7 May 2019
Update
| Sector: Technology
Wipro
Neutral
BSE SENSEX
38,600
S&P CNX
11,598
CMP: INR294
TP: INR280 (-5%)
Trend of declining Legacy and expanding Digital is accelerating
We hosted Wipro’s CFO Mr Jatin Dalal for an interaction on the demand environment and
the company’s prospects. Key highlights:
n
Amid an otherwise healthy demand environment, there are pockets of slowness and
also instances of sales cycles elongating by 5-8 weeks.
n
The trend of slow Legacy and fast Digital is accelerating further.
n
Deal sizes in Digital have inched up to USD5-8m from USD2-5m. Small-sized deals are
not a bad phenomenon given the attractive price points.
n
Productivity demands in Legacy deals are only increasing (even more than 5%
annually), making it imperative to be Automation-ready.
n
Localization drive began around three years ago, helping WPRO operate stably in the
current supply crunch. The focus is on retaining lateral staff, as replacement is
costlier than higher wages for current employees.
n
Valuation view: We expect the IT Services EBIT to stabilize at 18-19% and the overall
margin to pick up as losses in smaller segments reduce. We expect a CAGR (FY19-21)
of 6.6% in USD revenue and 11% in earnings. The stock trades at 17.1/16.0x
FY20E/21E earnings. Our TP of INR280 discounts forward earnings by 15x and implies
that the stock is fairly valued. We maintain Neutral on the stock.
Stock Info
Bloomberg
Equity Shares (m)
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb)
52-Week Range (INR)
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%)
12M Avg Val (INR M)
Free float (%)
WPRO IN
5,701
1772.4 / 25.5
299 / 190
14/12/34
1653
26.2
Financials Snapshot (INR b)
2019 2020E
Y/E Mar
Net Sales
585.8 623.4
EBITDA
117.0 135.4
PAT
91.6
97.4
EPS (INR)
14.8
17.1
Gr. (%)
10.1
15.6
BV/Sh (INR)
94.5
86.4
RoE (%)
17.4
18.4
RoCE (%)
14.6
17.4
P/E (x)
25.5
17.1
P/BV (x)
4.0
3.4
2021E
677.1
147.1
104.7
18.4
7.5
92.7
20.6
20.1
16.0
3.2
Shareholding pattern (%)
As On
Mar-19 Dec-18 Mar-18
Promoter
73.9
74.3
74.3
DII
6.5
7.6
6.6
FII
9.4
8.9
9.8
Others
10.3
9.2
9.3
FII Includes depository receipts
Stock Performance (1-year)
Healthy demand environment, but pockets of slowness elongating deal
cycles
n
n
The demand environment remains healthy, though the trend of slowness in
traditional and high growth in Digital is accelerating further. With that, sales
cycles are also stretching and being elongated by 5 to 8 weeks on an average.
WPRO is likely to start the year (1QFY20) on a flattish note – more due to
seasonality of passing on productivity benefits.
Verticals: BFS, Consumer BU should continue to lead the growth charge
n
BFS – WPRO will continue looking for more large deals like Alight Solutions for
growth. These are likelier to be in the US, given that Europe has some labor
law challenges. Top-client slowdown will not impact much. Overall, this
vertical is likely to grow above the company growth rate in FY20 too. Residual
impact from the Alight deal is ~3% on BFSI growth.
Ashish Chopra
– Research analyst
(Ashish.Chopra@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1530
Research Analyst: Anmol Garg
(Anmol.Garg@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 7193 4271 /
Mohit Sharma
(Mohit.Sharma@MotilalOswal.com)
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.