HAVELLS FY16
Havells’ (HAVL) FY16 annual report highlights a shift in its focus back to
domestic operations with a stake sale in the Sylvania business. On a
standalone basis, revenue growth was merely 3.8% (five-year low),
primarily due to benign commodity prices. Further, pre-tax earnings
and EBITDA growth (at 10.1% and 7%, respectively, for FY16) have been
slowing over the past five years. Earnings to cash flow conversion
declined to 90% in FY16 (FY15: 94%) on rising inventory levels. Cash
flows are further supported by the continued practice of receivables
factoring / channel financing (FY16: INR8.1b). Adjusted for this, ROIC
and ROCE stood at 32% and 18%, respectively (v/s 28% and 14%,
respectively, in FY15). Cash and investments increased to INR16.2b
(FY15:INR7.8b), generating a yield of 4.4%. HAVL, in our view, will be
among the key beneficiaries of GST due to a shift in trade from
unorganized to organized.
The
ART
of annual report analysis
EBITDA growth decelerates (to
7% ) for fifth consecutive year
Cash conversion cycle adjusted
for receivable factoring stood at
102 days v/s reported 47 days
A
NNUAL
R
EPORT
T
HREADBARE
24 June 2016
Adjusted ROIC nearly halves to 32% v/s
reported: 58%
Stake sale in Sylvania frees up capital employed and
managerial bandwidth:
In FY16, HAVL, through its subsidiary
Havells Holding, disposed 80% of its stake in Havells Malta
(holding co. for Sylvania) and Havells Exim for
INR10.9b
,
recognizing a gain of INR7.2b on a consolidated basis. This will
help in freeing up of the managerial bandwidth and capital
employed.
EBITDA growth decelerates for fifth consecutive year:
Over
the past five years, HAVL’s standalone revenue and EBITDA
growth has been declining. In FY16, revenue grew by a mere
3.8% to INR54.4b, while EBITDA growth also decelerated to
7%. EBITDA margin increased to 13.8% (FY15: 13.3%),
primarily on account of gross margin expansion of 230bp,
partially offset by an increase in operating and administrative
as well as employee expenses.
Cash conversion cycle supported by receivables factoring:
Adjusted for receivables factoring, cash conversion cycle
doubled to 102 days (FY15: 94 days) v/s the reported 47 days
(FY15: 39days). The increase in cash conversion cycle can be
ascribed to a rise in inventory days to 85 days (FY15:79 days)
due to increasing finished goods inventory.
Adjusted ROIC nearly halves v/s reported:
Adjusted for
receivables discounting, ROIC stood at 32% vs the reported
58%, while ROCE stood at 18% vs the reported 22%.
FCF falling on account of working capital changes and capex:
Standalone adjusted FCF increased to INR3.6b (FY15: INR3.2b),
but is down from its high of INR5.0b in FY14. The deterioration
is primarily on account of (a) higher capex for its water heater
plant and (b) an increase in working capital requirements.
Stock Info
Bloomberg
CMP (INR)
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
M.Cap. (INR b)/(USD b)
1,6,12 Rel. Perf. (%)
HAVL IN
366
623.9
378/233
228.3/3.4
-7/16/29
Financial summary (INR b)
Y/E Mar
Net Sales
EBITDA
Adj PAT
Adj EPS (INR)
EPS Gr. (%)
BV/Sh (INR)
Payout (%)
P/E (x)
P/BV (x)
E: MOSL Estimates
2016
77.1
8.0
4.8
7.8
-6.0
41.0
60.3
47.3
9.0
2017E
63.3
9.0
6.5
10.4
34.1
45.5
56.2
35.2
8.1
2018E
74.5
11.3
8.0
12.9
23.7
51.4
54.5
28.5
7.1
Shareholding pattern (%)
As on
Promoter
DII
FII
Others
Mar-16
61.6
4.2
25.6
8.6
Note: FII Includes depository receipts
Dec-15
61.6
4.1
25.1
9.1
Mar-15
61.6
2.6
26.0
9.8
Auditor’s name
V.R. Bansal & Associates, Chartered Accountants
S. R. Batliboi & Co LLP, Chartered Accountants
Note : Based on standalone financials unless specified
ART will present a threadbare portrait of annual reports - statistical, strategic and structured. We believe ART's wide canvas - from accounting and auditing issues to
operating performance to management insights to governance matters - will help readers paint a clearer picture of the stock's investment worthiness.
Sandeep Ashok Gupta
(s.gupta@motilaloswal.com); +91 22 3982 5544
Somil Shah
(Somil.Shah@motilaloswal.com); +91 22 3312 4975 /
Mehul Parikh
(Mehul.Parikh@motilaloswal.com); +9122 3010 2492
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
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