KPIT Technologies
BSE SENSEX
27,309
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
S&P CNX
8,435
KPIT IN
197
27.3 / 0.4
197 / 108
-3/5/-12
144
83.3
19 January 2017
3QFY17 Results Update | Sector: Technology
CMP: INR138
TP: INR150 (+9%)
Neutral
Recovery rolled forward!
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
2016 2017E
Y/E Mar
32.2
33.1
Net Sales
4.4
3.5
EBITDA
3.0
2.1
PAT
14.1
11.7
EPS (INR)
19.0
-16.9
Gr. (%)
69.0
79.8
BV/Sh (INR)
21.0
14.0
RoE (%)
24.3
16.0
RoCE (%)
10.3
12.4
P/E (x)
2.1
1.8
P/BV (x)
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
Revenue decline led by multiple issues:
KPIT’s 3QFY17 revenue of USD123m
(-0.6% QoQ) was in line with our estimate. Growth was bogged down by
seasonality, divestment in the functional safety business, cross-currency
headwinds and a decline in Telematics revenue. Even excluding non-
recurring factors, revenue came in flat. Revenue growth has failed to pick up
in 2H, despite investments made in the beginning of the year.
Recovery further delayed:
Organic revenue growth is not expected to pick
2018E
up in 4Q as well, pushing revival even further than initial estimates and
36.3
lowering the FY17 exit rate. Profitability took a hit as KPIT maintained hiring
4.4
for the last three quarters amid absence of revenue growth, resulting in
2.8
operational inefficiencies. Higher salary cost increases and lower utilization
13.8
18.2
impacted 3Q margins (-80bp QoQ to 10.2% v/s est. of 12.0%).
93.7
Product Engineering holding strong(er):
Portfolio issues have been weighing
15.9
on KPIT’s performance, with cloud migration impacting SBUs of SAP and IES.
18.6
Product Engineering, Products and Platforms have been consistent (growth
10.5
of 9.2% YoY) in 9MFY17 v/s flat overall revenue. In 3Q, it divested its
1.5
investment in Medini (functional safety product business) as the scope was
beyond focus verticals. It used the proceeds to invest in MicroFuzzy, an
electrical powertrain company, resulting in exceptional gains of INR261m.
Excluding this, PAT came in at INR475m (-16% QoQ), lower than our estimate
of INR619m (+10% QoQ).
Revenue revival key to re-rating:
Amid sluggish revenue growth momentum
and execution issues, profitability is likely to remain under pressure for a few
more quarters. We cut earnings by 11.5/6.1% for FY18/19E to factor in the
miss in 3Q and a further delay in recovery. Inconsistent revenue performance
and consequent volatility in profits are the key drags on valuation. We
maintain
Neutral
with a revised TP of INR150, discounting FY19E EPS by 10x.
Quarterly Performance (Consolidated)
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Ashish Chopra
(Ashish.Chopra@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1530
Sagar Lele
(Sagar.Lele@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1531