Pidilite Industries
BSE SENSEX
24,871
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
S&P CNX
7,564
PIDI IN
512.7
290.2 / 4.4
638/508
8/13/14
224
30.3
30 January 2016
3QFY16 Results Update | Sector: Consumer
CMP: INR566
TP: INR660 (+17%)
Buy
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
Y/E Mar
2015 2016E 2017E
Net Sales
48.8
52.5
61.1
EBITDA
8.0
11.9
13.4
PAT
5.1
7.6
8.4
EPS (INR)
10.0
14.9
16.4
Gr. (%)
13.2
48.5
10.2
BV/Sh (INR)
44.3
55.5
66.3
RoE (%)
24.3
29.8
26.9
RoCE (%)
30.9
39.4
36.7
P/E (x)
56.5
38.0
34.5
P/BV (x)
12.8
10.2
8.5
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
Sharp beat on profits; Raise estimates; one of our preferred FMCG ideas
PIDI’s 3QFY16
revenues was in-line with expectation while PAT came in 16%
ahead of expectations. Standalone sales grew 8.8% YoY to INR11.8b (est.
INR11.7b), with 6-7% volume growth in the Consumer Bazaar segment, in our
view. EBITDA grew 52.4% to INR2.9b (est. INR2.6b) and adjusted PAT posted
50.2% growth to INR1.86b (est. INR1.61b, 16% above estimates).
Benign input costs drive sharp margin expansion:
PIDI’s gross margin
expanded 780bps YoY to 52.3% (est. 51%; highest in 31 quarters), led by benign
input costs (VAM prices down 16% YoY) and carryover of earlier price hikes.
However higher other expenses (up 70bps) and increased staff costs (up 10bps)
curtailed EBITDA margin expansion to 700bps YoY to 24.4% (est. 22.5%).
Segment performance:
Consumer Bazaar posted 10.8% revenue growth, with
underlying EBIT margin expansion of 750bps YoY to 29%. Industrial segment
revenues grew tepid 3.1% while EBIT margin expanded 600bps YoY to 17.5%.
Consolidated
Sales, EBITDA and Adj. PAT grew 11.4%, 53% and 49%
respectively. Gross margin and EBITDA margin expanded 750bps and 600bps
resp. Imputed subsidiary posted 35% revenue growth, with Adj. PAT of INR2m.
9MFY16
Sales, EBITDA and PAT grew 6.3%, 43.5% and 37% resp. Gross margin
and EBITDA margin expanded 750bps and 630bps resp.
Valuation and view:
We revise our estimates upwards by 3% to bake in
3QFY16 beat and benign input cost environment. Pidilite is one of the biggest
beneficiaries of correction in crude prices, in our view. Pidilite offers a high
quality play on urban consumption with strong competitive positioning (quasi
monopoly shares in mainstay Adhesives) and an impeccable track record of
generating long term shareholder value over multiple periods. We are also
enthused by Mr. Puri’s strategy of making Pidilite an innovative Indian MNC
and his agenda of expanding product portfolio. Maintain BUY, with an
unchanged target price of INR660. Spike in input costs is a key downside risk.
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Gautam Duggad
(Gautam.Duggad@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5404
Manish Poddar
(manish.poddar@motilaloswal.com); +91 22 3027 8029/
Vishal Punmiya
(Vishal.Punmiya@motilaloswal.com)