3,076
19.0
3,234/1,510
34/46/50
58.3
1.0
Dominant player in technology intensive braking systems
Multiple growth drivers: Mandatory ABS regulation, CV recovery, exports
With over 85% share in OEM MHCV braking systems, WIL would be a key beneficiary of
(a) mandatory adoption of ABS for wider categories of MHCVs, effective October 2015,
(b) expected revival in MHCV cycle from 2HFY14, and (c) increasing content per vehicle,
as the CV industry evolves. We expect 20.6% CAGR in domestic revenues over FY14-17.
WIL is emerging as an export hub for its parent, thanks to its effective India-based cost
structure. Over FY11-14, its export revenues have grown 3.5x to INR4.1b, contributing
39% of revenues. We expect 20% CAGR in export revenues over FY14-17.
Dominant market position in a technology intensive and critical component ensures
strong pricing power, resulting in stable margins across cycles (average EBITDA margin
of 17.9% over FY10-14).
We expect revenues, EBITDA and PAT to grow at a CAGR of 30.3%, 43%, 41.9%,
respectively, supported by robust return ratios (average RoCE of 30%) and strong FCF
(INR3b over FY14-17). Expect premium valuation to sustain on attractive growth and
strong competitive positioning.
Key risks include delay in adoption of ABS and increase in royalty by parent.
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
Y/E March
Sales
EBITDA
NP
EPS (INR)
EPS Gr. (%)
BV/Sh. (INR)
RoE (%)
RoCE (%)
P/E (x)
P/BV (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
EV/Sales (x)
2015E 2016E 2017E
12.4
1.9
1.2
64.5
4.1
456.9
15.1
21.3
47.7
6.7
29.0
4.5
17.3
3.3
2.1
79.9
22.7
32.0
26.5
5.4
16.8
3.2
24.6
4.9
3.3
52.7
27.1
38.4
17.4
4.2
10.9
2.2
116.0 177.1
567.1 738.4
WABCO India (WIL) is a 75% subsidiary of Wabco Holdings Inc, a global leader in
anti-lock braking systems (ABS) for MHCVs. WIL pioneered air brake systems for
CVs in India and currently enjoys a dominant market position, with over 85%
share in braking systems, supported by superior R&D capabilities and strong
technology parentage. WIL's performance has been resilient to the cyclicality in
the CV industry, led by strong growth in exports, replacement demand, and
increasing content per vehicle. Over FY09-14, its revenue, EBITDA and PAT grew
at a CAGR of 21%, 25% and 27%, respectively, with average RoCE at 38.5%.
Shareholding pattern (%)
As on
Mar-14 Dec-13 Mar-13
Promoter
75.0
75.0
75.0
Dom. Inst
8.7
9.4
8.7
Foreign
2.7
2.2
2.6
Others
13.6
13.4
13.8
Stock performance (1 year)
Key beneficiary of mandatory ABS adoption, MHCV up-cycle, increasing
content per vehicle
Following several emerging market trends towards tightening safety
regulations, Indian regulators have issued final notification of adoption of ABS
for wider categories of MHCVs (above 12T for goods, 5T for buses), effective
October 2015.
With over 85% share in OEM MHCV braking systems, WIL is likely to be a key
beneficiary of mandatory adoption of ABS.
Spotlight
is a new offering from the Research team at Motilal Oswal. While our Coverage Universe
is a wide representation of investment opportunities in India, there are many emerging names in the
Mid Cap Universe that are not under coverage. Spotlight is an attempt to feature such mid cap stocks
by visiting such companies. We are not including these stocks under our active coverage at this point
in time. Motilal Oswal Research may or may not follow up on stocks under Spotlight.
Jinesh Gandhi
(Jinesh@MotilalOswal.com); 91 22 3982 5416
Chirag Jain
(Chirag.Jain@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5418
Investors are advised to refer through disclosures made at the end of the Research Report.
RED: Caution
AMBER: In transition
GREEN: Interesting
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