Crompton Gr. Con
BSE SENSEX
33,157
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
S&P CNX
10,323
CROMPTON IN
Robust all-round performance
627
Results meaningfully above estimates:
CG Consumer Electricals (CGCEL) reported a
135.4 / 2.1
strong set of numbers. 2QFY18 sales stood at INR9.6b (+9.8% YoY, +15.9% YoY
246 / 135
adjusted for excise duty on manufactured and sourced products), meaningfully
-1/-12/0
208
above our estimates, led by market share gains in the Fans segment and healthy
65.6
growth in the Lighting division (+16% YoY, +25% YoY adjusted for excise duty on
27 October 2017
2QFY18 Results Update | Sector: Capital Goods
CMP: INR219
TP: INR260(+19%)
Buy
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
2017 2018E
Y/E Mar
Net Sales
39.8
41.8
EBITDA
4.9
5.2
PAT
2.9
3.3
EPS (INR)
4.7
5.2
Gr. (%)
146.1
10.9
BV/Sh (INR)
8.6
11.7
RoE (%)
76.4
51.0
RoCE (%)
32.5
28.7
P/E (x)
46.4
41.8
P/BV (x)
25.2
18.5
manufactured and sourced products). EBITDA improved 19.3% YoY to INR1.2b, with
2019E
47.2
6.3
4.1
6.5
24.7
14.3
49.6
30.7
33.6
15.2
EBIDTA margin improving 100bp YoY to 12.6%, led by close to zero spending on
advertising & promotion. Net profit of INR0.7b was above our estimate of INR0.6b.
Margin improvement led by lower adspend and focus on premiumization:
Gross
margin expanded 90bp YoY to 30.3%, led by premiumization initiatives taken by the
company. EBITDA of INR1.2b (13% YoY) was meaningfully above our estimate.
Operating margin stood at 12.6% v/s 11.6% in 2QFY17. Margin improvement was on
account of close-to-zero ad spend during the quarter, as against INR120m in
2QFY17. Lighting business contributed 35% of revenue (v/s 32% in 2QFY17), while
Electrical consumer durables accounted for 65% (v/s 68% in 2QFY17). Excluding non-
cash ESOP expenditure of INR141m, the operating margin stood at a healthy 14%.
Valuation view:
We marginally increase our earnings estimates by 4/1% for FY18/19
to adjust for better-than-expected margins. We like CGCEL for its strong product
portfolio, established brand, market leadership, wide distribution network and a
robust RoCE profile (29%/31% in FY18/19). We maintain our
Buy
rating on the stock,
with a revised target price of INR260 (33x its FY20E EPS of INR7.9).
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
Quarterly Performance
Y/E March
Sales
Change (%)
EBITDA
Change (%)
As of % Sales
Depreciation
Interest
Other Income
PBT
Tax
Effective Tax Rate (%)
Adjusted PAT
Change (%)
Extra-ordinary Income (net)
Reported PAT
Change (%)
1Q
10,962
1,573
14.4
28
180
34
1,400
465
33.2
935
-
935
FY17
2Q
3Q
8,737 8,889
9.7
1,012
993
19.9
11.6 11.2
27
26
161
162
41
50
865
855
286
33.1
579
(4.5)
574
281
32.9
574
35
-
574
39
4Q
10,762
7.4
1,386
9.0
12.9
29
153
69
1,273
388
30.5
885
16.6
(20.7)
864
29.8
1QE
10,554
-3.7
1,294
-17.8
12.3
32
162
97
1,198
395
33.0
802
(14.2)
-
802
(14.2)
FY18
2QE
3QE
9,597 9,700
9.8
9.1
1,207 1,210
19.3
21.9
12.6
12.5
32
30
157
150
35
80
1,054 1,110
346
32.8
708
22.3
-
708
23.3
350
31.5
760
32.5
-
760
32.5
FY17
4QE
11,348
5.5
1,651
19.2
14.5
22
133
114
1,609
497
30.9
1,112
25.7
-
1,112
28.7
39,759
119.5
4,902
134.0
12.3
110
655
195
4,331
1,399
32.3
2,932
138.7
2,907
166.9
FY18
41,454
4.3
5,362
9.4
12.9
116
658
326
4,914
1,588
32.3
3,327
13.5
3,327
14.4
(INR Million)
Vs Est.
2Q
9,000
1.1
990
1.7
11.0
30
155
80
885
290
32.8
595
7.4
-
595
7.4
Var.
(%)
6.6%
21.9%
19.1%
19.0%
19.0%
Ankur Sharma – Research Analyst
(Ankur.VSharma@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1556
Amit Shah – Research Analyst
(Amit.Shah@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1543
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.