4 February 2016
3QFY16 Result Update | Sector: Capital Goods
Lakshmi Machine Works Ltd.
BSE SENSEX
24338
Shares O/s (cr)
52-W H/L Range (INR)
1/6/12m Rel. Perf. (%)
Market Cap. (INR cr)
Market Cap. (US$ m)
NIFTY
7404
1.1
4199/ 3275
-4 /10 /8
3985
595
CMP: INR3515
YEAR
END
SALES APAT
A.EPS
EPS
Gr.(%)
18%
24%
18%
PE
(INRCr) (INRCr) (INRCr)
217
251
289
198.2
245.5
198.2
TP: INR4800
P/BV EV/EBITDA
(X)
3.2
2.5
3.2
(X)
7.9
5.5
7.9
Div yld
(%)
1.0
1.3
1.0
ROE
(%)
18.9
18.5
18.9
(X)
18.2
14.7
18.2
Buy
ROCE
(%)
21.3
22.5
21.3
FY15A 2,385
FY16E
FY17E
2,576
2,879
Result Highlights
LMW numbers were above our estimates.
Revenue grew 15% on account of 31% growth in Machine Tood division and 12% growth in revenues for textile
machinery.
Margins have risen on accout of lower raw material cost with the Textile division seeing margins grow by 340bps to
13.3%.
Backlog for the Textile Machinery business at December end for the domestic business is close to FY15 end
backlog with revenues booked being equivalent to orders that have been bagged. Export backlog is now being
considered closer to delivery as LCs get raised. The entry into new export markets is paying off with exports at 22%
of revenues.
QEDec-14
589.3
518.7
70.6
26
23.3
0.3
73.3
26.5
46.8
12.0
36.1
QESep-15
564.2
499.0
65.2
24
23.2
0.0
66.0
22.2
43.9
11.6
33.6
QEDec-15
619.8
547.8
72.0
29
19.3
0.1
81.1
24.7
56.5
11.6
30.4
% y/y
5%
6%
2%
9%
-17%
-54%
11%
-7%
21%
% q/q
10%
10%
10%
N.A.
-17%
683%
23%
11%
29%
INRCr
Revenue
Expenditure
OP
Other Income
Depreciation
Interest
Profit before tax
Tax
RPAT
OPM(%)
Tax rate (%)
Valuation and view
Our rationale for recommending to BUY LMW was:
LMW has a market share of 60% in value-terms and 70% in volume terms.
LMW's target customers - Textile companies have reported good profits . Most of these companies are working at
optimum capacity utilization and need to invest to grow further. LMW, as a market leader in equipment, stand to
benefit. The Gujarat government's make in Gujarat policy is seeing textile capacity come back into the state and
orders on this front will continue to drive revenues well into FY17
LMW's balance sheet is strong given a net cash and cash equivalent of ~Rs.968 cr as of end September 2015 and
zero debt.
The domestic customer base is witnessing overcapacity and could be impacted by events in China. This is our only
worry for LMW.
We recommend to BUY for an one year target of INR4800 at 1% yield on our expected FY16 dividend.
Ravi Shenoy
(ravi.shenoy@MotilalOswal.com); Tel: +91 22 30896865