L&T Finance Holdings
BSE SENSEX
32,383
S&P CNX
10,021
27 July 2017
1QFY18 Results Update | Sector: Financials
CMP: INR161
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TP: INR200 (+24%)
Buy
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Strong fee income traction; meaningful asset quality improvement
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Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
LTFH IN
1,817
293 / 4.6
167 / 79
11/43/74
662
35.8
2019E
42.1
42.9
19.3
10.6
60.0
2.3
19.1
14.8
15.2
2.7
0.8
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Financials & Valuations (INR b)
Y/E March
2017 2018E
NII
31.4
37.6
PPP
26.7
37.0
PAT
9.2
13.3
EPS (INR)
5.2
7.3
BV/Sh. (INR)
44.3
50.9
RoAA (%)
1.5
1.9
RoE (%)
12.4
15.6
Payout (%)
19.8
15.2
Valuation
P/E (x)
30.8
22.0
P/BV (x)
3.6
3.2
Div. Yield (%)
0.6
0.6
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Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
L&T Finance Holding’s (LTFH) 1QFY18 PAT grew 49% YoY to INR3.09b. Robust
core disbursement growth of 95% YoY, strong fee income across all lending
segments, sharp reduction in the GNPL ratio and shoring up of the provision
buffer were key highlights of the quarter.
Rural business:
2W/tractor disbursements increased 82%/169% YoY. While
such strong growth in the tractors segments was expected (LTFH has been
gaining market share from the lows of 4% in FY16 to 11% now), growth in the
2W financing segment was a positive surprise. With PPoP margins improving
180bp YoY to 10.72%, management chose to incur higher provisions and
maintain RoE at 21-22% levels.
Housing business:
Growth in the retail home loan/LAP segment remains
sluggish, but was compensated by 4x disbursements in the builder loans
segment. Consequently, strong fee income helped improve RoA/RoE to
3.2%/30% in 1QFY18. However, we expect RoE to normalize to 18-19% by
FY19.
Wholesale business:
LTFH has also started last mile financing for road projects
in the past few quarters. This, coupled with a large number of operational
projects coming up for refinance, drove 4.5x disbursement growth in the
quarter. While margins are under pressure, fee income traction is strong. RoE
remained largely stable YoY at 10%.
Valuation view:
LTFH has scripted an impressive turnaround over the past five
quarters, with a renewed focus on profitable segments. It has delivered strong
growth and consistent improvement in profitability. We are also encouraged by
the strong fee income traction witnessed this quarter – we believe this will play
a key role in achieving 18%+ RoE by FY19/20. We marginally reduce our FY18E
EPS to factor in higher provisions, but increase our FY19/20 estimates by 5-7%.
Buy
with a TP of INR200 (3.3x FY19E BVPS).
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Piran Engineer
(Piran.Engineer@motilaloswal.com); +91 22 6129 1539
Alpesh Mehta
(Alpesh.Mehta@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1526;
Anirvan Sarkar
(Anirvan.Sarkar@MotilalOswal.com);