26 October 2017
Q2FY18 Results Update | Sector: Others
Quess Corp
Buy
BSE SENSEX
33,147
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
S&P CNX
10,344
QUESS IN
Growth story on track; Profit boosted by tax incentives
138
Strong revenue momentum; PAT surges on tax benefits:
QUESS’ 25.2% YoY
120.2 / 1.9
growth to INR12.7b was 4% ahead of our estimate; organic growth was 16%
1,068 / 516
YoY (excl. Comtel). EBITDA margin shrunk 20bp YoY to 5.2% (est. of 5.4%).
0/0/29
Margins expanded in all segments barring Industrial amid ongoing
86.0
realignment of business. PAT at INR1.4b was much higher than our estimate
18.1
CMP: INR873
TP: INR1,040(+19%)
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
2017 2018E
Y/E Mar
41.6
56.2
Net Sales
2.2
3.3
EBITDA
1.1
3.1
PAT
10.0
27.7
EPS (INR)
39.6
177.2
Gr. (%)
73.8
179.6
BV/Sh (INR)
19.0
21.9
RoE (%)
12.6
16.7
RoCE (%)
87.3
31.5
P/E (x)
11.8
4.9
P/BV (x)
2019E
71.2
4.5
3.3
29.1
4.8
208.6
15.0
12.7
30.0
4.2
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
of INR329m, led by the 80JJAA benefits.
Revenue traction strong across-the-board, only GTS growth acquisitive:
Strong YoY growth was driven uniformly across business segments, with
growth ranging from 17-40% YoY. GTS was the only segment with
contribution from an acquisition (Comtel). Excluding this, growth in the
segment was in high-single-digits. While growth in overseas acquisitions
within GTS is expected to be relatively low, its Indian IT staffing business is
facing the impact of sluggish activity in IT Services. Integration of Manipal
and Terrier is expected to boost revenue growth in 2H.
Acquired 70% stake in Vedang Cellular Services:
QUESS announced the
acquisition of Vedang Cellular Services, a top-five player in Telecom Network
Optimization. The acquisition complements its existing capabilities of O&M.
The acquisition will add ~2pp to revenues, but is accretive to QUESS’ margins
to the tune of 10bp. QUESS also formed a JV with Trimax to create an
information, communication and technology infrastructure as part of a
smart city project in Ahmedabad.
Valuation view:
We value QUESS using DCF to arrive at a TP of INR1,040
(19% upside); our TP is up ~4% led by higher-than-expected tax benefits.
Valuations are rich, given its strong growth history and continued aggressive
thrust on acquisitions. Over FY17-20E, we expect revenue/EBITDA/PAT CAGR
of 27/37/58%, led by our assumption of 20% growth in organic business and
incremental contribution by recent acquisitions. Long-term prospects stand
bright, given high-growth opportunities, aggression shown on expansion and
flawless execution.
FY17
41,574
21.0
39,346
2,228
5.4
263
465
153
1,652
518
31.3
-1
1,136
1,136
28.4
2.7
FY18E
56,191
35.2
52,910
3,281
5.8
337
392
440
2,992
-150
-5.0
0
3,142
3,142
176.7
5.6
Est.
2Q
12,212
20.0
11,551
662
5.4
70
180
35
447
118
26.4
0
329
329
9.2
2.7
(INR m)
Var. (% /
bp)
4.3
518
5
0
-20
6
-16
377
36
-780
-15,868
328
328
35,759
834
Consolidated - Quarterly
Y/E March
Net Sales
YoY Change (%)
Total Expenditure
EBITDA
Margins (%)
Depreciation
Interest
Other Income
PBT
Tax
Rate (%)
MI & P/L of Asso. Cos.
Reported PAT
Adj PAT
YoY Change (%)
Margins (%)
E: MOSL Estimates
1Q
9,910
35.7
9,382
528
5.3
60
92
7
382
135
35.4
0
247
247
37.1
2.5
FY17
FY18
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3QE
4QE
10,177 10,266 11,221 11,881 12,740 15,785 15,785
26.9
13.3
12.6
19.9
25.2
53.8
40.7
9,626 9,703 10,634 11,246 12,075 14,795 14,795
551
563
586
635
665
991
991
5.4
5.5
5.2
5.3
5.2
6.3
6.3
69
69
65
67
74
98
98
98
121
153
161
151
40
40
57
60
29
34
167
119
119
441
432
396
441
606
972
972
140
126
116
115
-802
268
268
31.7
29.2
29.4
26.2 -132.3
27.6
27.6
0
-4
3
-6
2
2
2
301
311
277
331 1,406
702
702
301
311
277
331 1,406
702
702
65.9
80.0
-20.9
34.1 366.8 126.1 153.7
3.0
3.0
2.5
2.8
11.0
4.4
4.4
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Sagar Lele
– Research analyst
(Sagar.Lele@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1531
Ashish Chopra
– Research analyst
(Ashish.Chopra@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1530