12 January 2015
Update | Sector: Technology
Tech Mahindra
BSE Sensex
27,458
S&P CNX
8,285
CMP: INR2,680
TP: INR3,100 (+16%)
Buy
Acquires Sofgen holdings Limited (SOFGEN)
Stock Info
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
M.Cap. (INR b)
M.Cap. (USD b)
Access to BFSI customer base key rationale; EPS-neutral
TECHM IN
240.0
2,741/1,678
6/21/14
643.2
10.3
Acquires SOFGEN - Implementer of banking and wealth management
software
TECHM signed an agreement to acquire100% stake in Sofgen holdings Ltd, a
niche consulting and services company specializing in Private Wealth,
commercial and retail banking solutions. The consideration is USD30m, one-
third of which is in the form of earn-outs to be paid after two years.
Financial Snapshot (INR b)
Y/E Mar
2015E 2016E 2017E
229.0 293.4 338.2
Sales
EBITDA
Adj. PAT
Adj. EPS (INR)
EPS Gr. (%)
RoE (%)
RoCE (%)
Payout (%)
P/E (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
44.3
30.3
13.2
28.6
29.8
16.1
19.6
12.4
57.2
38.3
26.2
28.4
31.8
17.4
15.5
9.4
65.2
45.0
17.6
26.9
30.3
17.2
13.2
7.8
Acquisition adds ~USD45m to FY16 revenues, single digit margin
Sofgen’s expected revenue this year is USD45m and has EBITDA margin in high
single digits. The company has grown its top line in mid single digits in the past
couple of years. Sofgen revenues comprise of Temenos implementations (60%),
Avaloq implementations (30%) and a tax compliance reporting platform (10%).
Majority of these implementations are in Middle East, Africa and Europe.
137.0 172.9 203.4
Rationale: Access to tier-I Banking and wealth management customers
The key rationale of the acquisition lies in the customer access facilitated to
TECHM. Sofgen’s services have been limited to platform migration and
implementation of the solution at the customer site. The acquisition enhances
TECHM’s capability to offer more end to end services in the BFSI vertical which
encompasses both run-the-business and change the business propositions like
Digital service transformations, IMS.
Shareholding pattern (%)
As on
Dec-14 Sep-14 Dec-13
Promoter
36.0
36.2
36.5
DII
10.6
10.8
15.1
FII
39.6
39.1
32.6
Others
13.7
14.0
15.8
FII Includes depository receipts
Stock Performance (1-year)
Tech Mahindra
Sensex - Rebased
Our take: Long sought access to BFSI customers, but not yet in the US
market
While the acquisition has negligible impact on TECHM’s financials, its lends
access to some large BFSI accounts, something that the company has been
seeking for long. However, we see the transaction as only a small step towards
the larger goal of scaling BFSI segment – given that it still does not open up the
lucrative scale of US and large Europen banking clients for TECHM directly. It
remains to be seen how much scale TECHM can derive from providing
additional services to banking and wealth management customers in other
regions.
2,800
2,500
2,200
1,900
1,600
Valuation and view
The acquisition has 1% impact on top-line and negligible impact on TECHM’s
earnings. We expect TECHM to grow its USD revenue at a CAGR of 20.7% over
FY15-17 and EPS at a CAGR of 21.9% during this period. At 15.5x FY16E EPS, the
stock is above its 5-year average, justifiably given the improvement in revenue
growth and margins, following merger with Satyam and increasing irrelevance
of BT. Our Target Price of INR3,100 discounts FY17E EPS by 15x, following
expectation of sustained above-industry growth over the medium term.
Maintain
Buy.
Ashish Chopra
(Ashish.Chopra@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5424
Siddharth Vora
(Siddharth.Vora@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5585
Investors are advised to refer through disclosures made at the end of the Research Report.