Dalmia Bharat
BSE SENSEX
27,459
S&P CNX
8,497
7 November 2016
Update
| Sector:
Cement
CMP: INR2,013
TP: INR2,384 (+18%)
DBEL to be merged with OCL India
Buy
Stock Info
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
M.Cap. (INR b)
M.Cap. (USD b)
12M Avg Val (INR M)
Free float (%)
Financials Snapshot (INR b)
Y/E Mar
2016
DBEL IN
88.8
2,090 / 605
9/124/178
178.8
2.8
74
42.6
Dalmia Bharat’s (DBEL) board approves amalgamation with OCL India.
DBEL shareholders to receive two shares of OCL for every one share of DBEL.
Transaction is part of restructuring exercise initiated in early part of 2016. With this
merger, majority of restructuring exercise is completed.
DBEL-OCL merger approved by respective boards
DBEL and OCL India in their respective board meeting on 5 November 2016 approved
the amalgamation of DBEL with OCL. Post amalgamation, OCL would be renamed as
DBEL.
th
The proposed merger ratio of 2:0 was derived on the basis of fair valuation – weighted
average of three valuation techniques: 1) Discounted cash flow, 2) EV/tonne and 3)
Market price.
2017E
2018E
Sales
EBITDA
NP
Adj EPS (INR)
EPS Gr. (%)
BV/Sh. (INR)
RoE (%)
RoCE (%)
P/E (x)
P/BV (x)
63.7
15.1
1.9
21.5
1,802.4
434
5.5
4.9
93.7
4.6
73.0
18.3
3.9
44.2
105.8
476
9.7
7.4
45.5
4.2
84.8
22.9
6.4
72.6
64.2
547
14.2
9.2
27.7
3.7
This would result in issuance of 177.6m new shares by OCL to DBEL’s shareholders.
Additionally, there would be cancellation of 42.5m shares of OCL held by Dalmia
Cement Bharat Limited. The resultant equity shares of the merged entity would be
192m.
Management stated that the proposed merger would not result in any mine transfer
issues related to MMDR Act.
Focus on simplification of group structure evident
DBEL had initiated simplification of its holding structure in early part of 2016 with the
acquisition of KKR’s stake in DCBL. It then amalgamated Adhunik Cement with DCBL. It
also amalgamated OCL and Bokaro to have better synergies in operations.
Shareholding pattern (%)
As On
Sep-16 Jun-16 Sep-15
Promoter
57.4
57.4
62.8
DII
5.1
4.6
5.3
FII
11.8
11.4
7.9
Others
25.7
26.5
24.1
FII Includes depository receipts
Stock Performance (1-year)
Dalmia Bhar.
Sensex - Rebased
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
This proposed merger is part of the restructuring exercise to have one listed entity and
one cement operating company, which would help in consolidation and better
management of cash flows.
Re-rating led by structure simplification and deleveraging
Management’s focus on one listed entity over past 12 months has given investors more
comfort in the group structure and resulted in multiples expansion for the company.
Concerns about high gearing (net debt/EBITDA of 4x) should abate with steady asset
sweating and disciplined capital allocation. Due to moderating capex, we expect net
debt/EBITDA to improve to less than 3x by FY18. With strong profitability and growth,
DBEL has seen the first round of re-rating. At EV of 10.4x FY18E and USD156/ton, the
stock is trading at discount to peers. With the conclusion of most large asset sales in
India, the potential risk of increase in debt by way of asset acquisitions has mitigated.
Deployment of incremental free cash generation toward debt reduction would drive
the next phase of re-rating. We value DBEL at EV/EBITDA of 12X FY18E or
INR2,384/share.
Abhishek Ghosh
(Abhishek.Ghosh@motilaloswal.com); +91 22 3982 5436
Varun Gadia
(Varun.gadia@motilaloswal.com); +91 22 3982 5446
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.