5 May 2017
4QFY17 Results Update | Sector: Technology
L&T Infotech
Buy
BSE SENSEX
29,859
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
2017
2018E
Y/E Mar
Net Sales
65.0
70.8
EBITDA
12.3
13.0
PAT
9.7
10.4
EPS (INR)
55.5
59.7
Gr. (%)
5.9
7.6
BV / Sh (INR)
159.5
204.8
ROE (%)
40.4
32.8
ROCE (%)
42.7
33.5
P /E (x)
13.2
12.3
P / BV (x)
4.6
3.6
S&P CNX
9,285
LTI IN
Broad-based momentum helps shun seasonality
171
4QFY17 revenue beat on broad-based momentum:
LTI’s 4QFY17 revenue
120.9 / 1.9
grew 2.4% QoQ in constant currency (CC) terms, against our expectation of
729 / 595
1.3%. Revenue growth was broad-based across verticals and geographies.
-/-/-
For FY17, CC growth of 10% was at the higher end of the industry. The year
128
was marked by stabilization of the Energy vertical and 8.4% growth in BFS
15.7
CMP: INR733
TP: INR850(+16%)
2019E
78.7
14.2
11.4
65.0
8.8
254.2
28.3
30.2
11.3
2.9
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
despite this being a pressure-point for the industry.
Healthy momentum drives sanguine FY18 outlook:
Heading into FY18, this
momentum is expected to continue, led by: [1] Visibility from ramp-up in
deals, [2] Broad-based traction with no segment expected to decline, [3]
continued momentum in Digital, which is 28% of revenue.
Margin beat in part from one-time expenses:
Despite seasonality, higher
SGA (+60bp to 16.8%) and INR appreciation, LTI’s EBITDA margin expanded
by 90bp QoQ to 19% against our expectation of 20bp expansion to 18.3%.
Margin expansion was partly led by some accrual accounting at the year-end
around employee leaves encashment. However, with confidence of revenue
growth and multiple traditional levers in hand, there appears limited risk to
our assumption of a cumulative 80bp decline in margins over FY18-19.
4QFY17 PAT at INR2.5b (+2.7% QoQ) was higher than our estimate, led by
operational beat and higher other income.
Valuation view:
LTI is trading at 12.3/11.3x FY18/19E earnings. Our target
price of INR850 (+16%) discounts FY19E earnings by 13x - in the range of as
PSYS and MTCL which have demonstrated potential in newer services, but at
a premium to peers such as MPHL, KPIT and NITEC. This, we believe is
justified given strong positioning, superior cash generation, return ratios and
track record. Maintain Buy.
FY17
FY16
FY17
2Q
3Q
4Q
240
245
254
887
970
3.7
2.3
3.7
9.5
9.3
16,020 16,667 16,772 58,471 65,009
9.1
12.1
7.7
17.5
11.2
35.4
34.3
35.8
33.5
35.2
16.4
16.2
16.8
15.8
16.3
3,044 3,020 3,190 10,359 12,303
19.0
18.1
19.0
17.7
18.9
16.1
15.3
16.5
14.7
16.2
365
597
503 2,802 1,837
21.0
21.2
22.3
19.7
21.4
2,326 2,481 2,547 9,171 9,711
-1.4
6.7
2.7
21.3
10.5
11.4
21.5
5.9
13.3
14.2
14.6
52.4
55.5
21,074 20,605 21,023 20,072 21,023
78.7
78.1
78.3
73.8 7807.5
18.5
18.1
51.2
52.3
51.3
49.7
48.3
(INR Million)
Est. Var. (% /
4QFY17
bp)
249
1.9
1.7
195
16,605
1.0
4.2
348
34.3
153
16.0
79
3,035
5.1
18.3
74
15.3
119
261
92.5
21.0
2,219
14.8
-10.5
1,320
-16.1
2,751
12.7
22,246
(5.5)
76.0
230
52.7
(139)
Quarterly Performance
Y/E March
Revenue (USD m)
QoQ (%)
Revenue (INR m)
YoY (%)
GPM (%)
SGA (%)
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin (%)
EBIT Margin (%)
Other income
ETR (%)
PAT
QoQ (%)
YoY (%)
EPS (INR)
Headcount
Util incl. trainees (%)
Attrition (%)
Offshore rev. (%)
1Q
209
0.0
13,332
14.5
34.0
18.5
2,068
15.5
12.2
512
18.2
1,746
-21.2
7.5
10.0
20,331
73.8
20.1
51.9
FY16
2Q
3Q
4Q
224
225
230
7.3
0.5
2.1
14,682 14,870 15,579
18.7
12.4
17.8
34.5
36.4
33.5
17.9
16.8
15.4
2,431 2,914 2,820
16.6
19.6
18.1
13.6
16.7
15.3
532
285
526
24.4
18.8
21.6
1,917 2,245 2,286
9.8
17.1
1.8
7.2
12.5
3.2
11.0
12.8
13.1
22,689 22,477 20,072
72.8
74.0
75.9
19.7
18.5
18.4
51.7
51.3
52.4
1Q
231
0.6
15,550
16.6
35.3
15.7
3,050
19.6
16.9
372
21.2
2,359
3.2
35.1
13.5
19,292
77.4
19.5
51.9
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Sagar Lele
(Sagar.Lele@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1531
Ashish Chopra
(Ashish.Chopra@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1530