13 July 2017
Update
| Sector:
Consumer
BSE SENSEX
32,037
S&P CNX
9,892
Emami
Buy
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CMP: INR1,073
TP: INR1,265 (+18%)
Building platform for strong long-term growth
Key takeaways from Emami’s (HMN) FY17 annual report:
Innovation remained the key focus area in FY17
Near-term prospects look challenging due to high wholesale dependence
Took much-needed efforts to boost direct reach via Project Race/Project Dhanush
Continued to emphasize on growing the Kesh King franchise
Healthy operating cash flow growth, led by reduction in other assets
Right portfolio, low penetration, focused spending brighten growth
potential
Stock Info
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
M.Cap. (INR b)
M.Cap. (USD b)
Avg Val ( INRm)/Vol m
Free float (%)
HMN IN
227.0
1261 / 937
-7/-17/-19
243.6
3.8
188
27.3
Financials Snapshot (INR b)
Y/E Dec
2017 2018E 2019E
Net Sales
24.9
28.5
32.8
EBITDA
7.6
8.4
9.8
PAT
6.0
6.4
7.7
EPS (INR)
26.5
28.3
33.9
Gr. (%)
4.5
6.6
20.0
BV/Sh (INR)
77.3
92.1 107.1
RoE (%)
35.8
33.4
34.1
RoCE (%)
31.0
34.1
38.5
P/E (x)
40.5
38.0
31.6
P/BV (x)
13.9
11.7
10.0
Shareholding pattern (%)
As On
Promoter
DII
FII
Others
Mar-17 Dec-16 Mar-16
72.7
2.7
15.6
8.9
72.7
2.8
16.3
8.2
72.7
1.2
16.3
9.8
80% of the portfolio comprises high-demand problem-solving products, and the
remaining 20% is discretionary products. This insulates the company from
volumes risk in an adverse consumer environment.
Penetration is low in many categories. We note that HMN is the dominant
player in its leading categories, which puts it at the forefront to drive category
growth.
Brands like Fair & Handsome (now with a wide men’s personal care portfolio)
are available in only 1.4m out of the 4.3m outlets that HMN reaches across the
country. Balms is another category, where penetration is low at 36% (Zandu
balm reaches only 1.6m outlets, and
Mentho Plus
only 1.2m outlets).
While Zandu is already strong with its balms and Chyawanprash products, it can
also emerge as a strong Ayurvedic products brand. Management believes that
the company’s strength lies in its ability to validate product efficacy on the basis
of data derived from systematic scientific research at NABL and Ministry of
AYUSH accredited laboratories.
HMN spends more on R&D than most FMCG companies in India; it incurred
INR231m (0.99% of sales) in FY17.
Despite demonetization, absolute A&P spend grew from INR4.3b in FY16 to
INR4.43b in FY17. In terms of A&P as a percentage of sales, HMN stands among
the top in the FMCG space.
Over the past five years, the company has introduced more than 25 products,
variants and extensions.
Some of the prominent new launches in FY17 were Boroplus Perfect Touch
Cream, Navratna Almond Cool Oil, Navratna i-Cool Talc, Fair & Handsome 100%
Oil Clear Instant Fairness Face Wash, He Respect deodorant, He Range of
perfumes and deodorants, Kesh King Ayurvedic Medicinal Oil with blend of
coconut oil, and He ‘On-the-Go’ Waterless Face Wash.
The company increased its direct reach to 0.73m outlets from 0.64m in FY16,
with a target to reach 0.8m in FY18. However, for a company with a pan-India
reach of 4.3m outlets at end-FY17, the direct reach is well below that of peers
and also weak in terms of proportion of total outlets.
New launch momentum stays robust
Targeting to significantly increase direct, rural reach
FII Includes depository receipts
Krishnan Sambamoorthy
(Krishnan.Sambamoorthy@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1545
Vishal Punmiya
(Vishal.Punmiya@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1547
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P