26 November 2014
ART – ASHOK LEYLAND FY14
Our analysis of Ashok Leyland’s (AL) FY14 annual report indicates
that incremental loans and advances/investments in group
companies is the lowest in last four years and stood at INR29.4b in
FY14 (~90% of FY14 net worth). Management has indicated that it
will closely monitor all future investments in subsidiaries/
promoter group companies. AL is monetizing its non-core
investments and focusing on improving its cash conversion cycle to
pare debt. Goodwill on consolidation stood at INR7.8b (28% of net
worth), which could be at risk if subsidiaries’ performance
deteriorates further.
n
A
NNUAL
R
EPORT
T
HREADBARE
The
ART
of annual report analysis
Ø
Investments/loans to
subsidiaries / group companies
at INR29.4b in FY14; future
investments to be closely
monitored
Ø
Monetization of non-core asset to pare debt
Ø
Corporate restructuring in FY14 results in
capital reserve of INR0.9b (post write-off of
Avia of INR2.5b)
Stock Info
Bloomberg
CMP (INR)
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1,6,12 Rel. Perf. (%)
M.Cap. (INR b) / (USD b)
AL IN
51
2,845.9
56/15
9/44/146
145.1/2.3
2016E
168.6
17.3
7.8
2.7
NA
20.9
13.7
13.3
18.3
18.7
2.4
10.3
1.0
n
n
n
n
Incremental
investments/loans
to
subsidiaries/group
companies is lowest in last four years; future investments to
be closely monitored:
AL’s incremental investments/loans to
group companies was ~INR4b in FY14, taking the total net
exposure to INR29.4b in FY14 (90% of net worth). Management
stated that there would be no further investments in unrelated
businesses. Also, it would keep a close watch on any future
investment in subsidiaries and JVs.
Focus on cash conversion cycle drives improvement:
Cash
conversion cycle improved from 18 days in FY13 to negative 2
days in FY14 due to reduction in inventory days and increase in
payable days. Further, 1HFY15 saw the cash conversion cycle
increasing to 17 days, primarily due to higher inventory days.
Monetization of non-core assets with a focus on deleveraging:
During FY14, AL sold non-core assets of INR7.1b to pare its
debts in FY14. It further sold immovable properties in 1HFY15 at
a profit of INR1.1b. Further, management has stated that it will
continue to scout for monetization of any non-core assets.
Simplifies corporate structure; restructuring results in capital
reserve of INR0.9b; reports consolidated financials for the first
time:
During FY14, to simplify its corporate structure, AL
merged its investment SPVs with the standalone entity. The
scheme of merger resulted in the creation of capital reserve of
INR0.9b in the financial statements (post Avia write-off of
INR2.5b). AL also presented its consolidated financial
statements for the first time in the FY14 annual report.
Attendance at board meetings:
AL has been regularly holding
board meetings in accordance with the prescribed laws. All
directors have attended at least 50% of the meetings (at least
three for FY14), except Mr Shardul S Shroff, who attended just
one meeting.
Financial summary (INR b)
Y/E March
2014A
2015E
Sales
99.4
125.5
EBITDA
1.7
9.4
NP
(4.8)
1.2
Adj. EPS (INR)
(1.8)
0.4
EPS Gr. (%)
NA
NA
BV/Sh. (INR)
16.7
18.8
RoE (%)
(10.7)
2.4
RoCE (%)
(1.5)
6.1
Payout (%)
-
-
Valuations
P/E (x)
(28.5)
121.5
P/BV (x)
3.1
2.7
EV/EBITDA (x)
105.2
19.6
Div. Yield (%)
-
-
E: MOSL Estimates (Analyst estimates)
Shareholding pattern (%)
As on
Promoter
DII
FII
Others
Sep-14
38.8
13.3
33.8
14.1
Jun-14
41.5
12.7
30.2
15.6
Sep-13
38.6
12.4
29.2
19.8
Note: FII Includes depository receipts
Auditor’s name
Deloitte Haskins & Sells LLP and
M.S. Krishnaswami & Rajan
ART
will present a threadbare portrait of annual reports - statistical, strategic and structured. We believe
ART's
wide canvas - from accounting and auditing issues to operating
performance to management insights to governance matters - will help readers paint a clearer picture of the stock's investment worthiness.
Ashish Gupta
(Ashish.Gupta@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5544
Piyush Chaplot
(Piyush.Chaplot@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3312 4975
Investors are advised to refer through disclosures made at the end of the Research Report.