Sector Update | 14 November 2018
Sector Update | Financials
India Life Insurance
Technology
I
nsurance
T
racker
Private players report steady WRP growth
Private players’ new business WRP growth was steady at ~17% YoY in Oct-18 (also flat on a
sequential basis), even as industry growth slowed down to 3.8% (+5.3% YoY in Sep-18).
Among private players, HDFC Life, Tata AIA, Birla Sunlife and Reliance Life exhibited robust
growth trends. WRP growth for HDFC Life stood at a six-month high of ~39% YoY, while it
stood at 15% YoY (v/s 17.4% in Sep-18) for SBI Life. IPRU continued showing a weak trend,
with new business WRP declining by 13% YoY (-8% over FY19YTD). On the other hand, LIC
reported a decline of 7.8% YoY in its new business WRP due to a 24% YoY fall in group
WRP. YTD growth for industry now stands at 6.4% YoY, led by growth of ~13% YoY for
private players and flat growth at LIC. We estimate private players to report WRP growth
of 16% in FY19, which implies residual growth of ~18% for the remaining months. Private
players’ market share, thus, will likely improve to 53.7% (51% in FY18).
Private players’ market share shrinks to 52.3% (51.4% in FY19YTD)
Private players’ share in total WRP contracted 428bp MoM to 52.3% in Oct-18.
Private players’ market share on an individual WRP basis stood at 56.1% (-361bp
MoM). Among private players, SBI Life and Bajaj Allianz gained maximum market
share in the individual WRP segment. However, SBI Life (13.5% market share)
remains the largest insurer based on individual WRP premiums.
Total WRP and FY19 YTD market
share – sorted on Sep-18
Total WRP
Grand Total
Total Public
Total Private
SBI Life
HDFC Standard
ICICI Prudential
Max Life
Bajaj Allianz
Tata AIA
Kotak Life
Birla SunLife
PNB Met Life
FY19 YTD
Sep-18 mkt sh.
(%)
61,662
100.0
29,414
32,247
7,188
5,187
5,083
2,308
1,736
1,631
1,542
1,461
1,002
48.6
51.4
10.4
7.1
9.5
4.0
2.5
2.2
2.7
2.1
1.6
Top five private players account for ~66% of total private industry
The market share of top-five private players – SBI Life, ICICI Prudential Life, HDFC
Life, Max Life and Kotak Life – stands stable at ~66%. However, a few other players
like Tata AIA and more recently Birla SunLife have been showing healthy traction
and are emerging as strong contenders to become the sixth large insurer. Among
key listed players, on a WRP basis…
HDFCLIFE reported ~39% YoY growth (23% during FY19YTD) – largely in line with
our FY19 estimate.
SBILIFE reported 15% YoY growth (+11% in FY19YTD) – significantly below its
historical run-rate.
IPRU reported decline of 13% YoY (-8% in FY19YTD) – significantly below our
estimate.
Max Life reported ~28% YoY growth (+26% in FY19YTD).
Mutual fund AUM grew ~1% MoM to INR22.2t
Mutual fund AUM grew ~1% MoM to INR22.2t, led by ~15% MoM growth in money
market schemes. AUM of income funds/gold ETFs/balanced funds declined by
4.7%/2.5%/1.4% MoM, while that of ELSS funds was flat MoM at INR2.4t.
Source: Company, MOSL
Research Analyst: Nitin Aggarwal
(Nitin.Aggarwal@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5540
| Parth Gutka
(Parth.Gutka@motilaloswal.com); +91 22 3010 2746
Alpesh Mehta
(Alpesh.Mehta@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 3982 5415
| Yash Agarwal
(Yash.Agarwal@motilaloswal.com); +91 22 3846 6693
14 November 2018
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
1
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.