22 July 2016
1QFY17 Results Update | Sector:
Financials
BSE SENSEX
27,711
S&P CNX
8,510
CMP: INR764
Bharat Financial Inclusion
TP: INR945 (+24%)
Buy
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap. (INR b) / (USD b)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
12M Avg Val (INR M)
Free float (%)
BHAFIN IN
126.3
96.5/1.4
800 / 369
7/45/46
1010
97.4
Financials & Valuation (INR Billion)
Y/E March
NII
PPP
PAT
EPS (INR)
BV/Sh. (INR)
RoE (%)
Valuations
P/E (x)
P/BV (x)
32.1
7.0
15.7
4.9
14.6
3.6
2016 2017E 2018E
5,796 8,116 12,665
4,325 6,056 9,660
3,030 6,214 6,684
23.8
48.8
52.5
108.6 157.4 209.9
6.3
4.5
RoA on AUM (%)
5.1
24.9
36.7
28.6
Bharat Financial’s (BHAFIN) 1QFY17 PAT grew 286% YoY and 180% QoQ to INR2.4b
(v/s est. of INR2.0b). Strong AUM growth (76%YoY), improving funding cost
(marginal CoF of 9.7%), lower cost-to-income ratio (down 670p YoY at 45.7%) and
MAT credit entitlement (INR1.3b) were the key highlights for the quarter.
AUM during the quarter grew at a notable pace of 76% YoY and 10% QoQ, driven
by 38% YoY growth in customer additions, coupled with a 25% increase in ticket
size (INR17k) to income generating loans (IGL). Notably, the RBI revised the
regulation allowing for higher ticket sizes, which led to BHAFIN focusing on short-
term loans. Long-term loans constituted 11% of disbursement in the quarter
compared to 24% in 1QFY16. Disbursements continued to grow at a robust pace of
59% YoY to INR37b.
Reported NIM increased 20bp QoQ, but was down 60bp YoY to 10.8% due to a cut
in interest rates last fiscal. However, marginal cost of borrowings now stands at
9.9% v/s 11.5% for 1QFY16. Asset quality improved as absolute GNPA declined
from INR41m to INR35m sequentially. % GNPA stood at 10bp (stable YoY) and
NNPA at 3bp. Strong PAT performance was also driven by operating leverage—
evident from the C/I ratio, which reduced 670bp YoY to 45.7%.
Valuation and view:
Large unmet demand, low competitive intensity, supportive
regulations, a strong balance sheet and best-in-class operating metrics have put
BHAFIN on a high-growth path. BHAFIN trades at 4.8x FY17E and 3.5x FY18E BV.
While valuations appear high, we believe they are justified, given its high medium-
term growth visibility, superior profitability and robust asset quality. Current
valuations should sustain and even improve, given its strong profitability (49% PAT
CAGR over FY16-18), healthy asset quality and capitalization. We increase our
FY17/FY18 estimates by 6.5%/10.5% to account for higher growth. Maintain
Buy
with a target price of INR945 (4.5x FY18E BV).
Sunesh Khanna
(Sunesh.Khanna@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5521
Piran Engineer
(Piran.Engineer@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3980 4393
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on
www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities,
Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.