Sector Update | 3 February 2020
Sector Update | Financials
FinancialsTechnology
- Insurance
Dividend as a % of
Surplus/Deficit before tax
FY19 (%)
HDFCLIFE
IPRULIFE
SBILIFE
MAXLIFE
Impact of budgetary announcements on Life Insurers
-
Policyholder'sShareholder's
Premium growth may moderate; Dividend taxation to impact EV/VNB margins
A/C
A/C
360.0%
23.6%
389.4%
36.8%
In the Union Budget 2020, the government removed all major exemptions under the
537.5%
30.3%
new tax regime, which is likely to take away one of the key incentives that drives the
388.9%
26.3%
*Dividend income includes Interest
income and rent income
4Q individal un-weghted WRP
as a % of total
un-weighted WRP
HDFCLIFE
IPRULIFE
SBILIFE
MAXLIFE
FY16
37.9%
33.4%
36.5%
39.4%
FY19
34.9%
32.7%
31.6%
40.7%
Source: MOFSL, Company
Effect on Tax out flows due to
budgetary announcements
Savings/extra tax payable
Maximum savings under
new tax regime assuming no
exemptions were taken
Extra tax payable under new
tax regime assuming
exemptions were taken if
- Salary is INR7.5L
- Salary is INR10L
- Salary is INR12.5L
- Salary is INR15L
INR
78,000
39,000
47,320
57,720
81,120
Source: MOFSL, Company
sale of Life Insurance products. This resulted in a steep stock price correction for
insurers. The correction was especially more for the ones with a higher mix of the
savings business (MAXLIFE, ICICIPRU and SBILIFE corrected in the range of 10-14%
while HDFCLIFE corrected by ~6%).
The Indian insurance industry is primarily savings oriented and though growth in the
protection business has been strong, its share in total new business remains low.
Typically, the second-half of the fiscal is business-heavy owing to increased focus on
tax-saving investments (however, this skewness has been declining), and this may
drive softness in industry sales if individuals migrate to the new tax regime.
Moreover, the removal of Dividend Distribution Tax (DDT) and the move of making
dividend taxable in the hands of recipients will result in higher Effective Tax Rate (ETR)
for life insurers, particularly for those that are ULIP-heavy. However, if corporates
maintain the same payout ratio, the impact will be relatively limited.
The government’s proposal to list LIC will also be a significant event to monitor. LIC
accounted for 61%/71% of total new business on weighted/un-weighted basis as at
9MFY20; its share in industry AUM stood at 78% (INR27.6t) as at FY19. Listing of LIC
will help improve transparency and disclosure standards for the entire life insurance
industry and will attract investors to participate in wealth creation in a sector that has
delivered one of the best returns last year.
In this note, we further analyze the tax liability for individuals under the new/existing
regimes across income levels. We note that while some individuals, especially in the
low/mid income level may opt for the new tax regime, tax liability for individuals
(availing exemptions) will actually increase, and thus, will prevent any meaningful
impact on new business sales of life insurers.
Skewness of insurance sales in 4Q showing declining trends; expect impact
to be modest
The removal of major exemptions/deductions under the new tax regime could
adversely impact the sale of life insurance companies, as typically the 4Q of every
fiscal is business-heavy owing to an increased focus on tax-saving investments.
However, this skewness seems to have declined over the past few years with the
proportion of premium being underwritten in the 4
th
quarter to total premium
showing declining trends for all listed insurers, barring Max Life (Exhibit
1 and 2).
This reflects the changing consumer behavior in buying insurance for the right
reasons, such as life protection and planning their cash flows for retirement/
emergencies, rather than just for tax-saving purposes. Though some tax payers
might shift to the new tax regime, with increasing consumer awareness, we expect
the impact to be modest.
Research Analyst: Nitin Aggarwal
(Nitin.Aggarwal@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 6129 1542|
Himanshu Taluja
(Himanshu.Taluja@motilaloswal.com)
Alpesh Mehta
(Alpesh.Mehta@MotilalOswal.com) |
Yash Agarwal
(Yash.Agarwal@motilaloswal.com)
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
3 February 2020
1
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sector Update | Financials
Savings biz to be most impacted but ticket size remains an important factor
The Indian insurance industry is primarily savings oriented (~85% total business) and
though growth in the protection business has been strong, its share in total new
business APE remains low across insurers. With all the exemptions gone, we believe
the sale of savings products will be moderately impacted. We note that IPRULIFE
and SBILIFE have higher proportion of ULIPs at 69%/70% (on APE basis) while
HDFCLIFE and MAXLIFE ULIPs’ share is relatively lower. However, IPRULIFE focuses
on an affluent customer base and has higher average ticket size of ~INR159k
compared to other players that may not be as prone to moving to the new tax
regime owing to higher tax liability in the absence of all exemptions.
z
Removal of DDT to increase ETR; to adversely impact EV and VNB margins
The removal of Dividend Distribution Tax (DDT) and the move of making dividends
taxable in the hands of recipients will result in higher tax rates for life insurers. This
will likely have an adverse impact on the Embedded Value (EV) and Value of new
business (VNB), thereby impacting margins. Dividend income forms a significant
proportion of the overall PBT ranging between 24-37% for FY19 under the
shareholders account. According to the sensitivity analysis disclosed by insurance
companies, the change in tax rate to 25% (from ~14% currently) negatively impacts
the VNB in the range of 8-20% while EV would see an impact in the range of 4-12%
(Exhibit
7).
However, this may still not throw color on the actual impact as dividend
income would have been taken as tax-free under these sensitivity tables. We further
note that if corporates maintain the same dividend payout ratio then the impact will
be relatively limited as insurance companies need to pay lower tax rate at ~14.5%.
Tax liability may increase under new tax regime in absence of exemptions
Under the new tax regime, the government has reduced the tax rates and removed
all major exemptions/deductions. This will have a mixed effect as the tax liability for
individuals (without availing exemptions) will decrease by a maximum INR78k,
thereby increasing their in-hand cash flows while for individuals (availing
exemptions), the tax liability will actually increase in the range of INR40-80k,
depending on the income level. Thus, individuals especially in the lower tax bracket
may prefer to opt for the new tax regime, which may impact insurance sales.
However, with the rise in their income, they would be inclined to avail exemptions
to reduce their tax outflow. Moreover, if an individual is having business income,
once the new tax regime is opted for, the said individual cannot revert to the old tax
regime, which will help maintain status quo. We, thus, expect this amendment to
have a modest impact on the new business sales of life insurers.
Valuation & View
The removal of major exemptions/deductions under the new tax regime will impact
sales of Life Insurance products as individuals migrating to the new tax regime will
lose on tax savings on their insurance purchase. We reckon that under the new tax
regime, tax liability for individuals (availing exemptions) will actually increase, and
thus, a large section of individuals might not prefer to migrate, resulting in a modest
impact on the new business sales of life insurers. Moreover, the removal of DDT will
result in higher effective tax rate (ETR) for life insurers, which will adversely impact
EV, VNB margins and shareholder earnings for insurers, more so for those that are
ULIP-heavy. We further note that if corporates maintain the same dividend payout
ratio then the impact will be relatively limited as insurance companies will pay tax at
a lower rate of ~14.5%. We await further details from company managements on
these developments and believe that while the structural story for the insurance
sector is intact, the near-term stock performance may remain volatile until clarity
emerges. We maintain
Buy
rating on
IPRULIFE
and
Neutral
on
HDFCLIFE.
3 February 2020
2
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sector Update | Financials
Exhibit 1:
% of Individual APE in 4 quarter showing declining
Exhibit 2:
…Individual un-weighted received premium also
trends (barring Max Life)…
reflects the same trend
4Q Individual APE as a %
FY15
of total Individual APE
HDFC Life
37.0%
IPRU Life
SBI Life
Max Life
34.5%
39.5%
34.3%
FY16
38.2%
32.7%
37.1%
40.3%
FY17
44.0%
33.3%
37.3%
39.8%
FY18
37.3%
27.6%
31.3%
41.7%
FY19
35.1%
32.1%
31.8%
42.1%
4Q Indl un-weighted WRP as a %
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19
of total indl un-weighted WRP
HDFC Life
37.7% 37.9% 43.0% 41.3% 34.9%
IPRU Life
SBI Life
Max Life
34.6% 33.4% 33.0% 28.6% 32.7%
38.6% 36.5% 36.7% 31.1% 31.6%
34.3% 39.4% 38.5% 39.8% 40.7%
Source: MOFSL, Company
th
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 3:
As at 9MFY20, share of ULIPs within savings was
high for IPRU and SBI Life…
Business Mix (APE basis)
Savings
ULIP
PAR
Non Par
Annuity
Non Savings
Term
Annuity
Group
Total
*As on 1HFY20
88%
28%
13%
47%
0%
11%
7%
4%
0%
100%
86%
69%
11%
5%
1%
14%
14%
0%
0%
100%
88%
70%
11%
7%
0%
8%
8%
0%
4%
100%
86%
35%
31%
20%
0%
14%
14%
0%
0%
100%
Exhibit 4:
…while for HDFCLIFE and MAXLIFE, it remained
relatively lower
HDFC Life IPRU Life SBI Life Max Life
32%
11%
5%
16%
43%
28%
15%
25%
100%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
63%
47%
7%
9%
11%
11%
0%
26%
100%
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
Savings
ULIP
PAR
Non Par
Non Savings
Term
Annuity
Group
Total
HDFC Life IPRU Life SBI Life Max Life Business Mix (NBP basis)
Source: MOFSL, Company *As on 1HFY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 5:
Policyholder’s A/c – Dividend income as % of PBT
Policyholder's A/c (INRm)
HDFC Life
Dividend Income
Surplus/Deficit before tax
% of Surplus/Deficit before tax
IPRU Life
Dividend Income
Surplus/Deficit before tax
% of Surplus/Deficit before tax
SBI Life
Dividend Income
Surplus/Deficit before tax
% of Surplus/Deficit before tax
Max Life
Dividend Income
Surplus/Deficit before tax
% of Surplus/Deficit before tax
14,139
6,136
230.4%
17,940
4,632
387.3%
22,199
6,555
338.7%
26,616
7,083
375.8%
32,065
8,245
388.9%
36,288
8,077
449.3%
45,137
8,176
552.1%
52,716
8,342
631.9%
61,157
12,608
485.1%
72,896
13,561
537.5%
35,403
12,124
292.0%
38,169
14,124
270.2%
41,929
11,527
363.8%
48,132
14,832
324.5%
52,438
13,467
389.4%
28,609
9,413
303.9%
34,725
11,342
306.2%
40,676
10,996
369.9%
47,354
12,701
372.8%
56,792
15,775
360.0%
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
*Dividend income includes Interest income and rent income
Source: MOFSL, Company
3 February 2020
3
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sector Update | Financials
Exhibit 6:
Shareholder’s A/c – Dividend income as % of PBT
Shareholder's A/c (INRm)
HDFC Life
Dividend Income
Profit before tax
% Profit before tax
IPRU Life
Dividend Income
Profit before tax
% Profit before tax
SBI Life
Dividend Income
Profit before tax
% Profit before tax
Max Life
Dividend Income
Profit before tax
% Profit before tax
2,033
4,776
42.6%
1,731
5,109
33.9%
1,356
7,681
17.7%
1,756
6,152
28.5%
1,635
6,226
26.3%
2,432
8,345
29.1%
2,894
8,738
33.1%
3,202
9,746
32.9%
3,496
11,843
29.5%
4,155
13,729
30.3%
3,789
15,854
23.9%
3,878
17,717
21.9%
3,763
17,843
21.1%
4,216
17,188
24.5%
4,274
11,612
36.8%
1,486
8,046
18.5%
1,639
8,349
19.6%
1,833
9,141
20.1%
2,250
11,267
20.0%
3,049
12,899
23.6%
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
*Dividend income includes Interest income and rent income
Source: MOFSL, Company
Taxation of dividends at the
hand of insurance
companies would adversely
impact margins and EV;
however, the sensitivity
tables may not give much
color on the actual impact
as dividend income would
have been taken as tax-free
under these tables.
Higher ULIP ticket size for
IPRU shows that customers
are not buying ULIP plans
only for tax savings as the
average ticket size stands
higher than the maximum
exemption limit of
INR150,000.
Exhibit 7:
Sensitivity analysis to change in tax rate
Sensitivity to change in tax rate to 25%
% Change in VNB
% Change in VNB Margin
% Change in EV
HDFC Life
-17.4%
-5.8%
-7.3%
IPRU Life
-7.5%
NA
-4.0%
SBI Life
-16.1%
NA
NA
Max Life
-20.0%
-19.5%
-12.0%
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 8:
Ticket size under different categories
Ticket Size (INR)
Protection
ULIP
Par
Non Par
*As on FY19
IPRU Life*
12,048
159,329
60,308
76,468
Source: MOFSL, Company
3 February 2020
4
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sector Update | Financials
Exhibit 9:
Average ticket size for individual single business
Average Ticket Size (INR)
HDFC Life
Individual Single Premium (INRm)
Individual Single Policies Sold (Nos.)
Average Ticket Size
IPRU Life
Individual Single Premium (INRm)
Individual Single Policies Sold (Nos.)
Average Ticket Size
SBI Life
Individual Single Premium (INRm)
Individual Single Policies Sold (Nos.)
Average Ticket Size
Max Life
Individual Single Premium (INRm)
Individual Single Policies Sold (Nos.)
Average Ticket Size
4,598
1,040
4,421,346
5,671
890
6,371,798
7,444
722
10,310,662
8,544
938
9,108,444
9,635
1,102
8,743,073
7,767
1,356
5,727,655
7,065
40,708
173,548
7,804
41,861
186,422
5,912
26,240
225,290
6,873
21,841
314,699
7,572
19,939
379,766
12,372
24,106
513,221
2,521
9,111
276,644
4,327
23,021
187,968
6,336
32,355
195,832
10,460
46,627
224,332
11,616
40,435
287,270
9,293
12,708
731,264
3,849
208,019
18,504
3,609
287,459
12,555
6,283
240,765
26,095
13,216
28,182
468,966
29,252
46,750
625,710
19,953
28,518
699,656
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
9MFY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
Exhibit 10:
Average ticket size for individual regular new business
Average Ticket Size (INR)
HDFC Life
Individual Non-Single Premium (INRm)
Individual Non-Single Policies Sold (Nos.)
Average Ticket Size
IPRU Life
Individual Non-Single Premium (INRm)
Individual Non-Single Policies Sold (Nos.)
Average Ticket Size
SBI Life
Individual Non-Single Premium (INRm)
Individual Non-Single Policies Sold (Nos.)
Average Ticket Size
Max Life
Individual Non-Single Premium (INRm)
Individual Non-Single Policies Sold (Nos.)
Average Ticket Size
19,023
488,929
38,908
20,451
425,828
48,027
25,648
502,338
51,057
31,290
560,394
55,836
37,823
643,811
58,749
26,164
410,200
63,783
30,497
1,085,186
28,103
41,980
1,104,597
38,005
58,789
1,247,951
47,109
77,186
1,405,193
54,929
88,790
1,505,500
58,977
71,573
1,129,393
63,373
45,704
629,689
72,582
49,245
497,857
98,914
63,447
669,563
94,759
73,560
789,976
93,116
69,784
852,045
81,902
48,619
542,572
89,609
29,290
668,125
43,839
32,969
777,533
42,403
35,727
843,716
42,345
46,215
1,021,443
45,244
47,198
948,250
49,774
40,583
610,942
66,427
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
9MFY20
Source: MOFSL, Company
3 February 2020
5
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sector Update | Financials
Tax savings under the new tax regime stands at maximum INR78k (assuming individual was availing no exemptions)
Existing Regime without
New Regime
INR
INR
availing any benefits
Case 1*
Case 2
Case 3
Taxable Income
1,500,000
Taxable Income
750,000 1,000,000 1,250,000
Tax at various Slabs
- Nil upto 2.5L
- @5% upto 2.5L-5L
- @20% upto 5L-10L
- @30% beyond 10L
Tax at various Slabs
- Nil upto 2.5L
- @5% upto 2.5L-5L
- @10% upto 5L-7.5L
- @15% upto 7.5L-10L
- @20% upto 10L-12.5L
- @25% upto 12.5L-15L
Tax Payable
Cess @ 4%
Total Tax Payable
Case 4
1,500,000
-
12,500
100,000
150,000
Tax Payable
Cess @ 4%
Total Tax Payable
Maximum savings under
the new regime
Source: MOFSL, Company
262,500
10,500
273,000
78,000
-
12,500
25,000
-
-
-
37,500
1,500
39,000
-
12,500
25,000
37,500
-
-
75,000
3,000
78,000
-
12,500
25,000
37,500
50,000
-
125,000
5,000
130,000
-
12,500
25,000
37,500
50,000
62,500
187,500
7,500
195,000
Extra tax payable under the new tax regime stands in the range of INR39-80k (assuming individual is availing basic exemptions)
Exiting Regime
INR
Case 1*
Case 2
Case 3
Case 4
Total Income
750,000
1,000,000
1,250,000
1,500,000
Less: HRA
Less: Standard Deduction
Less: 80C
Less: 80D
Total Basic Deductions
Taxable Income
Tax at various Slabs
- Nil upto 2.5L
- @5% upto 2.5L-5L
- @20% upto 5L-10L
- @30% beyond 10L
Tax Payable
Cess @ 4%
Total Tax Payable
Extra tax payable under new regime
Source: MOFSL, Company
150,000
40,000
150,000
25,000
365,000
385,000
200,000
40,000
150,000
25,000
415,000
585,000
250,000
40,000
150,000
25,000
465,000
785,000
300,000
40,000
150,000
25,000
515,000
985,000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
39,000
-
12,500
17,000
-
29,500
1,180
30,680
47,320
-
12,500
57,000
-
69,500
2,780
72,280
57,720
-
12,500
97,000
-
109,500
4,380
113,880
81,120
Assumptions:
1) We have assumed HRA to be 20% of the total salary.
2) Taxable income up to INR5lac is exempt as rebate is allowed for salary up to INR5lac.
3) We have not factored in the tax benefits from other exemptions viz. LTA, 80G, Interest u/s 24, etc., which will
further improve the attractiveness of the existing tax regime.
3 February 2020
6
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sector Update | Financials
Government’s intent to list LIC will increase investor interest in the sector
The government has proposed to list LIC as part of its disinvestment initiative. This is
a significant step as LIC accounted for 61%/71% of total new business market share
on weighted/un-weighted basis as at 9MFY20. For FY19, its share in industry AUM
stood at 78% (INR27.6t). During FY19, LIC reported total premium collection of
INR3.4t (66% of total industry) through its vast network of 1.2m agents. Listing of LIC
will help improve the transparency and disclosure standards for the entire life
insurance industry and will attract investors to participate in the wealth creation in a
sector that has delivered one of the best returns over the past one year.
Exhibit 11:
A snapshot of LIC’s performance on key parameters
INRm
Premium Underwritten
First year Premium
Single Premium
New Business Premium
Renewal Premium
Total Premium
Market Share (%)
First year Premium
Single Premium
New Business Premium
Renewal Premium
Total Premium
Commission Expense Ratio
Operating Expense Ratio
Solvency Ratio
Surplus/Deficit
PAT
AUM
Life Fund
Pension & General Annuity & Group Fund
ULIP
Persistency ratio (By no of policies)
13th Month
25th Month
37th Month
49th Month
61st Month
Persistency ratio (By annualized premiums)
13th Month
25th Month
37th Month
49th Month
61st Month
No of Individual Agents
Distribution Offices
FY15
231,122
553,955
785,077
1,611,599
2,396,677
49%
84%
69%
75%
73%
6.3%
9.3%
155.0%
18,031
18,238
17,863,126
76%
19%
5%
66.0%
51.0%
49.0%
47.0%
44.0%
77.0%
68.0%
65.0%
60.0%
51.0%
1,163,604
4,877
FY16
238,294
740,621
978,915
1,685,527
2,664,442
47%
84%
70%
74%
73%
5.8%
8.5%
155.0%
24,970
25,178
20,091,189
76%
21%
3%
63.0%
60.0%
48.0%
47.0%
44.0%
72.0%
72.0%
65.0%
62.0%
55.0%
1,061,560
4,892
FY17
263,010
982,823
1,245,833
1,759,041
3,004,874
44%
85%
71%
72%
72%
5.5%
9.6%
173.0%
22,003
22,317
22,752,766
75%
22%
3%
64.0%
56.0%
56.0%
45.0%
44.0%
74.0%
66.0%
68.0%
62.0%
58.0%
1,131,181
4,897
FY18
281,464
1,065,253
1,346,717
1,835,515
3,182,232
43%
83%
69%
69%
69%
5.7%
9.5%
158.0%
24,218
24,464
25,269,231
75%
24%
2%
66.0%
58.0%
53.0%
53.0%
43.0%
76.0%
68.0%
63.0%
66.0%
59.0%
1,148,811
4,908
FY19
313,262
1,110,097
1,423,360
1,951,691
3,375,051
43%
78%
66%
67%
66%
5.7%
8.7%
160.0%
26,606
26,885
27,606,581
74%
25%
1%
66.0%
60.0%
54.0%
50.0%
51.0%
77.0%
71.0%
65.0%
60.0%
63.0%
1,179,229
4,932
Source: MOFSL, Company
3 February 2020
7
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Sector Update | Financials
Explanation of Investment Rating
Investment Rating
BUY
SELL
NEUTRAL
UNDER REVIEW
NOT RATED
Expected return (over 12-month)
>=15%
< - 10%
> - 10 % to 15%
Rating may undergo a change
We have forward looking estimates for the stock but we refrain from assigning recommendation
*In case the recommendation given by the Research Analyst is inconsistent with the investment rating legend for a continuous period of 30 days, the Research Analyst shall within following 30 days take appropriate measures to make the recommendation
consistent with the investment rating legend.
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations).
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (MOFSL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000412. MOFSL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services,
Investment Advisory Services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial products. MOFSL is a subsidiary company of Passionate Investment Management Pvt. Ltd.. (PIMPL). MOFSL is a listed public company, the details in respect of
which are available on www.motilaloswal.com. MOFSL (erstwhile Motilal Oswal Securities Limited - MOSL) is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and is a registered Trading Member with National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (NSE)
and Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (BSE), Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) and National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) for its stock broking activities & is Depository participant with Central Depository Services Limited
(CDSL) National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL),NERL, COMRIS and CCRL and is member of Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and Insurance Regulatory & Development Authority of India (IRDA) as
Corporate Agent for insurance products. Details of associate entities of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited are available on the website at http://onlinereports.motilaloswal.com/Dormant/documents/Associate%20Details.pdf
Details of pending Enquiry Proceedings of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited are available on the website at https://galaxy.motilaloswal.com/ResearchAnalyst/PublishViewLitigation.aspx
MOFSL, it’s associates, Research Analyst or their relative may have any financial interest in the subject company. MOFSL and/or its associates and/or Research Analyst may have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in the subject company in the
past 12 months. MOFSL and its associate company(ies), their directors and Research Analyst and their relatives may; (a) from time to time, have a long or short position in, act as principal in, and buy or sell the securities or derivatives thereof of companies
mentioned herein. (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to
such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions.; however the same shall have no bearing whatsoever on the specific recommendations made by the
analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the associates of MOFSL even though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest in some of the stocks mentioned in the research report. Research
Analyst may have served as director/officer, etc. in the subject company in the past 12 months. MOFSL and/or its associates may have received any compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months.
In the past 12 months , MOFSL or any of its associates may have:
a)
managed or co-managed public offering of securities from subject company of this research report,
b)
received compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from subject company of this research report,
c)
received compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company of this research report.
d)
Subject Company may have been a client of MOFSL or its associates in the past 12 months.
MOFSL and it’s associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report. To enhance transparency, MOFSL has incorporated a Disclosure of Interest Statement in this
document. This should, however, not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. MOFSL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients
of this report should be aware that MOFSL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service
transactions. Above disclosures include beneficial holdings lying in demat account of MOFSL which are opened for proprietary investments only. While calculating beneficial holdings, It does not consider demat accounts which are opened in name of MOFSL for
other purposes (i.e holding client securities, collaterals, error trades etc.). MOFSL also earns DP income from clients which are not considered in above disclosures. Above disclosures include beneficial holdings lying in demat account of MOFSL which are
opened for proprietary investments only. While calculating beneficial holdings, It does not consider demat accounts which are opened in name of MOFSL for other purposes (i.e holding client securities, collaterals, error trades etc.). MOFSL also earns DP income
from clients which are not considered in above disclosures.
Terms & Conditions:
This report has been prepared by MOFSL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in
whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of MOFSL. The report is based on the facts, figures and information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not
recommendatory in nature. The information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation of warranty, express or implied, is made as to its
accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. The report is prepared solely for informational purpose and does not constitute an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for
securities or other financial instruments for the clients. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. MOFSL will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report.
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issues, and no part of the compensation of the research analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific
recommendations and views expressed by research analyst(s) in this report.
Disclosures:
Disclosure of Interest Statement
Analyst ownership of the stock
Companies where there is interest
No
A graph of daily closing prices of securities is available at www.nseindia.com, www.bseindia.com. Research Analyst views on Subject Company may vary based on Fundamental research and Technical Research. Proprietary trading desk of MOFSL or its
associates maintains arm’s length distance with Research Team as all the activities are segregated from MOFSL research activity and therefore it can have an independent view with regards to subject company for which Research Team have expressed their
views.
Regional Disclosures (outside India)
This report is not directed or intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity resident in a state, country or any jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject MOFSL & its
group companies to registration or licensing requirements within such jurisdictions.
For Hong Kong:
This report is distributed in Hong Kong by Motilal Oswal capital Markets (Hong Kong) Private Limited, a licensed corporation (CE AYY-301) licensed and regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) pursuant to the Securities and
Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong) “SFO”. As per SEBI (Research Analyst Regulations) 2014 Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited(SEBI Reg No. INH000000412) has an agreement with Motilal Oswal capital Markets (Hong Kong)
Private Limited for distribution of research report in Hong Kong. This report is intended for distribution only to “Professional Investors” as defined in Part I of Schedule 1 to SFO. Any investment or investment activity to which this document relates is only available
to professional investor and will be engaged only with professional investors.” Nothing here is an offer or solicitation of these securities, products and services in any jurisdiction where their offer or sale is not qualified or exempt from registration. The Indian
Analyst(s) who compile this report is/are not located in Hong Kong & are not conducting Research Analysis in Hong Kong.
For U.S:
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) is not a registered broker - dealer under the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the"1934 act") and under applicable state laws in the United States. In addition MOFSL is not a registered
investment adviser under the U.S. Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended (the "Advisers Act" and together with the 1934 Act, the "Acts), and under applicable state laws in the United States. Accordingly, in the absence of specific exemption under the
Acts, any brokerage and investment services provided by MOFSL, including the products and services described herein are not available to or intended for U.S. persons. This report is intended for distribution only to "Major Institutional Investors" as defined by
Rule 15a-6(b)(4) of the Exchange Act and interpretations thereof by SEC (henceforth referred to as "major institutional investors"). This document must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not major institutional investors. Any investment or investment
activity to which this document relates is only available to major institutional investors and will be engaged in only with major institutional investors. In reliance on the exemption from registration provided by Rule 15a-6 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934,
as amended (the "Exchange Act") and interpretations thereof by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") in order to conduct business with Institutional Investors based in the U.S., MOFSL has entered into a chaperoning agreement with a U.S.
registered broker-dealer, Motilal Oswal Securities International Private Limited. ("MOSIPL"). Any business interaction pursuant to this report will have to be executed within the provisions of this chaperoning agreement.
The Research Analysts contributing to the report may not be registered /qualified as research analyst with FINRA. Such research analyst may not be associated persons of the U.S. registered broker-dealer, MOSIPL, and therefore, may not be subject to NASD
rule 2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communication with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
For Singapore:
In Singapore, this report is being distributed by Motilal Oswal Capital Markets Singapore Pte Ltd (“MOCMSPL”) (Co.Reg. NO. 201129401Z) which is a holder of a capital markets services license and an exempt financial adviser in Singapore,
as per the approved agreement under Paragraph 9 of Third Schedule of Securities and Futures Act (CAP 289) and Paragraph 11 of First Schedule of Financial Advisors Act (CAP 110) provided to MOCMSPL by Monetary Authority of Singapore. Persons in
Singapore should contact MOCMSPL in respect of any matter arising from, or in connection with this report/publication/communication. This report is distributed solely to persons who qualify as “Institutional Investors”, of which some of whom may consist of
"accredited" institutional investors as defined in section 4A(1) of the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore (“the SFA”). Accordingly, if a Singapore person is not or ceases to be such an institutional investor, such Singapore Person must
immediately discontinue any use of this Report and inform MOCMSPL.
Disclaimer:
The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or
reproduced in any form, without prior written consent. This report and information herein is solely for informational purpose and may not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial
instruments. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report
may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by
any recipient. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and
should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. The investment discussed or views expressed may not be suitable for all investors. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options, another derivative
products as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information and opinions contained
in this document. The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. This information is subject to change without
any prior notice. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement as may be required from time to time without any prior approval. MOFSL, its associates, their directors and the employees may from time to time, effect or
have effected an own account transaction in, or deal as principal or agent in or for the securities mentioned in this document. They may perform or seek to perform investment banking or other services for, or solicit investment banking or other business from, any
company referred to in this report. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting the document. This report has been prepared on the basis of information that
is already available in publicly accessible media or developed through analysis of MOFSL. The views expressed are those of the analyst, and the Company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein. This document is being supplied to you
solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, copied, in whole or in part, for any purpose. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or
entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject MOFSL to any registration or licensing requirement
within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such
restriction. Neither the Firm, not its directors, employees, agents or representatives shall be liable for any damages whether direct or indirect, incidental, special or consequential including lost revenue or lost profits that may arise from or in connection with the use
of the information. The person accessing this information specifically agrees to exempt MOFSL or any of its affiliates or employees from, any and all responsibility/liability arising from such misuse and agrees not to hold MOFSL or any of its affiliates or employees
responsible for any such misuse and further agrees to hold MOFSL or any of its affiliates or employees free and harmless from all losses, costs, damages, expenses that may be suffered by the person accessing this information due to any errors and delays.
Registered Office Address: Motilal Oswal Tower, Rahimtullah Sayani Road, Opposite Parel ST Depot, Prabhadevi, Mumbai-400025; Tel No.: 022 71934200/ 022-71934263; Website www.motilaloswal.com.
CIN No.: L67190MH2005PLC153397.Correspondence Office Address: Palm Spring Centre, 2nd Floor, Palm Court Complex, New Link Road, Malad(West), Mumbai- 400 064. Tel No: 022 7188 1000.
Registration Nos.: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL)*: INZ000158836(BSE/NSE/MCX/NCDEX); CDSL and NSDL: IN-DP-16-2015; Research Analyst: INH000000412. AMFI: ARN - 146822; Investment Adviser: INA000007100; Insurance
Corporate Agent: CA0579 ;PMS:INP000006712. Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Ltd. (MOAMC): PMS (Registration No.: INP000000670); PMS and Mutual Funds are offered through MOAMC which is group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Wealth
Management Ltd. (MOWML): PMS (Registration No.: INP000004409) is offered through MOWML, which is a group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is a distributor of Mutual Funds, PMS, Fixed Deposit, Bond, NCDs,Insurance
Products and IPOs.Real Estate is offered through Motilal Oswal Real Estate Investment Advisors II Pvt. Ltd. which is a group company of MOFSL. Private Equity is offered through Motilal Oswal Private Equity Investment Advisors Pvt. Ltd which is a group
company of MOFSL. Research & Advisory services is backed by proper research. Please read the Risk Disclosure Document prescribed by the Stock Exchanges carefully before investing. There is no assurance or guarantee of the returns. Investment in
securities market is subject to market risk, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Details of Compliance Officer: Name: Neeraj Agarwal, Email ID: na@motilaloswal.com, Contact No.:022-71881085.
* MOSL has been amalgamated with Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) w.e.f August 21, 2018 pursuant to order dated July 30, 2018 issued by Hon'ble National Company Law Tribunal, Mumbai Bench.
3 February 2020
8