Sector Update
Telecom | Update
| 16 April 2020
Media
Non-prime time clocks higher
consumption growth
All day
India
HSM
South
43%
49%
33%
Non-
Prime
Time
81%
97%
60%
Prime
Time
Lockdown a blessing in disguise?
News/movies see disproportionate gains
The COVID-19 outbreak has led to a nation-wide lockdown and hampered economic
11%
growth; however, the broadcasting industry has been witnessing a huge uptick in TV
viewership. In this report, we discuss viewership growth of broadcasters and factors
13%
driving it, FCT trend, smartphone usage benefit to news channels and OTT, and impact on
6%
our coverage universe.
Ramayan’s viewership reached
546m in Week-13
The lockdown has positively impacted TV viewership in week-13 (starting 28
th
Mar’20).
According to a Broadcast Audience Research Council (BARC) report, viewership is up a
significant 43% since the pre COVID-19 period.
News, sports and movie genres have seen majority increase in viewership, while GEC,
given the lack of new content, have seen limited gains.
Amongst advertisers, spends are not broad-based. Only specific categories like the
government, FMCG companies and Ecommerce players are spending on
advertisements.
The time spent on smartphones has also increased with proportionate increase for
video streaming platform (VOD); original content and movies have seen
disproportionate gains.
Listed players like Zee TV, which are focused on GEC, have seen limited gains, while
Sun TV has seen improvement in market share.
Viewership grows across segments
Movies and news clocking growth in
Week-13 over pre COVID-19 period
Due to the nation-wide lockdown, TV viewership in India has increased by 43% (v/s
the pre COVID-19 period) owing to a higher number of channels and rise in average
daily time spent watching (up 27%). This is seen across regions (Hindi/South
markets) and across age groups (especially children and middle-aged consumers).
Viewership is no more restricted to prime time as non-prime time slots too have
clocked 81% growth. In week-13, across languages, viewership growth of
news/movies/sports channels have spurted 251%/77%/35% while for GEC, it was a
limited 9%.
FCT growth primarily in news and sports channels
During such economic uncertainty when nation-wide activities have halted, free
commercial time (FCT) has recorded overall growth of 9% in week-13, mainly led by
news/sports channel. GEC has seen limited growth of a mere 2%, which is in line
with viewership trends. This growth has been led by increase in social ads by the
government/NGOs to promote COVID-19 awareness and certain FMCG categories
that come under essentials (note that ads for toiletries have grown a massive 190x).
Research Analyst: Aliasgar Shakir(Aliasgar.Shakir@motilaloswal.com);
+91 22 6129 1565
Suhel Shaikh
(Suhel.Ahmad@MotilalOswal.com); +91 22 5036 2611;
Anshul Aggarwal
(Anshul.Aggarwal@motilaloswal.com); +91 22 5036 2511
Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report.
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
Increase in smartphone usage drives VOD
Smartphone usage has increased in mid-teens with VOD seeing corresponding
benefits. Increased OTT consumption toward ‘Original’ series and movies has seen
disproportionate growth while ‘Non-Original’ series and sports have seen a decline
(due to no new live events). Smartphones have also seen increased use of news
apps in line with TV viewership.
Limited benefit to Zee TV; Sun TV sees market share gains
GEC witnessed a mere 2% increase in ad volumes. Zee TV’s viewership in Hindi GEC
along with its market share has declined, highlighting DD National’s gain with the
return of ‘Old Classics’. However, this trend could change post-lockdown. Sun TV has
also been able to grow its market share with the return of ‘Old Classics’; its Tamil
region has garnered ~50% market share in week-13.
16 April 2020
2
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
COVID-19 led improvement in viewership
Week 13 (starting 28
th
Mar’20) witnesses nation-wide surge in viewership
Due to the nation-wide lockdown, people are spending more time at home. This has
led to a surge in viewership across the country. According to BARC’s report, weekly
television minutes has increased 37%/43% in week-12/week-13 (week starting 21
st
Mar’20) to 1,215b/1,266b v/s the pre COVID-19 period (11
th
- 31
st
Jan’20). Number of
channels watched per week per user has also increased to 23 in week-13 (v/s 16 in
pre COVID-19 period). Further, average daily time spent per user has increased by
27% in week-13 along with a rise in proportion of users spending more than 3 hours
daily.
While all regions contributed to viewership growth, the North and Central India
have seen higher level of growth, led by Hindi-speaking markets (49% in week-13 v/s
43% nation-wide). In southern markets, Tamil Nadu and Kerala clocked growth of
over 40% while Andhra Pradesh (AP)/Telangana witnessed lower growth of 21%.
Viewership saw an uptick across age groups. Children between the ages 2-14 years
reported the highest growth of 52%, mainly due to school shutdown. Ages above 61
years (senior age group) comprise mostly of retired people, and thus, has reported
the lowest growth of 36%. Other age groups still have people occupied with work
from home who have less time to watch television; and thus, these have shown
moderate growth of ~40%.
Exhibit 1: Weekly viewing minutes rose 43% in Week-13
Weekly viewing minutes (b)
Growth over Pre COVID-19 (%)
43%
Exhibit 2: Channels watched/user/week increased to 23 by
Week-13
Channels watched/user/week
38%
Growth over Pre COVID-19 (%)
44%
37%
887
1,215
1,266
16
22
23
Pre COVID-19
Week 12
Week 13
Pre COVID-19
Week 12
Week 13
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21
Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21
Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Exhibit 3: Average daily reach increased 12% in Week-13
Average daily reach (m)
Growth over Pre COVID-19 (%)
11%
12%
Exhibit 4: Daily time spent/user grew 27% in Week-13
Daily time spend/user (minutes)
27%
23%
622
560
Pre COVID-19
Week 12
627
226
279
288
Week 13
Pre COVID-19
Week 12
Week 13
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21
Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21
Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
16 April 2020
3
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
Exhibit 5: Users spending 3hrs+ increased to 63% in Week-13
Pre COVID-19
61%
52%
30%
63%
Week 12
Week 13
25%
24%
18%
14%
13%
3 hrs+
1 hr - 3hrs
Up to 1 hr
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21 Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31
Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Exhibit 6: TV consumption in Week-13 has increased across regions
Increase in TV consumption in Week 13 over Pre COVID-19(%)
76%
64%
50%
38%
33%
45% 44%
30%
57% 56%
38%
52%
43%
34%
21%
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Exhibit 7: Both genders are contributing to viewership
growth
Increase in viewing minutes in Week 13 over pre-COVID
Exhibit 8: Viewership growth has risen across age groups
Increase in viewing minutes in Week 13 over pre-COVID
52%
42%
48%
38%
38%
42%
43%
42%
36%
Male
Female
2-14
15-21
22-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61+
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Pre COVID – 11 Jan to 31
Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Pre COVID – 11 Jan to 31
Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
16 April 2020
4
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
Non-Prime time, return of Classics and different genres
driving viewership growth
Non-prime time clocks 81% growth in week-13
Major growth was recorded during the non-prime time slot (from early-morning to
evening 6.00pm). Growth during the early-morning slot was driven by higher news
consumption as consumers are keen on latest COVID-19 updates, while late-night
growth was driven by higher movie/news consumption. In line with overall growth,
Hindi-speaking markets (HSM) reported higher growth in non-prime time too.
Further, southern markets continued following earlier timings of television
consumption.
Exhibit 9: Non-prime time clocks higher consumption growth Exhibit 10: Early-morning to evening slots are driving growth
All day
India
HSM
South
43%
49%
33%
Non-Prime
Time
81%
97%
60%
Prime Time
11%
13%
6%
Note: wk 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan,
Source: Nielsen & BARC
Note: wk 13 – week starting 28 Mar, wk 12 – week starting 21 Mar,
Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Exhibit 11: News driving early morning consumption
Exhibit 12: Movies & News driving late night consumption
Note: wk 13 – week starting 28 Mar, wk 12 – week starting 21 Mar,
Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Note: wk 13 – week starting 28 Mar, wk 12 – week starting 21 Mar,
Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Return of ‘Old Classics’ provides unconventional boost to DD channels
As shootings for new serials have come to a standstill due to COVID-19, players have
brought back ‘Old Classics’ such as Ramayan, Mahabharat, etc. DD channels have
gained huge surge in viewership with Ramayan clocking the highest viewership than
any other genre in HSM during its telecast in both morning and evening time bands
(refer exhibit 19 & 20). Ramayan/Mahabharat witnessed 60x/208x growth from pre
COVID-19 period to week-13. Although other channels such as Star Plus have also
brought back old shows, they have not been able to emulate DD’s growth.
16 April 2020
5
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
Sun TV also brought back its previous classic shows such as Metty Oil and Thangham
and received good response. Metty Oil/Thangham reported growth of 23%/11% in
week-13 (refer exhibit 17 & 18). However, the quantum of growth is not as
significant as witnessed in HSM.
Exhibit 13: Ramayan’s viewership reached 546m in Week-13
Viewership of Ramayan on DD National (m)
545.8
145.8
60x
Exhibit 14:
Mahabharat’s viewership reached 146m in Week-13
Viewership of Mahabharat on DD Bharati (m)
208x
454x
365x
0.7
Week 13
Pre COVID-19
0.4
Week 12
Week 13
9
Pre COVID-19
1.2
Week 12
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21
Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21
Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Exhibit 15: Shaktiman’s viewership reached 21m in Week-13
Viewership of Shaktimaan on DD National (m)
20.8
Exhibit 16:
Byomkesh Bakshi’s viewership reached 5m in Week-13
Viewership of Byomkesh
Bakshi on DD National (m)
4.5
12x
52x
2.6x
1.7
11x
0.4
1.7
Pre COVID-19
0.4
Week 12
Week 13
Pre COVID-19
Week 12
Week 13
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21
Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21
Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Exhibit 17: Metty Oil’s viewers grew 23% v/s pre COVID-19
period
Viewership of Metty Oil on Sun TV (000s)
Exhibit 18:
Thangham’s viewers grew 11% v/s pre COVID-19
period
Viewership of Thangham on Sun TV (000s)
3694
3573
23%
4004
3034
4934
11%
3225
63%
3%
Pre COVID-19
Week 12
Week 13
Pre COVID-19
Week 12
Week 13
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21
Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21
Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
16 April 2020
6
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
Exhibit 19: DD National clocked highest viewership during
Ramayan’s morning telecast than any other genre in HSM…
Slot : Morning (09:00-10:30)
Channel
Total TV
Hindi GEC
DD National
Rest Of Hindi GEC
Hindi Movies
Hindi News
Kids
Music & Youth
Marathi Channels
Bangla Channels
Punjabi Channels
Hindi Regional News
Oriya Channels
Assam Channels
Pre COVID-19 Week 12 Week 13
940
203
3
200
146
85
112
162
60
31
32
7
18
7
1,776
292
1
291
346
306
200
142
126
75
49
46
37
18
Growth over
Week 12
2,202
24%
840
187%
580
39006%
259
-11%
320
-7%
277
-10%
185
-7%
138
-3%
111
-12%
74
-1%
45
-8%
34
-26%
33
-12%
19
6%
Exhibit 20: …same story was seen in evening time band
Slot : Evening (21:00-22:30)
Channel
Total TV
Hindi GEC
DD National
Rest Of Hindi GEC
Hindi Movies
Hindi News
Bangla Channels
Marathi Channels
Kids
Oriya Channels
Punjabi Channels
Music & Youth
Hindi Regional News
Assam Channels
Pre COVID-19 Week 12 Week 13
2,943
1,209
6
1,203
656
150
212
239
83
73
30
59
12
13
3,316
948
2
946
783
516
241
260
88
79
51
54
59
21
Growth over
Week 12
3,719
12%
1,552
64%
835
45834%
717
-24%
831
6%
399
-23%
224
-7%
209
-19%
84
-4%
67
-16%
55
9%
55
1%
34
-42%
21
2%
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21
Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21
Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
News, movies and sports driving growth
Although all genres have witnessed viewership surge, news channels and movies are
the major drivers with growth of 251%/77% while GEC showed 9% growth in week-
13. In our view, people are keen to know the latest developments on COVID-19,
which is driving news consumption. Further, people in the working age group (18-60
years) are either working from home/not working and are more inclined toward
news channels, leading to a sharp surge in their growth. Movies’ viewership has
witnessed higher growth with Bangla/Gujarati language channels reporting the
highest growth of 138%/117% and Bhojpuri the lowest at 46%. This is mainly led by
surge in viewership during the non-prime time slot. Further, all southern markets
witnessed an uptick in viewership of movies aired on top GEC’s along with aired
duration, except for Kannada language due to lower duration of movies aired.
In week-13, viewership of sports channels saw huge growth led by old re-runs of
India’s World Cup classic matches such as India vs. Pakistan semi-final 2011 WC and
launch of WWE blockbuster matches on 1
st
Apr’20. We believe such initiatives could
further boost consumption of sports channels in the absence of any new sports
event.
16 April 2020
7
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
Exhibit 21: Movies and news clocking growth in Week-13 over pre COVID-19 period
GEC
Teleshoping
Lifestyle
Devotional/Spiritual
Youth
Kids
Infotainment
Business News
Movies
News
9%
26%
32%
38%
42%
44%
57%
70%
77%
Growth in Week 13 as
compared to pre COVID-19
251%
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Exhibit 22: All language movies have witnessed growth in Week-13
Movies growth over Pre COVID-19 (%)
138%
117%
77%
89%
51%
46%
90%
72%
82%
80%
81%
79%
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Exhibit 23: Movies’ viewership in South on top GECs has also increased except Karnataka
(m)
Viewership
Duration
Growth (%)
Growth (%)
Telugu Top 4 GECs
134
152
14%
20%
Kannada Top 5 GECs
53
45
-15%
-9%
Tamil Top 4 GECs
67
153
128%
45%
Malayalam Top 5 GECs
40
45
10%
0%
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Week 12 – week starting 21 Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31
Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Channels
Week 12
Week 13
Exhibit 24: Sports witnessed huge growth in Week-13 over pre COVID-19 period
ICC CWC 2011
Ind vs. Pak 2011 SF
Weekly viewership growth in Sports (%)
Launch of "WWE Blockbusters" on 1st
April
ICC CWC 2011
IND vs. SL 2011 Final
87%
52%
8%
Monday
Tuesday
23%
Wednesday
Thursday
9%
Friday
Week 13 days
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
16 April 2020
8
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
News and sports channel witnessing FCT growth led by
surge in social and FMCG ads
During such a time of economic uncertainty when all nation-wide activities have
halted, free commercial time (FCT) has recorded overall growth of 9% in week-13,
mainly led by news and sports channel. GEC also posted growth of 2%; however, the
quantum of growth is significantly lower compared to news and sports. This is in line
with our viewership growth drivers where news and sports channels have driven huge
growth in week-13. This growth has been led by an increase in social ads by the
government/NGOs to promote awareness regarding COVID-19. Further, FMCG
companies have also increased promotion of their products as they fall in the
essential category, with toiletries growing 190x in week-13 over the pre COVID-19
period. Furthermore, brands have also changed their logos/taglines to promote their
products by leveraging the current norm of social distancing (refer exhibit 29).
Exhibit 25: News/Sports register highest FCT growth in Week-13
FCT growth in channels over Pre COVID-19 (%)
86%
44%
26%
9%
2%
5%
-8%
-4%
-2%
-3%
11%
-21%
-15%
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Exhibit 26: Social ads/FMCG ads driving FCT growth in Week-13
628%
FCT growth in categories over Pre COVID-19 (%)
244%
183%
55%
32%
-5%
-1% -10%
47%
93% 101%
31%
155%
17% 46% 0%
-37%
166%
9%
-48%
99% 68%
37%
91%
20%
-35%
-50%
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
16 April 2020
9
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
Exhibit 27: Categories with highest growth in Week-13
190x
FCT growth in categories over Pre COVID-19
66x
11x
Toiletries
Associations/Social/Cultural
Organizations
Ice-Creams/Frozen Desserts
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Pre COVID-19 – 11 Jan to 31 Jan, Source: Nielsen & BARC
Exhibit 28: 11 of 19 categories witnessed surge in creative counts
75%
85%
55%
27%
9%
8%
Change in Creative Count post COVID-19 (16 - 27 Mar'20) vs Pre COVID-19 (Jan)
68%
120%
15%
9%
1%
-2%
-48%
-12% -21%
-20%
-9%
-39%
-58%
Source: Nielsen & BARC
Exhibit 29: Brands changed logos/taglines to promote products amidst social distancing
Source: Nielsen & BARC
16 April 2020
10
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
Consumption growth led by surge in smartphone usage
Video streaming platforms (VOD) growth in line with surge in smartphone
usage
Along with TV, the lockdown has also increased smartphone usage with
weekly/daily time spent per user on smartphone increasing 13%/12% after 3 weeks
of COVID-19 outbreak. Daily time spent per user on video streaming platforms
(VOD) has also increased in line with smartphone usage (12% in week-13). The surge
in time spent on VOD has been seen globally with the US reporting growth of 45% in
total minutes spent on VOD from 2
nd
- 23
rd
Mar’20. Lower growth in India could be
attributed to lower penetration of OTT platforms with major user base lying in the
working age group. Apart from surge in minutes of usage, consumer pattern of OTT
consumption has also changed with ‘Original’ series and movies witnessing growth
while ‘Non-Original’ series and sports seeing a decline (due to no new live events).
Exhibit 30: Time spent/user/week on smartphone increased
by 13% 3-Weeks post COVID-19
Time spent/user/week on Smartphone (min)
Growth over Pre COVID-19 (%)
12%
1584
1416
13%
Exhibit 31: Time spent/user/day on smartphone increased
by 12% 3-Weeks post COVID-19
Time spent/user/day on Smartphone (min)
Growth over Pre COVID-19 (%)
12%
228
204
1596
Pre COVID-19
Week 2 post COVID- Week 3 post COVID-
19
19
Source: Nielsen & BARC
Pre COVID-19
Week 3 post COVID-19
Source: Nielsen & BARC
Exhibit 32: Time spent/user/week on VOD in line with surge in Smartphone usage
Time spent/user/week on VOD (min)
Growth over Pre COVID-19 (%)
12%
11%
236
213
Pre COVID-19
Week 2 post COVID-19
Week 3 post COVID-19
Source: Nielsen & BARC
239
16 April 2020
11
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
Exhibit 33: Viewers of original series more than doubled
during COVID period
Change in % Users/Week
123%
56%
-21%
Exhibit 34: Time spent/user/day on movies/original series
grew by 52%/32% during COVID-19
Change in Time Spent/user/week
52%
-17%
32%
-98%
Non-Original
Series
Movies
Original Series
Sports
Non-Original
Series
Movies
Original Series
-83%
Sports
Source: Nielsen & BARC
Source: Nielsen & BARC
Exhibit 35: US also witnessed surge in streaming minutes (b)
Amazon
Hulu
Netflix
Youtube
14.7
15.8
45.4
31.6
48.5
Others
13
20.9
53.3
11.2
10.5
37.3
25.9
31.5
11.4
12.4
38.4
29.1
36.3
34.7
46.8
23 Mar 2020
Source: Nielsen & BARC
02 Mar 2020
09 Mar 2020
16 Mar 2020
New apps/websites clocking growth via smartphones similar to TV
People are using smartphones more currently to access news apps or websites similar
to users’ behavior for TV consumption. Both time spent and number of visits on news
websites/apps saw an uptick. Users prefer to watch news on smartphone from early-
morning to late-evenings – a similar trend is observed in TV consumption. Again, we
believe that this is led by users’ increasing curiosity to know the latest development
on COVID-19 and cheap access to internet.
Exhibit 36: Time spent/user/week grew 39% in 3-Weeks
post COVID-19
Growth in time spent/user/week (%)
141%
101%
31%
Exhibit 37: Number of visits/week also grew in 3-Weeks
post COVID-19
Growth in number of visits/week (%)
28%
39%
36%
9%
News
Aggregators
Hindi
English
Regional
News Aggregators
Hindi
English
Source: Nielsen & BARC
Source: Nielsen & BARC
16 April 2020
12
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
Exhibit 38: Consumption of news on TV/Smartphone remains high until evening
Source: Nielsen & BARC
16 April 2020
13
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
Limited benefit to our coverage universe
Sun TV witnessed some benefit of viewership surge
Sun TV witnessed surge in usage of its channels in week-13 similar to other
networks. However, the quantum of growth is lower as compared to the national
level as southern markets grew at a slower place. Further, Sun TV’s initiative to bring
back ‘Old Classics’ has performed well, albeit not as much as DD National, which saw
a huge spike in its viewership. However, Sun TV has been able to grow its market
share in the Tamil region ~50% in week-13. In addition, the company has been
successful in gaining market share in Malayalam/Kannada markets, while its share in
Telugu market has largely remained constant as compared to pre COVID-19 period.
But, in terms of growth potential, GEC witnessed a mere 2% increase in FCT; thus,
there should be limited revenue growth opportunity for the company.
Exhibit 39: Sun TV’s weekly impression (m) grew 28% in
week-13
Sun TV
1400.0
1200.0
1000.0
800.0
600.0
400.0
KTV
STAR Vijay
Zee Tamil
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Exhibit 40: Sun TV gaining share in Tamil market (%)
Sun TV
KTV
STAR Vijay
Zee Tamil
200.0
0.0
04-Jan-20
04-Feb-20
04-Mar-20
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Source: BARC
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Source: BARC
Exhibit 41: Sun TV’s market share remained constant in
Telugu market (%)
Gemini TV
40%
30%
ETV Telugu
STAR Maa
Zee Telugu
Exhibit 42: Sun TV gaining share in Malayalam market (%)
Flowers TV
Surya TV
80%
60%
Mazhavil Manorama
Asianet
20%
10%
0%
40%
20%
0%
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Source: BARC
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Source: BARC
16 April 2020
14
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
Exhibit 43: Sun TV gaining market share in Kannada market (%)
Udaya TV
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Zee Kannada
Star Suvarna
Colors Kannada
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Source: BARC
Zee’s viewership declining; Surge in OTT platform could provide some
cushion
Zee’s viewership in Hindi GEC market along with its market share has declined
significantly, highlighting that DD National has gained viewership at the expense of
other players. However, this trend should change post the lockdown as previous
shows (before lockdown) will again start running on television. Currently, we believe
its OTT platform Zee5 could provide it some cushion as consumption of OTT
platforms has been increasing. Further, Zee has its original series along with new
Bollywood movies on its platform that could drive consumption (in line with
previous observation). However, OTT forms a smaller portion of the company’s
revenue, therefore, this would not be able to offset the revenue loss from GEC.
Exhibit 45: DD National saw huge spike in market share in
Week-13 (%)
Star Plus
Zee TV
DD National
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
500.0
0.0
04-Jan-20
0%
Colors
Sony Entertainment
Exhibit 44: Zee’s weekly impression declining (m)
STAR Plus
Zee TV
DD National
2000.0
1500.0
1000.0
Colors
Sony Sab
04-Feb-20
04-Mar-20
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Source: BARC
Note: Week 13 – week starting 28 Mar, Source: BARC
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15
 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
NOTES
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 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
Explanation of Investment Rating
Investment Rating
Expected return (over 12-month)
BUY
>=15%
SELL
< - 10%
NEUTRAL
< - 10 % to 15%
UNDER REVIEW
Rating may undergo a change
NOT RATED
We have forward looking estimates for the stock but we refrain from assigning recommendation
*In case the recommendation given by the Research Analyst is inconsistent with the investment rating legend for a continuous period of 30 days, the Research Analyst shall within
following 30 days take appropriate measures to make the recommendation consistent with the investment rating legend.
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1 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives does not have financial interest in the subject company, as they do not have equity holdings in the subject company.
2 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in the subject company
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5 Research Analyst has not served as director/officer/employee in the subject company
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9 MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
10 MOFSL has not engaged in market making activity for the subject company
16 April 2020
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 Motilal Oswal Financial Services
Media | Update
********************************************************************************************************************************
The associates of MOFSL may have:
- financial interest in the subject company
- actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in the subject company
- received compensation/other benefits from the subject company in the past 12 months
- other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions.; however the same shall have no bearing whatsoever on the
specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the associates of MOFSL even
though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest in some of the stocks mentioned in the research report.
- acted as a manager or co-manager of public offering of securities of the subject company in past 12 months
- be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the
company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies)
- received compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months for investment banking / merchant banking / brokerage services or from other than said services.
The associates of MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
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consider demat accounts which are opened in name of MOFSL for other purposes (i.e holding client securities, collaterals, error trades etc.). MOFSL also earns DP income from
clients which are not considered in above disclosures.
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Registered Office Address: Motilal Oswal Tower, Rahimtullah Sayani Road, Opposite Parel ST Depot, Prabhadevi, Mumbai-400025; Tel No.: 022 71934200/ 022-71934263;
Website
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Registration Nos.: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL)*: INZ000158836(BSE/NSE/MCX/NCDEX); CDSL and NSDL: IN-DP-16-2015; Research Analyst:
INH000000412. AMFI: ARN - 146822; Investment Adviser: INA000007100; Insurance Corporate Agent: CA0579;PMS:INP000006712. Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company
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Management Ltd. (MOWML): PMS (Registration No.: INP000004409) is offered through MOWML, which is a group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is
a distributor of Mutual Funds, PMS, Fixed Deposit, Bond, NCDs,Insurance Products and IPOs.Real Estate is offered through Motilal Oswal Real Estate Investment Advisors II Pvt.
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* MOSL has been amalgamated with Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) w.e.f August 21, 2018 pursuant to order dated July 30, 2018 issued by Hon'ble National
Company Law Tribunal, Mumbai Bench.
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