Jyothy Laboratories
BSE SENSEX
27,035
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, INRm/ Vol m
Free float (%)
S&P CNX
8,349
JYL IN
182
62.6 / 0.9
381 / 253
-3/22/13
47
33.1
20 January 2016
3QFY17 Results Update | Sector: Consumer
CMP: INR345
TP: INR365 (+6%)
Neutral
Resilient sales in a difficult environment; fabric care shines
Consolidated net sales rose 3.3% YoY
to INR3.83b (Ind-AS; est. of +1% YoY to
INR3.76b). Overall volumes grew 3.6% YoY. Power brand sales rose 2.1% YoY,
with 2.6% volume growth. EBITDA declined 1.3% YoY to INR507m (est. of -10%
YoY to INR468m). PAT grew 6.6% YoY to INR215m (est. of 218m).
Consolidated gross margin contracted 290bp YoY
to 45.6% (est. of 47.4%), as
higher crude prices led to increased costs. However, savings on staff costs
(-50bp YoY) and lower A&P (-110bp YoY)/other expenses (-70bp YoY) restricted
consolidated EBITDA margin contraction to 60bp YoY to 13.2% (est. of 12.4%).
Segment-wise performance:
Fabric care sales grew 10.4% YoY, followed by
Dishwashing (+2.2%) and personal care (+1.4%). Mosquito repellent sales
(-15.2%), however, came in much lower than expectations. Among the major
brands, Ujala sales grew by 7.5% YoY, Henko by 20%, Exo by 2% and Pril by
2.7%. However, sales of Maxo (-15.2%) and Margo (-6%) disappointed.
Concall highlights:
(1) 3QFY17 was impacted by demonetization, but overall
demand is back to normal. (2) Input costs have started rising. Expect 5-7% price
increase/grammage reduction in 4QFY17 to protect margins. (3) A&P will be
back on track in 4Q at ~7-8% of sales (Ind-AS). (4) Henkel deal: 31
st
March 2017
is the deadline; can be extended by a couple of weeks if required.
Valuation and view:
JYL exhibited reasonable resilience in volume growth,
especially in a tough business environment post demonetization. However,
valuations are fair at 38.4x FY18 EPS and 22.4x FY18 EV/EBITDA. Upside on our
target price of INR364 (22x December 2018 EBITDA) is limited. Potential
speculation around Henkel call option will overshadow the underlying
fundamentals in the near term, in our view. Maintain
Neutral.
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
Y/E Mar
2016 2017E 2018E 2019E
Net Sales
16.6 17.8 20.2 23.3
EBITDA
2.2 2.6
2.9
3.2
PAT
0.7 1.4
1.6
1.9
EPS (INR)
4.1 7.6
9.0 10.5
Gr. (%)
-41.7 84.7 18.6 16.8
BV/Sh (INR) 46.7 49.8 54.3 60.4
RoE (%)
9.1 15.7 17.2 18.3
RoCE (%)
7.2 12.5 13.8 14.7
P/E (x)
84.1 45.5 38.4 32.9
EV/EBITDA
30.1 25.4 22.4 19.9
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
Krishnan Sambamoorthy
(Krishnan.sambamoorthy@motilaloswal.com
); +91 22 3982 5428
Vishal Punmiya
(Vishal.Punmiya@motilaloswal.com ); +91 22 3980 4261
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.