17 October 2017
Q2FY18 Results Update | Sector: Technology
Wipro
Neutral
BSE SENSEX
32,634
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
S&P CNX
10,231
WPRO IN
Asymmetrical growth dynamics…
4,867
…continue restricting broad-based revival
1,411.6 / 21.8
Revenue growth below expectations:
2QFY18 CC revenue growth of 0.3%
304 / 205
QoQ was below our estimate of 1% QoQ and at the lower end of WPRO’s
0/5/4
guidance of -0.5% to +1.5% QoQ. Barring Communications (-4.4% QoQ CC)
868.5
and Healthcare (-5.9%), performance across verticals was impressive, mainly
26.8
CMP: INR290
TP: INR280(-3%)
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
2017 2018E
Y/E Mar
550.4
550.6
Net Sales
108.8
114.5
EBITDA
83.3
86.2
PAT
16.9
19.1
EPS (INR)
-6.3
13.0
Gr. (%)
105.9
110.3
BV/Sh (INR)
16.9
17.0
RoE (%)
13.6
13.9
RoCE (%)
17.1
15.2
P/E (x)
2.7
2.6
P/BV (x)
2019E
598.7
129.3
90.7
20.1
5.2
130.4
16.7
15.2
14.4
2.2
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
in BFSI (+3.3%). Though WPRO expects bottoming out of these problem
areas, the guidance tells a different story.
3Q guidance not signifying revival:
For 3Q, WPRO expects revenue of
USD2,014-2,054m, implying CC growth of 0-2%. On YoY CC basis, this implies
growth of 2.3-4.4% for 3Q, which at its midpoint is not materially higher
than +2.9% YoY CC in 2Q. Given that the two problem verticals alone pulled
overall growth down by 180bp QoQ, a revival there is necessary to translate
into broad-based performance; portfolio issues and lopsided growth are a
familiar story in the case of WPRO.
Profitability beat across businesses:
IT Services EBIT margin at 17.3% (+50bp
QoQ) beat our estimate by 110bp. Margin expansion, despite wage hike
impact, was commendable, driven by improved operational efficiency (also
reflected in steady 80%+ utilization and headcount reduction). Products
business saw sharp profitability improvement as WPRO consolidated its
operations (business is half the size of previous quarter). This aided overall
EBIT margin of 16.8% (130bp beat). Apart from this, higher other income led
to PAT of INR21.9b (+5.5% QoQ, est. of -5.9% QoQ).
Valuation view:
We raise EPS by 3% for FY19/20E, factoring in margin beat
in Services/Products. However, we believe it would be crucial for WPRO to
start seeing recovery on organic growth and it to be reflected in optimistic
guidance to sustain current valuations. WPRO trades at 15.2/14.4x FY18/
FY19E EPS. We expect revenues/earnings (led by buyback) CAGR of 6.3/9.0%
over FY17-19E. Our TP of INR280 discounts FY19E EPS by 14x.
Neutral.
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Ashish Chopra – Research Analyst
(Ashish.Chopra@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1530
Sagar Lele – Research Analyst
(Sagar.Lele@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1531