TeamLease Services
BSE SENSEX
33,219
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
S&P CNX
10,303
TEAM IN
A
17.1
31.3 / 0.5
1,953 / 828
10/56/61
20.2
56.8
8 November 2017
Q2FY18 Results Update | Sector: Others
CMP: INR1,831
TP: INR2,300 (+26%)
Buy
clear reflection of business model strengths
Margin improvement, tax benefits boost PAT:
Revenue grew 21.2% YoY to
INR8.8b (4pp miss). Slowdown in hiring, led by an inward focus of customers
post GST, led to 18% YoY growth in general staffing (v/s 20% in the previous
quarter), which is also visible from the QoQ decline in headcount of ~2,000.
However, EBITDA margin expansion of 20bp YoY to 1.7% and a near-zero tax
rate drove 94% YoY growth in PAT to INR176m (21% beat).
Up on profitability, cash generation:
We deem scale-related margin
benefits and high cash generation to be the key positives of the staffing
business model. Margin expansion in 2Q was a function of [1] associate/core
employee ratio of 210 v/s 186 in the previous year, [2] rise in average mark-
up per employee per month to INR735 (+5% YoY) and [3] 3.2% contribution
of IT staffing v/s 0.7% in 2QFY17; further improvement here could result in a
sustained upward trajectory. In 1HFY18, TEAM generated INR420m of cash
from operations (152% of EBITDA) v/s INR289m in FY17 (65% of EBITDA).
Acquired 40% stake in Schoolguru:
TEAM acquired a 40% stake in
Schoolguru, an online content provider for students, valuing the entity at
INR430m. The acquisition would complement the training business of TEAM,
which includes NETAP, the Skills University and other training services. With
revenue of INR40m, the transaction implies a price of 11x; the entity is
currently not making any profits. With six recent transactions, the pace of
acquisitions has been encouraging.
Valuation view:
We value TEAM using DCF to arrive at a TP of INR2,300,
(26% upside); our TP is up 16% led by higher-than-expected tax benefits. At
37/28x FY18/19E earnings, valuations are rich; we expect a CAGR of
23/33/34% over FY18-20. Sustained superiority of financial performance
because of industry trends, business model and operational excellence
continue strengthening our positive long-term view on TEAM.
Buy.
FY18
2Q
3Q
4Q
8,756 9,382 10,784
21.2
15.2
32.0
8,605 9,215 10,606
151
167
178
1.7
1.8
1.7
20
12
12
3
0
0
44
66
66
173
220
232
-3
0
0
-1.5
0.0
0.0
176
220
232
176
220
232
94.4
91.5 -39.6
2.0
2.3
2.1
FY17
30,418
21.4
29,976
442
1.5
43
11
224
612
-50
-8.2
663
663
167.3
2.2
FY18E
37,452
23.1
36,825
627
1.7
63
6
234
791
0
-0.1
792
792
19.4
2.1
(INR m)
Est. Var. (% /
2QFY18
bp)
9,121
-4.0
26.2
8,983
-4.2
137
10.2
1.5
12
68.3
0
669.1
70
-36.5
195
-11.3
49
-105.2
25.3
146
20.5
146
20.5
61.3
1.6
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
2017
2018E
Y/E Mar
30.4
37.5
Net Sales
0.4
0.6
EBITDA
0.7
0.8
PAT
38.8
49.2
EPS (INR)
167.6
26.7
Gr. (%)
222.9
272.0
BV/Sh (INR)
19.2
19.9
RoE (%)
19.0
19.8
RoCE (%)
47.2
37.2
P/E (x)
8.2
6.7
P/BV (x)
2019E
45.9
0.8
1.1
66.4
35.1
338.5
21.8
21.7
27.6
5.4
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
Cons. - Quarterly Earning Model
Y/E March
Net Sales
YoY Change (%)
Total Expenditure
EBITDA
Margins (%)
Depreciation
Interest
Other Income
PBT
Tax
Rate (%)
Reported PAT
Adj PAT
YoY Change (%)
Margins (%)
E: MOSL Estimates
1Q
6,878
21.4
6,816
62
0.9
10
2
61
110
37
33.4
74
74
48.7
1.1
FY17
2Q
3Q
4Q
7,226 8,147 8,168
12.3
29.1
23.0
7,140 7,999 8,022
86
148
146
1.2
1.8
1.8
10
10
13
3
3
3
70
37
57
143
171
188
52
56
-196
36.7
32.7 -103.9
90
115
384
90
115
384
57.9 132.1 318.7
1.2
1.4
4.7
1Q
8,530
24.0
8,399
130
1.5
20
2
58
166
2
1.3
164
164
122.7
1.9
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Sagar Lele – Research analyst
(Sagar.Lele@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1531
Ashish Chopra – Research analyst
(Ashish.Chopra@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1530