26 December 2017
A
nnual
R
eport
T
hreadbare
Bharat Forge’s (BHFC) FY17 annual report analysis highlights rising
capital intensity and a weak operating performance, which led to a
muted RoCE of 9.6% (FY16: 10.5%).
RoE (adjusted for exceptional
gain) stood at 15% (FY16: 19%), aided by a high equity multiplier
ratio. Consolidated revenue declined 6% to INR66.0b, while the
EBITDA margin shrunk 115bp to 19% due to rising personnel cost.
The cash conversion cycle deteriorated to 107 days (FY16: 94 days),
leading to low OCF of INR10.5b in FY17 (FY16: INR13.6b). Capex
remained high (but declined YoY) at INR6.6b (FY16: INR9.0b), which
led to FCF of INR2.9b (FY16:INR3.4b). Purchases from related party
transactions stood at 28% (FY16: 53%) of raw material cost. Cash
and investments stood at INR15.3b (37% of NW), with a yield of
5.1%. Borrowing cost declined to 3.2% (FY16: 3.4%), aided by the
replacement of high interest debentures with cheaper foreign
currency borrowings.
BHARAT FORGE FY17
The
ART
of annual report analysis
Rising capital intensity and
subdued operating
performance led to muted
RoCE of 9.6% (FY16:
10.5%).
OCF declines to INR10.5b (FY16: INR13.6b)
as cash conversion cycle increases to 107
days (FY16: 94 days).
Purchases from related party stood at 28%
(FY16: 53%) of raw material cost.
Stock Info
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1,6,12 Rel. Perf. (%)
M.Cap. (INR b)
M.Cap. (USD b)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
BHFC IN
465.7
1220/717
-8/3/27
339.6
5.3
931
54.3
Sep-17
45.7
12.6
20.6
21.1
Jun-17
45.7
15.7
19.8
18.8
Sep-16
46.7
25.8
7.8
19.6
Weak operating performance continues:
BHFC’s consolidated
revenue declined 6% to INR66b (FY16: INR70b) owing to the
sluggish US class 8 truck market and commodity-related sectors,
while the EBITDA margin shrunk 115bp to 19%. PBT stood muted
at INR9.5b (FY16: INR9.7b). Subsidiaries continued with its
minimal contribution to profitability, with PBT (before
exceptional gain) of INR0.1b, as against pre-tax loss of INR0.6b in
FY16. This has dragged the standalone RoCE (at 11.8%) to lower
consolidated RoCE (at 9.6%).
Rising capital intensity keeps return ratios subdued:
BHFC’s
continued investments in non-automotive businesses over the
past few years have led to increased capital intensity (i.e.
increased capex and working capital requirement). However, its
operating performance has been muted, leading to a lower RoCE
of 9.6% (FY16: 10.5%). Subdued revenue growth led to low asset
turnover of 0.7x (FY16: 0.8x). RoE adjusted to exceptional gain on
JV stake sale declined to 15.5% in FY17 (FY16: 19.7%). Dupont
analysis highlights RoE are supported by a high equity multiplier
ratio of 2.3x (Exhibit 3).
Deteriorating cash conversion cycle dents OCF:
Operating cash
flow declined to INR10.5b (FY16: INR13.6b), primarily due to
deterioration in the cash conversion cycle to 107 days (FY16: 94
days). This was mainly on account of an increase in inventory
days to 161 (FY16: 141 days), partially offset by a rise in payable
days to 127 (FY16: 119 days). FCF post interest declined to
INR2.9b (FY16: INR3.4b), but was supported by a reduction in
capex to INR6.6b (FY16: INR9b).
Related party purchases remain substantial:
BHFC’s purchases
from entities owned by KMP stood at INR7.1b, 28% of total raw
material cost. Purchases from related parties, albeit significant,
have declined from FY16 (stood at INR14.1b, 53% of total raw
material cost).
Shareholding pattern (%)
Promoter
DII
FII
Others
Note: FII Includes depository receipts
Stock Performance (1-year)
Auditor’s name
S R B C & Co LLP
Research analyst
Sandeep Ashok Gupta
(S.Gupta@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 39825544
Mohit Baheti
(Mohit.Baheti@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3010 2492
Somil Shah
(Somil.Shah@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3312 4975
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.