UPLL’s FY15 annual report analysis highlights sale of receivables of
INR8.3b (FY14: INR6.2b) to UPL Finance BV—an unrelated party,
adjusted for which the cash conversion cycle increased to 120 days
(v/s the reported 95). Despite the sale of receivables, operating cash
flow post interest declined from INR10.2b in FY14 to INR6.7b in FY15
due to increase in (a) loans and advances to INR5.7b (FY14: INR4.0b)
and (b) finance cost to INR7.4b (FY14: INR4.3b). Revenue grew a mere
12% YoY to INR121b, while EBITDA margin increased 80bp to 19.5%.
Forex fluctuations had an INR2.1b (15% of PBT) adverse impact on
earnings. UPLL has a natural hedge of forex borrowings against
exports income; however, it continues to have exposure to derivative
instruments—which leads to an increase in net unhedged forex
position on a consolidated basis. UPLL had cash and investments of
INR13b (FY14: INR16b), generating a 4.4% yield; UPLL also has debt of
INR32.8b having a borrowing cost of 10.2%—the low yield and high
borrowing cost may partially be due to seasonality of the business
.
UPL LIMITED
The
ART
of annual report analysis
A
NNUAL
R
EPORT
T
HREADBARE
13 January 2016
UPL sold receivables of
INR8.3b (FY14: INR6.2b) to
UPL
finance
BV,
an
unrelated party.
Operating
cash flow post
interest declined to INR6.7b
(FY14:INR10.2b).
Cash
and investments generated average
yield of 4.4% while debt had an average
borrowing cost of 10.2%.
Sale of receivables to UPL Finance BV, an unrelated party,
increases:
United Phosphorus, Inc. (a subsidiary) sold receivables
of INR8.3b (FY14: INR6.2b) to UPL Finance BV—an unrelated
party. Consequently, the receivables are derecognized and do
not form part of receivable/contingent liabilities; adjusted for
which the receivable days for FY15 will be higher by 25 days at
136 days.
Earnings-to-cash flow conversion declines from 80% in FY14 to
71% in FY15:
The decline was primarily on account of an increase
in advance extended to INR5.7b (FY14: INR4.0b). Higher finance
cost at INR7.4b (FY14: INR4.3b) further led to a decline in
operating cash flow post interest to INR6.7b (FY14: INR10.2b).
Forex fluctuations continue to impact earnings:
UPLL recognized
a forex loss of INR3.2b (FY14: Gain of INR0.6b), partially offset by
derivative gains of INR1.1b (FY14: Loss of INR1.4b). Some of the
derivatives taken by the company increase unhedged positions
on consolidated basis; this may be due to a combination of (a)
net unhedged forex position on subsidiaries and (b) elimination
of inter-company transactions on consolidation of subsidiaries
(having a reporting currency other than INR)
Effective tax rates low at 17.3%:
This was primarily on account
of routing of exports (~32% of export revenue) through
subsidiaries domiciled in countries having low tax rates.
Rising payable days drive improvement in cash conversion
cycle:
Over the last four years, reported cash conversion cycle
improved to 95 days (FY12: 139 days), primarily on account of
increase in payable days to 141 (FY11: 100 days)—led by
standalone operations.
Bloomberg
CMP (INR)
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1,6,12 Rel. Perf. (%)
M.Cap. (INR b) / (USD b)
Stock Info
UPLL IN
425
428.6
576/329
9/-7/39
182.2/2.7
2016E
133.6
26.4
12.8
29.9
11.2
162.6
20.0
22.1
13.8
14.2
2.6
7.9
2017E
150.5
30.7
16.5
38.5
28.7
197.0
21.4
24.0
10.8
11.0
2.2
6.6
0.8
Financial summary (INR b)
Y/E March
Sales
EBITDA
NP
Adj EPS (INR)
EPS Growth (%)
BV/Sh. (INR)
RoE (%)
RoCE (%)
Payout (%)
Valuations
P/E (x)
P/BV (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
2015A
120.9
23.6
11.5
26.9
11.2
136.7
20.8
21.7
15.1
15.8
3.1
8.7
Div. Yield (%)
0.8
0.8
E: MOSL Estimates (Analyst estimates)
Shareholding pattern (%)
As on
Promoter
DII
FII
Others
Sep-15
29.8
9.9
47.9
12.4
Note: FII Includes depository receipts
Jun-15
29.8
9.1
48.9
12.2
Sep-14
29.8
8.5
46.6
15.1
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Auditor’s name
S R B C & Co LLP
Sandeep Gupta
(S.Gupta@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5544
Somil Shah
(Somil.Shah@MotilalOswal.com); +9122 3312 4975/
Mehul Parikh
(Mehul.Parikh@MotilalOswal.com); +9122 3010 2492
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on
www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities,
Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.