Crompton Gr. Con
BSE SENSEX
36,162
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
Avg Val, INRm
Free float (%)
S&P CNX
11,086
CROMPTON IN
In-line operational performance; gross margin at new high
627
In-line results:
CG Consumer Electricals’ (CROMPTON) 3QFY18 results were
156.7/2.5
broadly in line with estimates. Sales grew 6.7% YoY (12.2% YoY adjusted for
295/147
excise duty on sourced products) to INR9.4b, driven by healthy growth in the
-13/8/13
lighting division (+14% YoY, +23% YoY LTL). However, the electrical
249
consumer durables (ECD) segment reported a subdued 7.4% LTL growth, as:
65.6
24 January 2018
3QFY18 Results Update | Sector: Capital Goods
CMP: INR250
TP: INR305(+23%)
Buy
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
2018E 2019E
Y/E Mar
Net Sales
41.4
46.6
EBITDA
5.2
6.4
PAT
3.2
4.1
EPS (INR)
5.1
6.5
Gr. (%)
9.8
26.1
BV/Sh (INR)
11.7
14.3
RoE (%)
50.6
49.8
RoCE (%)
28.5
30.8
P/E (x)
48.7
38.6
P/BV (x)
21.4
17.5
Estimate change
TP change
Rating change
2020E
52.6
7.2
4.8
7.7
18.4
17.4
48.4
34.5
32.6
14.4
(a) water heater segment registered decline of 3% YoY, and (b) domestic
pumps segment witnessed pricing pressure on increased competitive
intensity in East/North India. Within ECD, strong traction was witnessed in
the premium fans category (+28% YoY, 20% of overall fans sales). EBITDA
improved 19.8% YoY to INR1.2b, with EBIDTA margin improving 130bp YoY
to 12.4%, led by better revenue mix. Net profit of INR0.7b was in line with
our estimate.
Gross margin at all-time high on account of better revenue mix:
Gross
margin expanded 250bp YoY to 33.1%, led by (a) revenue mix improvement,
(b) continued cost reduction exercise, and (c) price hike of around 1.5% in
the fans category to mitigate the raw material price increase. EBITDA of
INR1.2b (+20% YoY) was marginally ahead of our estimate. Operating margin
was 12.4% v/s 11.1% in 3QFY17 and rose 130bp YoY despite (a) increase in
employee cost, led by ESOP provisioning of INR140m during the quarter
(INR85m in 3QFY17) and lateral hiring done by the company, and (b) higher
ad spend (INR160m v/s INR90m in 3QFY17). Lighting business, which
contributed 35% of revenue (v/s 32% in 3QFY17), registered 290bp margin
improvement YoY to 13.8%. ECD, which accounted for 65% of revenue (v/s
68% in 3QFY17), registered 210bp margin improvement YoY to 18.2%.
Valuation and view:
We like CROMPTON for its strong product portfolio,
established brand, market leadership, wide distribution network and a robust
RoCE profile (31%/35% in FY19/20). We maintain our
Buy
rating, with a target
price of INR305 (40x FY20E EPS of INR7.7). Please refer to our recent
Corner
Office
post our meeting with CEO/MD for more details.
FY17
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
8,737 8,792 10,762 10,554
8.5
7.4
-3.7
1,012
972 1,386 1,294
17.4
9.0 -17.8
11.6
11.1
12.9
12.3
27
26
29
32
161
162
153
162
41
50
69
97
865
834 1,273 1,198
286
290
388
395
33.1
34.8
30.5
33.0
579
544
885
802
28.3
16.6 (14.2)
(4.5)
- (20.7)
-
574
544
864
802
32.0
29.8 (14.2)
FY18
FY17 FY18 Vs Est.
2Q
3Q
4QE
3Q
9,597 9,382 11,650 39,759 41,438 9,600
9.8
6.7
8.3 119.5
4.2
8.0
1,207 1,165 1,536 4,902 5,202 1,140
19.3
19.8
10.9 134.0
6.1 14.8
12.6
12.4
13.2
12.3
12.6 11.9
32
32
20
110
116
30
157
158
125
655
658
150
35
66
128
195
326
80
1,054 1,040 1,519 4,331 4,754 1,040
346
345
450 1,399 1,536
350
32.8
33.2
29.6
32.3
32.3 33.7
708
695 1,069 2,932 3,218
690
22.3
27.9
20.8 138.7
9.8 20.3
-
-
-
-
708
695 1,069 2,907 3,218
690
23.3
27.9
23.7 166.9
10.7 20.3
Quarterly Estimates (Standalone)
Y/E March
Sales
Change (%)
EBITDA
Change (%)
As of % Sales
Depreciation
Interest
Other Income
PBT
Tax
Effective Tax Rate (%)
Adjusted PAT
Change (%)
Extra-ordinary Income (net)
Reported PAT
Change (%)
1Q
10,962
1,573
14.4
28
180
34
1,400
465
33.2
935
-
935
(INR M)
Var.
(%)
-2.3%
2.2%
0.0%
0.7%
0.7%
Ankur Sharma – Research Analyst
(Ankur.VSharma@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1556
Amit Shah – Research Analyst
(Amit.Shah@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1543
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.