Pidilite Industries
BSE SENSEX
27,982
S&P CNX
8,623
2 August 2016
1QFY17 Results Update | Sector: Consumer
CMP: INR740
TP: INR850 (+15%)
Buy
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Long-term growth drivers in place
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, (INR m)
Free float (%)
PIDI IN
512.7
379.5 / 5.7
770 / 508
0/15/33
355
30.4
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
Y/E Mar
2016 2017E 2018E
Net Sales
53.7
60.7
73.8
EBITDA
11.8
14.0
16.5
PAT
7.6
9.4
11.1
EPS (INR)
14.8
18.3
21.6
Gr. (%)
46.6
23.0
18.2
BV/Sh (INR)
53.4
68.0
82.9
RoE (%)
30.4
30.1
28.6
RoCE (%)
29.1
28.7
27.6
P/E (x)
49.9
40.6
34.3
P/BV (x)
13.9
10.9
8.9
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
Pidilite Industries’ (PIDI) 1QFY17
performance was below our expectations.
Consolidated sales grew 6.8% YoY (est. of +18% YoY) to INR15.7b (Ind-AS).
Volume growth was reportedly ~9% YoY in the Consumer Bazaar segment.
EBITDA grew 15.2% YoY (est. of +25.6%) to INR3.94b. Adjusted PAT was up
16.4% YoY (est. of +23.6%) at INR2.72b.
Sharp gross margin expansion:
Gross margin expanded sharply by 330bp YoY
to 52.3% aided by benign input costs, but the impact was partly offset by
higher staff costs (+70bp YoY) and other expenses (+80bp YoY). EBITDA margins
expanded 180bp YoY (est. of +150bp) to 25.1%.
Segmental performance:
Consumer Bazaar posted 9.4% YoY revenue growth,
with underlying EBIT margin expansion of 130bp YoY to 27.1%. Industrial
segment’s revenues grew 4.2% YoY, while EBIT margin expanded 270bp YoY to
18.3%.
Standalone highlights:
Sales, EBITDA and adj. PAT grew 4.9%, 8.6% and 20.9%,
respectively, on a YoY basis. Gross and EBITDA margins rose 420bp YoY and
320bp YoY, respectively. Subsidiary revenues exhibited a sharp improvement
YoY to 21.6%, but EBITDA declined to INR76m vs. INR161m in 1QFY16.
Key concall highlights:
(1) VAM costs remain benign around USD900, and at
these levels, the company is unlikely to increase prices. (2) According to
management, its distribution reach, brand, first-to-market status, innovation
and generation of trust give an edge over competition.
Valuation and view:
We believe PIDI offers a high-quality discretionary play
with its strong competitive positioning, proven in-market excellence and
impeccable track record of generating long-term shareholder value over
multiple periods. We continue to like the franchise, despite near-term rich
valuations. While we have reduced our sales forecasts for FY17, we still get an
8.8% EPS upgrade for FY18 as (a) we are assuming faster sales growth in FY18,
led by good monsoon and implementation of 7
th
Pay Commission
recommendations, (b) we are no longer assuming a steep operating margin
decline given the favorable material cost outlook, and (c) due to the absence of
amortization expenses (~25% of D&A) going forward as per Ind-AS. We
maintain our
Buy
rating, with a revised target price of INR850 (37x June 2018
EPS).
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Krishnan Sambamoorthy
(Krishnan.Sambamoorthy@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5428
Vishal Punmiya
(Vishal.Punmiya@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3980 4261