29 October 2014
2QFY15 Results Update | Sector:
Metals
Sesa Sterlite
BSE SENSEX
27,098
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
S&P CNX
8,090
SSLT IN
2,964.7
318/170
-7/17/-2
CMP: INR256
TP: INR307
Buy
EBITDA in line; target price cut 6% on lower oil prices
Consolidated 2QFY15 adjusted EBITDA increased 12% QoQ to INR63.3b (in line
with estimates). The sharp decline in O&G EBITDA was offset by stronger
performances of zinc-India and copper business.
Zinc-India EBITDA increased +48% QoQ to INR20b (v/s est. of INR18.4b) on 25%
growth in integrated refined zinc volumes and 12% higher LME. CoP was lower
due to 30% growth in mine production.
Copper EBITDA was stronger at INR4.7b (v/s est. of INR3.6b) on stronger TcRc,
better by-product credit and higher fixed cost absorption on higher volumes.
Oil business EBITDA was affected on shutdown and lower crude prices. Production
had been restored by the quarter-end.
Balco’s aluminum production was stable, but the cost of production (CoP)
increased sharply by USD255/t QoQ to USD2,089/t. CoP is expected to decline in
2HFY15 on better availability of linkage and e-auction coal. Balco-II produced 19kt
metal, including 13kt metal under trial run.
Jharsuguda-1 smelter production and EBITDA were on the expected line. CoP
increased by USD104/t QoQ to USD1,740/t. Jharsuguda-2 made a modest
beginning with the commissioning of 18 pots. Conversion of 2,400MW IPP to CPP
is still pending and is critical for successful ramp-up of this smelter.
Power business’ performance remained subdued due to operational issues at
Jharsuguda, shortage of coal and evacuation bottlenecks. TSPL’s first 660MW
unit’s trial run is delayed by three months to 3QFY15 due to flooding.
Consolidated attributable FY15E EBITDA is cut by 2% to INR180.7b due to a delay
in resumption of iron ore production, commissioning of TSPL and cut in crude oil
price assumption by 3%. SOTP too is lowered to INR307/share (earlier INR326) due
to a reduction in CAIRN India’s target price. Maintain
Buy.
M.Cap. (INR b) / (USD b) 757.6/12.4
Financials & Valuation (INR Billion)
Y/E MAR
Net Sales
EBITDA
Adj PAT
EPS (INR)
Gr. (%)
RoE (%)
RoCE (%)
P/E (x)
P/BV (x)
EV/EBITDA
( )
2015E 2016E 2017E
780.8
253.8
71.2
24.0
39.8
9.3
11.0
10.6
0.9
6.6
878.5
268.1
72.1
24.3
1.2
8.7
10.8
10.5
0.9
5.9
931.5
271.1
59.7
20.1
-17.2
6.8
10.5
12.7
0.8
5.4
Sanjay Jain
(SanjayJain@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5412
Dhruv Muchhal
(Dhruv.Muchhal@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3027 8033
Investors are advised to refer through disclosures made at the end of the Research Report.