Initiating Coverage |
8
January 2018
Sector: Financials
AU Small Finance Bank
Pool for
Banks
Pool for
NBFC
First Among Equals
Research Analyst: Nitin Aggarwal
(Nitin.Aggarwal@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5540
| Anirvan Sarkar
(Anirvan.Sarkar@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5505
Alpesh Mehta
(Alpesh.Mehta@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5415
| Parth Gutka
(Parth.Gutka@motilaloswal.com)
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.

AU Small Finance Bank
Contents: AU Small Finance Bank – First among equals
Summary ............................................................................................................. 3
Investment thesis ................................................................................................. 5
What can investors look for as AUBANK gains scale!.............................................. 8
Strong presence across secured retail segments .................................................. 10
Transitioning to SFB will help expand product offerings ....................................... 13
AUBANK - key strengths and business strategy .................................................... 16
Housing finance business can scale up rapidly ..................................................... 18
Borrowing cost set to moderate… ....................................................................... 19
Off balance sheet mix likely to decline ................................................................ 21
Migration to 90dpd has impacted NPL ratios ....................................................... 22
Well capitalized to support business growth ....................................................... 24
Transition to SFB will cause transient earnings disruption.................................... 25
What differentiates AUBANK from other SFBs ..................................................... 26
A quick snapshot of SFBs .................................................................................... 28
SWOT analysis… ................................................................................................. 30
Bull & Bear case
................................................................................................. 31
Valuations full; remain convinced about long term story ..................................... 32
Annexure ........................................................................................................... 34
Financials and valuations .................................................................................... 36
8 January 2018
2

Initiating Coverage | Sector: Financials - Banks
AU Small Finance Bank
AU Small Finance Bank
BSE Sensex
33,970
S&P CNX
10,505
CMP: INR697
TP: INR705 (+1%)
Neutral
First among equals
AU Small Finance Bank (AUBANK) has emerged from the transition of a leading retail-
focused NBFC (AU Finance) to a bank. It primarily serves low and middle-income
individuals/businesses, with distinct focus on three key lending products – Vehicle
finance, MSME finance, and SME finance. During FY13-17, AU delivered 36% loan book
CAGR and 46% earnings CAGR. With the grant of a Small Finance Bank (SFB) license
AUBANK plans to rapidly expand the scale of its operations and has shown strong
progress in building its deposit franchise in the early days of its SFB launch. The
migration to an SFB will weigh on return ratios in the near term; however, we believe
significant under-penetration in the states where AUBANK operates, strong credit
underwriting, and rapid scale-up of new product launches will enable it to emerge as a
leading SFB over the long term. We expect 42% earnings CAGR over FY18-20e, driving
FY20e RoA/RoE to 1.94%/20.1%. While we appreciate the long term opportunity that
AUBANK presents we believe that the stock is fairly valued at current valuations (~96%
gain over the IPO price). We thus initiate coverage with a Neutral rating and TP of
INR705 (5.9x Mar-20E BV, 32.1x FY20E EPS).
Stock info
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
M.Cap. (INR b)
M.Cap. (USD b)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
AUBANK IN
284.3
736 / 358
-2/86/-
198.1
3.1
1285
67.1
Financial snapshot (INRb)
Y/E MARCH
FY18E FY19E FY20E
NII
10.1 13.8 18.6
PPP
6.2
8.4 11.6
PAT
3.1
4.4
6.2
PAT Gr(%)
-9.5 42.4 41.0
EPS
10.8 15.4 21.7
BV/Share
81.0 96.8 118.9
P/E (x)
64.4 45.2 32.1
P/BV (x)
8.6
7.2
5.9
RoA (x)
1.8
1.9
1.9
ROE(X)
14.3 17.3 20.1
Shareholding pattern (%)
As On
Sep-17
Promoter
33.0
DII
6.3
FII
9.5
Others
51.2
FII Includes depository receipts
Business growth to remain robust; diversity set to improve further
As an asset-financing NBFC, AUBANK built a strong presence across three secured
lending segments – Vehicle loans, MSME loans, and SME loans. On transitioning to
an SFB, it has launched several new deposit and lending products and has also
expanded into newer geographies -
AUBANK had successfully launched and built a housing finance business over
FY11-16, which it later sold at ~5x P/B. AUBANK now plans to launch its home
loan product by 1QFY19e with focus on affordable housing segment. Given its
prior experience in housing finance and its strong presence in tier-II/III
centers, we believe AUBANK is well placed to rapidly scale up this business
post launch.
We expect AUBANK to deliver 42% loan CAGR over FY18-20e. The diversity in
loan mix and geographic regions will also add stability to the franchise.
AU Small Finance Bank
First among equals
Earnings growth to accelerate from FY19e; transition hiccups short-lived
While transitioning into an SFB will impact return ratios on (i) negative carry due
to CRR/SLR, resulting in margin compression, and (ii) higher operating expenses
due to investments in technology, branches, operating centers, employees, etc,
we expect return ratios to bounce back to healthy levels over FY19-20e. We
believe its diverse loan book, wide geographical presence and strong underwriting
skills across different lending segments will enable AUBANK to complete its SFB
transition expeditiously. We expect RoA/RoE to bottom out at 1.82%/14.3% in
FY18e and recover to 1.94%/20.1% by FY20e.
Nitin Aggarwal
+
91 22 3982 5540
nitin.aggarwal@motilaloswal.com
Please click here for Video Link
8 January 2018
Borrowing cost to moderate; Fee growth to remain strong
AUBANK is primarily funded via wholesale borrowings (NCDs, term loans, CP, etc),
resulting in higher borrowing cost. With healthy accretion in deposit base, we
expect funding cost to moderate to 7.0% by FY20E.
3

AU Small Finance Bank
This will enable AUBANK to launch several new competitive lending products,
boosting its business growth.
We nevertheless expect margins to moderate on (i) CRR/SLR requirement, and
(ii) change in asset mix, as AUBANK launches new products (working capital
loans, housing finance) etc.
Access to low-cost deposit funding will help AUBANK to strengthen its liability
franchise and enable it to retain higher share of assets on its books. Priority
sector loans (PSL) constitute a dominant share of AUBANK’s assets and enables
AUBANK to actively participate in the PSLC market and earn healthy fees.
Besides, launch of several new lending products and pick-up in cross-selling and
third-party distribution will further boost fee income
Migration to 90dpd has impacted NPL ratios; we expect asset quality to
improve
The secured nature of advances along with strong underwriting skills and processes
has enabled AUBANK to maintain strong control on NPL ratios. However, the
migration to 90dpd basis in 1QFY18, as AUBANK launched its SFB operations, has
resulted in an increase in GNPL ratio to ~3%. We view this deterioration as transient
and expect NPL ratios to improve gradually over FY18-20e. AUBANK continues to
follow a conservative provisioning policy – it makes 100% provisioning on any asset
that is delinquent for >730 days.
Valuations appear full; remain convinced about long term story
We expect AUBANK to deliver 42% earnings CAGR over FY18-20e, particularly as it
absorbs the costs related to SFB migration in FY18. After bottoming out at 14.3% in
FY18, RoE should gradually improve to 20.1% by FY20e. AUBANK has demonstrated
the capability to build a quality retail franchise, as evident in its performance across
all its lending segments. While we appreciate the long term opportunity that
AUBANK presents we believe that the stock is fairly valued at current valuations
(~
96% higher than the issue price
)
. We thus initiate coverage with Neutral rating and
TP of INR705 (5.9x Mar-20E BV, 32.1x FY20E EPS). Risks – delay in scaling up SFB
operations and inability to ramp up liability franchise.
Exhibit 1:
Valuation comparison
Particulars
Loan Book
(INRb)
2Q18
Price
(INR)
MCap
(INRb)
PAT
PAT CAGR
(INRb)
(F17-F20E)
(FY18E)
ROA
(%)
ROE
(%)
FY19E
8.2
12.4
17.3
20.4
17.4
20.4
19.5
19.0
13.5
P/B
(x)
FY18E
2.3
2.8
8.6
6.4
2.6
4.9
3.0
4.4
4.3
FY19E
2.2
2.5
7.2
5.3
2.3
P/E
(x)
FY18E
90.8
NA
64.4
39.6
18.4
FY19E
27.4
24.1
45.2
28.4
14.0
SFB’s
FY18E FY19E FY18E
Equitas
73
157
53
0.6
25%
0.6
1.6
2.6
Ujjivan
65
408
49
0.2
8%
0.1
1.6
0.8
AU SFB
121
697
199
3.1
25%
1.8
1.9
14.3
NBFC’s
Bajaj Finance
721
1,811
1039
26.2
40%
3.5
3.6
20.2
Shriram Transport
855
1,485
337
18.0
32%
2.7
3.1
15.1
Banks
HDFC Bank
6,049
1,864 4,776
176.1
23%
1.9
1.9
18.8
Yes Bank
1,487
333
760
40.6
26%
1.7
1.8
17.3
IndusInd Bank
1,232
1,700 1.012
36.4
33%
1.8
1.9
16.9
Kotak Bank
1,526
1,003 1,840
61.0
26%
1.8
1.9
12.7
Note: For Equitas, Ujjivan, AU Bank, Bajaj Finance, Shriram Transport Loan book represents AUM
4.1
27.1
22.0
2.6
18.7
14.3
3.7
27.9
21.6
3.7
31.3
24.1
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
4

AU Small Finance Bank
Investment thesis
Geographical split of AUM
(FY17)
10%
11%
12%
13%
Rajasthan
Maharashtra
others
Gujarat
MP
54%
Source: MOSL, Company
AU Small Finance Bank (AUBANK) has emerged from the transition of a leading
retail-focused NBFC (AU Finance). It primarily serves low and middle-income
individuals/businesses, with distinct focus on three key lending products – vehicle
finance, MSME finance, and SME finance. During FY13-17, it delivered 36% loan
book CAGR and 46% earnings CAGR. With the grant of a small finance bank (SFB)
license – it is the only asset-financing NBFC to have received one – AUBANK plans to
rapidly expand the scale of its operations. It has shown strong progress in building
its deposit franchise in the early days of its SFB operations. Its migration to an SFB
will weigh on return ratios in the near term; however, we believe significant under-
penetration in the states where AUBANK operates, its strong credit underwriting,
and rapid scale-up of new product launches make a strong investment case. We
expect 42% earnings CAGR over FY18-20e, driving FY20e RoA/RoE to 1.94%/20.1%.
Valuation
We expect AUBANK to deliver 42% earnings CAGR over FY18-20e, particularly as it
absorbs the costs related to SFB migration in FY18. After bottoming out at 14.3% in
FY18, RoE should gradually improve to 20.1% by FY20e. AUBANK has demonstrated
the capability to build a quality retail franchise, as evident in its performance across
all its lending segments. We believe that strong credit underwriting, wide
geographical presence, and presence across multiple lending segments will enable
AUBANK to undertake the SFB transition with limited earnings disruption. While
near-term returns could be limited on account of subdued earnings in FY18, we
believe AUBANK has the potential to emerge as a strong SFB over the long term.
While we appreciate the long term opportunity that AUBANK presents we believe
that the stock is fairly valued at current valuations. We thus initiate coverage with a
Neutral rating and TP of INR705 (5.9x Mar-20E BV, 32.1x FY20E EPS). We believe
that strong management track record, 42% projected earnings CAGR, and secured
retail portfolio will enable AUBANK to sustain its premium multiples.
Risks
Building and scaling up SFB operations need significant investments in
technology, infrastructure and employees. Also, there is need for compliance
with rigorous SFB guidelines.
Scaling up newly-launched asset products and building a strong liability
franchise will be key to growth and profitability. Any delays here will adversely
impact valuations.
Being a dominantly wholesale-funded entity, a rising interest rate environment
may adversely impact borrowing costs, and hence, profitability.
AUBANK has significant exposure to the top four states, which together account
for ~90% of its loan book.
8 January 2018
5

AU Small Finance Bank
AUM distribution as on
2QFY18
Wholesale
Assets, 15%
AU Small Finance Bank
AU Small Finance Bank (AUBANK) has emerged from the transition of a leading
retail-focused NBFC (AU Finance) into a bank. It primarily serves low and middle-
income individuals and businesses with limited or no access to formal banking and
finance channels. AU Finance commenced operations in 1996 in Jaipur, Rajasthan
and was registered as an NBFC with the RBI in 2000. In 2005, it became a
commercial associate of HDFC Bank for originating and servicing vehicle loans, which
fast-tracked its learning and implementation of various processes and systems. It
has since expanded the scale of its business, with a vision to cater to the unserved
and underserved customer segments. It expanded its product portfolio to include
MSME loans in 2007, housing finance in 2011 (sold in 2016), and SME loans in 2012.
The company was granted an SFB license by the RBI on December 20, 2016, and it
commenced SFB operations on April 19, 2017. It is the only NBFC categorized as an
asset-finance company to have received an SFB license. It aims to be a leading retail-
focused SFB that offers high quality service and customized solutions to its
customers. AUBANK currently operates out of 301 branches, has 9,974 employees,
and services 303,756 active loan accounts.
Retail Assets,
85%
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 2:
AU Small Finance Bank - Key milestones
Particulars
1996
2002-03
2006-09
2010-11
Achievements
2012-13
2014-15
2016
2017
AU Finance was incorporated in the name of L.N. Finco Gems Pvt Ltd on 10th Jan, 1996. Launched vehicle finance bus.
Registers with RBI as a non-deposit taking NBFC. Ties up with HDFC Bank as a channel partner for CV business
Expanded its base to Maharashtra & Gujarat. Received PE investment of INR200m from Motilal Oswal
RBI registers the company as an Asset Financing Company and subsequently classifies it as NBFC-ND- AFC.
International Finance Corporation (IFC), IBE Fund and IBE Fund-I invested into the company. AU started offering housing
loans through whole-time subsidiary and further expanded its operations to Punjab, Madhya Pradesh and Goa.
Received investments worth INR1.5b and INR330.44m from Redwood Investment Ltd and IFC
Launched insurance broking services and expanded presence to Delhi, Himachal Pradesh and Haryana.
Credit rating upgraded two notches to CRISIL A / Stable for long-term credit facilities.
Credit rating upgraded to IND A+ / Stable for long-term credit facilities and IND A1+ for short-term credit facilities.
Received a credit rating of CARE A+ for long-term banking facilities by CARE ratings.
Became the only AFC to receive ‘in-principle’ approval from the RBI for establishing a Small Finance Bank
Received final approval from the RBI for transforming into SFB. Divested equity stake in Au Housing Finance Limited, Index
Money Limited and Au Insurance Broking Services Private Limited.
Assigned a credit rating of CRISIL A/ watch positive by CRISIL Ratings.
AU commences operations as Small Finance Bank.
AU SFB got listed on 10th July, 2017 via overwhelmingly successful IPO
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
6

AU Small Finance Bank
Experienced management team with a strong track record
AUBANK has an experienced management team led by
Mr Sanjay Agarwal
(Promoter, MD & CEO), a first generation entrepreneur. He is a chartered
accountant with over 21 years of experience in finance, accounting, strategic
planning and credit risk management. Over the last 20 years, he has helped
transform the small NBFC start-up into a small finance bank with a loan book of
>INR100b. AUBANK has an experienced senior management team, with average
experience of >15 years in a wide range of financial products and services.
Mr Sanjay Agarwal:
He is the Promoter, Managing Director and CEO. A
qualified Chartered Accountant, he has over 21 years of experience in
finance, accounting, strategic planning and credit risk management. He has
played an instrumental role in building AU right from its start in 1996.
Mr Uttam Tibrewal:
He is the Executive Director. He has been associated
with AU since 2003. He holds a BCom from the University of Delhi.
Exhibit 3:
Experienced management team
Name
Mr Aalekh
Vijayvargia
Mr Bhaskar Vittal
Karkera
Mr Naveen
Vashisht
Mr Pankaj Sharma
Mr Priyam Alok
Mr Sanjay Singh
Rajawat
Designation
National Credit
Manager Secured
Business Loan-
MSME
Chief of Wheels
National Business
Manager – Wheels
(Used)
National Business
Manager – MSME
Chief of Business
Banking
Group Head –
Liabilities
Chief of Wholesale
Banking
Chief of Credit and
Collection – Retail
Bank
Senior Vice
President - Investor
Relations
Age
(Yrs)
37
Highest Qualification
Work Ex
(Yrs)
14
Relevant Experience
CA
BE (Automobile
Engineering) from
University of Bombay
Senior Management
Program (IIM, Kolkata)
MBA from Mohanlal
Sukhadia University,
Jaipur
MBA from Bharathidasan
University
CA and Master of
Philosophy from
Rajasthan University
PG Diploma, University
of Mumbai,
Management for
Executives from IIM
Society, Lucknow,
PG Program in Mgmt for
Executives from IIM,
Ahmedabad
MBA from Bharathidasan
University and CA
India Infoline Housing Limited and ICICI Bank
Mahindra Financial Services, HMP Engineers,
Mahindra & Mahindra, and HDFC Bank
Equitas Micro Finance, Development Credit Bank,
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company,
and Indiabulls Infrastructure Credit
DSP Merrill Lynch Capital, Indiabulls Housing
Finance, ICICI Bank, and BOB Housing Finance
Kotak Mahindra Primus, Citibank India NA, ING
Vysya Bank, and Reliance Broadcast Network
Deutsche bank, ICICI bank & IDBI bank
49
49
42
36
49
26
25
17
14
25
Mr Vivek Tripathi
38
15
ICICI Bank, Reliance Capital, Grasim Industries, and
Sintex Industries Limited
Mr Rishi Dhariwal
Mr Hemant Sethia
47
35
24
11
Citicorp Finance (India) and Ashok Leyland
Credit Analysis and Research, and HDFC Bank
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
7

AU Small Finance Bank
What can investors look for as AUBANK gains scale!
We analyze AUBANK return potential over the long term as shaping and building up
the franchise will take time while track record of the management across product
lines gives us confidence about their execution skills. We have thus
compared
AUBANK to several other leading private banks that have gone to build a
formidable franchise and alongside delivered excellent returns to shareholders.
Going back in history, we have thus compared AU’s current loan book size to other
leading banks and note that
from the starting reference point these banks have
delivered 27-42% CAGR returns over the next ten years while their loan book has
compounded between 22%-40% over the similar period.
We further note that the
trading multiples for most of these banks has either been stable or have reported
some expansion (highest
multiple expansion being for KMB and IIB)
which resulted
in them delivering higher CAGR returns vs their balance sheet / earnings growth.
Exhibit 4:
Key metrics of leading banks at the time they were of the size of AUBANK
(INRb)
AU SFB
HDFC Bank
Yes Bank
IndusInd Bank
Axis Bank
Kotak Bank
Year of
Loan book
comparison (INRb)
FY17
64
FY02
68
FY07
63
FY04
73
FY03
72
FY05
71
PAT
(INR b)
3.1
3.0
0.9
2.6
1.9
1.7
Mkt Cap
(INRb)
199
66
8
12
9
8
P/B
(x)
10.0
3.0
5.0
1.2
1.0
1.4
P/E
(x)
37.7
21.4
20.7
3.6
4.4
NA
Mkt Cap /
Loans
3.1
1.0
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
RoA
(%)
2.6
1.5
1.2
2.1
1.1
1.3
RoE
(%)
20.4
20.8
13.9
37.4
25.3
9.7
Source: Company, MOSL
Note: Here we have taken loan book as the measure of comparison to ascertain the starting point
Exhibit 5:
Key metrics - 3 years hence
Particulars
(Rs Mn)
AU SFB
HDFC Bank
Yes Bank
IndusInd Bank
Axis Bank
Kotak Bank
3 Year
Hence
FY20
FY05
FY10
FY07
FY06
FY08
Loan
book
(bn)
184
256
222
111
223
220
Loan Book
(3 Yr
CAGR)
42%
55%
52%
15%
46%
45%
PAT
(b)
5.7
6.7
4.8
0.7
4.9
9.9
PAT
(3 Yr
CAGR)
23%
31%
72%
-36%
36%
80%
Mkt Cap
(b)
169
17
13
99
216
Mkt Cap
Stock Price
(3 Yr
(3 Yr CAGR)
CAGR)
37%
30%
5%
121%
195%
32%
22%
1%
107%
66%
P/B
(x)
3.7
2.8
1.3
3.5
6.7
P/E
(x)
23.8
12.2
20.7
20.3
5.0
Mkt Cap
RoA
/ Loans
(%)
RoE
(%)
0.7
1.4
18.5
0.1
1.6
20.3
0.1
0.4
7.1
0.4
1.1
18.4
1.0
1.0
8.3
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 6:
Key metrics - 10 years hence
(INRb)
AU SFB's
HDFC Bank
Yes Bank
IndusInd Bank
Axis Bank
Kotak Bank
10 Year
Hence
FY27
FY12
FY17
FY14
FY13
FY15
Loan Loan book
PAT
(10 Yr
book
(INRb)
CAGR)
(INRb)
1,285
1,954
1,323
551
1,970
886
35%
40%
36%
22%
39%
29%
52.8
51.7
33.3
14.1
51.8
30.5
PAT
(10 Yr
CAGR)
33%
33%
43%
18%
39%
33%
Stock
Mkt Mkt Cap
(10 Yr
price
cap
(INRb) CAGR) (10 Yr CAGR)
1,220
141
264
609
1,014
34%
34%
37%
52%
62%
27%
27%
29%
42%
34%
P/B
(x)
P/E
(x)
Mkt Cap
RoA
/ Loans
(%)
RoE
(%)
4.1
3.3
3.1
1.8
7.5
23.5
16.8
18.7
11.1
35.8
0.6
1.7
18.7
0.1
1.8
18.9
0.5
1.8
17.5
0.3
1.7
18.5
1.1
1.8
13.2
Source: Company, MOSL
While we concede that AUBANK is already trading at expensive valuations of 5.9x
March20E BV, we believe that strong earnings/balance sheet growth rate will
nevertheless take it to similar levels of profitability and loan book size as other top
retail banks today.
8 January 2018
8

AU Small Finance Bank
Exhibit 7:
Performance of leading banks over last three years
Particulars (Rs Mn)
HDFC Bank
Yes Bank
IndusInd Bank
Axis Bank
Kotak Bank
Loan Book
(FY14-FY17)
22%
33%
27%
17%
33%
PAT
(FY14-FY17)
20%
27%
27%
-16%
26%
Mkt Cap
(FY14-FY17)
27%
68%
48%
20%
39%
Stock Price
(FY14-FY17)
24%
55%
42%
19%
31%
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 8:
Performance of leading banks over last ten years
Particulars
HDFC Bank
Yes Bank
IndusInd Bank
Axis Bank
Kotak Bank
Loan book
(FY07-FY17)
28%
36%
26%
26%
27%
PAT
(FY07-FY17)
29%
43%
45%
19%
25%
Market cap
(FY07-FY17)
28%
34%
51%
24%
26%
Stock price
(FY07-FY17)
22%
27%
42%
17%
22%
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 9:
Stock price CAGR (Dec 07 – Dec 17)
13%
Axis Bk
16%
kotak Bk
20%
HDFC Bk
24%
Yes Bk
37%
IIB
Source: Company, MOSL
We note that assigning a multiple of 20-25x earnings vs ~32.1x Mar-20e EPS that it
trades today (this corresponds to 3.5x to 4.5x P/BV range and implies ~30%
multiple de-rating from current levels) the bank can be valued in between INR1t to
INR1.3t, over next ten years. However over a more medium term three year
scenario we value AUBANK at INR950 per share (27x earnings) which implies an
upside of ~36% over current levels.
Alternately, we also assess AUBANK’s valuation ten years down the line by
comparing it on loan to market cap for major banks, after building in 35% CAGR in
loans (HDFCB, AXSB & YES have delivered 40%/39%/36% loan CAGR during the same
phase). We believe that valuation on market cap to loans can be used as a
comparative valuation assessment tool as we otherwise project AUBANK’s RoA to
stabilize at ~2% mark, which stands close to the other top performing private banks.
We thus value AUBANK at 0.7x loans (HDFCB/IIB/KMB trades at 0.65x/0.55x/0.7x
adjusted) which corresponds to Rs0.96t.
Our valuation assessment between the two above methodologies thus implies a
CAGR return of 17% to 21% over the ten year period.
The above return potential
though stands lower than the range of 27%-42% returns that other leading private
banks have reported (mainly due to premium valuations today) but still significant
enough for long term investors. Moreover the above return also factors in much
more reasonable multiple for AUBANK than what it is trading at today.
8 January 2018
9

AU Small Finance Bank
Strong presence across secured retail segments
AUBANK has built a strong presence across three lending segments – vehicle loans,
MSME loans and SME loans. It has always focused on secured lending, which has
enabled it to maintain strong control on asset quality across economic cycles. Unlike
most other NBFCs that have received the SFB license, AUBANK does not have any
exposure to the micro-finance segment or to unsecured personal loans. Given the
collateralized nature of lending (~99% of loans are secured) AUBANK is able to
maintain a strong control on its loss ratios in the event of a default.
Exhibit 10:
Characteristics of key product lines
Particulars
SME loans
1) Manufacturing, trading and service units
1) First time users/ buyers
1) Micro, small manufacturing
2) Medium sized NBFC / HFC /MFI
Clientele
2) Small Road Transport operators
and service enterprises
3) Small builders for development of
3) Self Employed individuals
2) Agriculture based units
affordable units
Rural, semi-urban & low
Target Segment
Turnover > INR1m & < INR10m Turnover > INR10m
income urban masses
Up to INR2.5m
Up to INR5m
INR5m– INR200m
Ticket size
(average INR0.3-0.4m)
(average INR0.9-1m)
(average INR20m - 25m)
Tenure
36 – 60 months
60–120 months
36–84 months
Security
Vehicle
Property
Property/ Receivables
Business Expansion
Business expansion
Purpose
Income / Revenue Generation
Working capital requirement
Working Capital
Equipment purchase
AUM as on Sept 17
INR57.9b
INR36.4b
INR27b
AUM Mix as of Sept 17 47.7%
30%
22.3%
Source: Company, MOSL
Vehicle loans
MSME loans
Exhibit 11:
AUBANK’s loan mix as of 2QFY18 (INRb)
10.21
8%
9.29
8%
7.02
6%
0.57
0%
57.86
48%
36.38
30%
Wheels
Secured MSME
Secured SME
NBFC
RE Group
others
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 12:
AUBANK’s AUM composition – FY13
MSME
15%
SME
6%
Exhibit 13:
AUBANK’s AUM composition – FY19e
MSME
29%
Vehicle
44%
SME
16%
Others
11%
Vehicle
79%
Source: Company, MOSL
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
10

AU Small Finance Bank
Vehicle finance business
AUBANK commenced operations as a vehicle financier in 1996. It extends loans for
the purchase of new/used vehicles (and for refinancing of vehicles) that are
primarily used for revenue generating activities. It extends vehicle loans across
several categories: (i) multi-utility vehicles, (ii) cars, (iii) small commercial vehicles,
(iv) light commercial vehicles, (v) medium and heavy commercial vehicles, (vi)
tractors, (vii) three-wheelers, (viii) two-wheelers, and (ix) construction equipment.
Over the years, AUBANK has built a deep understanding of the cost of ownership
and resale potential for various vehicle types in different regions, and this has
helped it in framing customized credit policies. Gross AUM in the vehicle finance
business has grown at a CAGR of 16.5% over the last four years to INR58b (as of
2QFY18), while the share of this business in total AUM is 48%. The average ticket
size in this business is INR0.34m while the typical loan tenure is 3-5 years.
Exhibit 14:
Vehicle Finance – trend in AUM composition
MUVs
LCV
3 Wheelers
100
75
50
25
0
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
Source: Company, MOSL
22.3
15.9
15.6
28.2
14.7
18.4
18.2
30.7
8.6
22.0
19.3
32.4
4.9
24.2
20.2
34.0
3.0
23.2
23.9
33.9
Cars
MHCV
2 Wheelers
SCV
Tractors
CE
2.6
21.8
28.3
33.0
29
FY13
6.3
1.0
31
FY15
42
FY16
54
FY17
68
86
109
Exhibit 15:
Vehicle Finance – trend in AUM growth
Vehicle AUM (Bn)
42.2
32.7
29.3
26.5
26.7
26.4
AUM Growth (YoY )
31
FY14
FY18E FY19E FY20E
Source: Company, MOSL
MSME finance business
AUBANK launched its MSME (Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises) business in
2007 to cater to the credit needs of the large section of the economy, which was
largely unbanked / under-served by formal financial institutions. The MSME
segment accounts for an estimated ~45% of India’s manufacturing output and ~40%
of total exports. According to CRISIL, only a quarter of the total lending to MSMEs is
through formal channels, which signifies the potential lending opportunity that this
segment presents.
Here, AUBANK targets customers with a turnover of over INR1m and loan customers
typically include provision stores, dairy businesses, hotels and restaurants. AUBANK
extends MSME loans for business expansion, working capital and purchase of
equipment, and nearly all of these loans are secured by immovable property. In
FY17, the average ticket size in this business was INR1.08m while the loan tenure
extends up to 12 years.
8 January 2018
11

AU Small Finance Bank
Exhibit 16:
MSME finance – trend in AUM growth
111.9
MSME AUM (Bn)
AUM Growth (YoY )
62.2
51.1
61.2
45.0
33.7
43
FY18E
29.4
56
FY19E
29.8
72
FY20E
6
FY13
9
FY14
14
FY15
22
FY16
32
FY17
Source: Company, MOSL
SME finance business
AUBANK commenced the SME loan business in 2012. Under this segment, it extends
loans to varied small and medium businesses including HFCs and MFIs. It classifies
the SME loans into three broad categories: (i) SME business loans, (ii) Construction
finance loans, and (iii) NBFC finance loans. It extends SME loans for purposes such as
business expansion, working capital, and equipment purchase. The target segment
comprises customers with a turnover of >INR10m and typically includes small and
medium sized enterprises, traders, wholesalers, distributors, retailers, self-
employed professionals, and small construction companies. The loans are secured
by immoveable property or receivables of the borrowers. AUBANK originates the
SME loan business through its centralized team in Jaipur, referrals by existing
customers/employees, cross-selling products to existing vehicle finance and MSME
customers, and through advertisements.
The gross AUM in this segment has grown at a CAGR of 78% over the last four years
to INR27b (as of 2QFY18) and the segment constitutes 22% of AUBANK’s total gross
AUM as at 2QFY18. The average ticket size in this business stands at INR21.9m
while loan tenure typically ranges up to 15 years.
Exhibit 17:
SME financing – trend in AUM composition
Business loans
4.3
Const. Finance
7.4
35.3
92.6
42.3
14.9
FY14
31.1
FY15
39.9
FY16
44.6
47.0
36.1
29.2
-7.4
2
FY17
FY13
4
FY14
10
FY15
18
FY16
16.0
19.1
22.3
25.1
0.8
21.0
NBFC
Unsecured ST loan
0.6
23.3
0.1
26.0
99.4
74.9
Exhibit 18:
SME financing – trend in AUM growth
SME AUM (Bn)
147.0
AUM Growth (YoY )
3.0
FY13
21
FY17
25
31
39
FY18E FY19E FY20E
Source: Company, MOSL
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
12

AU Small Finance Bank
Transitioning to SFB will help expand product offerings
AUBANK has launched a wide
variety of CASA accounts to
attract new customers
Savings account Current account
Samarth
Mangalam
Bachpan
Shubh Labh
Vidyaarthi
Shubh Shuruaat
Samarth Pravasi
Parivahan
Tejaswini
Paryatan
Varishtha
Vikray
Aarambh
AU Samriddhi
Pragati
Sahyog
Source: Company, MOSL
AUBANK’s experience in multiple consumer lending segments and wide customer
base has enabled it to quickly launch its SFB operations. Its technology-driven hub-
and-spoke branch model and strong customer focus has enabled it to convert most
of its erstwhile branches into bank branches/asset centers.
In the
retail segment,
AUBANK has launched working capital loans, gold loans,
agriculture loans and loans against securities. This supplements its primary product
lines of vehicle, SME and MSME loans. Further, AUBANK plans to launch its housing
finance business latest by 1QFY19e.
In the
wholesale segment,
the bank has launched business banking loans with the
facility of cash credit/overdraft. It plans to continue with selective focus on its
lending towards NBFCs, MFIs and real estate developers. Gradually, AUBANK also
plans to offer transaction banking services for MSME and SME customers to help
them better manage their liquidity and cash flow operations.
On the
liability side,
AUBANK has launched a complete bouquet of products
comprising of current accounts, savings accounts, term deposits, recurring deposits,
and transaction banking services. In addition, it also offers locker services at its
branches. To better differentiate its liability products, AUBANK (i) has launched a
wide variety of current and savings accounts, (ii) offers higher interest rates, and (iii)
makes monthly interest payouts. This has helped it to improve its product
proposition and also address the specific needs of its customers.
Exhibit 19:
AUBANK - Product portfolio
Asset products
Retail assets:
1) Vehicle finance loans
2) Secured business loans to SME & MSMEs
3) Housing finance loans (to be launched)
4) Gold loans
5) Loan against securities
6) Agriculture term loans
Wholesale assets:
1) Business Banking - Working capital
facilities such as OD & cash credit
2) Unsecured loans for MSME and SME
3) NBFC loans
4) Construction finance loans
5) Non-fund based products
Source: Company, MOSL
Liability products
1)
2)
3)
4)
Other products and services
Current accounts
Savings accounts
1) Sale of third party investment products
Term deposits and recurring deposits
such as mutual funds, insurance and risk
Payment wallets and customized prepaid
management products
instruments
2) Financial advisory and education programs
5) Collections and payments solutions for
for individuals and new entrepreneurs
MSME and SME customers
Besides asset and liability products, AUBANK also plans to cross-sell a range of third-
party investment products such as mutual funds and insurance, and provide
financial advisory services to its existing and potential customer base.
AUBANK has also started offering online banking with NEFT fund transfer facility and
is investing in building digital payment solutions such as internet banking, bill
payment system, cash management services, wallet services, IMPS, etc. It aims to
operationalize these services by the end of FY18, which will help it bridge the
product gap with the larger banks and compete effectively.
8 January 2018
13

AU Small Finance Bank
Scale up of new products will add to diversification
Having started off as a pure play vehicle financier, AUBANK now has a diversified
business mix. The share of vehicle loans in its AUM has declined from ~80% in FY12
to ~50% in FY17. AUBANK has adopted a prudent approach to grow its business and
has put credit quality as a top priority. Despite it being a pure vehicle financier, it
adopted a cautious stance on incremental disbursements in the MHCV space in April
2013, as it sensed impending stress in this segment. The share of this segment in its
total vehicle AUM was 3% in Mar17 against 23% in March 2012. Its overall vehicle
AUM remained static for nearly three years (FY12-15), and this was the time
AUBANK focused on building SME and MSME financing.
Currently, the vehicle finance, MSME finance, and SME finance segments comprise
48%, 30%, 22%, respectively of AUBANK’s total AUM. We expect the AUM mix to
diversify further, as AUBANK scales up its newly launched products and introduces
other lending products like housing loans. Besides product diversification, we
believe AUBANK’s geographical diversification will also improve gradually as
currently top four states account for ~90% of total loans.
Exhibit 20:
AUBANK’s loan mix as of 2QFY18
10.21
8%
9.29
8%
7.02
6%
0.57
0%
57.86
48%
36.38
30%
Exhibit 21:
AUBANK’s state wise customer mix
Wheels
Secured MSME
Secured SME
NBFC
RE Group
others
Delhi
5%
Others
7%
Madhya
Pradesh
12%
Gujarat
14%
Rajasthan
47%
Maharashtra
15%
Source: Company, MOSL
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 22:
AUBANK’s geographical AUM split-FY17
5%
Rajasthan
Gujarat
Maharashtra
12%
13%
54%
Madhya Pradesh
Delhi
others
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 23:
Sales and collection together form 75% of the
employee base
1,288
15%
771
9%
855
10%
1,155
14%
Sales
Collections
4,466
52%
Credit
Operations
Others
5%
11%
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
14

AU Small Finance Bank
Rapid branch expansion will improve brand visibility and aid business growth
We believe AUBANK has significant opportunity to grow its business. It has
converted 121 of its NBFC branches into asset centers, where it only offers lending
products. It intends to continue expanding its branch network and add 162 branches
in FY18 to reach 431 branches and 121 asset centers by the end of FY18. The 431
branches will comprise of 164 branches in tier-1 centers and 267 branches in tier-2
to tier-6 centers, of which 113 branches are expected to be located in unbanked
rural centers. This will also enable AUBANK to comply with the requirement of
having at least 25% branches in rural/unbanked centers by March 2018. The RBI has
allowed banks to (i) classify a business correspondent center as a branch, (ii)
exempted asset centers from being counted as branches for three years, and (iii)
count asset and liability centers together as one branch. This would significantly
ease the pressure on SFBs to meet the stringent guidelines on branch distribution.
Exhibit 24:
AUBANK’s geographic presence as at FY17 end
Exhibit 25:
AUBANK’s proposed branch network
Proposed branch network (as submitted to RBI)
12%
13%
13%
6%
4%
6%
Rajasthan
Gujarat
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
Punjab*
46%
Haryana
Others
Source: Company, MOSL
Source: Company, MOSL.
Note: Other states include Chattisgarh, Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, UP, Goa, TN, Telangana, Uttarakhand, WB, AP, Kerala, Karnataka and Odisha
To gain customer mindshare, AUBANK has imparted a unique look to its branches in
keeping with the local image. Besides, it uses visual language at its branches to
better guide rural customers. This along with rapid increase in branch network will
enable it to strengthen its brand and gain strong mindshare amongst customers.
Exhibit 26:
AUBABNK makes use of respective city images in
its branches to form strong connect with its customers
Exhibit 27:
AUBANK makes use of visual language to assist its
rural/suburban clientele
Source: Company, MOSL
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
15

AU Small Finance Bank
AUBANK - key strengths and business strategy
Leverage existing capabilities and customer base
AUBANK is the only NBFC categorized as an asset finance company to have
received an SFB license from the RBI. Its operational experience as an asset
finance NBFC, with presence across several secured lending segments, strong
customer base and wide branch presence has enabled it to smoothly launch its
SFB operations. The company has strong local understanding of the
geographical regions in which it operates, which enables it to address specific
needs of its customers and win repeat business. It intends to continue with its
go-to-market approach to increase its customer base, implement customer
reach programs and expand its footprint / product suite to drive customer
acquisition in target markets.
Customer centricity remains a high focus area
AUBANK places high emphasis on customer delight and strives to offer quality
service to its customers. It has created customized products and services to
cater to the evolving needs of its customers. It has put in place customer-
friendly processes, which make it easier to serve the unbanked and under-
banked population. It is employing digital channels for paperless on-boarding of
new customers through e-KYC and following it up with a variety of paperless
transactions at branches. Backed by robust technology architecture, the bank is
able to offer the same service levels to its customers at all its branches and not
just the home branch. AUBANK ensures that the customer interactions are
primarily undertaken by its own employees. To provide quality service to its
customers, AUBANK focuses on the following:
Hire local talent:
AUBANK recruits locally, which enables better
understanding of customers in the region and their requirements. This also
helps build closeness with its customers in rural and semi-urban markets,
win repeat business, and maintain high collection efficiency.
Develop healthy relationships with vehicle manufacturers and dealers:
AUBANK has developed healthy relationships with vehicle manufacturers
and dealers, and enters into preferred financing arrangements with them
from time to time. This enables it to source new business and control asset
quality.
Dedicated call centers:
The bank has set up a separate team of tele-callers
to source new business for each of its business segments. Its call centers
operate in English/select regional languages. This enables AUBANK to
maintain close connect with its customers and helps ensure timely
collections.
Referral and other programs:
AUBANK has introduced referral programs
like “Dost Banaye Dost” for its customers; this helps source new business
and maintain a check on asset quality. It has also launched employee
referral programs that offer incentives to employees who refer their family
and friends to AUBANK for business.
8 January 2018
16

AU Small Finance Bank
Multiple distribution channels to enable faster growth
AUBANK plans to employ multiple channels to offer its products to customers.
This will enable it to improve penetration in rural and suburban geographies,
and equip it to compete with other private banks in urban and metropolitan
regions. It intends to offer its retail asset and liability products through both
online and branch banking channels. It is already on-boarding customers
digitally through a tab-based application, which employs e-KYC verification and
enables paperless account opening.
Diverse product offering to help attract new customers
AUBANK has launched banking operations with a diverse product offering,
which helps attract new customers. Besides asset and liability products, it also
plans to cross-sell third-party products such as mutual funds and insurance, and
provide financial advisory services. It also plans to offer transaction banking
services for MSME and SME customers to help them better manage their
liquidity and cash flow operations. A wider product portfolio will enable
AUBANK to speed up customer acquisition and improve customer experience.
Right technology use will enable sustainable growth and aid productivity
AUBANK has carefully chosen its technology architecture after evaluating the
platforms being used by other leading private sector banks. It aims to leverage
technology to grow its business and offer diverse products to its customers in a
convenient and cost-effective manner. It has implemented several key
applications including Oracle’s Core Banking & Accounting Platform (Flexcube),
Newgen’s Loan Origination Platform and CRM Next’s Customer Relationship
Management (CRM tool). The bank has already provided tablets integrated with
biometric devices and bluetooth printers to its employees to enable faster
customer verification, account opening and activation. It has also commenced
using interactive voice response systems (IVR) in English and select regional
languages to cater to its existing customer base.
8 January 2018
17

AU Small Finance Bank
Housing finance business can scale up rapidly
AUBANK had earlier launched and built the housing finance business in 2011 via its
wholly-owned subsidiary, Aavas Financiers Limited (formerly known as AU Housing
Finance). Over 2012-2016, it was able to grow its housing loan book to INR16.8b,
before it divested 90.1% stake in the subsidiary in June 2016. Strong return ratios
and pristine asset quality enabled AUBANK to sell its stake to Kedaara Capital and
Partners group at INR8.28b (~5x P/B). It now plans to launch the home loan product
(by 1QFY19e) as a part of its SFB operations and will focus on the affordable housing
segment. Given its prior experience in building housing finance operations and its
growing presence in tier-II/III centers, we believe AUBANK is well placed to rapidly
scale up this business post its launch.
Exhibit 28:
AU rapidly scaled up the housing operations over five years - AUM INRb
16.8
8.42
4.06
0.01
FY12
1.78
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 29:
AU housing finance reported robust traction in earnings over FY12-16
PAT (INRm)
320
190
70
20
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 30:
AU housing finance reported RoA/RoE of 2.5%/22.1% in FY16
ROA
ROE
21.9%
2.1%
6.7%
2.5%
3.1%
2.5%
28.4%
22.1%
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
18

AU Small Finance Bank
Borrowing cost set to moderate…
As an NBFC, AUBANK funded its loan book primarily by way of NCDs, term loans,
commercial paper, and subordinated debt. This resulted in high borrowing cost.
However, with the launch of SFB operations, AUBANK is able to access low cost
CASA deposits, term deposits, and recurring deposits. These will supplement its
existing sources of liquidity and strengthen its funding franchise. In the initial few
months of its banking operations, AUBANK has already opened ~1, 56,091 CASA
accounts and has mobilized INR19.8b of deposits, of which CASA deposits constitute
33%. This has helped lower its average incremental funding cost to 6.7% in 1HFY18
(post conversion to a bank) from 8.15% - before it converted into a bank. We expect
AUBANK’s average funding cost to decline to 7.0% by FY20e, as the composition of
deposits improves further, while existing high cost NCD borrowings mature.
Exhibit 31:
Sources of funding
NCDs
3
5
20
42
Term Loans
8
18
38
Working Cap
17
6
17
18
42
FY15
Sub Debts
11
7
10
28
CP
7
5
6
33
Exhibit 32:
Steady improvement in credit rating has helped
AUBANK in reducing its borrowing cost
Rating
agency
CRISIL
Ratings
Term
Credit rating
as of FY13
CRISIL A / Stable
CRISIL A1
[ICRA]A (Stable)
-
-
-
CARE A
CARE A1
-
-
Current credit
rating
CRISIL A+ / Stable
-
ICRA A+ (Stable)
ICRA A1+
IND A+ (Positive)
IND A1+
CARE A+ (stable)
-
BWR AA / Stable
30
FY13
36
FY14
43
FY16
50
FY17
Long Term
Short Term
Long Term
ICRA
Short Term
Long Term
India
Ratings
Short Term
Long Term
CARE
Ratings
Short Term
Brickwork Long Term
Ratings
Short Term
Source: Company, MOSL
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 33:
Incremental cost of funds has declined sharply
after AUBANK launched its SFB operations
Particulars
Cost of funds before conversion into a bank
Post bank conversion – incremental cost
Average cost of funds
Cost of funds (%)
8.15
6.70
7.40
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 34:
Borrowing as % of total funds will likely decline
to ~36% by FY20E
Borrowing as % of Total Funding
9.9%
100%
8.1%
100%
66%
46%
FY16
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
36%
FY20E
Borrowing Cost
7.8%
7.7%
7.6%
Source: Company, MOSL
Besides, AUBANK will also be able to raise funds from (a) the RBI’s liquidity
adjustment facility and market stabilization fund, (b) capital market borrowings such
as infrastructure bonds, tier-II bonds, and perpetual bonds. AUBANK has also
received the Scheduled Commercial Bank status from the RBI and is thus eligible to
raise resources through money market borrowings, interbank borrowings and
issuance of certificates of deposit.
8 January 2018
19

AU Small Finance Bank
…but NIM to decline on SFB migration and change in asset mix
We expect the yield on interest-earning assets to moderate by 172bp over FY17-20e
led by (i) lower yield on investments, as AUBANK complies with CRR/SLR regulations,
(ii) change in asset mix, particularly as AUBANK launches and scales up its housing
finance operations, and (iii) benign external rate environment. We thus estimate
margins (including securitization) to moderate by 76bp over FY17-20e.
Exhibit 35:
We expect spreads to moderate to 7% by FY20e
Yield on average loans
22.8
22.1
12.5
9.6
21.4
11.3
10.1
20.5
10.3
10.2
cost of funds
20.3
11.9
8.4
19.8
12.1
19.3
12.1
7.2
Spread
18.6
11.6
12.3
10.5
7.6
7.0
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 36:
While expect margins to moderate to 7.4% by FY20e
NIM (Incl Securitization)
8.2
6.0
6.1
8.7
8.2
7.9
7.7
7.4
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
20

AU Small Finance Bank
Off balance sheet mix likely to decline
PSL certificates to help boost fee income
AUBANK has been an active participant in loan assignment and securitization
activities, which have helped it optimize its funding and liquidity requirements and
boost return ratios. We believe access to low-cost deposits will help it to strengthen
its liability franchise and enable it to retain higher share of assets on its books. We
expect AUBANK’s off balance sheet mix to decline to 31% by FY20e.
Exhibit 37:
We expect AUBANK’s off balance sheet mix to decline to 31% by FY20e
On Bal.sheet (% of Total)
50
45
39
32
Off Bal.sheet (% of Total)
40
37
34
31
50
FY13
55
FY14
61
FY15
68
FY16
60
FY17
63
FY18E
66
FY19E
69
FY20E
Source: Company, MOSL
We note that the priority sector accounts for ~80% of AUBANK’s assets; this is
higher than the 75% of prior year ANBC it is required to maintain as an SFB. Hence,
AUBANK can actively participate in the priority sector lending certificates (PSLC)
market, where it will be able to trade its right of claim on priority sector loans for a
fee. It generated fee income of INR450m from the PSLCs it sold in 1HFY18. Pick-up in
cross-selling and third-party distribution income, and increase in transaction
banking/processing charges will further boost AUBANK’s overall fee income growth.
We expect AUBANK to report strong fee growth over next few years.
Exhibit 38:
Trend in other income as percentage of total assets
Other income as a % of total assets
1.8%
2.0%
1.6%
2.0%
1.8%
1.7%
1.6%
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
FY21E
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
21

AU Small Finance Bank
Migration to 90dpd has impacted NPL ratios
We expect it to improve steadily
AUBANK has historically maintained strong asset quality, with GNPL ratio varying
between 0.38% and 1.68% over the last six years. The secured nature of its lending
business along with strong underwriting skills and processes has helped AUBANK in
reporting healthy NPL ratios. However, migration to 90dpd NPL recognition norm in
1QFY18 (as AUBANK launched its SFB operations) has resulted in an increase in
GNPL ratio to 3%. In 1QFY18, its GNPLs were also adversely affected by the impact
of GST implementation on its SME/MSME borrowers. Given the collateralized nature
of its lending portfolio and lower loss given default, we expect AUBANK’s NPL ratios
to improve gradually over FY18-20e.
We note that AUBANK has been following a conservative provisioning policies right
from the time of its NBFC operations. The following exhibit highlights that AUBANK
has been more aggressive in NPL provisioning than the regulatory requirement.
Exhibit 39:
AUBANK follows an aggressive provisioning policy v/s the regulatory requirements
Overdue period
(in Months)
Up to 6 months
4 to 5 months
5 to 6 months
6 to 12 months
12 months & above
Provision % for erstwhile AU Finance
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
10%
10%
40%
NA
10%
40%
NA
NA
50%
NA
NA
50%
NA
NA
50%
RBI provisioning policy
Up to 1 Yr (secured)
Up to 1 Yr (Unsecured)
1-3 Yr
< Than 3 Yr
15%
25%
40%
100%
AUBANK provisioning policy
90 days - 180 days
181 days - 364 days
365 days-730 days
More than 730 days
15%
30%
60%
100%
Write - off @ 100%
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 40:
We expect asset quality to improve gradually
from FY19e onwards
GNPA (%)
NNPA (%)
1.68
1.27
0.38
0.19
0.54
0.64
0.96
2.03
0.66
1.09
1.82
1.51
3.30
3.25
Exhibit 41:
Provisioning coverage to improve to 48% by
FY20e; we build in FY18-19e average credit cost of 1.22%
53
PCR
48
44
40
35
38
2.91
50
50
50
0.46 0.39
0.27
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Source: Company, MOSL
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Source: Company, MOSL
Strong credit underwriting and risk management framework
AUBANK has a strong and comprehensive credit and risk management
framework to identify, monitor and manage risks. Credit risk management is all
the more crucial, as a significant number of AUBANK’s customers are primarily
first-time users of financial products, and therefore, do not have any credit
history. AUBANK has put in place separate credit teams for each of its business
lines driven by in-house field investigation officers. The credit team evaluates
business needs, identifies expansion plans, and analyzes the borrower’s ability
to repay the loan.
22
8 January 2018

AU Small Finance Bank
AUBANK follows a three-layered assessment process, which includes visits by
credit officers, relationship officers and business officers to analyze the business
and collateral quality.
Strong emphasis on loan collection and monitoring
AUBANK has set up a robust collection management system, which includes a
collection control room that centrally manages allocations among collection
executives and uses analytics for the optimum allocation of cases to the
collection team. The collection team comprises 1,155 employees (14% of total
employees) and 139 external collection agents as of FY17. Collections are
organized by geography, and are further divided based on delinquency,
products and customer repayment history. Effective credit risk management has
enabled AUBANK to maintain healthy asset quality across business and
economic cycles.
Exhibit 42:
Sales, collections and credit together account for ~75% of AUBANK’s employee
base
1,288
15%
771
9%
855
10%
1,155
14%
4,466
52%
Sales
Collections
Credit
Operations
Others
Source: Company, MOSL.
Note: Others include employees in IT, HR, Treasury
Exhibit 43:
Credit appraisal process for secured business loan
Origination : Through Direct Calling
by Sales Team
Request for Information: RM
collect information documents
from client
Files Login & Lead Generation :
File submitted to Credit Team for
Login Check List
Case proposed for approval to
Approving Authority
Personal Discussion with
Business Head and Credit Head
Filing of Valuation, Legal
Reports, ROC Search, Banking
and Financial Analysis
Post Approval, Initiation of
Documentary Compliances and
Fulfillment of Sanction
Conditions
Disbursement Initiation including
signing of Legal Agreement
Complete File sent to Operations
team and Funds Transferred.
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
23

AU Small Finance Bank
Well capitalized to support business growth
AUBANK has a strong CAR/tier-1 of ~20.6%/19.7% as at 2QFY18 against the
regulatory minimum CAR of 15% (7.5% minimum tier-1). Unlike scheduled
commercial banks, SFBs are not required to maintain any capital conservation buffer
or any counter-cyclical capital buffer while the Tier-1 requirement is also lower. This
enables them to operate on a higher leverage than scheduled banks. We note that
with the current projections on growth and profitability, AUBANK is well-capitalized
to support its balance sheet growth for FY18/19e. We project CAR to decline to
16.8% (15.0% tier-1) by FY19e, as we model 42% CAGR in loan growth over FY17-20e
and expect the next round of capital raising in 2HFY19e/FY20e.
Exhibit 44:
RWA as a % of assets
113
RWA (% of assets)
104
103
92
90
88
85
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18E
FY19E
FY20E
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 45:
AUBANK is well capitalized to support 35% AUM CAGR over FY17-20e
27.2
Tier I Capital
Tier II Capital
23.2
24.1
18.3
18.8
17.3
15.8
1.5
FY15
16.9
19.2
21.1
17.0
13.5
3.4
2.1
FY17
2.2
FY18E
16.8
15.0
1.8
FY19E
16.0
CAR
14.9
3.1
3.5
15.7
3.1
13.3
2.7
FY20E
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY16
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
24

AU Small Finance Bank
Transition to SFB will cause transient earnings disruption
Transitioning to small finance bank (SFB) offers AUBANK significant growth potential
and the management has aspirations to make AUBANK a retail-focused, preferred
and trusted SFB. A diverse loan book, wide geographical presence, and strong
underwriting skills across segments will enable AUBANK to complete its SFB
transition expeditiously. It has converted most of its NBFC branches into bank
branches/asset centers and has been focusing on attracting new customers and
cross-selling newly-launched products to its existing customers. This has also helped
it in raising INR19.8b of deposits in the short span of its banking operations.
While transitioning into an SFB will impact return ratios on account of (i) negative
carry due to CRR/SLR, resulting in margin compression, and (ii) higher operating
expenses due to investments in technology, branches, employees, etc, we expect
the return ratios to bounce back to healthy levels over FY19-20e. AUBANK has
cumulatively spent INR710m on technology and INR1, 850m on branch
infrastructure, while it has added 5,500 employees over the past two years, which
would keep its cost ratios elevated in the near term. We expect RoA/RoE to bottom
out at 1.8%/14.3% in FY18, and then recover to 1.94%/20.1% by FY20e.
Exhibit 46:
AUM growth to remain strong at 35% CAGR over
FY17-20e
45
Total AUM (bn)
48
20
31
Gr. YoY (%)
38
2.5
2.3
Exhibit 47:
Cost-income ratio likely to moderate to 49% by
FY20e
Cost to Income
Cost to Assets 3.4
2.8
3.7
3.0
50.6
50.2
3.7
3.5
34
35
25
48.9
45.2
26
FY12
37
FY13
44
FY14
56
FY15
82
FY16
107
144
194
267
FY13
40.2
FY14
36.6
FY15
40.9
FY16
39.3
FY17
FY18E FY19E FY20E
Source: Company, MOSL
FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 48:
Expect RoE to recover to 20.1% by FY20e, after
bottoming out at 14.3% in FY18…
ROE
21.1
14.9
15.7
15.8
17.0
13.5
15.0
13.3
Tier 1
Exhibit 49:
…led by steady improvement in RoA to 1.94% by
FY20e
RoA (Off balance Sheet)
2.8
2.6
2.5
1.7
1.8
1.4
1.9
1.9
17.8
FY13
13.6
FY14
19.9
FY15
23.3
FY16
20.4
FY17
14.3
17.3
20.1
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18E FY19E FY20E
Source: Company, MOSL
FY18E FY19E FY20E
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
25

AU Small Finance Bank
What differentiates AUBANK from other SFBs
AUBANK is well positioned to scale up its operations as an SFB owing to its rich
experience across diverse lending products and deep under-penetration in states in
which it operates. It has reported healthy traction in building its liability franchise
over the early days of its banking operations, backed by its wide branch/customer
network and smart pricing of deposits. We note that deposit rates offered by
AUBANK are attractive enough to compete with other leading universal banks; yet,
they are lower than what many other SFBs are offering. On the lending side, too, we
note that AUBANK’s MCLRs are significantly lower than most other SFBs, which
enables it to competitively price its loans and focus on business growth. The strategy
to contiguously grow the branch network and rapidly scale up asset and liability
operations will enable AUBANK to expedite its SFB transition and report healthy
bounce-back in earnings over FY18-20e.
Exhibit 50:
Trend in RoE for listed SFBs
25
20
15
10
5
0
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Source: Company, Bloomberg, MOSL
AU
Equitas
Ujjivan
Exhibit 51:
RoA profile of listed SFBs
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18E FY19E FY20E
Source: Company, Bloomberg, MOSL
AU (incl off BS AUM)
Equitas
Ujjivan
Exhibit 52:
Cost to income comparison across listed SFBs
95
80
65
50
35
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Source: Source: Company, Bloomberg, MOSL
AU SFB
Equitas
Ujjivan
Exhibit 53:
Loan growth comparison across listed SFBs
100
80
60
40
20
0
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
AU SFB
Equitas
Ujjivan
Source: Source: Company, Bloomberg, MOSL
8 January 2018
26

AU Small Finance Bank
Exhibit 54:
SA rate comparison across SFBs and select private banks
Particulars
Less Than INR 1 lac
INR 1 lac to less than 10 Lacs
10 Lacs & above
1 Cr & upto 10 Cr
above 10 cr
AU SFB
5.0%
6.0%
6.5%
NA
NA
Equitas
6.0%
6.0%
6.5%
NA
NA
Ujjivan
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
NA
NA
Capital
Disha
SFB
(Fincare)
4.0%
6.0%
4.0%
4.0%
NA
NA
7.0%
7.0%
NA
NA
ESAF
6.0%
6.5%
7.0%
NA
NA
Suryoday Utkarsh
6.3%
7.3%
7.0%
NA
NA
6.0%
6.0%
6.0%
NA
NA
Yes
5.0%
6.0%
6.0%
6.3%
NA
IndusInd
4.0%
4.0%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
Kotak
5.0%
6.0%
6.0%
5.5%
NA
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 55:
MCLR rates across SFBs – AUBANK has one of the lowest MCLR rates amongst SFBs (barring Capital SFB)
Particulars
Overnight MCLR
One month MCLR
Three month MCLR
Six month MCLR
One year MCLR
AU SFB
11.9%
11.9%
12.4%
12.9%
12.9%
Equitas
15.9%
16.0%
16.1%
16.1%
16.2%
Ujjivan
16.1%
16.2%
16.3%
16.4%
16.4%
Capital SFB
9.5%
9.5%
9.5%
9.5%
9.5%
Disha (Fincare)
15.4%
15.4%
15.6%
15.8%
15.9%
Suryoday
16.5%
16.6%
16.6%
16.6%
16.7%
Utkarsh
13.8%
13.9%
14.0%
14.1%
14.4%
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 56:
Peak term deposit rates across SFBs – AUBANK’s term deposit rates generally stand in the middle amongst SFBs
Banks
Equitas
AU SFB
Ujjivan
Capital SFB
Disha (Fincare)
ESAF
Suryoday
Utkarsh SFB
0-3 mths
6.3%
6.0%
6.3%
6.0%
4.0%
6.8%
5.0%
4.5%
3-6 Mths
6.5%
6.8%
6.8%
6.5%
6.0%
6.8%
5.5%
5.5%
6mths to 1 yr
7.0%
7.0%
7.5%
6.8%
7.0%
7.5%
7.8%
7.5%
1yr to 3yr
7.3%
7.4%
8.0%
7.1%
9.0%
9.0%
8.8%
8.4%
>3 yrs
7.0%
7.3%
7.0%
7.0%
8.0%
7.5%
7.8%
7.0%
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
27

AU Small Finance Bank
A quick snapshot of SFBs
Exhibit 57:
Snapshot as on FY15 – few months before receiving the in-principle approval for setting up a Small Finance Bank
(FY15)
NII (INRb)
Total income (INRb)
Opex (INRb)
Operating profit (INRb)
PAT (INRb)
Borrowings (INRb)
Deposits (INRb)
Advances - on Book (INRb)
Total assets (INRb)
AUM (incl off BS) (INRb)
GNPA (%)
NNPA (%)
Tier 1 ratio (%)
Tier 2 ratio (%)
CRAR (%)
ROE (%)
ROA (%)
NIM (%)
Branches
Employees
AU SFB
3.61
4.24
1.55
2.69
1.40
28.8
NA
34.0
40.3
55.7
1.0
0.5
15.8
1.5
17.3
19.91
4.01
10.32
232
3,553
Equitas
3.55
1.06
2.47
2.14
1.06
30.9
NA
34.6
44.6
40.1
1.1
0.8
NA
NA
NA
11.15
2.96
12.07
361
3,925
Ujjivan
2.79
3.40
2.04
1.35
0.75
31.2
NA
32.2
39.8
32.7
0.1
0.0
21.7
2.5
24.2
13.67
2.50
11.62
423
6,547
Capital SFB
0.54
0.66
0.47
0.19
0.14
0.6
15.1
9.3
16.8
9.3
0.4
0.1
8.9
6.3
15.2
16.80
0.92
3.53
38
NA
Jana Bank
3.18
4.34
3.01
1.33
0.75
18.8
NA
10.6
50.0
37.6
0.7
0.5
26.8
1.2
28.0
9.45
2.00
NA
234
6,793
Suryoday
0.55
0.63
0.35
0.28
0.17
3.0
NA
5.4
7.6
5.8
0.1
0.0
21.5
4.4
25.9
15.4
2.9
NA
240
1,752
Utkarsh
0.52
0.69
0.39
0.30
0.16
4.4
NA
6.2
9.4
7.2
NA
NA
22.2
12.9
35.1
12.9
2.6
NA
342
NA
Source: MOSL, Company
Exhibit 58:
Snapshot as on FY17 – nearly two years after receiving the Small Finance Bank license
FY17
Date of commencing the SFB operations
Head office
NII (INRb)
Total income (INRb)
Opex (INRb)
Operating profit (INRb)
PAT (INRb)
Borrowings (INRb)
Deposits (INRb)
Advances (on Book) (INRb)
Total Assets (INRb)
AUM (incl off BS) (INRb)
GNPA (%)
NNPA (%)
Tier 1 ratio (%)
Tier 2 ratio (%)
CRAR (%)
ROE (%)
ROA (%)
NIM (%)
Branches
Employees
AU SFB
19-Apr-17
Jaipur
7.29
8.87
3.49
5.38
8.22
70.7
0
63.9
98.1
107.3
1.7
1.1
21.1
2.1
23.2
20.36
3.79
9.06
301
8,515
Equitas
5-Sep-16
Chennai
8.55
9.69
6.15
3.54
1.59
65.4
18.8
58.3
94.4
71.2
3.5
1.5
32.3
3.2
35.5
8.9
2.0
10.8
610
13,367
Ujjivan
6-Feb-17
Bengaluru
8.06
8.55
4.58
3.97
2.08
29.4
1.0
45.8
84.8
63.8
3.7
0.0
113.8
0.0
113.8
14.1
2.9
12.6
457
10,167
Capital SFB
13-Apr-16
Jalandhar
0.74
0.94
0.71
0.23
0.15
1.2
23.8
13.6
27.2
13.6
1.0
0.7
14.5
8.5
23.0
NA
NA
3.54
NA
NA
Jana Bank
NA
Bangalore
14.78
17.46
11.90
5.56
1.70
67.3
0
47.6
150.5
128.1
1.7
0.6
17.1
6.8
23.9
7.35
1.28
11.97
462
16,357
Suryoday
Utkarsh
23-Jan-17
23-Jan-17
Navi
Varanasi
Mumbai
1.38
1.83
1.37
2.39
1.01
1.38
0.38
1.01
0.15
0.34
10.2
22.9
0.2
0.1
8.2
15.9
16.0
26.7
9.6
16.1
6.2
NA
3.8
NA
48.0
17.2
5.7
8.7
53.6
25.9
4.3
NA
1.2
0.95
11.5
NA
224
378
2,156
3,845
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
28

AU Small Finance Bank
Exhibit 59:
Product offering of SFB’s
Loan Products
Business loans & others
SME /MSME
LAP
Personal & consumer loans
Gold loan
Auto / Car loan
CV/CE
2W/ 3W
Housing
AU SFB
To be launched
in 1QFY19e
Equitas
Source: Company, MOSL
Ujjivan
Capital SFB
Suryoday
Utkarsh
Exhibit 60:
Loan mix as of 2QFY18
AU SFB
Wheels
Secured MSME
Secured SME
Gold loans
NBFC
RE group
Business banking
%
47.7
30.0
7.7
0.0
8.4
5.8
0.4
Equitas
Micro finance
Vehicle finance
M-LAP
Housing finance
Business loans
Agri loans
Gold loans
Others
%
36.1
28.3
24.4
4.1
3.4
1.8
0.4
1.1
Source: Company, MOSL
Ujjivan
Microfinance –grp loans
Microfinance –individual loans
MSE
Housing
%
85.2
10.5
1.8
2.5
8 January 2018
29

AU Small Finance Bank
SWOT analysis…
AUBANK has established itself as a strong SFB across multiple
secured product lines
The bank has little geographical overlap with other SFB’s
which limits the competition among existing players
It has created customized products and services to cater to
the evolving needs of its customers
Strength
Concentration risk: AUBANK has significant exposure to
the top four states, which together account for ~90% of its
loan book
Being a dominantly wholesale-funded entity, a rising
interest rate environment may adversely impact
borrowing costs, and hence, profitability
Weaknesses
Leveraging technology along with doorstep servicing would
enable AUBANK in rapidly gaining market share
AUBANK operates in underpenetrated geographies which
offers it strong growth potential
The bank is yet to launch several other key lending
products which will accelerate its business growth
Opportunities
With increasing credit penetration bargaining power of
borrowers has increased. SFBs may also lose business to
other banks on account of refinancing as economy gets
further formalized
With several new banks, fintech companies and existing
banks vying for same talent pool, nurturing and retaining
the key management personnel can be a challenge
Threats
8 January 2018
30

AU Small Finance Bank
Bull & Bear case
Bull Case
In our bull case, we assume strong AUM CAGR of 44% (v/s 35% in base case).
We believe scale up of housing finance business and growth in MSME/SME
business could surprise on the upside.
We expect margins to increase slightly to 8.1% in FY19e, aided by faster build-up
of liability franchise. Credit deposit ratio should improve to 111% by FY20e (v/s
122 % in our base case).
We expect significant cost control, with cost-to-income ratio declining to 45% by
FY20e (v/s 49% in our base case).
Asset quality would be slightly better, with GNPA of 1.65% by FY20e (v/s 2.91%
in our base case).
This results in PAT CAGR of 40% (v/s 25% in our base case) over FY17-20e, with
RoA/RoE of 2.0%/21.3% in FY20e.
Based on the above assumptions, we value AUBANK at INR825 (6.6x Mar-20E
BV) – an upside of 18%.
Bear Case
In our bear case, we assume AUM CAGR of 31% (v/s 35% in our base case).
Delay in scaling up the newly-launched lending products and modest trend in
SME segment may result in such a scenario.
We expect margins to decline to 7.3% in FY19e, particularly as we moderate our
estimates on deposit growth. We thus expect credit-deposit ratio of 145% by
FY20e (v/s 122% in our base case).
We expect cost ratios to spike, resulting in C/I ratio increasing to 58% by FY20e
(v/s 49% in our base case).
Asset quality is likely to deteriorate with higher slippages coming in from newly
launched segments. Accordingly, we model in GNPL ratio of 3.3% by FY20e (v/s
2.91% in our base case).
This results in PAT CAGR of 12% (v/s 25% in our base case) over FY17-20e, with
RoA/RoE at 1.5%/15.3% in FY20e.
Based on the above assumptions, we value AUBANK at INR450 (4.3x Mar-20E
BV) – a downside of 35%.
Exhibit 61:
Scenario Analysis – Bull Case
Bull Case
NII
Opex
Provisions
PBT
PAT
NIM (%)
RoA (%)
RoE (%)
EPS
BV
Target multiple
Target price (INR)
Upside (%)
FY18E
10,929
6,326
1,369
4,859
3,398
8.3
1.8
14.7
12.0
82.1
6.6
825
18%
FY19E
15,572
9,380
1,396
7,211
4,886
8.1
1.9
17.9
17.2
97.7
FY20E
21,939
12,453
1,887
10,300
7,146
7.9
2.0
21.3
25.1
120.3
Exhibit 62:
Scenario Analysis – Bear Case
Bear Case
NII
Opex
Provisions
PBT
PAT
NIM (%)
RoA (%)
RoE (%)
EPS
BV
Target multiple
Target price (INR)
Downside (%)
FY18E
8,789
6,402
1,285
3,719
2,436
7.6
1.5
11.5
8.6
78.8
4.3
450
35%
FY19E
12,108
9,068
1,624
4,901
3,450
7.3
1.5
13.8
12.1
90.6
FY20E
15,944
12,003
2,058
6,511
4,264
6.8
1.5
15.3
15.0
105.3
Source: Company, MOSL
Source: Company, MOSL
8 January 2018
31

AU Small Finance Bank
Valuations full; remain convinced about long term story
We expect AUBANK to deliver steady improvement in earnings/return ratios
from FY19E onwards, particularly as it absorb the costs related to SFB migration
in FY18E. We believe that strong credit underwriting, wide geographical
presence and committed management (~33% promoter stake) will enable
AUBANK to undertake the SFB transition with limited disruption.
We expect earnings to grow at 42% CAGR over FY18-20e, and RoE to gradually
improve to 20.1% after bottoming out at 14.3% in FY18.
AUBANK has demonstrated the capability to build a quality retail franchise as
evident in its performance across lending segments. While near-term returns
will likely be limited on account of subdued earnings in FY18E and expensive
valuations, we believe that AUBANK has the potential to emerge as a strong SFB
over the long term. We believe AUBANK has the potential to make it big
amongst SFBs.
While the stock valuations appear full and in the near term leaves little for
investors, we believe strong management track record, 42% projected earnings
CAGR, and secured retail portfolio will enable AUBANK to sustain its premium
multiples.
We value AUBANK using two-stage GGM at INR705, which corresponds to 5.9x
Mar-20E BV. While we appreciate the long term opportunity that AUBANK
presents we believe that the stock is fairly valued at current valuations
(~
96%
higher than the issue price
)
. We thus initiate coverage with a Neutral rating and
TP of INR705 (5.9x Mar-20E BV, 32.1x FY20E EPS). We believe that the stock’s
valuation will remain highly sensitive to business growth and recovery in return
ratios.
Exhibit 63:
P/B vs RoE - FY19E
8
6
4
Axis BK
2
0
10
15
20
25
Source: Company, MOSL
Yes BK
Kotak
AU SFB
IndusInd
HDFC BK
8 January 2018
32

AU Small Finance Bank
Exhibit 64:
Dupont analysis
Y/E March
Net Interest Income
Core Fee and Secu. Inc
Total Income
Operating Expenses
Employee cost
Others
Core operating Profits
Non Interest income
Trading and others
Operating Profits
Provisions
PBT
Tax
RoA
RoE
FY15
6.47
1.13
7.61
2.79
1.70
1.09
4.82
1.14
0.00
4.82
1.09
3.74
1.22
2.52
19.91
FY16
7.15
1.05
8.22
3.36
2.09
1.27
4.84
1.06
0.02
4.86
0.58
4.28
1.47
2.80
23.25
FY17
6.33
1.30
7.70
3.03
1.67
1.35
4.60
1.37
0.07
4.67
0.57
4.10
1.46
2.65
20.36
FY18E
5.98
1.34
7.41
3.75
2.28
1.47
3.58
1.42
0.08
3.66
0.90
2.75
0.94
1.82
14.34
FY19E
5.94
1.26
7.30
3.67
2.28
1.39
3.33
1.36
0.10
3.63
0.77
2.86
0.97
1.89
17.33
FY20E
5.83
1.18
7.12
3.48
2.20
1.28
3.53
1.29
0.11
3.64
0.71
2.93
1.00
1.94
20.15
Exhibit 65:
Valuation comparison
Particulars
SFB’s
Equitas
Ujjivan
AU SFB
NBFC’s
Bajaj Finance
Shriram Transport
Banks
HDFC Bank
Yes Bank
IndusInd Bank
Kotak Bank
Loan Book
(INRb)
2Q18
73
65
121
721
855
6,049
1,487
1,232
1,526
Price
(INR)
157
408
697
1,811
1,485
1,864
333
1,700
1,003
MCap
(INRb)
53
49
199
1039
337
4,776
760
1.012
1,840
PAT
PAT CAGR
(INRb)
(F17-F20E)
(FY18E)
0.6
0.2
3.1
26.2
18.0
176.1
40.6
36.4
61.0
25%
8%
25%
40%
32%
23%
26%
33%
26%
ROA
(%)
FY18E
0.6
0.1
1.8
3.5
2.7
1.9
1.7
1.8
1.8
FY19E
1.6
1.6
1.9
3.6
3.1
1.9
1.8
1.9
1.9
ROE
(%)
FY18E
2.6
0.8
14.3
20.2
15.1
18.8
17.3
16.9
12.7
FY19E
8.2
12.4
17.3
20.4
17.4
20.4
19.5
19.0
13.5
P/B
(x)
FY18E
2.3
2.8
8.6
6.4
2.6
4.9
3.0
4.4
4.3
FY19E
2.2
2.5
7.2
5.3
2.3
4.1
2.6
3.7
3.7
P/E
(x)
FY18E
90.8
NA
64.4
39.6
18.4
27.1
18.7
27.9
31.3
FY19E
27.4
24.1
45.2
28.4
14.0
22.0
14.3
21.6
24.1
Note: For Equitas, Ujjivan, AU Bank, Bajaj Finance, Shriram Transport Loan book represents AUM
Source: Company, MOSL
Risks
Building and scaling up SFB operations needs significant investments in
technology, infrastructure and staff cost, besides complying with rigorous SFB
guidelines, and thus, carries execution risk.
Scaling up newly-launched asset products and building a strong liability
franchise will be key to growth and profitability. Any delays here will adversely
impact valuations.
Operating cost may remain elevated, as AUBANK successfully completes its
transition to an SFB. Besides, complying with SFB guidelines on branch mix, PSL
targets, etc., may also affect return ratios.
Top-four states account for ~90% of AUBANK’s loan book and this poses
concentration risk.
8 January 2018
33

AU Small Finance Bank
Annexure
SFB guidelines – a recap
To promote financial inclusion, the RBI had issued in-principle approval for the set-
up of 11 payments banks and 10 SFBs in 2015. SFBs are primarily intended to cater
to the unserved and underserved sections of the population, including small
business units and micro and small industries. SFBs can also undertake other simple
financial services activities, such as the distribution of mutual fund units, insurance
products, and pension products.
Exhibit 66:
List of entities awarded SFB licenses by RBI
Sr.No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Particulars
Au Financiers (India) Ltd
Capital Local Area Bank Ltd
Disha Microfin Private Ltd
Equitas Holdings P Limited
ESAF Microfinance and Investments Private Ltd
Janalakshmi Financial Services Private Limited
RGVN (North East) Microfinance Limited
Suryoday Micro Finance Private Ltd
Ujjivan Financial Services Private Ltd
Utkarsh Micro Finance Private Ltd
State
Jaipur
Jalandhar
Ahmedabad
Chennai
Chennai
Bengaluru
Guwahati
Navi Mumbai
Bengaluru
Varanasi
Source: Company, MOSL
The entities eligible to set up an SFB include resident individuals or professionals
with 10 years of experience in banking and finance, companies and societies,
existing NBFCs, microfinance institutions, and local area banks. The minimum paid-
up equity capital for SFBs is INR1b. SFBs are subject to all prudential norms and RBI
regulations applicable to existing commercial banks, including the requirement to
maintain cash reserve ratio and statutory liquidity ratio. They are also required to
have 25% of all branches in unbanked rural centers within one year from the date of
commencement of operations. The priority sector lending requirement for SFBs is
75% of ANBC of prior year v/s 40% for universal banks. Also, at least 50% of an SFB’s
loan portfolio should constitute loans and advances of a size up to INR2.5m.
Exhibit 67:
Small finance banks vs Scheduled commercial banks
Parameter
Capital Measurement Approach
SFBs
Basel III standardized approach. External
rating based risk weight for rated
exposure & regulatory retail approach for
small retail loans
15%
6%
1.5%
7.5%
N/A
N/A
7.5%
6% till Mar’19; 7% after Mar’19
SCBs
Basel III
Minimum CAR
CET1
AT1
Minimum Tier 1 Capital
CCB
CCCB
Maximum Tier II Capital
Pre-specified trigger for conversion of AT1
11.5% by Mar’19
8% by Mar’19 (including CCB)
1.5%
9.5% by Mar’19
2.5% by Mar’19
Maximum up to 2.5%, not applied as of
now
2%
CET1>5.625% till Mar’19; CET1>6.125%
after Mar’19
8 January 2018
34

AU Small Finance Bank
Exhibit 68:
Banks Vs NBFC ND
Parameter
For the year ended
Minimum net owned funds
Capital adequacy
Mar-15
Tier-I Capital
Mar-16
Mar-17
Mar-15
Mar-16
GNPA recognition
Mar-17
Mar-18
CRR
SLR
Priority sector
SARFAESI eligibility
Exposure norms
Mar-15
Mar-16
Mar-17
Mar-18
NBFC-ND-SI
Banks (Basel-III)
INR20m
INR5b
15.0%
9.0%
7.5%
7.0%
8.5%
7.625%
10.0%
8.25%
180 days
90 days
150 days
90 days
120 days
90 days
90 days
90 days
N.A
4.0%
N.A
19.5%
N.A
40% of advances
Yes
Yes
Single borrower: 15% (+10% for IFC) Single borrower: 15% (+5% for infrastructure projects)
Group of borrowers: 25%
Group of borrowers: 40%
(+15% for IFC)
(+10% for infrastructure projects)
0.25%
0.40%
0.30%
0.40%
0.35%
0.40%
0.40%
0.40%
Source: Company, MOSL
Standard asset provisioning
Exhibit 69:
AUBANK: number of active loan accounts
Number of loan accounts
State
Rajasthan
Maharashtra
Gujarat
Madhya Pradesh
Delhi
Punjab
Chhattisgarh
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Goa
Total
As at FY13
No. of active
% of Total
loan a/c
73,789
50%
35,706
24%
24,593
17%
5,358
4%
616
0%
4,097
3%
1,158
1%
-
NA
-
NA
960
1%
146,277
100%
As at FY17
No. of active
% of Total
loan a/c
132,747
47%
42,633
15%
39,564
14%
31,837
11%
13,891
5%
12,396
4%
3,055
1%
2,195
1%
1,433
1%
598
0%
280,349
100%
Source: Company, MOSL
%
32.97
15.82
7.99
3.80
3.95
3.62
2.42
2.42
1.71
1.71
1.58
1.22
1.15
Source: Company, MOSL
Exhibit 70:
List of key shareholders as on Sep’17
Name
Promoter Group
Redwood investments (Warburg Pincus)
International finance Corp
Labh Investment ltd (Chrys capital VI LLC)
Ourea holdings (Kedara Capital I)
SBI mutual fund (through its various MF schemes)
Mysore holdings
MYS holdings
ICICI prudential life insurance
SBI life insurance
Motilal Oswal asset management (through various MF schemes)
Amansa capital
Motilal Oswal securities ltd
8 January 2018
35

AU Small Finance Bank
Financials and valuations
Income Statement
Y/E MARCH
Interest Income
Interest Expense
Net Financing income
Change (%)
Income from Sec.
Net Income (Incl Secur)
Change (%)
Other Income
Net Income
Change (%)
Operating Expenses
Change (%)
Operating Profits
Change (%)
Total Provisions
% to operating income
PBT
Exceptional items
PBT including exceptional
Tax
Tax Rate (%)
PAT
Adjusted PAT
Change (%)
Change in Adj PAT (%)
2012
1,552
1,033
519
697
1,216
8
1,224
661
563
58
10.4
504
0
504
181
35.9
323
323
2013
3,370
1,972
1,398
169.6
711
2,109
73.4
24
2,133
74.2
965
45.9
1,168
107.6
168
14.4
1,001
0
1,001
333
33.3
668
668
106.4
106.4
2014
4,984
2,876
2,108
50.8
656
2,764
31.1
58
2,822
32.3
1,134
17.6
1,688
44.4
607
36.0
1,081
0
1,081
371
34.3
709
709
6.3
6.3
2015
6,429
2,820
3,609
71.2
610
4,219
52.7
24
4,243
50.4
1,554
37.0
2,690
59.4
606
22.5
2,084
0
2,084
681
32.7
1,402
1,402
97.7
97.7
2016
9,351
3,953
5,399
49.6
753
6,152
45.8
50
6,202
46.2
2,538
63.3
3,665
36.2
438
12.0
3,226
0
3,226
1,110
34.4
2,116
2,116
50.9
50.9
2017
12,298
5,003
7,294
35.1
1,441
8,736
42.0
135
8,871
43.0
3,489
37.5
5,382
46.9
652
12.1
4,730
6,703
11,433
3,214
28.1
8,220
3,400
288.4
60.7
2018E
17,069
6,949
10,119
38.7
1,934
12,054
38.0
473
12,527
41.2
6,337
81.6
6,190
15.0
1,530
24.7
4,660
0
4,660
1,585
34.0
3,076
3,076
-62.6
-9.5
2019E
23,567
9,787
13,780
36.2
2,206
15,986
32.6
947
16,933
35.2
8,508
34.3
8,425
36.1
1,790
21.2
6,635
0
6,635
2,256
34.0
4,379
4,379
42.4
42.4
2020E
32,446
13,854
18,593
34.9
2,453
21,046
31.7
1,657
22,703
34.1
11,093
30.4
11,610
37.8
2,253
19.4
9,356
0
9,356
3,181
34.0
6,175
6,175
41.0
41.0
Balance Sheet
Y/E MARCH
Equity Share Capital
Reserves & Surplus
Equity Networth
Interest bearing liabilities
Change (%)
Other liabilities
Change (%)
Total Liabilities
Loans
Change (%)
Investments
Net Fixed Assets
Other assets
Total Assets
Total Assets (incl. off BS)
AUM Mix
AUM (INR b)
Change (%)
On BS (%)
Off BS (%)
2012
184
2,891
3,075
7,285
1,211
11,571
9,141
309
154
1,968
11,571
27,974
2013
405
4,014
4,419
24,821
1,889
31,128
18,432
7,387
168
5,142
31,128
49,740
2014
430
5,548
5,978
21,300
2,308
29,586
24,560
1,136
169
3,721
29,586
49,516
2015
441
7,667
8,108
28,783
3,462
40,353
34,040
1,398
194
4,721
40,353
61,990
2016
441
9,654
10,094
47,826
5,022
62,942
56,208
2,316
246
4,172
62,942
88,947
2017
2,843
17,033
19,876
70,710
7,531
98,117
63,900
21,503
2,758
9,956
98,117
141,556
2018E
2,843
20,186
23,029
111,745
8,661
143,497
90,721
30,104
6,896
14,275
143,497
196,777
2019E
2,843
24,662
27,504
160,572
12,991
201,129
128,034
41,544
13,103
16,574
201,129
267,086
2020E
2,843
30,957
33,800
236,408
17,538
287,807
184,122
60,239
22,930
18,079
287,807
370,529
25,543
35.8
64.2
37,043
45.0
49.8
50.2
44,490
20.1
55.2
44.8
55,677
25.1
61.1
38.9
82,213
47.7
68.4
31.6
107,339
30.6
59.5
40.5
144,002
34.2
63.0
37.0
193,991
34.7
66.0
34.0
266,844
37.6
69.0
31.0
8 January 2018
36

AU Small Finance Bank
Financials and valuations
Ratios
Y/E MARCH
Spreads Analysis (%)
Avg. Yield - on loans
Avg. Yield - on earning assets
Avg. Cost of funds
Spreads
NIM
NIM (Incl off balance sheet)
Profitability Ratios (%)
RoE
RoA (On balance Sheet)
RoA (incl off BS AUM)
Op. Exps./Net Income
Empl. Cost/Op. Exps.
Asset-Liability Profile (%)
Net NPAs to Adv.
Debt/Equity (x)
Assets/Equity (Avg)
Assets/Equity (Avg - Incl off)
CAR
Tier I
Valuations
Book Value (INR)
BV Growth (%)
Price-BV (x)
EPS (INR)
EPS Growth (%)
Price-Earnings (x)
E: MOSL Estimates
2012
2013
22.8
19.1
12.3
6.8
7.9
6.0
2014
22.1
19.3
12.5
6.9
8.2
6.1
2015
21.4
21.0
11.3
9.8
11.8
8.2
2016
20.5
19.9
10.3
9.6
11.5
8.7
2017
20.3
17.1
8.4
8.6
10.1
8.2
2018E
19.8
16.4
7.6
8.8
9.8
7.9
2019E
19.3
16.0
7.2
8.9
9.5
7.7
2020E
18.6
15.5
7.0
8.5
9.0
7.4
54.0
58.4
17.8
3.1
1.7
45.2
54.6
13.6
2.3
1.4
40.2
61.4
19.9
4.0
2.5
36.6
60.8
23.3
4.1
2.8
40.9
62.2
20.4
3.8
2.6
39.3
55.2
14.3
2.5
1.8
50.6
60.8
17.3
2.5
1.9
50.2
62.1
20.1
2.5
1.9
48.9
63.3
0.2
2.4
27.2
24.1
0.3
5.6
5.7
10.4
18.3
14.9
0.6
3.6
5.8
9.5
18.8
15.7
0.5
3.6
5.0
7.9
17.3
15.8
0.4
4.7
5.7
8.3
16.9
13.5
1.1
3.6
5.4
7.7
23.2
21.1
2.0
4.9
5.6
7.9
19.2
17.0
1.8
5.8
6.8
9.2
16.8
15.0
1.5
7.0
8.0
10.4
16.0
13.3
109.2
139.1
27.4
17.0
183.9
32.2
32.2
89.4
228.9
24.5
48.0
49.0
69.9
-69.5
18.6
-61.3
81.0
15.9
8.6
10.8
-41.8
64.4
96.8
19.4
7.2
15.4
42.4
45.2
118.9
22.9
5.9
21.7
41.0
32.1
8 January 2018
37

REPORT GALLERY
RECENT INITIATING COVERAGE REPORTS
Rs

AU Small Finance Bank
NOTES
8 January 2018
39

Disclosures:
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations).
Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. (MOSL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000412. MOSL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock
broking services, Investment Advisory Services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial products. MOSL is a subsidiary company of Motilal Oswal Financial Service Ltd. (MOFSL). MOFSL is a listed
public company, the details in respect of which are available on
www.motilaloswal.com.
MOSL is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and is a registered Trading Member with National Stock
Exchange of India Ltd. (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (BSE), Metropolitan Stock Exchange Of India Ltd. (MSE) for its stock broking activities & is Depository participant with Central Depository Services Limited
(CDSL) & National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) and is member of Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products. Details of associate entities of Motilal Oswal Securities Limited are
available on the website at
http://onlinereports.motilaloswal.com/Dormant/documents/Associate%20Details.pdf
Pending Regulatory Enquiries against Motilal Oswal Securities Limited by SEBI:
SEBI pursuant to a complaint from client Shri C.R. Mohanraj alleging unauthorized trading, issued a letter dated 29th April 2014 to MOSL notifying appointment of an Adjudicating Officer as per SEBI regulations to hold
inquiry and adjudge violation of SEBI Regulations; MOSL requested SEBI to provide all documents, records, investigation report relied upon by SEBI which were referred in Show Cause Notice. The matter is currently
pending.
MOSL, it’s associates, Research Analyst or their relative may have any financial interest in the subject company. MOSL and/or its associates and/or Research Analyst may have beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in
the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research Report.
MOSL and its associate company(ies), their directors and Research Analyst and their relatives may; (a) from
time to time, have a long or short position in, act as principal in, and buy or sell the securities or derivatives thereof of companies mentioned herein. (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn
brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential
conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions.; however the same shall have no bearing whatsoever on the specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the
recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the associates of MOSL even though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest in some of the stocks mentioned in the research
report.
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AU Small Finance Bank
Disclosure of Interest Statement
Analyst ownership of the stock
AU Small Finance Bank
No
A graph of daily closing prices of securities is available at
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appropriate to your specific circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment
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as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to
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the information and opinions contained in this document. The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be treated as endorsement of the
views expressed in the report. This information is subject to change without any prior notice. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement as may be required from time to time
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Registered Office Address: Motilal Oswal Tower, Rahimtullah Sayani Road, Opposite Parel ST Depot, Prabhadevi, Mumbai-400025; Tel No.: 022-3980 4263; www.motilaloswal.com. Correspondence Address: Palm Spring
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Registration details of group entities.: MOSL: SEBI Registration: INZ000158836 (BSE/NSE/MSE); CDSL: IN-DP-16-2015; NSDL: IN-DP-NSDL-152-2000; Research Analyst: INH000000412. AMFI: ARN 17397. Investment Adviser:
INA000007100. Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Ltd. (MOAMC): PMS (Registration No.: INP000000670) offers PMS and Mutual Funds products. Motilal Oswal Wealth Management Ltd. (MOWML): PMS
(Registration No.: INP000004409) offers wealth management solutions. *Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. is a distributor of Mutual Funds, PMS, Fixed Deposit, Bond, NCDs, Insurance and IPO products. * Motilal Oswal
Commodities Broker Pvt. Ltd. offers Commodities Products. * Motilal Oswal Real Estate Investment Advisors II Pvt. Ltd. offers Real Estate products. * Motilal Oswal Private Equity Investment Advisors Pvt. Ltd. offers Private
Equity products
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