BSE SENSEX
31,262
S&P CNX
9,668
Zensar Technologies
CMP: INR869
TP: INR1,020(+17%)
Buy
Active Digital-oriented transformation
Synchronizing demand, offerings, delivery and sales
9 June 2017
Update
| Sector:
Technology
Stock Info
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
M.Cap. (INR b)
M.Cap. (USD b)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
ZENT IN
45
1136 / 814
-7/-31/-24
39.1
0.6
34
51.4
Financials Snapshot (INR b)
Y/E Mar
2017 2018E 2019E
Net Sales
30.8
32.8
37.5
EBITDA
3.9
4.3
5.1
PAT
2.5
3.0
3.4
EPS (INR)
54.9
65.5
76.0
Gr. (%)
-19.5
19.3
16.0
BV/Sh (INR)
356.9 407.3 466.7
RoE (%)
16.3
17.2
17.4
RoCE (%)
22.3
21.6
22.8
P/E (x)
15.8
13.3
11.5
P/BV (x)
2.4
2.1
1.9
Shareholding pattern (%)
As On
Mar-17 Dec-16 Mar-16
Promoter
48.6
48.6
47.8
DII
13.4
2.0
0.5
FII
2.7
14.6
14.1
Others
35.3
34.8
37.5
FII Includes depository receipts
Stock Performance (1-year)
Zensar Tech.
Sensex - Rebased
1,200
1,100
1,000
900
800
We attended the RPG Group analyst meet. Key highlights of the meeting with
Zensar Technologies (ZENT):
Duality in the business…:
80% of the incremental dollars are being spent on
Digital by enterprises. While this offers a large opportunity, some headwinds
have been looming over the industry. The decline in the traditional and legacy
business has been steep as customers aim to fund their digital initiatives via
savings in commoditized services.
…evident from performance metrics:
Over the last three years, Digital
recorded a 59% CAGR, constituting 29.8% of revenue in FY17, while Legacy
business declined at a 7.3% CAGR. ZENT expects overall growth to start gaining
momentum once volumes pick-up in Digital is enough to offset pressure on
traditional business. Digital contribution is expected to increase to 35% of total
revenue over next four quarters.
Building products and platforms…:
As Digital gains more relevance, service
providers will have to increasingly build capabilities or buy them. ZENT has built
multiple solutions: [1] The Vinci – a cloud orchestration and managed services
platform, [2] ZenAnalytica – predictive analytics, [3] SmartBlox – blockchain
feasibility assessment, [4] RPA – using bots to automate processes and [5]
Digital Workplace Services.
…and active on acquisitions…:
In FY17, ZENT successfully completed two
acquisitions – Foolproof (leading UK-based experience design agency) and
Keystone (leading omni-channel and Digital supply chain company),
strengthening capabilities in Digital. These acquisitions enabled ZENT to
become an end-to-end provider for CDO/CMO organizations (via Foolproof)
and of omni-channel customer experience from commerce to fulfillment (via
Keystone).
…resulting in improved business mix:
ZENT has seen significant improvement
in Digital and traditional wins over last 12 months, clocking total large deals
worth USD300m. It has had Digital conversations with more than 70% of its top
50 clients, and has been successfully placing Digital evangelists in its top
accounts to further expand the share of these offerings.
Valuation and view:
The business has been undergoing a transformation in
various dimensions (services, customers, sales), resulting in muted overall
growth and drawn-down profitability (led by higher investments and
restructuring). However, we expect a revival in performance from FY19 as the
business gets cleaned up and there is a favorable base to leverage on. For
revenue/earnings CAGR of 10/19%, we maintain
Buy
with a revised price target
of INR1,020—discounting FY19E EPS by 13x.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Sagar Lele
(Sagar.Lele@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1531
Ashish Chopra
(Ashish.Chopra@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1530