4 May 2016
4QFY16 Results Update | Sector:
Financials
BSE SENSEX
25,120
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap. (INR b) / (USD b)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val (INR m)
Free float (%)
S&P CNX
7,707
DEWH IN
291.8
57.8/0.9
268 / 141
0/-3/-3
328
65.1
CMP: INR198
TP: INR289 (+46%)
Dewan Housing
Buy
Financials & Valuation (INR Billion)
Y/E MAR
NII
PPP
Adj. PAT
EPS (INR)
EPS Gr. (%)
BV (INR)
RoAA (%)
RoE (%)
Payout (%)
Valuations
P/E (x)
P/BV (x)
P/ABV (x)
Div. Yield
(%)
7.9
1.2
1.2
4.0
6.7
1.0
1.0
3.0
5.5
0.9
0.9
3.7
2016 2017E 2018E
16.6
12.8
7.3
25.0
17.2
172
1.2
15.1
37.1
19.9
15.2
8.6
29.4
17.9
194
1.2
16.1
23.2
24.1
18.7
10.6
36.2
22.8
221
1.2
17.4
23.2
Dewan Housing Finance’s (DEWH) PAT grew 16.9% YoY to INR1.9b in 4QFY16.
While the net income was in line with our estimate, though higher expenses (led
by advertisement and CSR) led to a 6% PAT miss. Healthy AUM growth of 22% YoY
and 5.3% QoQ to INR695b, margin expansion of 7bp YoY to 2.96% and stable asset
quality were the key highlights of DEWH’s performance in the quarter.
Business momentum remained strong for DEWH in 4QFY16, with
sanctions/disbursements up 36%/22% YoY to INR128b/INR78.2b. Increased
repayments of 7.2% as against a run-rate of 4.5% were due to higher pre-
payments and shift in loan mix towards non-housing portfolio, which stood at 28%
of AUM, as compared to 23% in 4QFY15.
Reported NIM improved by 7bp YoY to 2.96%, led by a decline of 61bp YoY in cost
of funds to 9.67%, but was partly offset by moderating yields owing to competitive
pressures.
Asset quality remained stable, with GNPLs of 93bp, as against 95bp in 4QFY15.
However, provisions were higher at INR500m, as the company was required to
make increased provisioning for non-housing loans.
Other highlights:
a) DEWH received INR1.25b as the first tranche of warrant
money (the company had issued convertible warrants of INR5b to the promoter
group company), b) Tier 1 improved by 63bp QoQ to 13.26%, c) Average ticket
size stood at INR1.24m.
Valuation and view:
DEWH continues to perform well on the growth and asset
quality fronts. The company’s margins have improved, and a rating upgrade,
coupled with reduction in base/wholesale rates, is likely to drive further margin
expansion. Moreover, the management’s commitment to lower costs could
provide delta to earnings. The stock trades at 1x FY17E P/B and 6.7x P/E, which is
at a steep discount in comparison to other HFCs, though DEWH’s expected margin
improvement and cost reduction could narrow this gap. Maintain Buy with a TP of
INR289 (1.5x FY17E ABV).
Sunesh Khanna
(Sunesh.Khanna@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5521
Alpesh Mehta
(Alpesh.Mehta@MotilalOswal.com) +91 22 3982 5415
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on
www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities,
Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.